Why India's Attempt To Digital Will Fail

Tyler Durden's picture

Authored by Jayant Bhandari via Acting-Man.com,

India Reverts to its Irrational, Tribal Normal (Part XIII)

Over the three years in which Narendra Modi has been in power, his support base has continued to increase. Indian institutions — including the courts and the media — now toe his line.

The President, otherwise a ceremonial rubber-stamp post, but the last obstacle keeping Modi from implementing a police state, comes up for re-election by a vote of the legislative houses in July 2017.  No one should be surprised if a Hindu fanatic is made the next President. India is rapidly entering a new phase.

 

Indian Prime Minister, Narendra Modi on the cover of an Indian magazine in 2002, when he was the Chief Minister of the Indian province of Gujarat. During his reign in Gujarat, a civil-war like situation erupted, which seriously segregated the province’s society. It brought Hindus into a state of trance and excitement and provided them with the fake-security of the collective. Alas, wealth and civilization are created by an intense focus on value-addition, not from the short-term escapist excitement of mobs expressed through riots and rape. Destructive endeavors are a major vulnerability of poor societies, given their irrationality and lack of foresight and planning, and their short-sighted focus on high time-preference, pleasure-centered activities.

 

Modi, a major world-traveler, who has run around quite a bit to please foreign governments and win the support of identity-lacking non-resident Indians, is no longer going abroad with the same abandon. Historically and even today, whatever gained approval in the West is what Indians have looked up to.

But Modi has matured. Modi has directed the attention of Indians to nationalism, Hindutava (fanatic Hinduism), the army, the flag, the anthem, and other superficial collective “causes” not underpinned any values or wealth-creating, civilization-producing objectives. Behind this is an empty arrogance pumped up by having grown relatively richer (still with GDP at a mere $1,718 per capita) over the last several decades due of the free gift of western technology.

If all this reminds you of the early days of the Arab Spring, you are right on track  with respect to understanding what is happening in India.  India is an extremely irrational, superstitious and tribal society, which I have discussed in great detail in earlier articles, the last one of which is linked here.

 

War of Attrition

Modi has infused so-called educated Indians with a sense of confidence and identity. It does not matter that this is all fake. To a man with a tribal, irrational mind incapable of thinking about tomorrow, throwing furniture onto the bonfire is not a problem, for today’s excitement is all that matters. Lacking empathy and compassion — another tribal “quality” — he pays no heed to the suffering of his fellow man.

 

It seems possible that Modi is focused on the wrong statistics [PT]

 

In the deeply irrational society of India, the institutions of liberty that the British  left behind were slowly but surely hollowed out. That had to happen, as the glue and the foundations of reason needed to sustain these institutions do not exist in Indian society. The tribal instincts of Indians are diametrically opposed to the concept of liberty. The concept of free speech, a remnant of the intellectual climate fostered by the British, survives for a small fraction of society – but even that is receding rapidly.

Compared to what happened elsewhere in South Asia, the Middle East and Africa, India was — on a relative basis — a beneficiary of its ethnic diversity. This diversity ensured that a collective approach to destroying institutions of liberty and the rule of law worked only slowly, due to infighting.

Isn’t it racist to call Indians irrational? Political correctness has indeed made people come to believe that we are all blank slates, which merely need to be reprogrammed through training. The reality has been quite different, as our everyday experience in this globalized world shows. Cultures are so resilient that even after people from these poor societies have migrated to the West, they not only fail to assimilate but more importantly, often regress.

Modi’s focus is on centralizing Indian society, increase the State’s control over the individual, increase taxes and compliance, and force people’s attention on collective goals. The tribal instincts of Indians are finally getting the upper hand, as the institutions left by the British come to the end of their lives. India’s chaos means that its totalitarianism will not be like that of Nazi Germany, but similar to that of Zimbabwe.

Modi’s totalitarian agenda also finds support among the IMF, the World Bank and the similar globalist institutions, which appear to be rather simplistic in their thinking. There is a strong belief among these institutions — as they lack understanding of the differences between cultures — that what works in the West must also work in India and other wretched societies.

