Saudi Arabia Gives Qatar 24 Hour Ultimatum As Analysts Warn Of "Military Confrontation"

Tyler Durden's picture

Shortly after imposing a naval blockade in the immediate  aftermath of the Qatar diplomatic crisis, one which left the small Gulf nation not only politically isolated and with severed ties to its neighbors but potentially locked out of maritime trade and crippling its oil and LNG exports, on Tuesday SkyNews Arabia reported that Saudi Arabia has given Qatar a 24 hours ultimatum, starting tonight, to fulfill 10 conditions that have been conveyed to Kuwait, which is currently involved in the role of a mediator between Saudi and Qatar.

According to media report, among the key demands by Saudi Arabia is that Qatar end all ties Muslim Brotherhood and Hamas.

While there was little additional information on the Ultimatum and more importantly what happens should Qatar not comply, Al Jazeera reported that Kuwait's emir, Sheikh Sabah Al Ahmad Al Jaber Al Sabah, left Saudi Arabia on Tuesday after holding mediation talks with the Saudi King Salman bin Abdul Aziz to try to defuse an escalating crisis between Arab countries and Qatar. No details were given on the talks.

In addition to Saudi Arabia's aggressive approach, Egypt's Foreign Ministry accused Qatar of taking an "antagonist approach" towards Cairo and said "all attempts to stop it from supporting terrorist groups failed". Qatar denied the allegations, with a Foreign Ministry statement describing them as "baseless" on Monday.

Speaking to Al Jazeera, analyst Giorgio Cafiero of Gulf State Analytics, a geopolitical risk consultancy based in Washington, DC, said: "I think the Kuwaitis as well as Omanis ... fear the prospects of these tensions escalating in ways which could undermine the interest of all six members of the GCC.

"There are many analysts who believe that a potential break-up of the GCC has to be considered right now."

"If these countries fail to resolve their issues and such tensions reaches new heights, we have to be very open to the possibility of these six Arab countries no longer being able to unite under the banner of one council," said Cafiero.

He added that if tension escalates, some have warned of a "military confrontation".

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Non-Corporate Entity's picture

This is all bull$hit to jack the price of crude back above $50 and beyond. Every past attempt has failed, and Saudi royalty will not tolerate a lower standard of living.

earleflorida's picture

please don't talk witha full mouth

Kefeer's picture

The Saudi's accusing Qatar of funding terrorism...now that is the pot calling the kettle black.  That would be like someone putting a Saudi on a UN Womens rights commission...oh they did.

 

Up is down and evil is very good in a world gone insane & is devoid of any morality!

lakecity55's picture

"General Allenby, we have captured Aqaba."

"I mean, our side, in this war."

adr's picture

I wouldn't trust that fucker to clean my carpet, and he gets to be one of the richest dudes in the world. Probably fucks a virgin and kills him or her every night. 

Guess sucking Satan's cock has benefits. 

NoWayJose's picture

Is that a BOOM I hear? From inside Saudi Arabia? The House of Saud needs to learn that $340 billion in US military equipment will not stop a 'lone wolf' -- or a 'wolf pack'.

bytebank's picture

Qatar will ask for Iran's and Russia's protection. Stalemate.

smacker's picture

That would be the very smart move. But gotta do it quick.

TePikoElPozo's picture

i think that's what they got when they signed that deal with gasprom

ipso_facto's picture

So which country does the US start bombing?

Kefeer's picture

You meant stop bombing - right???

TePikoElPozo's picture

Russia - because it's ovious they hacked Qatar

Gorgeous's picture

US will start by telling CIA to tell Advisors to tell SpecOps to tell KSA to tell ISIS to bomb Q.  Because they are Ter-R-ist.

TePikoElPozo's picture

i like the way the Sauds execute fags in public and treat women like property

Last of the Middle Class's picture

I like the way they cut off your fucking hand if you're caught stealing. I  can't stand fucking thieves.

Last of the Middle Class's picture

I like the way they cut off your fucking hand if you're caught stealing. I  can't stand fucking thieves.

earleflorida's picture

they cut the women heads off right in public and then hang their headless bodies upside down using two cranes teathered together with a clothesline made of wire rope. this happens all the tyme. its all over on various blog sites,... last picture i saw was four dead women with another laying lifeless and her head next to her for all to see as the men looked upon with admiration on the swordsman finite skills.

