Visualizing The Global Demographic Timebomb

Tyler Durden's picture

With record-high amounts of student debt, questionable job prospects, and too much avocado toast in their bellies, many millennials already feel like they are getting the short end of the stick.

But, as Visual Capitalist's Jeff Desjardins notes, there’s another economic headwind they face as they are coming of age: the percentage of the global population that is 65 or older will double from 10% to 20% by 2050.

As millennials enter their peak earning years, there will be 1.6 billion elderly people on the planet.

SOMEONE HAS TO PAY THE BILL

Today’s infographic comes to us from Aperion Care, and it highlights how demographics are shifting as well as the economic challenges of a rapidly aging global population.

Courtesy of: Visual Capitalist

With an older population that works less, support and dependency ratios get out of whack.

After all, countries already spend trillions of dollars each year on healthcare and social security. These systems were designed a long time ago, and were not setup to work with so few people paying into the programs.

WHICH COUNTRIES FACE HEADWINDS?

While most countries face similar obstacles with aging populations, for some the problem is more severe.

The Potential Support Ratio (PSR), a measure of amount of working people (15-64) for each person over 65+ in age, is anticipated to fall below 5.0 in countries like Japan, Italy, Germany, Canada, France, and the United Kingdom. These countries will all have significant portions of their populations (>30%) made up of elderly people by 2050.

The United States sits in a slightly better situation with 27.9% of its population expected to hit 65 or higher by the same year – however, this is still analogous to modern-day Germany (which sits at 27.6%), a country that is already dealing with big demographic issues.

Here’s one other look, from our previous Chart of the Week on dropping fertility rates and global aging:

Will millennials be able to diffuse the demographic timebomb, or will an aging population be the final straw?

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Insurrexion's picture

Bullshit.

The multi-faceted depopulation campaign will erase 5 Billion over the next 20 years.

The Middle East is being depopulated now.

The aged around the world will die without healthcare.

Africa will perish by famine and bio-agents.

Europe is not reproducing. Japan is not reproducing.

The middle class in North America is dying.

Pull welfare from the poor and they will starve and kill each other.

South America has its crime, murder, bio-agents and socialist hell.

China and India are impoverished, over-populated cess-pools of pollution.

Add chemtrails, drug addiction, alcoholism, flouride, GMOs and pictures of Hillary naked and you have a real horror story.

in4mayshun's picture

guessing you're a "glass-half-empty" person?

Insurrexion's picture

No.

I would say a mourning person.

MK13's picture

I would say glass is half full of cesspool kind of person. And he's right.

Tarzan's picture

It's all based on the "science" of what's best for the Oligarchs, cattle be damned...

There's plenty of food in the world.  The projections of food production growth needed is based on the current system of Government controlled food production, who's design is based on controlling what, and how much is grown, for the purpose of corporate profits.  Under this plan, they're right, we're all about to starve!

Now, remove the stupid hunting and fishing laws, and allow people to grow food, without corporate muscle (your local code enforcers) telling us what and how much to grow, and the whole formula changes!

I went Snapper fishing in Pensacola two weeks ago.  What a waist of time!  First, they have to be not too small, not too big.  Then they can only be kept in State waters on certain days, unless your commercially licensed, then they close most of the other fish.  So we spent all day catching Snapper that was "too small" only to throw them back dead from being cranked 100' up.  Then, just to keep us in the Grocery store, Trigger fish is closed.  When I was growing up, Trigger fish were thrown back, they were trash fish.  Now we recognizes they're superb eating, so the Government closed it.  We caught at least 50 Trigger fish, and had to throw them all back!

The only thing we could keep is Bonita, which were schooling on the surface at such great numbers, at times the oceans surface looked like acres of boiling water.  With a glass minnow lure we caught one nearly every cast.  Great fun, but not so good for the dinner table, according to most, unless you know how to bleed the meat and smoke them, :)    MMMM   MMMM Good!

Point is, the Progressives have been pushing population control, abortion and wars, for decades and it has the opposite effect of what they claim.  Lowering population, cutting birth rates, produces nations of starving people!  look it up, It's a scientific FACT, growing populations eat better!

There's plenty of food in the world, just not so much on grocery shelves!

SmackDaddy's picture

This fat fuck is whining about his deep sea fishing charter.

Tarzan's picture

We were not tourists on a charter, and sorry the point flew over your head, you stupid fuck! 

If I were fat, I could lose weight, but you can't fix STUPID!