That may have been possible as long as the British ran India. Without them, fragmentation of the unnatural nation-state of India, or at least aggressive decentralization is the only practical option.

In India where an organization of two people has one person too many, the forced centralization that Modi is undertaking is bound to lead to massive chaos, civil war, turmoil, and the eventual disintegration of India into its tribal constituents. India has chosen a painful path to revert to its tribal normal.

Colonization by the British was the best thing that happened to what came to be known as India. Without the sanity provided by British supervision or the institutions left by them, Indian tribes will forever be engaged in a war of attrition against each other.

 

Yogi Adityanath, a Hindu fanatic and the new Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh, the most populous province of India, distributing goodies, while security personnel restrain citizens from throwing themselves at his feet – a favor citizens gratefully bestow, and those in any kind of power expect. Does anyone really think India is “independent” or “democratic”?

 

Will digital technology alleviate their pain and drudgery? Or will it actually make it worse? (Photo credit: P. Sainath, whose work exposes the suffering of the otherwise invisible poor people of India)

 

Dysfunctional Organizations Have Become Worse

On 8th November 2016, Modi declared 86% of the monetary value of India’s outstanding currency illegal. Even today, ATMs remain cashless. The banks are clogged with throngs of people. Small businesses — the backbone of India’s economy — keep failing, because people continue to avoid discretionary spending.

People have suffered economically as the smooth flow of the economy was disrupted, and transaction costs for businesses have increased. Food prices have recovered a bit recently, but are still at about half their previous levels. Unfortunately, this is not because production has increased, but because demand has collapsed, with many of the poorest people likely unable to buy food.

 

A sign adorning the entrances of banks in India with depressing regularity.

Photo credit: Ajay Verma / Reuters

 

India is one of the countries with the highest traffic-related deaths in the world. This happens despite its slow-moving traffic. India has been an utter failure in providing basic government services. Ambulances are often not available at all, or if they exist they are used for the private purposes of those in authority.

In the rare cases when they do arrive, it takes them forever and even then they almost never have paramedics. They often refuse to take the injured to a hospital unless a close relative goes along. The hospitals are either ill-equipped or disinterested in taking such patients if they are not accompanied by a relative.

If one is incapacitated in an accident for any reason, the chances of getting emergency aid are extremely low. One is quite likely to simply die on the roadside. The situation is similar with the police and other emergency service providers.

The Indian government completely fails at its most important job.  Indians simply do not have the capacity (given their irrationality) to build and maintain such basic organizations. This happens even when they spend massive amounts in order to maintain such organizations.

India has almost never undertaken a big project and completed it. None of this has discouraged the dreamer Modi. The demonetization effort, in which the government  merely had to replace old notes with new ones, has been an utter failure. It is an ongoing pain which has left the economy in shambles, despite the rosy growth figures reported by the government.

 

Asian bureaucracies compared: a score of 10 is the worst possible (it means your country is drowning in red tape and corruption). India has a score of 9.21 – making it a world leader in red tape. [PT]

 

The Realities of Going Digital in India

Over a billion people in India have no access to internet. When it is available, it is often very slow. Electricity is unreliable. Bank websites are extremely unwieldy. To make an online transaction, the login process is usually very complicated, often requiring several steps and verification codes sent as text messages.

More than a month ago, I paid online for a flight ticket from Delhi to London. The money left my account, but I never got the ticket. It was virtually impossible to get in touch with the Indian company I had bought the ticket from. When I did finally manage to contact them, they told me that they had refunded the money. The bank says it never got the refund. Of course, I have had to personally visit the bank every time and spend a long time waiting to talk to someone. In this electronic day and age, more than a month after the event, no-one knows where my money is.

It is hard to pinpoint who deserves the blame. Indians are extremely unskilled, uneducated (despite paper certificates aiming to prove otherwise), and lack work ethics. They almost never have passion for their jobs or an interest in providing  good services to their clients. This is the main feature characterizing many Indian companies. Management and owners lack professionalism and are singularly focused  on the bottom-line, by hook or by crook, eschewing true value-addition.

