US Military Establishment Study Admits The American Empire Is "Collapsing"

Tyler Durden's picture

Authored by Darius Shatahmasebi via TheAntiMedia.org,

A new study conducted by members of the U.S. military establishment has concluded that the U.S.-led international global order established after World War II is “fraying” and may even be “collapsing” as the U.S. continues to lose its position of “primacy” in world affairs.

“In brief, the sta­tus quo that was hatched and nurtured by U.S. strategists after World War II and has for decades been the principal ‘beat’ for DoD is not merely fraying but may, in fact, be collapsing,” the report states.

The report, published in June by the U.S. Army War College’s Strategic Studies Institute, evaluated the Department of Defense’s (DOD) approach to risk assessment at all levels of Pentagon policy planning. The study was supported and sponsored by the U.S. Army’s Strategic Plans and Policy Directorate; the Joint Staff, J5 (Strategy and Policy Branch); the Office of the Deputy Secretary of Defense for Strategy and Force Develop­ment; and the Army Study Program Management Office.

Imperial hubris

As explained by Nathan Freier, the project director and principal author of the report, the U.S. and its defense establishment “are stumbling through a period of hypercompetition.” From Freier’s point of view, the current era is marred with furious battles for positional advantage at a number of levels, whether national, transnational, or extra-national. Freier explains that America’s failure to cope is the result of “hubris,” which is reminiscent of Imperial Hubris, a book by Michael Scheuer, the former head of the CIA’s bin Laden unit. Imperial Hubris also warned the U.S. about the very controversial and hubristic reasons it was losing the war on terror (hubris means “exaggerated pride or self-confidence,” according to Merriam-Webster).

Technically, the report does not officially represent the Pentagon, though it does represent the “collective wisdom” of those consulted – including a number of Pentagon officials and prominent think tanks such as the American Enterprise Institute, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), the RAND Corporation, and the Institute for the Study of War.

Nevertheless, the report involved consultation with key agencies across the DoD and the Armed Forces and encouraged the U.S. government to invest more heavily in surveillance, better propaganda through “strategic manipulation” of public opinion, and a “wider and more flexible” U.S. military. The report states:

“While as a rule, U.S. leaders of both political parties have consistently committed to the maintenance of U.S. military superiority over all potential state rivals, the post-primacy reality demands a wider and more flexible military force that can generate ad­vantage and options across the broadest possible range of military demands. To U.S. political leadership, maintenance of military advantage preserves maximum freedom of action… Finally, it allows U.S. decision-makers the opportunity to dictate or hold significant sway over outcomes in international disputes in the shadow of significant U.S. military capability and the implied promise of unac­ceptable consequences in the event that capability is unleashed.”

The year-long study concluded that the DoD should discard its outdated risk conventions and change how it describes, identifies, assesses, and communicates strategic-level and risk-based choices. As investigative journalist Nafeez Ahmed observed, these are the very strategies that have led to the U.S.’ declining power in the first place. Further enacting these failed strategies will only exacerbate the problem and demonstrates America’s refusal to go down without a fight.

The blame lies with resistant states

According to Freier and his team, the dangers currently challenging the U.S. don’t just come from countries like Russia and China (and even North Korea and Iran), but also from the increasing risk of “Arab Spring”-style events that could potentially erupt all over the world. One might wonder, then, why the U.S. decided to support a number of these events, even to the great benefit of known jihadist movements that already existed within them.

Ahmed also astutely points out that the report doesn’t actually substantiate its claims that countries like Russia are a genuine threat to America’s national security, aside from the fact that these countries seek to pursue their own core interests – as most countries should be free to do (within reason).

According to the report, Iran and North Korea are “… neither the products of, nor are they satisfied with, the contemporary order… At a minimum, they intend to destroy the reach of the U.S.-led order into what they perceive to be their legitimate sphere of influence. They are also resolved to replace that order locally with a new rule set dictated by them.”