 

MalteseFalcon's picture

Population in the first world is falling off a cliff.

World population will peak @ 9 billion by 2050.

Time for the "population bomb" to be placed in the dustbin of history with other 1970s memes like "climate change" and "peak oil".

The author of this piece needs to wake up and smell the coffee.

65 is no longer old.

People are working productively into their 70s.

When you adjust for these facts the whole article is BS.

Who is going to support the "old"?

The old, that's who.

Dindu Nuffins's picture

The only part of that outcome that really terrifies me is those pictures of Hillary naked. Yikes!

Deep In Vocal Euphoria's picture

Just spray some more chemtrails and put poison in the food and give vaccines.........cant even go outside without being poisoned by the government and bankers

 

 

Common_Law's picture

A commonly overlooked "posion" is all the RF/EMF polluting our lives. The WHO labels FCC allowed exposure levels a class 2b carcinogen (same class as lead)

Great 1.5hr documentary: https://youtu.be/FttrOK1ec4Q

Research report that consulted almost 4,000 studies and concluded our current  exposure emf's have huge effects in the longer term: www.bioinitiative.com

And for the more conspiratorial, here's a 2003 patent from a career gov researcher (DOD/DARPA/ect.) showing what mental effects can be induced with low intensity/low frequencies from screens/monitors. The fucker even apologizes in the patent for potential abuses..

https://youtu.be/yf_EdKxfDiY

AlexCharting's picture

Eugenics or dysgenics... pick your poison.

reTARD's picture

OT but interesting...

Steven Bregman On ‘The Greatest Bubble Ever’ (Passive ETF Investing)

Jim Grant calls Steven Bregman, “one of Wall Street’s most interesting thinkers.” I called upon him to share his thoughts on the massive and growing trend to passive investing which he calls, “the greatest bubble ever.” He discusses the differences between the current bubble in the financial markets and prior bubbles, the specific distortions created in the markets and the unique opportunities they present. Perhaps most importantly, Steven reveals the little-discussed structural shift in passive investing which dramatically devalues it as a strategy and how investors have been deceived by historical return figures that are not applicable to the products they own today.

https://www.thefelderreport.com/2017/06/06/podcast-steven-bregman-on-the-greatest-bubble-ever-passive-etf-investing/

beijing expat's picture

Don't worry investors. The Kalgiri population replacement program is in full swing and the replacement population will be fully in place shortly.

The replacement population will be low IQ, dependent on government, and most importantly, no threat to the financial Oligarchy.

Dindu Nuffins's picture

Kalergi Plan, fellow Beijinger.

Endgame Napoleon's picture

The dependent on government part makes sense. The same thing plays out on many settings, where elites dote on this crowd. I always think of it as virtue-signaling points, but that actually makes more sense.

Eagle40's picture

Very simple way to solve this problem. Get rid of bankers, politicians, lawyers, and MSM. Breakup Wall Street and shutdown the Fed and wala....You solve the world's problems. 

Now that was simple and straight to the point. 

in4mayshun's picture

"Wala." Took me a minute to figure that one out. I think you were searching for "voila."

Endgame Napoleon's picture

I have read that the life expectancy thing pertains to greater numbers surviving childhood, not a huge gap in how many lived into old age in earlier eras. Once advanced sanitation systems were developed, people started living longer.

In overpopulated countries where women have lots of kids, there is never a widespread middle class, although the ratio of young to old is higher. Unless they have child labor, those kids are not working to support the elderly. With so people chasing jobs, almost no one has wages high enough to contribute to the upkeep of the elderly.

The problem we now have, too, is too many people chasing jobs and diluting the wage pool, even though we are not as populous. This is due to doubling the number of people chasing jobs with the mass entrance of women in the workplace, offshoring of a lot of jobs and mass immigration.

All of these things create an oversupply of labor and wage depression, especially since many of these people have unearned income from spouses or government, enabling them to accept low wages.

Now, we have to compete with even cheaper robots. Of course, robots will also reduce some of the expenses and burden of caring for the elderly.

Robots will ensure that millennials aren't needed as much to care for the elderly or for most other jobs. That is the big problem for everyone, including the Social Security recipients who often hold jobs, like other people with unearned income that allows to accept the super-low wages on offer by today's employers, specifically those who get welfare/taxfare for copulation and reproduction and those with spousal incomes.

