Saudi Arabia Gives Qatar 24 Hour Ultimatum As Analysts Warn Of "Military Confrontation"

Tyler Durden's picture

Shortly after imposing a naval blockade in the immediate  aftermath of the Qatar diplomatic crisis, one which left the small Gulf nation not only politically isolated and with severed ties to its neighbors but potentially locked out of maritime trade and crippling its oil and LNG exports, on Tuesday SkyNews Arabia reported that Saudi Arabia has given Qatar a 24 hours ultimatum, starting tonight, to fulfill 10 conditions that have been conveyed to Kuwait, which is currently involved in the role of a mediator between Saudi and Qatar.

According to media report, among the key demands by Saudi Arabia is that Qatar end all ties Muslim Brotherhood and Hamas.

While there was little additional information on the Ultimatum and more importantly what happens should Qatar not comply, Al Jazeera reported that Kuwait's emir, Sheikh Sabah Al Ahmad Al Jaber Al Sabah, left Saudi Arabia on Tuesday after holding mediation talks with the Saudi King Salman bin Abdul Aziz to try to defuse an escalating crisis between Arab countries and Qatar. No details were given on the talks.

In addition to Saudi Arabia's aggressive approach, Egypt's Foreign Ministry accused Qatar of taking an "antagonist approach" towards Cairo and said "all attempts to stop it from supporting terrorist groups failed". Qatar denied the allegations, with a Foreign Ministry statement describing them as "baseless" on Monday.

Speaking to Al Jazeera, analyst Giorgio Cafiero of Gulf State Analytics, a geopolitical risk consultancy based in Washington, DC, said: "I think the Kuwaitis as well as Omanis ... fear the prospects of these tensions escalating in ways which could undermine the interest of all six members of the GCC.

"There are many analysts who believe that a potential break-up of the GCC has to be considered right now."

"If these countries fail to resolve their issues and such tensions reaches new heights, we have to be very open to the possibility of these six Arab countries no longer being able to unite under the banner of one council," said Cafiero.

He added that if tension escalates, some have warned of a "military confrontation".

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Freddie's picture

The Saudi Army could not win a fight with Paul Bart - Mall Cop.

Qatar are scum too.  Maybe Qatar should let Hezbollah and Iran deal with the house of saud.

jeff montanye's picture

can you imagine?  these guys have been whipping up on isis for a bit, maybe picking up a little something from the russians.  against the saudis who have not beaten a guerilla force in yemen so they have lost so far.

 

Occident Mortal's picture

Interesting that NOBODY HERE has mentioned the Saudi Mega-IPO that is now just 12 months away and yet the oil price is still languishing about at $50.

And people are clamouring to find other "hidden" reasons for Saudi Arabia laying down a 24 hour ultimatum and rattling their sabres literally on the Straits of Hormuz?

Please. KSA needs a high oil price in 2018 and by hook or by crook or by cruise missile they will have their high oil price. There is literally hundreds of billions of dollars at stake here. The House of Saud would rather invade Iran than sell Saudi Aramco at a low ball price.

They are merely creating the most favourable climate ahead of the worlds largest ever transaction. This crisis will escalate and escalate until the oil price wakes the fuck up and heads back to party land.

tmosley's picture

I don't buy it. Starting a war on their own border puts the asset itself at risk. No-one wants to buy an asset in a warzone at a premium.

Occident Mortal's picture

If you think a war between the Gulf States and Qatar could last a whole 12 months you need to get out more.

Life of Illusion's picture

 

Like I said in my previous post

 

Debt machinery cranking up leaving a pile of ME debt played by the banker boys, assets controlled.

Sanity Bear's picture

Over under is 12 hours and 3 shots fired.

Tall Tom's picture

 

 

I'll take the over wager. What is the  action?

BullionBlast's picture

The Emir/Shiek Leader of Qatar should put the military on full alert and as soon as SA attacks, they bomb Saudi oil refineries drop a few big ones on the House of Saud {literally} all within 10 minutes. SA seems to have appointed itself Chief Arab in Charge of the entire Middle East. They deserve whatever evil befalls them.

The Saudis will fold in about 3 minutes. 

a Smudge by any other name's picture

"Qatar should put the military on full alert and as soon as SA attacks" they will be a smoking ruin. You are talking about a country with under 200k citizens. Saud has acres of barely obsolete US military stores. Only Israel gets better.