It is notable that the report does not list Iran and North Korea as nuclear threats — as traditional neoconservative propaganda often asserts — but simply as perceived threats to the American-led world order.

The report also found that the international framework has been restructured in ways that are “inhospitable” and often “hostile” to U.S. leadership. For example,proliferation, diversification, and atomization of effective counter-U.S. resistance,” as well as “resurgent but transformed great power competition” are seen to be at the heart of this new international restructuring. According to the report, the U.S. is not prepared for these circumstances, and the report seeks to provide the U.S. with guidance to deal with these emerging scenarios.

In all seriousness, hostility to the U.S. military did not develop in a vacuum – it is quite clearly the sheer arrogance of America’s leadership and its incessant meddling in foreign affairs that have created a number of adversaries who are no longer willing to bow to American interests.

Losing the propaganda war

Renegade Inc's Nafeez Ahmed also notes that the “hyper-connectivity and weaponization of information, disinformation, and dis­affection”, the study team observes, is leading to the uncontrolled spread of information. The upshot is that the Pentagon faces the “inevitable elimination of secrecy and operational security”.

“Wide uncontrolled access to technology that most now take for granted is rapidly undermining prior advantages of discrete, secret, or covert intentions, actions, or operations… In the end, senior defense leaders should assume that all defense-related activity from minor tactical movements to major military operations would occur completely in the open from this point forward.”

This information revolution, in turn, is leading to the “generalized disintegra­tion of traditional authority structures… fueled, and/or accelerated by hyperconnectivity and the obvious decay and potential failure of the post-Cold War status quo.”

Bad facts

Among the most dangerous drivers of the risk of civil unrest and mass destabilization, the document asserts, are different categories of fact. Apart from the obvious “fact-free”, defined as information that undermines “objective truth”, the other categories include actual truths that, however, are damaging to America’s global reputation.

“Fact-inconvenient” information consists of the exposure of “details that, by implication, un­dermine legitimate authority and erode the relationships between governments and the governed”?—?facts, for instance, that reveal how government policy is corrupt, incompetent or undemocratic.

 

“Fact-perilous” information refers basically to national security leaks from whistleblowers such as Edward Snowden or Bradley Manning, “exposing highly clas­sified, sensitive, or proprietary information that can be used to accelerate a real loss of tactical, operational, or strategic advantage.”

 

“Fact-toxic” information pertains to actual truths which, the document complains, are “exposed in the absence of context”, and therefore poison “important political discourse.” Such information is seen as being most potent in triggering outbreaks of civil unrest, because it:

 

“… fatally weakens foundational security at an international, regional, national, or personal level. Indeed, fact-toxic exposures are those likeliest to trigger viral or contagious insecurity across or within borders and between or among peoples.”

In short, the US Army War College study team believe that the spread of ‘facts’ challenging the legitimacy of American empire is a major driver of its decline: not the actual behavior of the empire which such facts point to.

The “wake up call”

Though the report throws the word “adapt” around often, the U.S. is clearly not willing to adapt at all if the only way it can deal with its issues is to strengthen the very sources of said issues in the first place. If the only tool the U.S. has is a hammer, every problem has to look like a nail. The more problems the U.S. faces, the more nails it sees in need of quashing.

While some may laud a report in which advisors to the U.S. have acknowledged America’s status as a dying power, the truth, as demonstrated in this recent analysis, is that the U.S. will not give up its place in global affairs without a fight.

As the report states, the reality of this looming collapse should not be seen as defeatism, but rather, should be a “wake up call.”

Take the Syrian conflict, for example. The more places Assad’s military liberates, the more refugees are returning home and the more concerts are being held. Syria, Russia, and Iran have achieved these mounting successes even in the face of direct American intervention – and yet the U.S. still refuses to leave the country. Irrespective of crimes committed by the pro-Assad axis, if the ultimate objective has been to reduce the suffering in Syria and end the war, the U.S. should admit defeat and move on — especially once ISIS’ caliphate collapses entirely. But the U.S. won’t – and is reportedly considering greater involvement in the war-torn country.