 

And then a discovery was made amid the rubble and the ruins – let’s focus on that… [PT]

 

I know many people who refuse to use an ATM card. People refuse to make credit or debit card transactions, as they cannot trust the system. Many years ago my Indian credit card company refused to reverse an unauthorized charge. When I asked them to cancel my card, they upgraded my card and imposed a yearly fee. I had no choice but to stop making payments to end a never-ending cycle of problems.

Given the risks involved, many people simply walk down to the bank branch to make an online transaction, which obviously defeats the whole purpose of going digital. When Indians buy something online, they tend to use the “cash on delivery” option, a unique option for buyers in India, where people have no work ethics or trust in each other.

 

Both the lack of trust and the lack of digital infrastructure are reflected by the fact that 98% of all consumer transactions in India are carried out in cash. Yes, banning most outstanding cash currency was probably a tad disruptive… [PT] – click to enlarge.

 

Virtually anyone one meets in India is perplexed about the charges banks impose on accounts these days. There are non-agreed fees and commissions that appear regularly, and on top of those, service taxes are charged. There are tens of charges which no one knows the reason for or is able to explain.

Bank employees favor you with a blank stare when you ask them for an explanation. Even Modi fans finds themselves boiling in anger when their bank statements arrive.

India’s attempt to go cashless will fail. India’s e-commerce companies will fail. The skills and ethics required to run big organizations simply do not exist in India. In the meantime, the forceful imposition of cashless transactions will only succeed in imposing massive costs on society.

 

Other Forced Digitalization Will Fail

There has been much talk about the newly imposed national ID system, Aadhaar, and the GST system that is expected to be rolled out in a few months.

 

Errors are an all too common feature of digital India. Aadhaar is used for purposes it was allegedly not intended for.

 

Aadhaar will fortunately not lead to a Nazi-style police state. India is too chaotic and undisciplined for that. India will be a Zimbabwe-style police state. The stated purpose of Aadhaar was to provide assistance to the poorest people in  society. You often see them sitting outside bank branches, begging to get the equivalent of a few dollars that are due to them, for the money often isn’t in their accounts or simply untraceable.

Mistakes and disappeared money that should be highly unlikely happen all the time in India, as the kind reader by now surely understands, given India’s cultural underpinnings.  Data breaches and leakages from the Aadhaar system are becoming everyday news.

Even in a perfect system, which is anyway not possible, Indians will still engage in data breaches for bribes, etc., as they simply do not have respect for their own professions or pride in what they do.  Despite the fact that it is unconstitutional, India’s government is making Aadhaar compulsory for filing tax returns, using government services, salary payments, etc.

 

A rather perceptive cartoon about the Aadhaar card. In the meantime India’s Supreme Court has ruled that Aadhaar cannot be made mandatory. The government seems set on ignoring this ruling and is pressing ahead with the scheme anyway. [PT]

 

India’s much talked about GST system is to roll out in July. GST will impose a massive need to create audit trails. The simple movement of a good by a transporter to someone’s house will require an electronic document to be produced. Couriers who have so far not had any involvement in this process will be entrapped. Similar e-way bills will have to be created as goods moves from  couriers to trucks or change hands in any other way.

These documents will have limited validity, so if a person has a possession of a good for more than a certain time while it is in transit, a new e-way bill will need to be created. Any movement of inventory within the same company will have to be documented and filed. Even very small companies will have to file three documents every month and another document every year.

No one knows for sure how GST will be implemented. I doubt that the government itself actually knows it — in fact, of course they don’t. It will definitely create a new wave of chaos and many aspects will likely need to be reversed.

India has a serious skills shortage. Indian companies can e.g. not find skilled accountants. Most will find the costs associated with implementing such a rigorous system far too high anyway. Increased demand for tax officers and accountants will reduce the pool of workers available for productive activities.

 

Anxiety is a Way of Life in India

India’s attempt to go digital will fail. Digital cash will fail. E-commerce companies will fail. In India, the national ID-card system, Aadhaar, will fail. The GST system will likely fail, or it will at least create massive problems in implementation. All these programs will impose huge costs on the economy and the well-being of entrepreneurs, including the wretched poor in the large informal economy.

