Banker: "One Million Will March On Washington If They Impeach Trump. They Will Be Armed"

Vince Lanci's picture

via Soren K Group and Marketslant

Because He's TNT

Sometime contributor Bon Scott who happens to be not only a Trump supporter but more importantly a Constitutional expert and Big  "L" Libertarian had this to say in response the 'Impeach Trump' escalation.

10,000,000 people will march on Washington if they try to impeach Trump... they will be heavily armed. I will be one of them. No kidding

While our colleague seems given to hyperbole consider this. Last year as early as February he said:

"Trump can win. Ignore the polls. Polls are meaningless in an election with so many “shock events”. The truth is Donald Trump can win the election in a landslide. 

That was true. We quoted him in our October 2016 post HERE

SKG contributor Vince Lanci echoed Bon's words in this Aug post:

On the flip side Trump fans should be happy.  If past calls are any indication Trump will indeed win in  landslide..

Bon also said in our July Post

Trump will spend like a drunken sailor

That Story HERE

This is also true in Trumps's attempts if not in execution yet. 

 

Can you argue With Bon?

The truth is, while our pseudonymous contributor is given to outrageously couched statements, he  has picked up  on something that is close to our hearts.  You can  see it in how polls are just wrong consistently. And to us that is explainable. The statistical world relies to heavily on  polls. Polls are merely "snapshots' of moments.

What is not revealed in polls is the subjectivity of the person being polled!. We know the bias of pollsters. But what has been ignored for years is subjective probability. That concept relates to trends when humans are involved.

Do you think people are going to be honest with pollsters anymore? No, they say what you want to hear so they can move on. Voting is very private. And people  are taking back that privacy. On a broader scale, subjective or conditional probability includes drifts or trends.  Nassim Taleb is a key proponent of this, and we count him  as a genius in  taking his options  knowledge and applying it to many fields in need of improvement. We also  enjoy his lambasting those dogmatists that do not get it.  Jim Rickards is another subscriber to Bayesian  theorems. 

 

What Is  Bayesian  Probability?

Simply put, is it a 50/50 chance the sun rises tomorrow? Statistically the answer is yes to an uneducated caveman seeing it for the first time. But how many times can that caveman stick with those stats when 5 years later the sun continues to rise?

Personal example: If it is 50/50 that a coin  lands on heads or tails, then how come I could at one time flip a coin and make it land on heads 10x in a row? Statisticians will say " Luck, law of large numbers will fix that". Sorry guys that is just not true.

Here is why. I practiced coin flipping at one point in my trading career to make it a skill. I measured how high it had to go, what side the coin had  to start on, and how hard I had to flip it. Was I cheating? No. What people see as randomness is actually a skill based event via intense practice. Had I let the coin land on the ground it would have been randomized. But I did not.

 

Pollsters Do Not Get it

This is the essence of the core ignorance of pollsters and statisticians. They ignore the human factor. And with that, they miss grass roots macro  trends like the populism that triggered Brexit. They do not see what our friend Bon does, that people are not numbers, and the more we rely on  models dogmatically,  the more likely we are to be surprised. Or as he would say : Dont be stupid! Trump is going to win in a landslide.

So while numbers are counted by Nate Silver, conditional/ subjectivity of the person polled is not factored in. This is the problem in modern  polling and stats. 

In trading we used to Fade brokers to protect ourselves from this. We were taught statistically that it is 50/50 every order is buy/sell. But when  a  broker came in everyday at the same time for 2 months straight and bought from us, that concept meant shit. We used to say:  Crap, how high do I have to make this price so he would not buy from us? And the answer was essentially NONE. That broker was a buyer and would continue to be one until he began unwinding  his position.

 

Option Traders Don't Get it

At the time I understood this as Bayesian probability and explained the rationale for "fading" markets to my boss and mentor. He disagreed. He did not get it. He was an extremely hard working savant who in the end became a bitter detractor despite my idol worship and his own immense  success. When you quit working for him, with only a couple exceptions, you were the enemy.  All this because the man, like the modern pollster could not grasp that whenever human behaviour is involved, probability has a subjective factor.

 

What are the Odds of a DC March if a Populist President is Impeached?

