Rouhani Re-elected Iran President In Landslide Victory

Tyler Durden's picture

Iran's moderate leader Rouhani secured a second term with a landslide victory in Friday's presidential election, winning 57% of the vote and giving a decisive victory to pro-reform groups eager to open up the Islamic republic and re-engage with the outside world, Reuters reported. Rouhani's hardline opponent, senior cleric Ebrahim Raisi who was running for office for the first time, a protege of Iran's Supreme Leader and the custodian of a religious charity worth tens of billions, came in second with 38.5% said Abdolreza Rahmani Fazli, Iran's interior minister.

Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei praised Iranians for their big turnout, with some 73% said to have voted. The vast turnout prompted Iran to extend the voting deadline by two hours on Friday. Many voters said they came out to block the rise of Raisi, one of four judges who sentenced thousands of political prisoners to death in the 1980s, regarded by reformers as "a symbol of the security state at its most fearsome."


Iranian President Hassan Rouhani casts his vote during the presidential election in Tehran

"The wide mobilization of the hardline groups and the real prospect of Raisi winning scared many people into coming out to vote," Nasser, a 52-year-old journalist told Reuters. "We had a bet among friends, and I said Raisi would win and I think that encouraged a few of my friends who might not have voted to come out and vote."

The resounding pro-reform victory, however, leaves Iran in a difficult positition going forward: as discussed yesterday, in many ways Iran's president is a figurehead since most critical decisions in the Shi'ite nation are made behind the scenes and Iran's Supreme leader Khamenei has final say in most matters of state. Still, for purposes of international diplomacy, Khamenei rarely telegraphs what he’s going to do (his always entertaining Twitter account notwithstanding) which makes the rise and fall of candidates and the impact of elections tough to predict.

And while Khamenei lays out Iran's strategy, it is the president's jobs to implement it tactically by putting Iran’s policies into place, while shaping the country's image for global consumption. Ironically, recent Iranian presidents have pursued radically different agendas. Former hard-line President Ahmadinejad busted the government budget and drove up inflation with handouts to the poor, while his successor, Rouhani tamed inflation while seeking better relations with the West. He succeeded by finding a willing partner in the face of Barack Obama, who was eager to leave a lasting diplomatic legacy in the middle east with the nation that Israel considers its arch nemesis.

That said, the sheer scale of Rouhani's victory gave the pro-reform camp a "strong mandate to seek the sort of change that hardliners have thwarted for decades" as Reuters reported. Rouhani's challenger Raisi, a Khamenei protege, had united the conservative faction and had been tipped as a potential successor to the 77-year-old supreme leader. His defeat leaves the conservatives without an obvious flag bearer.

Furthermore, the scale of Mr Raisi’s defeat is a humiliating blow to regime hardliners, with the cleric enjoying the backing of the Revolutionary Guards, the judiciary and the conservative clergy, some of the most powerful bodies in the theocratic regime.

The re-election is likely to safeguard the nuclear agreement Rouhani's government reached with global powers in 2015, under which most international sanctions have been lifted in return for Iran curbing its nuclear program.

 

And it delivers a setback to the Revolutionary Guards (IRGC), the powerful security force which controls a vast industrial empire in Iran. They had thrown their support behind Raisi to safeguard their interests.

Adding to the potential future conflicts, Iran's supreme leader - his grip on power slipping - also has veto power over all policies and ultimate control of the security forces. Rouhani has been unable to secure the release of reformist leaders from house arrest. Courts have imposed a ban on the publication of the words - or even images - of the earlier reformist president, Khatami.

People have realised that their destiny would be determined in this election,” said Fatemeh Hashemi, the daughter of Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, one of the founders of the Islamic republic quoted by the FT. The decisiveness of the victory makes the election “one of the turning points in the Islamic republic’s history,” she added.

"The last two decades of presidential elections have been short days of euphoria followed by long years of disillusionment," said Karim Sadjadpour, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment who focuses on Iran. "Democracy in Iran is allowed to bloom only a few days every four years, while autocracy is evergreen."

In his next term, Rouhani will also have to navigate the deteriorating relationship with Washington, which following Trump's vow to undo Obama's landmark nuclear deal, appears at best ambivalent about the nuclear accord agreed by former U.S. president Barack Obama.

President Donald Trump has repeatedly described it as "one of the worst deals ever signed", although his administration re-authorized waivers from sanctions this week. Trump arrived on Saturday in Saudi Arabia, his first stop on the first trip abroad of his presidency. The Saudis are Iran's biggest enemies in the region and are expected to push hard for Trump to turn his back on the nuclear deal.

Rouhani doubled down on his reformist image, and as Reuters points out "reinvented himself for his re-election campaign as an ardent reformist, seeking to stir up the passions of young, urban voters yearning for change."