India is looking for totalitarian solutions to deal with problems created by totalitarianism and tribalism. India is trying to use the the facade of the technologically advanced West hoping that the packaging will automatically deal with the lack of inner substance. Fail even with respect to superficial issues seems preordained

India’s government cannot provide basic services to its people. Ambulances are conspicuous by their absence. But Modi wants to move on to doing bigger things. In the last 70 years of independence, Indians have systemically destroyed the institutions of the rule of law that the British had bestowed on the country.

 

 

Cash is king in India, in every respect – click to enlarge.

There is a lot of pain and no gain facing India. If they had any sense they should be begging the British to return and rule the country. That is the only option apart from chaos, disintegration, and eventual never-ending tribal infighting among the fragments.

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goldenrod's picture

He is back....the idiot Jayant Bhandari with an axe to grind.  Looks like his corrupt Indian family lost a lot of money when Modi demonetized.  When the British left in 1947 barely 30% of the population was literate and India's share of the global trade was less than 1%.  There were no industries left standing.  And yet this brown idiot pines for the British Raj and talks like a 19th century white supremacist.

LOL.

 

AustrianEco's picture

That's right. I logged in only to voice my opinion about Mr. Bhandari. We all understand the difficulties faced by India in terms of population, natural resources, corruption etc but this guy has a complete bias against India. His articles state that India can't progress but the undertone conveys that he doesn't want India to progress. He is especially negative about Narendra Modi. Even I don't agree with demonetization but he is still the best prime minister that India got BY FAR since independence. What is Mr. Bhandari's alternative, what party, which leader? I can't freely use expletives like everyone else here but Mr Bhandari is certainly worthy of them.

eforce's picture

Britain gave up in the end, couldn't even get them to use toilets properly.

I remember reading a transcript of an army officer when asked why they just mowed down 4000 of them, his callous reponse..."didn't know what else to do with them", you can only help people so much...

Even Ghandi recognized after independence that it was all going to shit.

beemasters's picture

Indians tend to have little trust in each other for good reasons. The notion of 'every man for himself' is deeply ingrained in their society - an overcrowded and highly competitive one.

DownWithYogaPants's picture

From what I gather from my Indian friends description he sounds spot on.

AltRight Girl's picture

They need a Bernie Sanders over there. That should fix everything. 

Even the EU knows this. Just take a look at Italy:

Italian “Bernie Sanders” Leads March to Demand Free Money


JamesBond's picture

The new Britain is nothing like the old.

BeanusCountus's picture

Difficult to deal with, I guess that's no crime. What do they have against deodorant?

Zero Point's picture

And toilets? Fuck me, even a cat can dig a hole.

lasvegaspersona's picture

Caracas in Mumbay...coming soon to a bread line near you.

asstrix's picture

Why did britain give up America? Why did they give up the empire where the sun never set?

More like the world had had enough of the thieves and asked them to go back where they came from.

spqrusa's picture

The big lie is that they gave up. The FED is a BOE puppet. America fights every stupid war of the British for the last century. So who owns America?

asstrix's picture

I thought FED was owned by the Zionists but then everybody is owned by the brits, eh?

spqrusa's picture

The ZIOs are Crown puppets - just ask Rothschild himself.

Rothschild styles himself a neuvo-aristocrat and a JR. relative to the other Lords...

Rothschild is very much a Crown puppet.

Croesus's picture

British colonization was the best thing that happened to.....fucking nobody.

beemasters's picture

The Australian aborigines are today's living and soon-to-be-extinct example. The Brits tried to change their way of life, failing which, they facilitate the community to self-destruct.

Oh regional Indian's picture

Except for the BrUtish imperialist cock in his mouth, this guy is pretty much spot on with most of his observations.

Of course, this tends to negate the absolute and brutal impact 400 years of BrUtish rule had on India, how it destroyed the very fabric of the geography (it was never one nation till the BrUtish slammed it together to make it easier to govern)... and of course they left their pet anti-indian stooges in all the seats of power and finance.... I could go on. And no, it's not easy to exit such a strong yoke so cleverly implemented. 

They left India deeply divided along every possible line and here we are today, slowly being taken over, overtly this time, once again....

https://aadivaahan.wordpress.com/2017/05/17/the-great-indian-suck-cess-f...