Craven Moorehead's picture

Governments around the world are modifying their retirement systems trying to keep ageing populations working longer hoping to reduce the future shock of demographic overload, by doing this, they are taking life and growth opportunities away from the young of today, leaving them with a later launch to their peak earning years than earlier generations, which will leave them less affluent throughout their lives, leading to middle class life becoming a smaller percentage of the demographic, the result is government takes in less revenue which amplifies problems, what they are doing is killing the golden goose of the future middle class taxpayer, and as usual they are doing it ass backwards

The post WWII boom was the result of a youthful productive generation, not elderly, What they should be doing now, is moving up retirement eligibility for todays boomers, spend the next 20 years giving early retirement to all who want it, get them out of the workforce, give the jobs to the young, who are more wired and adaptable to modern technologies than boomers. The result would be an increase in productivity from an eager workforce, young people with jobs  buy and renovate homes, buy cars, have kids,(future taxpayers) start businesses, it would invigorate the economy, At the same time think about the boost a sudden surge of retirees would create, millions of boomers all of a sudden trying to fill their time spending on leisure activities and the pursuit of happiness, a simultaneous economic boost, and if you factor in that the average retiree lives 14 to 18 years after retirement, the huge boomer demographic eventually fades away, and self corrects the demographic imbalance, it would be a 20 year cycle, or they can do the Japan thing and have 27 years of stagnation. 

If they can blow 6 trillion on 2 wars that didn`t amount to anything, then they could find a way to make this happen, if they don`t, 20 years from now there is going to be a very pissed off rebellious, disenchanted population   

 

beijing expat's picture

Don't worry investors. The Kalgiri population replacement program is in full swing and the replacement population will be fully in place shortly.

The replacement population will be low IQ, dependent on government, and most importantly, no threat to the financial Oligarchy.

Insurrexion's picture

Right.

As we speak, an undernourished, undereducated, hyper-flouridated, vaccinated, drug-addicted low IQ under class of workers is being produced in Africa, Latin America, China, India, South East Asia and the inner cities of the U.S.

 

 

Fun times.

MEFOBILLS's picture

4B Negroid Africans by end of century.  Four Billion.  Four Billion.  

That is a negro apocalypse.  Each one will be demanding food and energy and living spaces.  Four Billion.  

This biggest problem doesn't even come up to the discourse level for some reason?  Is it because negroes are off limit as a topic, due to their speeeeciaaaal special protected status?

Fuck that.

OverTheHedge's picture

If the west stops having proxy wars across Africa, and they are allowed to have western agricultural systems, they will be ok.

If.

Heinlein had an answer to this problem - once over a certain age, say 65, people cease to be citizens, and no longer have rights, no longer own property, no longer can be victims of crime. It is unlikely to happen, unless the total of oldies is lower than the total of everyone else, and resources get very, very scarce, but it makes for good dystopian pulp fiction.

ds's picture

The debts will not be paid and millenials (with exceptions of their parents, hopefully) will not have the backs of the elders. All the respective cultures, colors, religions etc will be sustained by lesser energies coupled by displacements from technologies. The vibrant tribe (young, telented and diverse) will spend on their own pursuits and all the cultural, religious, color, etc inhibitions are not values for money. 

The globalists are organized and know best how to birth new tribes. You underestimate their machinations that will have 'inclusiveness for the new tribes" out of necessities as well as cannibalism. A matirx founded on nepostism, xenophobia, etc will wither on its own. What you fear is a reformed more sinister matirx to take care of the aged systematically. 

The sooner the aging boomer realize the emerging law of the jungle, the better it is for them to sail into their sunsets away from their cultural, religious, xenophobic centers. 

Oldwood's picture

MULTICULTURALISM is being imposed, taking high reproducing third world people and dropping them into western cultures with the full knowledge that it will lead to chaos and destruction. Meanwhile they are creating massive debt, that regardless of source will be imposed upon the WORLD's population, morphing the remaining citizens into debt serfs. This debt is being used to develop technologies that will eventually remove the top echelon of leadership from the last of dependencies on the worker, rendering us redundant, and with our poverty and social chaos to prevent any meaningful opposition to them, we will be left with completing our own final demise. Their hands will be clean as after all, they had only our best intentions in mind. We were simply to ignorant, too backward, too DEPLORABLE to survive.

dexter_morgan's picture

It isn't only age, but politics. Islam, a political construct, is taking over Europe , much of Asia, and much of Africa. 

What does this mean for the future of NATO? We already have Turkey in it, an Islamic nation, are we to be expected to send troops to fight and die for their protection?

And protection from what? Russia? 