CHoward's picture

"24 hours?!?!!"

 

"We demand 36 hours and not one second more!!"

ClickNLook's picture

It may lead to some serious global warming...

Bobbyrib's picture

I saw articles by the MSM that the US may have threatened to leave the UN Council on Human Rights since they call out Israel, but not countries Venezuela. We'll never leave that council since then the Neo-Cons (team Trump, McCain, etc) and the liberals won't be able to spin the globe only to stop it with an index finger when they decide which country they'll invade next to save the population (war profiteering). Maybe the finger landed on Qatar?

Cluster_Frak's picture

In case noone has said it yet. This whole thing may not be about Qatar but Iran. Saudis want to pick up a fight with Iran; Trump is angry about Iran for one reason or another, and one way to pull Iran into war is Qatar. Now Russia is an ally of Iran, but will have a hard time fighting for Qatar, due to nat gas. What is left? China. will they fight for Iran?

underthevolcano's picture

My thoughts exactly. This is how the deep state intends to engage Iran.

turkey george palmer's picture

I just found a tent I like on Amazon $40 cheaper than other place but I'm not sure it's the tent I want. It's very light and has room to sit up straight. I'm getting it because it's a good deal and oh hell I've got 4 useful tents so why not 6.

By the way I have to walk in Maine for about 10 days and I would rather work than hike in August you know, it's about the same as mowing a lawn with a push mower for 8 hrs a day.

 But the evenings should be sweet with streams to lie next too and ponds to swim in maybe I'll see a moose. OK cause there's nine other people going and I'm probably the biggest dick there so I doubt anyone will try to chum up with me.

 I'll hang around the dykes and irritate them til they turn angry

Ah angry dykes in August

 

 

Centerist's picture

First of all, there is no naval blockade.  The Egyptians, Saudis, Emiratis and Bahrainis have only banned Qatar-flagged vessels from their ports, and they are prohibiting their own vessels from going to Qatari ports.  This will be inconvenient for Qatar, but there are plenty of other third-parties who will still be able to bring them supplies and who will accept their vessels.

Second of all, there won't be any war.  There are no objectives to achieve that will be worth the political and economic costs of military actions.

This will all blow over.

Gorgeous's picture

No objectives?  The North Gas field is bigger than the country of Qatar and conveniently adjoins the gas field belonging to the most bigly bad Ayatollah.

https://www.google.com/search?q=map+north+gas+field+qatar&tbm=isch&imgil...

 

Centerist's picture

I didn't say "no objectives".  I said "no objectives worth the cost".  The political and military ramifications of a Saudi-led attempt to steal that gas field would be catastrophic.  It would bring Iran into what would become a world war.  The gas terminals would also have to be taken over and secured in order to make use of the resource.

Do you see much success against the Houthies in Yemen?  I don't, either.  They would suffer in Qatar after Iran joined in to protect those gas fields.

dogismycopilot's picture

I think you are wrong on all accounts.

The political ramifications = zero. Qatar is now a leper colony

Military ramifications = zero. US will backstop Saudi. Centcom boys have already battened down the hatches. 

Yemen comparison is wrong = i've worked in both Yemen and Qatar. Your typical 12-year old Yemeni is already proficient with an ak47 and knife and is 10X the fighter of a grown Qatari man. This is a fact.

Ras Laffan = run mostly by expats who will not be allowed to leave the country no matter who runs the country.

Iran = Iran loves it when Arabs kill Arabs. Also, if the Qataris aren't pumping gas, then the Iranians will. IT'S THE SAME FIELD.

Centerist's picture

The political ramifications = zero. Qatar is now a leper colony

Military ramifications = zero. US will backstop Saudi. Centcom boys have already battened down the hatches

The US will stay neutral on this one.  There is no way that we'd backstop one Gulf state's military aggression against another.  The resulting conflagration will harm regional stability, which is our ultimate goal out there.