Can we afford to ignore "Bon", our colleague who is quite sane, does not represent the lunatic fringe, and is intimately aware that while Trump may not be a beltway darling, he has governed through populism.

Witness how Trump castrated the media with his "Fake News" press conference. He literally made people reject the MSM info as false and further likely turned people off to even looking at it. 

He effectively put them in a box where they could not sell their wares anymore.

This is no easy task. Winning elections via populism is easy game. But actually governing that way is not easy. We'd dare say,  it has not been done ever in a Republic.

So here we are. A populist-ly elected President who has thus far governed through populism. A president with a loyal following that is likely to not take an unconstitutional impeachment sitting down. Trump will not go quietly into the night. He will appeal to the public. He is a narcissist. And to his credit, narcissists are  all about winning popularity contests.

And against him are now the legal types who will use the Constitution to undermine it.

To Bon we joked:

"To get you and your pals to disburse, all we have to do is kill the wifi."

To which he responded:

That isn't enough. You may get some to go home with Beer bribes, but the core people mean business. They will not stand for this.

 

People vs. Elites

Do you want to bet against a DC march  if Trump is impeached? Do you want to be short Gold or long stocks if that happens?

A march would be an exponential increase in uncertainty. The people vs the Elites. And in the end with Elitist power at their disposal including manipulating the press, social media, revoking freedom of speech and rights to assemble and restricting gun ownership; it wont be enough. There will be the fallback to the use of force. People in power always lean on that when  needed. And while they may have learned marketing and manipulation tricks, at bottom, there is always metal hammer inside that velvet wrapper you see.  

 

People are fed up. Impeach  at Your Own Risk

We personally own 2 guns. A Benelli shotgun for skeet, and a 357 magnum for target range shooting. As believers in gun control laws for non law abiding citizens, we will not be inclined to subscribe to giving up what protects us from  a deep state that does what it wants and when it loses, changes the rules. This is the potential beginning of  the libertarian left and right People aligning against the authoritarian left and right Elitists

 

Impeachment Adds Uncertainty, Not Closure

So this will not end with impeachment. It will only stir more problems at grass roots levels. To tell 50% of the country that already distrusts its institutions that those  same institutions are collaborating to kill off their president may be a spark of revolt unlike anything seen  since the 1960s.

This is the cause that would unite libertarians, rednecks, NRA types, uneducated (but no less human and entitled to constitutional rights) and the silently suffering suburban middle class under one banner. People evolve at their own pace. Stop telling us what is best for us. That is not working out so well for you in the world. Don't do it here

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brightdayfin's picture

P'Od_Accountant unbeknownst to you, you are law enforcement for our slave masters. you should be shot for treason. 
how smart do you think you are?  debt is created by signing a contract or a negotiable instrument making you the debtor, right? 
so answer this simple question: how and when was the national debt created and how did "we the people" become the debtors? clue: study 1933

you haven't a clue because you are trained law enforcement for the national debt collector. 

ok, try the second question: who is the IRS?  you don't know, so here it is.  they are a division of the federal reserve bank, both being domiciled in the Port-of-RICO which is bankrupt now, too.  all the income tax went to them to repay the government's debt and none goes to the federal government which is run from excise taxes. 

trump knows this which is why he put a picture of andrew jackson on his office wall.  he ended the first central bank before two assination attempts on him.  this was the last time the federal budget was balanced.  now which one is the tyrant, you or trump. dumbass accountant.  what is the meaning of income?  sales minus expenses.  wages are not income.  income is a commercial term, not a term for private men and women.  but now we are getting way too deep for your subservient mind.

brightdayfin's picture

oops - duplicate post - deleted

Underground's picture

You must really love globalism I take it.

Jethro's picture

You're talking about Obama? Right?

jenniewadeguy's picture

You should shoot your own mother (in the head) for not aborting you immediately after she got lit.  Stupid whore.

Jethro's picture

The sentient part of this douchebag ran down his mother's leg a long time ago.

Ghost of PartysOver's picture

PO'd, you are obviously to ignorant to understand the definition of Tyrant.  So sad.

Underground's picture

Well said! Call the guy that stands up for the Constitutional right to bear arms a Tyrant. He must be playing that game opposite day and Obama is his right hand man.... 