Twee Surgeon's picture

Oh yeah ? Then stand your ground and boycott all British products like Industrialized weaving, the Jet engine, Fuel injection, Modern Surgery and Medicine in general (to some degree.) Health codes so every dumb fucker in town doesn't die of cholera, and a list I could type all night from a collection of Islands on the edge of the Roman Empire that is half the size of Texas, if that.

The clothes on your back and the refined fuel in your car, Boycott the white mans poison and get you some Haiti and Tijuana technology. Knock yerself out!

Stand your ground and boycott all the evil British shit, from a tiny Island thats the only reason you are not posting from the slave office, in German.

asstrix's picture

If it wasn't for the USSR, brits will be speaking German too.

Monkeymitts's picture

Lol. Americans still cant get over the fact that the British chose to keep control over the West Indies rather than the 13 states. Native Americans suffered as a result unlike those native Americans who happened to live in Canada. Tell me who did better Indians or Native Americans?

Twee Surgeon's picture

Shit for brains is not a blessing from God. If you should choose to accept this mission of not being the most delusional Cunt in 10sq miles, it will take a great deal of commitment and hard work on your part. Good Luck ! This message will self destruct in 15 seconds....

quesnay's picture

How many were literate before the British arrived? ;-)

East Indian's picture

Surprisingly, India was quite literate before the British. Monroe's survey in Madras Presidency (1810's) found about 35% literacy among males, and about 15% among females. There was a locally funded (village level) 'school' in every village, where a teacher imparted a basic education in mother tongue (3Rs) in four or five years. He was paid partly by the students and partly by the village commons - in cash and in kind. The system produced surprisingly good results, and was quite robust - it survived even famines. It was the British monetization of the village economy - refusal to collect taxes in grains, paying cash salary instead of land grants, and forcing the people to acquire cash from the local money lender in exchange for their harvest, of course at low prices, that killed this system. It was quite good, and it worked for thousands of years. And it was free market. 

asstrix's picture

How many were literate after the brits arrived?

panicearly's picture

This Jayant fellow has some deep self hating colonial complex. I've met people like him through out colonial countries as well as in the immigrant communities in the west.  Indians this, Indians that, always whining.  No self respect.

HRH Feant2's picture

When the British left this is the end result. Chaos and collapse. Unfortunate.

williambanzai7's picture

Kinda reminds one of Baltimore

DownWithYogaPants's picture

I am getting the image of Micheal Caine fighting the Zulu in Baltimore.

Boom shaka laka boom shaka laka.

HRH Feant2's picture

At least people in the US have the decency to shit in an alley.

Watched a video last week about India. Probably on VICE news about open defecation on Indian beaches. Just go out on the beach, dig a hole, and shit in the open. People even have conversations.

The US at least has underground sewers and even poor people know how to use a toilet and toilet paper. It isn't rocket science.

asstrix's picture

Sad, but rocket science is what India is good at these days. USA is soon going to be using trampolines to get to the space station if Russia don't take them there. UK may be big on toilets and paper but never heard about them and rocket science in one sentence.

buttmint's picture

Hey hey ZHers....very odd to be reading this article and comments from a hospital bed in Chennai, getting a new knee. Look at the voting split, roughly 50-50.
You bet India embraces CHAOS. They just do.

Spiritualism developed here because the viewable reality through one's retinas is so horrific, one must suspend that reality and go within.

No place like Mother India. I fly out tomorrow.
Gimme Tai!
Indian docs and medicine much more advanced at 1/10th the cost. But you do have to know how to maneuver in this place.
It's not everyone's cuppa tea.

buttmint's picture

William...
Correct....the Baltimore "Dindu tribe" are direct descendants from Hindus, yet a perplexing twist. The advanced Indian State of Kerala grew tired in the 15th Century of these shiftless, lazy fucks and shipped them over to Nigeria.

They festered there, much like Alien egg-spore waiting for transmission to more fertile grounds.
This was the true role played by unsuspecting early slave traders.

The "Dindus" flourished in America and yes, there is a complete line of Baltimore-specific Dindus. This that migrated west to Cali became known as the "What Up?" Offshoot of the original Dindu DNA stock.

waspwench's picture

Not enough pink on the old map anymore, eh what?