Yemen comparison is wrong = i've worked in both Yemen and Qatar. Your typical 12-year old Yemeni is already proficient with an ak47 and knife and is 10X the fighter of a grown Qatari man. This is a fact.

Your typical Qatari fighter is not going to hold a candle to a typical Yemeni, but the typical Iranian will be much more proficient than the typical Qatari.  Make no mistake about it.  Iran will get involved if Saudi makes a military move against Qatar.

Yes, they share the gas field with Qatar, but they would not stand for sharing it with Saudi.

The fight over the terminals at Ras Laffan will cause a significant amount of damage, but I can tell you that the expats will mostly be gone before anything happens.

Look for  the European and US embassies to issue evacuation orders to their citizens in Qatar before you too heavily anticipate an attack.  In the absence of those warnings, one won't be forthcoming.

Brazen Heist's picture

I suspect regime change is in the works for Qatar. The Pentagon and the Sauds need more pliable puppets in Doha.

Funny how they are willing to break international law at a whim but lecture the world about observing the "law". Fuck the US government, it has no credibility. It also bombed Syrian forces again. These fuckers have alot of bad karma waiting, for sucking up to the Wahhabi snakes.

Gilford's picture

Has anyone seen any good analysis on this because I sure can't figure out where this came from?

Brazen Heist's picture

The best I've read is during the Riyadh meeting, Qatar didn't pay its dues to the Petrodollar, or at least it was unsatisfactory for Trump. The Saudis, emboldened with tacit US support hacked the Qatari ministry and leaked some internal dialogues, revealing a pro-Iran/Hamas/MB bias, and used that as the public pre-text to slander the Qatari government and justify the embargo/diplomatic assault.

But of course, the Saudis "suddenly" realizing Qatar backs Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood, and has a somewhat better attitude towards Iran is not really surprising. Hence why it was the pre-text.

Some say its about energy. But I definitely trace it back to Trump's Satanic sword dance with the Saudis.

Qatar is quite simply not toeing the Washington-Riyadh platform as much as they would like.

Lost in translation's picture

Writing you from Korea.

Could one of you fine gentlemen please bring me up to speed on the Qatar situation? What happened?

All the news here is THAAD, the drought, sexual assault allegations among Moon's minister-nominees, the real estate boom, and (Korean) Memorial Day events...

Ms No's picture

Nobody knows for sure but SA just put an epic blockade around Qatar and all over the Persian Gulf.  It seemed to just come out of nowhere.  SA controls half their food imports via land bridge as well.  It has to do with gas, Qatar being too soft towards Iran and possibly an Iran war motive, but they claim to be very angry that Qatar is funding terrorism.  Qatar shares a giant gas field with Iran so people are wondering if Iran might get involved.  Supposedly Erdogan isn't happy about it.  There is almost no info out there.  Al Jazeera is getting shut down in 6 or 7 countries because it's Qatar based.  The US also has a huge base in Qatar.

 

Secret Weapon's picture

Maybe the KSA is out of oil.  No oil then no petrodollar.  Change horses and go for the nat gas. 

Gorgeous's picture

"Military confrontation"?

The Qatar Armed Forces maintain an army (8,500), navy (1,800) and air force (1,500).

..and four camels and three small goats.

 

wow thats crazy's picture

The four camel and three small goats aren't soldiers they are sex slaves so they don't count!

There's picture

I'm sorry I laughed at that stero type.

Able Ape's picture

I'd be concerned about the 3 killer goats...

Nobodys Home's picture

Yah but they use those feinting goats so you think you got em and then they pop up and bleat at you again. Who can resist that? You think you killed them then you feel a sexual emergency!

Emergency! Emergency! Everybody is to get from Bleat!

Games Without Frontiers's picture

Better listen or 737s start getting flown into skyscrapers. Oh, that's right, the Saudis say they frown on that terrorism stuff now.

debunker's picture

It would be awesome if they just blew each other into oblivion.

So many virgins await....

williambanzai7's picture

Who stipple my box of medals...

Nobodys Home's picture

You. That has multiple awards for politically incorrect cultural heroism and big ballsishness?

Nobodys Home's picture

Meh. We put em in a box and gave em to your descendants after we silenced you.