At times he broke rhetorical taboos, openly attacking the human rights record of the security forces and the judiciary. During one rally he referred to hardliners as "those who cut out tongues and sewed mouths shut". In a debate last week he accused Raisi of seeking to "abuse religion for power". The language at the debate earned a rare public rebuke from Khamenei, who called it "unworthy".

 

The contentiousness of the campaign could make it more difficult for Rouhani to secure the consent of hardliners to carry out his agenda, said Abbas Milani, director of the Iranian Studies program at Stanford University. "Rouhani upped the ante in the past ten days in the rhetoric that he used. Clearly it's going to be difficult to back down on some of this stuff."

Additionally, the re-elected president's agenda may be derailed by the powerful conservative IRGC, who also use their role as shock troops of Iran's interventions across the Middle East try to derail future rapprochement with the West, said Meir Javedanfar, an Iranian-born lecturer at Israel's Interdisciplinary Centre Herzliya cited by Reuters.

"Since the 1979 revolution, whenever hardliners have lost a political battle, they have tried to settle scores," he said.

 

"I would worry about the more confrontational policy of the IRGC in the Persian Gulf ... and more confrontational policy with the U.S. and Saudi Arabia."

Shortly after the victory was announced, congratulatory messages came from leaders around the globe, with China's President Xi Jinping saying he looks forward to pushing ahead China-Iran comprehensive strategic partnership, according to state broadcaster China Central Television.  According to Bloomberg, China-Iran relationship has gone well over past four years, Xi was cited by CCTV and added that China pays high attention to bilateral relationship with Iran. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad also congratulated Rouhani and said he  looked forward to cooperating "to strengthen the security and stability of both countries, the region and the world".

* * *

However, despite the outcome of the election, many people in and beyond Iran are already looking ahead to the following presidential vote in 2021. That election promises to bring greater change to the Islamic republic because its victor will likely oversee the aging supreme leader's succession. When he eventually dies, Khamenei — who became supreme leader in 1989 (after serving two terms as president) — will end the era of Iran's old guard of revolutionary leaders. Members of the younger generation, that of Rouhani and Raisi, will be vying for position as the process to find his replacement picks up speed in the coming years. And as the number of Iranians born after the 1979 Islamic Revolution continues to grow, the government will have to consider whether to keep pursuing its cautious rapprochement with the United States or revert to a hostile position.

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Juggernaut x2's picture

Just as long as Iran keeps working on their nuclear program- right, Bibi? Maybe the Orange Idiot will swing by and congratulate the guy after prostrating himself in SA and Israel.

Rich Stoehner's picture

I think that Russia must have hacked their voting machines.

nmewn's picture

The NYT's is reporting on a new Comey memo that reveals Rouhani gets two scoops of ice cream and everyone else at the table gets one ;-)

NidStyles's picture

Do they even have enough German DNA to eat ice cream?

 

Hope so, or the Jews will cry that Iran is trying to gas them....

nmewn's picture

I think they have it figured out now once they gave up on the chopstick suggestion.

Those rascally jooos again ;-)

meta-trader's picture

you can add an extra 1500/USD week after week in your income just working on the internet for a couple of hours each day... check this link... http://bit.ly/2jdTzrM

Nice Try Lao Che's picture

If you coiffe that beard at RuPaul's 'Hairspray' salon, he might just pass for the Bernank.

shovelhead's picture

Hillary wants a recount.

nmewn's picture

Jill Stein finally has something else to do with DNC donor money! Its perfect!

DingleBarryObummer's picture

He must genuflect at false idols and rotting corpses of Synagouge of Satan Khazar Gypsies

Nice Try Lao Che's picture

Well, that & he should never take a job as a 'Pedro' at South of the Border.

Laddie's picture

The CIA said Iran had NO nuclear weapons program.

Ahmadinejad also ran but he always told the truth and doubted the Holocaust©, so he was obviously NOT fit to serve as President.

The masses in Iran, as in South Africa, and in the USSA are molded by (((THEM))), Which is why you have Boer young people listening to RAP music and all the rest of the anti-White crap. And in the Moslem world the same thing.

Jew TV Show Portrays Graphic Faggot Sex Scene Between Two Moslem Men

And not a PEEP out of CAIR or any of the other OFFICIAL Moslem groups.

I recall in London they had a play depicting Christ and His disciples as homosexuals, the so-called Christians said and did nothing. It was the MOSLEMS who took to the streets and SHUT it down. We had the NATIONAL ENDOWMENT FOR THE ARTS, during Bill Clinton's reign, FINANCE "PISS CHRIST" with OUR tax dollars.