Ms No's picture

Can this even be considered an altimatum?  When the funders of terrorism tell Qatar "You have 24 hours to stop funding terrorism", are they really saying "We will go aggression in 24 hours if we feel like it and we have no credibility on holding our word"?  So that could be six hours... It could be anything.  How does a country respond to that?  Beg or fight, I guess.  You can't negotiate with these guys.

peddling-fiction's picture

But SA is the human rights council head at the UN... /sarc

Now that is going to be worth something.   /pun intended

Tall Tom's picture

 

 

 

If I were in the Emir's sandals...Seizing the US Naval Base and warships would be my first move.

 

President Trump claimed responsibility for the development of this so we are in a de facto war already.

 

Then i'd rely on the Iraniams and Russians

BullionBlast's picture

Where the hell is John Wayne when you need him?

tmosley's picture

If the war is over then so is the danger and oil goes right back to where it was.

JRobby's picture

Price of oil and LNG to rise. Surprised!

Tarzan's picture

If a war with Qatar would be so quick, whats the problem in Yemen?

GodHelpAmerica's picture

Trillions (not billions) at stake.

waterwitch's picture

A cruise missile at KSA's oil choke point should do the trick.

Freddie's picture

The big question is - are the Saudi oil wells dying or close to being dead. 

They never wanted to do an IPO when the oil fields were younger.  Great time to IPO when their big Ghawar oil field is dying.

I think NWO/ZWOs/BIG Oil's long term game was to take Iran's supply offline for 35+ years and now that the Saudi fields are tired and dying, the doors have slowly opened to Iran.  The plan is a Persian Spring to change regime in Iran but that will probably never happen.

I think The House of Saud is on it's last legs.

jeff montanye's picture

not a bad idea.  make those weapons pay for themselves.  the world grows more like the matrix, well, the truman show, every day.

an invasion of iran is probably not in the cards because of the losing the war really quickly thing, unless saudi lines up some unlikely allies.

if trump thinks his mandate flows to an invasion of iran he is worse than the snowflakes think he is.

king leon's picture

High oil prices mean great news for Iran and Russia but it would mean more countries dumping the dollar so EU US economy go tits up.

land_of_the_few's picture

Pretty sure they didn't actually get anything yet? Still would be possible to cancel. Not very likely but anyway ....

Aren't most of their army mercs or foreigners? They don't usually do a very good job fighting to the death for KSA :)

JRobby's picture

Scripted event. Wars in 3, 2, 1............

simulkra's picture

The Q is what are they preparing for? Qatar is tiny so no billions $ of arms needed there. Also Yemen is small beer. Possibly Q have been opposing a US/Israeli/Saudi hit on Iran, which would feature the US base there.  Qatar (along with Saudis/Isrealis)  is funding sunni Isis etc to slaughter Shia, but Q could see the fall of Iran as a blow to Islam, whatever the sect, sorta fits with their war on the crusaders. 

The big move in the area is that Syria is close to knocking out the jihadi, but at a cost of Iranian support = Iranian support for Hezbollah = Isreali counter measures. So its probably the first move on Iran. Plus they will use the Iranian troops in Syria as an excuse to bomb Damascus and try to force out Assad again. The big Q is whether the Russians will live  with further encirclement or they will back up Iran. They have moved one of their AWACs into the area, which is sort of odd as Isis doesn't have an air force. It may not come to this, just moves on the chess board but be interesting to see if Iran backs out of Syria.

webmatex's picture

Iran will join SCO in next few months.

China has made its commitment to Syrian stability and future infrastructure and investment and has/will send troops.

Even Turkey, who have ordered ss400 system from Russia, are interested in SCO, despite being a NATO member.

Big sandstorm blowing up in the oil field area - and SA has nothing to gain but everything to lose.

Plus US and SA have usedup the  ordinance, so will take time to replace that stuff

If trouble brews up that largest IPO in history could end up a large hole in the ground.

 

simulkra's picture

The Q is what are they preparing for? Qatar is tiny so no billions $ of arms needed there. Also Yemen is small beer. Possibly Q have been opposing a US/Israeli/Saudi hit on Iran, which would feature the US base there.  Qatar (along with Saudis/Isrealis)  is funding sunni Isis etc to slaughter Shia, but Q could see the fall of Iran as a blow to Islam, whatever the sect, sorta fits with their war on the crusaders. 

