New Report Warns Nuclear War Is Inevitable Unless Cooler Heads Prevail

Tyler Durden's picture

Authored by James Holbrooks via,

As the Syrian and Russian governments accuse the United States of trying to invent reasons to launch an attack in the Middle East, an international group of former military and diplomatic leaders is warning of an “unacceptably high” risk of global nuclear war if cooler heads don’t prevail.

In an 11-page report from the Nuclear Crisis Group (NCG) — a subcommittee of Global Zero, an organization that supports the total abolition of nuclear weapons — the former officials make recommendations to governments on ways to de-escalate tensions around the world.

“The Nuclear Crisis Group assesses that the risk of nuclear weapons use, intended or otherwise, is unacceptably high and that all states must take constructive steps to reduce these risks,” NCG asserted. NCG is a committee made up of individuals from 10 different countries, including Russia, China, and the United States.

NCG continued in its overview before getting to the specific recommendations. The group echoed the stance of its mother organization, Global Zero:

“The only way to eliminate fully the risks of nuclear weapons use is through their abolition. To achieve this, states with nuclear capabilities need, at a minimum, to reduce their reliance on nuclear weapons in their national defense plans, cease expansion of their nuclear arsenals, and reduce the number of weapons.”

On the deteriorating situation with North Korea, which NCG considers a primary concern, the group said a true de-escalation of tensions will take some time but that sanctions have clearly failed and that genuine diplomacy is the only avenue:

“To reduce immediate nuclear risks, the United States and North Korea should resume bilateral discussions immediately without preconditions.”

To get both sides to the table, the group suggested an immediate first step is for the U.S. to knock off the military aggression in the region.

Specifically, NCG said the United States should “suspend flights of strategic bombers and visits by strategic submarines” and “refrain from provocative military actions that could escalate to nuclear conflict.”

On Russia, NCG again said diplomacy is the answer. The group recommended that the “United States, Russia and NATO states commit not to issue public threats of nuclear first use” and “rapidly launch US-Russia strategic stability talks focusing on potential dangers flowing from existing and potential nuclear deployments, doctrines and modernization programs.”

When it comes to China, NCG found that while its relationship with the U.S. is improving in some areas, true progress has been hindered by a “changing balance of forces” and a “deep-seated lack of trust.”

“China’s growth in power and influence comes into tension with America’s global power and status. If not wisely managed on both sides, an incident in the region runs the serious risk of escalation,” the group wrote in its report.

And if an incident does occur in the region, chances are good it will take place in the South China Sea, where China has built and begun militarizing artificial islands. On that front, NCG recommends that China cease such activity and that all state actors in the region — including the U.S. — should jointly agree to protect shipping lanes and air transit routes and come up with guidelines that would allow all to prosper from trade.

As for the nuclear states of India and Pakistan, NCG found the biggest threat comes from those countries’ lack of security features in their programs. In speaking to Politico about the NCG report, Global Zero co-founder and former nuclear missile officer Bruce Blair said those programs lack the sophistication of those of other nuclear states:

“They lack safety features and the risk they would detonate from an accident is uncomfortably high. They have not developed the safety features that the U.S. and Russia have.”

The report further recommends that all nuclear states adopt no-first-use policies, greatly improve methods of communication to reduce confusion among nations should a crisis erupt, and develop cybersecurity measures to guard against the hacking of nuclear operations.

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Tallest Skil's picture

Good; we could use a day of the rope. Shame the report is just fearmongering, though.

New_Meat's picture

The "Union of Concerned Scientists" have had their very special "dooms-day" clock at 11:58 or so for the entire time that I've been an aware piglet.

Even as a child ... er ... piglet ... I caught the "fearmongering".

I may have asked my grandmother what "... mongering" is.  She said something about fish.

- Ned

TBT or not TBT's picture

They're dedicated to their virtue signaling, but have yet to turn their fear mongering into a major fortune like Al Gore did. It's a pretty loser-ish endeavor. Whatever.