So the Iranians, like all peoples, are WEAK and the Christ-killers KNOW the human mind:
http://www.kevinmacdonald.net/chap4.pdf
We have seen that a common component of Jewish intellectual activity since the Enlightenment has been to criticize gentile culture. Freud’s ideas have often been labeled as subversive. Indeed, “[Freud] was convinced that it was in the very nature of psychoanalytic doctrine to appear shocking and subversive. On board ship to America he did not feel that he was bringing that country a new panacea. With his typically dry wit he told his traveling companions, ‘We are bringing them the plague’ ” (Mannoni 1971, 168).

Mannoni, O. (1971). Freud, trans. R. Belice. New York: Pantheon Books.

"The conscious and intelligent manipulation of the organized habits and opinions of the masses is an important element in democratic society. Those who manipulate this unseen mechanism of society constitute an invisible government which is the true ruling power of our country.

"We are governed, our minds are molded, our tastes are formed, our ideas suggested largely by men we have never heard of. This is a logical result of the way in which our democratic society is organized. Vast numbers of human beings must cooperate in this manner if they are to live together as a smoothly functioning society. . . .

"Whatever attitude one chooses to take toward this condition, it remains a fact that in almost every act of our daily lives, whether in the sphere of politics or business, in our social conduct or our ethical thinking, we are dominated by the relatively small number of persons . . . who understand the mental processes and social patterns of the masses. It is they who pull the wires which control the public mind, who harness old social forces and contrive new ways to bind and guide the world. . . .

"Sometimes the effect on the public is created by a professional propagandist, sometimes by an amateur deputed for the job. The important thing is that it is universal and continuous; and in its sum total is regimenting the public mind every bit as much as an army regiments the bodies of its soldiers. . . .

"The systematic study of mass psychology revealed to students the potentialities of invisible government of society by manipulation of the motives which actuate man in the group. . . . So the question naturally arose: If we understand the mechanism and motives of the group mind is it not possible to control and regiment the masses according to our will without their knowing it?

"No serious sociologist believes any longer that the voice of the people expresses any divine or especially wise and lofty idea. The voice of the people expresses the mind of the people, and that mind is made up for it by the group leaders in whom it believes and by those persons who understand the manipulation of public opinion. . . .

"Whether in the problem of getting elected to office or in the problem of interpreting and popularizing new issues, or in the problem of making the day-to-day administration of public affairs a vital part of the community life, the use of propaganda, carefully adjusted to the mentality of the masses, is an essential adjunct of political life."

Edward L. Bernays
1 Wall Street
New York City

Edward L. Bernays
7 Lowell St.
Cambridge, Mass.

He was descended from the Chief Rabbi of Hamburg (late 18th-early 19th century) and was a nephew, on both sides, of that quintessence of FILTH, Sigmund Freud. (born Sigismund Schlomo Freud)

Yog Soggoth's picture

You left out the part where Freud and his son were/are pedophiles.

Cheka_Mate's picture

Don't forget- Freud had a serious coke habit and was banging his wife's sister who lived with them.

Passion of Youth by Wilhelm Reich contains similar sleaze, including incest fantasies and manually stimulating a horse.

thunderchief's picture

A democratic Iran reelects a moderate as America's new neo con convert visits the number 1 terrorist state and dictatorship,  Wahabist Saudi Arabia. 

shovelhead's picture

Hey, lighten up.

They're good customers and the best part is they use the stuff.

E.F. Mutton's picture

"Guardian Council" - "Controls elections, controls who can run"

Wow, Goldmanites do get around, don't they?

slice's picture

It does not matter who gets the votes, it only matters who counts the votes.

silverer's picture

"...a decisive victory to pro-reform groups eager to open up the Islamic republic and re-engage with the outside world."

I doubt you'll have that chance. John McCain and the Democratic neocon club wants to bomb all of you anyway.

rwmctrofholz's picture

The zip ties on those Rubbermaid totes surely prevented the Russians from hacking the election.

Deep In Vocal Euphoria's picture

god watches over iran syria and russia.....

 

 

meanwhile donnie goy is in saudi arabia selling more weapons to the terrorist in white dress...the weapons will go to slaughtering yemenis, syrians and palestinians.....911 inside job...28 pages say saudi arabia invovled....whats taking so long donnie goy...afraid to expose the truth??

 

israel next...looking forward to see donnie goy with that hat on while praying at the western wall....clown boy

lakecity55's picture

Yes, but this gives the Russians the opportunity to earn hard cash by selling the exact types of weapons to negate what we sell to the Saudis. The US and Russia can play good cop-bad cop and make some dough.

 

shovelhead's picture

How is it that everyone knows what God is doing?

Not another unnamed White House official spilling the beans?

St. Michael calling Wa Po?

Beezelbub yanking their chain?

What is it?