The big move in the area is that Syria is close to knocking out the jihadi, but at a cost of Iranian support = Iranian support for Hezbollah = Isreali counter measures. So its probably the first move on Iran. Plus they will use the Iranian troops in Syria as an excuse to bomb Damascus and try to force out Assad again. The big Q is whether the Russians will live  with further encirclement or they will back up Iran. They have moved one of their AWACs into the area, which is sort of odd as Isis doesn't have an air force. It may not come to this, just moves on the chess board but be interesting to see if Iran backs out of Syria.

agNau's picture

That's what caused this.
The Sowd's just received their invoice.
Now not only will they need Yemen's resources, but Qater's as well.

Ghost of PartysOver's picture

Only time will tell but it looks like the SA Royal Family might be seeing the bigger picture with regards to Radical Muzzies.  I will not believe it though until I see them cleaning out their own house. 

World's a changing rapidly, only question is what will it look like,

Truther's picture

I said 2 years ago, Saudi Arabia will be oblitirated within a few years and that time is fast approaching. Iran will not sit quietly and if it's threatened,

Russia will "indirectly" be letting off some hot steam at the house of Saud fucks, real fast.

 

The ultimate prize here is the $86B LNG market as well as getting Iran to fight. This will not end well.

 

risk.averse's picture

I said 2 years ago, Saudi Arabia will be oblitirated within a few years and that time is fast approaching. Iran will not sit quietly and if it's threatened,

Possibly. However, if the cost (of war) outweighs the *possible* benefits why would anyon ein the MEast deliberately start a war?  Yes, use the threat of war as leverage. Even people with short memories -- and MEast people, unlike Westerners, pride themselves for their long memories --can research the Iran-Iraq War of the 1980s if they want to see the mind-boggling consequences of full-scale war. Iran hasn't forgotten. It was brutal. Every family in Iran had relatives killed in injured in that war. Iran won't easily fall into a trap.

As for Saudi Arabia getting obliterated -- by whom?? The Russians? KSA is allied to the USA. This will protect it from Russian attack. And not the Iranians, surely -- they don't have the weaponry. And Mecca is sacred to the Iranian Muslims even if they're from a different sect to the House of Saud. But -- as we know -- wars can happen just as much by accident as by design.

blueyefinity@yahoo.com's picture

Stock on popcorn and beer mates.

Summer is about to get hot and not because of global warming.

Von Berger's picture

When did you last believe an Arab?
' prone to exaggeration. Re:- A thousand sand storms upon your wives and children. Ask Lawrence.........seven pillars of wisdom.

BennyBoy's picture

 

This bullshit has NSA/CIA written all over it.

Them chicken shit saudi's wont do anything without approval and intel from the land of the free.

83_vf_1100_c's picture

Fucking Daily western spammer/troll!  Seriouslu dude, fuck off with your multiple upvote accts, your incessant shilling of your virus laden website and your cum guzzling self. No one wants you here. FOAD!

yomutti2's picture

Ha ha ha....fuck the jihadis. This one goes in the win column for Trump.

Captain Chlamydia's picture

It's the Saudi wahabist terrorist clerics hou should worry about . 

Shi'ite is bad,  Sunni is pure Evil . 

general ambivalent's picture

Your average Drumpftard makes the average liberal look like a genius.

Oh regional Indian's picture

Seriously man. And the ZH infestation of said tards is sorely dis-appointing....

bluez's picture

Definitely looks to me that the Saudis are running out of oil (the last of it used up to smite the Russians). So now they're going to move in to loot Qatar's bountiful natural gas? But what if the Russians and Iran pull a quickie intervention? Who're the thugs gonna call?

bluez's picture

It would be very quick and easy for Russia to install a massive military/air base in Qatar. They have jets designed to land on rough terrain.

a Smudge by any other name's picture

Uh....yeah that will go real well next to the airbase our military maintains in Qatar.

bluez's picture

They will just have to learn to get along with the new neighbors.

Okienomics's picture

Not just a U.S. base, it's the regional HQ for the U.S. Central Command.  Allow a Russian base in country?  Get a grip.

bluez's picture

How could they be stopped? Checkmate.

Mr. Ed's picture

Yeah!  You heard what he said buddy, 10 conditions!!!!

(and if that doesn't scare up the price of crude, I don't know what will)

JLee2027's picture

Trump: ""I know your oil is almost gone, but if you take care of the terrorist problem in the Middle East, the United States will support you with whatever it takes.""

 

??????

HowdyDoody's picture

"but if you take care of the terrorist problem in the Middle East, the United States will support you with whatever it takes."

So the Saudis are going to bomb themselves, Israel and the US.

I never thought I could support SA, but go SA!