Sudden Debt's picture

What it really shows is that the stupid people get fleeced.

Only a few know better and prepared.

Only a few knwo how to survive in a system like that and still make money.

Most are already rich because they got rich because they where smart.

 

In a system like India, it's simple:

1. If you're poor, you'll remain poor.

2. If you're rich, only the smart will remain rich and get richer.

 

MOVE ON OR MOVE OUT

 

And that's how people should prepare in America and Europe. Get rich as fast as possible because if you're not making money now... you're really fucked. And if you bought gold or silver or anything else, it doesn't matter. Even if silver would go to 1000, you'll only be able to spend it untill it's all gone.

You'll be poor if you don't have multiple income streams.

So get off your ass, stop being lazy and start working your ass off.

 

Just remember 1 thing:

If silver goes to 1000 dollars. It will mean that a can of cola will cost 50 dollars and 1000 dollars won't be worth what it's worth now.

you won't get rich, you'll only be able to preserve wealth.

 

 

Not My Real Name's picture

"You won't get rich, you'll only be able to preserve wealth ... If silver goes to 1000 dollars. It will mean that a can of cola will cost 50 dollars and 1000 dollars won't be worth what it's worth now."

That's true ... but only if precious metal prices haven't been manipulated to a price today that is artificially lower than they actually should be. 

If they are artificially low, then real gains in purchasing power WILL be realized when control of the market is lost.

illuminatus's picture

Indians may be idiots in many ways, but they do love gold!

Sudden Debt's picture

They may be idiots but when Americans have a problem, it's the Indians that they call for help.

newdoobie's picture

Not sure how they are in most industries, but in programming H1b Indians suck.

BlindMonkey's picture

In IT sales they are terrible.  They seem to intentionally have a lack of empathy and "Yes" only means they verbally heard you, not that will carry out your wishes or even really understood what you said.

spqrusa's picture

Indians are deeply dishonest, corrupt and bankrupt but their women love the dick especially from cockasians...

goldenrod's picture

Hey you elected a man like that as your President.

Yellow Zookaninnie's picture

"Indians have systemically destroyed the institutions of the rule of looting that the British had bestowed on the country."

silverer's picture

But, but, they need to be able to express themselves and their feelings without interference. Returning to put them on track would be unfair! It would hurt their feelings, and lower their self-esteem. LMAO

Gen. Ripper's picture

The Brits are no longer allowed to whip these savages, so don't look for help from them.

goldenrod's picture

All the problems that the idiot Bhandari talks about were a lot worse in 1947 when the British left.  Some of the things he says are true (tribalism, superstition, etc) but you can say that about any society.  How rational are the Christian evangelists in the US?  How rational are the American people when they vote for idiots like Sarah Palin, Bachmann, baby Bush and now the conman Trump?  These people cannot string together a complete sentence and yet they win elections in the US.  Look at how Wall St banksters and the sick care industry continues to fleece Americans and yet the people in this country don't seem to mind.  

 

newdoobie's picture

Both industries warmly supported by Obama and Clinton.

 

Nice try though

Jeffersonian Liberal's picture

I'm trying to determine whether you are a paid troll that shows up on "Indian" threads to trash England and America

or if you are really just one of the dumbest fucks on ZH.

How rational are the Christian evangelists in the US?

Let me answer that one for you, fucker.

We let our "help others" Christian morality let you fuckers fuck us over with H1B and flooding into this country to bring your Hindu Caste-system that perpetually fucks over all the non-Brahmans ten times worse than the Raj ever did.

But now we have rationalized that you are in it for nothing more than power and money. And so we elected a president that will slam the fucking door in your racist, imperialist, caste-supporting faces.

goldenrod's picture

Christian morality?  LOL.  Does that include inquisitions, colonialism and genocide?  You motherfuckers believe in talking snakes and other nonsense and people like Bhandari think you are rational.  LOL.

jm's picture

Any substance behind "Modi's war on cash" meme died in late 2016.  

In fact, short India is one of those wonderful and increasingly rare "zero hedge" conviction trades.  Long india, make a fortune.