Trump was correct, NATO is obsolete. The Soviet threat no longer exists, and Europe has chosen to commit suicide by Islam, so that whole treaty need to be reevaluted.

Oldwood's picture

NATO will be used to suppress those populations and countries trying to escape the EU suicide pact. A multinational military under the control of...who? They want to prevent another Ukrainian type problem. People can't just be allowed to say NO.

gold rubeberg's picture

Nonsense. There is no demographic problem; just a problem of rigid government programs not adjusting retirement ages to people living longer. There is no reason these programs can't be modified to keep PSR stable.

People living longer is a good thing. The real economic problem is the debt explosion being created by central banks.

hedge4Gain's picture

I agree please read my comment above.

Gen. Ripper's picture

Peak Oil
Global Warming
AIDS
Bird Flu
Ebola
Super Volcanoes
You can keep your doctor
Hillary

Since none of these predictions turned out we can assume this bullshit article.

hedge4Gain's picture

 Yes you can this is a total bullshit article.  The true human tragedy is Islam their first tenant of their ideology is to kill anybody that doesn't believe in Allah and they fully intend to do it.

dexter_morgan's picture

Used to work with a devout catholic and he said the pope was very smart for not allowing birth control and abortion. The more kids, the better - that would keep pace, or outpace the muzzies if people had 4 or more kids. Obviously catholics in US at least ignore that, but the groups growing fastest are not the most productive of folks......

Kinda like the first few minutes of that Idiocracy movie.......

 

Mena Arkansas's picture

Potential Support Ratio aka Ponzi Scheme

francis scott falseflag's picture

 

                                         LET THE CULLING BEGIN

drgizmo's picture

yes and may I sugest we start with the muslems we can not live with anyway...

a modern crusade would take out a good billion and a half ... and leave some headroom for the others ...

ebworthen's picture

"Demographics!"

Is this like "Climate Change!"

Yawn.  Too many damn people is all it is, and most under 35 and dumb as a post.

AlbertthePudding's picture

this piece is pure scaremogering propaganda...total crap that assumes the world stands still and 50 years on the sky falls in. They want to sell us either more bullshit or more products

Thordoom's picture

Exactly :(. Or they want to push cloning of pre-programed slaves :/

Jambo Mambo Bill's picture

Someone told me the following...

"We need a wwiii for the elderly... send the old farts to fight for freadom... give them exoskeletons and laser guns and let them lose to wipe terrorists.

It should be compulsory military service for 10 years for everyone above 65 years old."

 

 

backwaterdogs's picture

The anger one can aquire in 65 years is astounding...if exoskeletons gave an old angry white guy the body of a 20 year old marine...better watch the fuck out.

Horse Pizzle's picture

One word: opiods.

acneman's picture

In my youth I remember thinking being 65 would be aweful but seeing my parents pass that age I can't say I would gladly give up those years.

Hell my dad is cycling every day and is fitter than I am.

SmittyinLA's picture

It ain't our problem unless we have open borders....O wait

dlfield's picture

Or...these projections are wrong.  The underlying assumptions for things like this are almost always exaggerated.  Trends change...people over 65 will start retiring, putting more younger people to work.  Elderly in "poor" countries die off quicker than in developed countries, etc.  I'll go re-look at (above) later.

shimmy's picture

I expect by 2050, if humanity hasn't fully fucked things up by then, that many who are 65+ will still be working, whether by choice or need. 

hedge4Gain's picture

Our politicians like the Europea invited these Muslims Killers into their countries because the populations had fallen below number of Labor units they to create a large enough GDP to pay for the promises they had made to their subjects because they are afraid one day their populations would wake up and take their countries back. So they looked to increase the Commodities of Labor to tax by importing Muslims which to their surprise would not assimilate into their society and are dragging their GDP even lower and destroy their society. Look no farther then the elite politicians that lit this fire of terrorism on the British  and Europe Society. Unless the British wake up and take the government back, in less than 10 years England will submit to Sharia law. The American George Soros ilk supported Elite are trying the same Islamic tactic to hide their thievery of Social Security, Medicare and pension funds.

Lucky Leprachaun's picture

"Our politicians like the Europea invited these Muslims Killers into their countries because the populations had fallen below number of Labor units they to create a large enough GDP ..."

No, no and NO again. 90% of those encouraged to come in are worthless unproductive parasites who are a major draw on our resources.. The real reason is to dilute White ethnic homogeneity in furtherance of the globaist agenda.