Endgame Napoleon's picture

Yes, let them start bragging when they can afford a $1,200 electricity bill.

AE911Truth's picture

... a $1,200 electricity bill.

that is a crime against humanity.

Solio's picture

Damn, thos clock batteries are dead.

Oldwood's picture

Do they have an anti-gun division as well?

Francis Marx's picture

To stop this madness we have to take away the privileged congress and senate's life long luxury underground bunkers. It makes it to easy for them to push the buttons.

TBT or not TBT's picture

Alternatively, to remind people what nuclear weapons can do to a city, nuking Mecca, Medina, and Quom would be illustrative and helpful in its own right.

New_Meat's picture

Jack Ryan would never allow Q'om to be nuked.

TBT or not TBT's picture

Before re-write he goddamned well would have.

TBT or not TBT's picture

Also. "u" after Q. This is western civ here.

New_Meat's picture

nyet tovarich, the re-write was for the movie, not the book.

two-man rule at its finest.

Librarian's picture

In the alternative timeline it's Jeri Ryan that nukes US politics and gives us Obama.

Never trust the Borg.


Edit:  link to explain to those who aren't aware.

Snout the First's picture

It would be interesting to see how islam survives with only four pillars instead of five.

TBT or not TBT's picture

The faith runs on a magical thinking that Allah will deliver world domination as a result of their sacrificial acts of faith. Zilching Mecca ought to do great harm, sort of disprove the whole Allah thing and the prophet with it.

seataka's picture

To stop this madness.. we must teach how what they believe to be true is controlled, after a person learns the methods they cease to be effective.

Dr. Robert Oppenhiemer tried to warn us in a lecture to APA in 1952: (Pub: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists May 1959)

“In the last ten years physicists have been extraordinarily noisy about the immense powers, largely through their efforts, but through other efforts as well have come into the possession of man, powers notably and strikingly for very large scale and dreadful destruction. We have spoken of our responsibilities and our obligations to society in terms that sound very provincial, because the psychologist can hardly do anything without realizing that for him the acquisition of knowledge opens up the most terrifying prospects of controlling what people do and how they feel. This is true for all of you who are engaged in practice, and as the corpus of psychology gains in certitude and subtlety and skill. I can see that the physicists pleas that what he discovers be used with humanity and be used wisely will seem trivial compared to those pleas which you will have to make and for which you will be responsible.”

NOTE: The comment that immediately follows the statement above:

“This was for many psychologists, a most sobering observation. The possibility of controlling human behavior becomes a more terrifying prospect than the control of nuclear reactions”

And note who this gentlemen represents:

Arthur (Art) J. Bachrach (born March 20, 1923 – December 19, 2011) was an American psychologist and administrator, who was Professor and Chairman of the Department of Psychology at Arizona State University, and Director of the Environmental Stress Program and Chair of Psychophysiology at the Naval Medical Research Institute at the Naval Medical Center in Bethesda.  more

TBT or not TBT's picture

Wow, this NCG group are huffing unicorn farts.

Ignorance is bliss's picture

Just give us your oil for Monopoly money and there won't be a nuclear war.

New_Meat's picture

Sonny, u really want 2 give Rham and the O-Botz a "crisis not to waste"?

lolmao500's picture

Meanwhile, no words on israel or saudi nukes.

New_Meat's picture

at least KSA ain't got one that they built.

nevertheless's picture

Never, even though they are far more likey to use them than anyone. 


I have found it is those who scream the loudest about others crimes, are always projecting their own morals, or in this case lack their of onto others. 


Isreal knows that if they were Iran, they would have nuked Israel a long time ago. 

nevertheless's picture

Oh thank God, it's just a stock photo of a nuclear explosion, I though Chump had nuked CNN...


If we need cooler heads to prevail, we are in trouble. Between Chump and his idiot pro-Israel followers, someone in that White House is going to press the button. 