Nona Yobiznes's picture

Looks like we've got to bomb them. We can't let it get out that Iranians hold elections. No way, they are the most eeevil country on earth. Israel said so. They eat Jew meat for dinner every night. Let's not mention that Iran is host to the oldest Jewish community in the world. Nope, send in the nukes. 

lakecity55's picture

The Israeli Lobby wants the US to aid Israeli hegemony in the region. However, the Iranians are Power Players and need to be respected. The US needs a balanced approach.

Hence my suggestion earlier of US-Russia Arms deals. Arm each side exactly. No advantage, only protection from attack.

 

 

Aristofani's picture

Iran buy their weapons from Russia as well as making their own. They actually know how to use them also. The sa army apparently is a bit of a joke, hence why the US one is often doing the dirty evil work for them.

Yog Soggoth's picture

Being a financial blog, I am surprized that no one has noticed that the new silk road has already reached Tehran via trade deals with 20 countries, infrastructure contracts, and banking reform help from China to counter damage from sanctions.The plan is to go through Tehran, and I doubt it will change, because strategically it is the best location.

peopledontwanttruth's picture

Can you post links I love to read them and no I'm not being sarcastic Things are heading exactly as I studied. Respectfully

Thanks

peopledontwanttruth's picture

Perhaps surprisingly to many here if you listen to MSM which has demonized Iran. The Jews enjoy plenty of freedom in Iran

https://www.google.com/amp/www.csmonitor.com/layout/set/amphtml/1998/020...

Iranian Jews, second largest community in ME only to Israel reject cash offers to return to Israel.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/world/2007/jul/12/israe...

Iranian leader gets award from Jewish rabbis in NY City as friendliest leader in world to Jews.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=pHCqR-YbcN4

lakecity55's picture

The Iranians all seem to want a more secularized type of Islamic Republic.

My experiences in similar, older USSR Islamic Republics seems to be the best way to govern for them.

There is the obvious difference between Shia and Sunni, but the peoples of these countries do want modern development. Many of these old-tyme Islamic Fundamentalist Imams need to get up with the times.

 

DingleBarryObummer's picture

So they cut your head off for being Christian in S.A. right?  So Trump should be careful!  LOL just kidding, we all know Trump is not a Christian, but a Luciferian Freemason.

shovelhead's picture

They let him have the secret decoder ring?

Uh-oh.

peopledontwanttruth's picture

Meanwhile Iran honors Christianity and allows it as a right to freedom of religion. Connecting the dots

Mena Arkansas's picture

in many ways Iran's president is a figurehead since most critical decisions in the Shi'ite nation are made behind the scenes and Iran's Supreme leader Khamenei has final say in most matters of state.

Or to paraphrase ...

in many ways America's president is a figurehead since most critical decisions in the Zionist nation are made behind the scenes and America's Supreme leader Goldman Sachs has final say in most matters of state.

Ban KKiller's picture

The way of the world, even in Parks, Ar.

NoWayJose's picture

Iran has been kicking butt for years - why change? Especially with a nuke program running full tilt (without inspections), $150 billion from the US to fund it, no oil embargo, winning in Syria, and global investment (including US companies) pouring into the country?

Ban KKiller's picture

Trump visits the modern Potemkin "village", shit hole SA.Ha ha ha ha.

earleflorida's picture

may allah bless shia 'Iran'!

he is a good man and leader!!!

JailBanksters's picture

Well that's not going to sit well with the Jews, er I mean the Zionists, er I mean the "Deep State"

Yog Soggoth's picture

Exactly, they can't call this guy an extremist and sell it to America because his track record is pretty good.

CRM114's picture

Anyone who thinks there is such a thing as a "moderate" Iranian leader is an idiot.

just the tip's picture

so, based on that organizational chart, it appears the only difference between the US deep state and Iran's deep state, is that Iran shows their deep state on an organizational chart.

BritBob's picture

Still has to report up to the Ayatollah and ye ole Ayatollah also supports Argentina's claim to the Falklands so I guess he believes in fairy tales : How can Argentina claim the Falklands when she has never legally owned them?

Falklands- Never Belonged to Argentina:

https://www.academia.edu/31111843/Falklands_Never_Belonged_to_Argentina

Yep.

vietnamvet's picture

Pretty pathetic that Iran has a strong democracy with better voter turnout than the old U S of A.

peopledontwanttruth's picture

Not pathetic. It should tell you the American people have been completely scammed. If you are a vet as your sign in says, I'm sure you're pissed beyond belief.
At least you didn't die physically as many have

ali-ali-al-qomfri's picture

and it looks like a $350B Saudi landslide to boot.

and guess who's gonna get an S-500 system.......

Griffin's picture

73 percent is a impressive turnout. Good to see how interested the public is in politics.

Maybe Iran will stop stoning and chopping people to pieces in the next 4 years or so and Germany takes over that tradition instead.