PleasedToMeatYou's picture

So, is it "One Million", or "10,000,000 people [that will] will march on Washington". 

I've got to figure out whether I'm walking or talking the Metro. 

Apeon's picture

you will want to take your own TP no matter which way you go.

Quatermain's picture

To save the country we may have to destroy the federal government.

atthelake's picture

Instead of the government, how about The Federal Reserve? Or, at least, start with The Fed? Or, better yet, Rothschilds, Rockefellers, Soros etc, etc?

esum's picture

What grounds for impeachment...
Flying monkeys have to put cards on the table face up...
And they dont have any
TRUMPED AGAIN

Grandad Grumps's picture

No one will march on Washington and no one will be armed. Don't get their hopes up, moron.

However, there is a large and growing section of the US population that believes the Federal Government and people who run it are irredeemably corrupt. People are dismayed at the lies being told by portions of the government and the mainstream media. They understand that the corrupt are very afraid and lashing out to protect themselves. This includes the inrceasingly irrelevant media and intelligence community.

Do the global intelligence commuities understand that they are a threat to a global government and not the benefiaries of it and they will have to be eliminated. They serve no legitimate purpose once global government is installed and they are an intrinsic threat to ANY and ALL leadership... including their big boss.

Underground's picture

Never thought of it that way before. Great mind fuck

The One...'s picture

No Grumps, they are too drunk with power to relent. They will wind up on the ashbin of history like all tyrants.

Like all the "useful idiots" of the past, they will burn...

Incorporated by inference's picture

Forming 1st Calvary hover around militia.
Where: flyover country
Seeking boomers must furnish your own scooter( if you don't have one call the scooter store they can get you one at little or no cost to you).
Squad lvl tactics a must. Strategy to overwhelm opposition forces with superior numbers and overwhelming violence of action.
Example: Shriners antique cars in parade formation.
Provided 3 square meals a day,
100' extension cord, power to charge your trusty stead,and
1 hour of wifi / nap time per day
Your service will not interfere w ss checks. In fact service can actually supplement your income, by looting and pillaging. How you ask? If it's not nailed down, or can't run faster than your chair, it's yours for the taking.
No pets smaller than 10lbs. No wives! Girlfriends permitted. Bring your hatred for whatever's your hot button issue. Warriors who's with me. Ooh rah

esum's picture

Cong. Green
"Ah arose today to call fo da impeachment of prez trump..."
Wares the chicken

Ok congressman.. now sit down and shut the fuck up

When is Trump going to unleash the DOJ and reopen the Comey the Clown / Clinton / Lynch case..???
When will he cancel the crony kickback $600 million cloud contract Brennan/clapper gifted to bezos that enabled him to by the bezos blog/Wapo with $300 million of that and blast bs to the world... Funny how former press secretaries wind up at FB and AMZN.... isn't it..
Oh and in case you missed it Michael/Michelle is "going black again".... no more taxpayer funded 20 maid staff to comb her curly locks... and BO is going full limp wristed fag....the chiraq bathhouse boys cant wait...

Von Berger's picture

I was born and lived in the UK since 1944.
I have the deepest love and respect for the United States of America. Your brave and noble military (land sea and air) dug Britain out of the shit in the
Year I was born and a large percentage of them payed the ultimate price so that we and Europe could be free of German nazi tyranny. We are in your dept. Physically and spiritually. Over my life time I have witnessed my country and Europe evolve into the shitheap it has now become. The only respite I look forward to are my constant visits to the USA. Both rural and metropolitan areas are a joy to experience.
It would be an honour to join your march. I would do it in a heartbeat. What's your mantra?? DIe free. .........a privilege,what more have I to live for.

Underground's picture

Brothers forever! My ancestors came to the New World around 1648s  from Norfolk Norwich area. http://www.mygen.com/users/outlaw/captain_john_outlaw.htm

The Gladiator's picture

Yuo have the initials all messed up. It was the USSR, not the USA that beat Hitler. (OH,and by the way, I am free to say the holocaust is all bullshit,are you?)

SoDamnMad's picture

Rally to get Julian out of the Embassy and to Ecuador.

and end this kind of shit:

https://www.yahoo.com/news/oxford-student-knifed-boyfriend-could-190230031.html

 

Lorca's Novena's picture

Patton said we fought the wrong (((enemy))).... So did Grandpa.