DavidFL's picture

The next battle field associated with a major conflagration will be the middle east. The region is primed and ready. Seems clear enough. Anyway we already know the atmosphere can handle several nuke bursts and be just fine. Dont worry, "they" wont let it spread. An added advantage - kinda solves the whole suni shia thing.



Pernicious Gold Phallusy's picture

OMG we would have been so much safer with Hillary's finger on the trigger.

Dickweed Wang's picture

Recent history in D.C. shows conclusively that it does not matter one bit who is actually President . . . ultimately he is just doing what he's told to do and it doesn't matter who is in office.  You do as you're told or you or your family are history . . . period.  We need to get the scum calling the shots out of power.

nevertheless's picture

Hillary or Chump, they are both just puppets, but regardless of which of them was in office, it is the Zionist war machine that would pull the strings, or in this case pressing the button. 

Dickweed Wang's picture

Hillary or Chump, they are both just puppets . . .



johnnycanuck's picture

Mebee so, she might have had a seizure on the way to input the code.


New_Meat's picture

Dang, it WOULD make a difference.

Who wouldda' thunk?

Dickweed Wang's picture

Nice sentiment from the Nuclear Crisis Group but in reality, with the crowd infesting D.C. right now, the recommendations in the report have about a ZERO chance of being implemented.  If the people in the USA don't do something and get that crowd out of power that is currently infesting D.C. (they also have for decades) we just might be faced with a nuclear war, sooner, not later.

Lumberjack's picture

Tylers, look for the dims/progs/useless unions/ CAP/ moveon/ pefophiles start raising merry old hell. Advice to local conservatives and LE. Keep a close eye on 'happy' campers. They are mobilizing the FSA to begin their summer of rage.

With Eric Holders latest tweet, the 'Comey is a Homey' event, Obama pushing climate and the mobilization of protesters this week. I would say it's safe to say trouble is brewing. Especially in states that are shut down.

Stay safe and don't let these idiots ruin your holiday, one that celebrates freedom and independence from others who had claimed their special and divine rights over our ancestors. As Ben Franklin once said....

JLO's picture


aloha_snakbar's picture

What are we waiting for ?

nevertheless's picture

Let me guess you in Tel Aviv?

Sudden Debt's picture

We've all got idiots as politicians in the west... they may be dumb enough to do it...


King of Ruperts Land's picture

I believe that no country whose actions can only be those of a crazy psychopath should posses nuclear weapons. Unfortunately such a policy would leave the USA defenseless.

moorewasthebestbond's picture

It's been 72 years next month since two nukes were supposedly fired in anger.


For 72 years it's supposedly been a combination of luck and diplomacy that has kept it from happening again.


I'm really starting to doubt nukes perform anywhere near the level advertsied, if they work at all.

New_Meat's picture

maybe u kan volunteer to stand at "so-called" "ground zero" and then report back?

John H. did a thank about the second event.

But you say "luck and diplomacy".  I want to play u in a poker game.

U kan ware ur Bikini.

- Ned

moorewasthebestbond's picture

Nukes are like Bigfoot and Unicorns.


All I've ever seen is grainy photos and ominous documentaries backed by mainstream media companies.

Dragon HAwk's picture

Plenty of room on our calendar for another Independence day.

DaBard51's picture

For those old enough to remember, it was, in the 1950s, necessary to refrain from milk consumption in the US for several days after tests of nuclear weapons in the Pacific, due to excessively high levels of radioactive iodine in the milk.

That was for a single test, single-digit-megaton range, halfway around the world.



When nine hundred years old you become, look this good you will not.

moorewasthebestbond's picture

If you were going to fake a megaton above ground nuclear test, the very same warning would be given... no?

TheAnswerIs42's picture

Heh, sorry no one can remember that because no one was warned to refrain from milk consumption  because an event which endangered the milk supply several days after a nuclear test did not and could not have happened.