The One...'s picture

My dad said he hated Patton but would have followed him to hell and back...

SquadronVBF94's picture

I'll go with Matt Bracken's theory. Better to start with taking out media mouthpieces and mid level federal bureaucrats. There aren't enough Secret Service and FBI to protect them all. The government will grind to a halt. Bureaucrats are basically power freaks when they feel safe and cowards when they don't. Push come to shove, they will stay home and not put their lives at risk for people who have no loyalty to anyone but themselves.

The Gladiator's picture

I call dibs on the queer guy at CNN!!

Mroex's picture

I agree, hit them at random as to their occupation / position,  BUT be sure to make a hit every single day. Use small killer / hunter teams. The scumbags will do exactly what you predicted. 

Expat's picture

Hey, why not start by killing all the nurses and doctors.  And blowing up all the hospitals.  That way, when you attack the government they won't be able to get treatment and will die from their wounds.  Oh, and blow up the water treatment facilities so the nasty government agents get diseases.  Yeah, kill all thos mid-level police and firemen...those bastards sucking on the public tit.

 

Mroex's picture

We won't because we are not a bunch of stupid, ignorant cocksukers like you

SquadronVBF94's picture

Just what the world needs, another drunk, drug addicted Doctor. This judge probably thought she was attractive and he might get some if he let her off. I'd say give her a 5thof scotch and let her take his appendix out.

poetic justice's picture

Cut the head off the snake and you are very far advanced in solving the problem. Forget about getting mowed down in the middle of Washington. 

Wouldn't it be far wiser to be blowing the foock out the elites and their cronies. Take out what counts to them most. Their family! Don't forget; they ARE at war with us.

 

Let them experience some of their own medicine for a change. The time for sitting on ones hands is almost over...

Underground's picture

Start with the Banks and as soon as the money drys up we will see who is left standing. Preppers and conspiracy theorists will be gods at that point... Hope you guys got a flock of chickens and rain barrels....

The Gladiator's picture

If those 1m people all gave $1k each,we would have enough ($1bln) to hire a rogue to nuke Israel. Problems around the world would disappear.

Non-Corporate Entity's picture

We won't march on D.C., we'll march on our states and demand they ignore D.C. It's only logical.

JailBanksters's picture

Why didn't they impeach Bush, that's right because he did exactly what the Joo's wanted

Why didn't they impeach Obama, that's right because he did exactly what the Joo's wanted

And really they were more involved more with Treason against America and the Constitution than all the other presidents combined.

So you see, who really runs Umerica, it's NOT Americans.

 

 

LOL123's picture

I bet Trump is really sorry he said "the Clintons are good people". 

Baphomet Hillary has been stirring the pot ever since... The bitch is a psychopath and will never give up because her ego won't let her and her control freak personality has to control everything...she is evil persona... Only to Luciferians is that a compliment.

After Bill dies she wants to run as a single lesbian. For President... We may call it Sir.

grekko's picture

Baphomet, no.  She's the Whore of Babylon.

The One...'s picture

Cankles the Wonder Beast? Demented Dyke of Babylon you mean...

whatamaroon's picture

Being 60 years old and seeing how our country has gone to shit because of DC, count me in all I have left to die for is my kids and grandkids.

83_vf_1100_c's picture

A Benelli over/under and a wheel gun? Better upgrade your firepower dude.

KweeBohNoh's picture

Wondering what to wear to the march in DC?
Full metal jackets.
I wear a size 45 medium.

Underground's picture

Might not need a full metal jacket as antifa will be throwing high heels and lip gloss once they take the pussy hats off. I wonder if skinny jeans deflects bullets LoL

dogismycopilot's picture

Trump isn't perfect.

But he is the last chance to save the Republic.

 

DarkestbeforeDawn's picture

You are correct.  The '"coup" has al;ready taken place...a long time ago actually.  So now that the tax paying masses (inlcuding me) can no longer avoid seeing the truth, the question is, of course, will the masses revolt in necessary numbers/intensity to make any difference?  I doubt it.  So that leaves us the only remedy available, a Convention of States.