The U.S. knows it is on the brink of collapse but refuses to go down peacefully. From the point of view of the powers-that-be, as long as every nail of resistance can be broken, the American hammer will continue to lead the world in international affairs. But even as this report indicates, it is precisely because of America’s hubris that it has found itself in this position in the first place. In this context, the report is somewhat contradictory and only further encourages the United States to provoke further hostility from aggrieved players on the world stage.

Carrying on these practices and exacerbating them is totally nonsensical, but doing so continues to be the go-to mantra of the U.S. war machine.

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WTFRLY's picture

THE NEXT PHASE OF JOO WORLD ORDER IS ALREADY HERE, IT DOES NOT MATTER ANY MORE

Dame Ednas Possum's picture

Dead MIC walking. 

Let's hope so...

 

hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 ...international global order established after World War II is “fraying” and may even be “collapsing”...

 

As the report states, the reality of this looming collapse should not be seen as defeatism, but rather, should be a “wake up call.”

Slowly at first, and then all of the sudden.

Are you having a hard time waking up some family or friends, or even yourself, to the possibility that you may someday want to get the fuck out of Dodge City?  Are you for some reason unable to travel to the formerly beautiful Damascus, Syria, or Caracas, Venezuela, to see first-hand what it looks like when SHTF?

 

I might be able to help.    

 

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-07-05/cannibal-warlords-liberia-and-d...

PrayingMantis's picture

... "US Military Establishment Study Admits The American Empire Is "Collapsing" " ...

... someone's yelling "TImber" ...

... "Operation Timber Sycamore" ... that is ...

>>> https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timber_Sycamore ...

... along with other "unexplained" covert ops that destroyed other countries which eventually collapsed the US empire ...

...

SafelyGraze's picture

the problem is, is that not enough money being spended

recommend some trillions

get back to the full spectrum dominance

congress, raise up that limit

Blue Balls's picture

Too many parasites.  System needs a parasite doctor.  That would be gold.

BullyBearish's picture

the problem obviously is that not enough civilians are being killed...even though trumpanyahoo is knocking out 300 a month to obomber's 80, he still COULD DO MORE!!

 

https://theintercept.com/2017/07/19/intercepted-podcast-veni-vidi-tweeti/

 

MalteseFalcon's picture

"Nevertheless, the report involved consultation with key agencies across the DoD and the Armed Forces and encouraged the U.S. government to invest more heavily in surveillance, better propaganda through “strategic manipulation” of public opinion, and a “wider and more flexible” U.S. military."

I'm lost here.  More surveillance?  More propaganda?

Do they want to shove a combination proctological camera/ CNN projector in the ass of every American?

The military-only strategy of the last 25 years has failed, maybe catastrophically.

Sir Edge's picture

 

Yes...

The Collaspe Of The Illegal American War Empire... Now That Is Something I Can Support...

 

Edgey...

fbazzrea's picture

The military-only strategy of the last 25 years has failed, maybe catastrophically.

our military should be limited to domestic self-defense forces. NO FOREIGN BASES. double whammy. obvious place to slash the US budget for maximum results. but noooo... they'd rather keep inflating our money away, further indebting us and robbing us blind at the same time. not to mention losing precious lives on both sides. but i digress.

i'm expecting Trump to show a little art-of-the-deal international diplomacy.

pull a gun. you've already lost. we insult the world with our belligerence. 

Tarzan's picture

The American experiment was alleged to be the elimination of EMPIRES!

 

Empire: an extensive group of states or countries under a single supreme authority, formerly especially an emperor or empress. "the Roman Empire"
This is fantastic news.  They should make a holiday or something from it.  It should be celebrated from the rooftops with load and ruckus parties across the land! The day the Empire dies and a Republic of men under Law - instead of an emperor -  is reborn, would be a glorious day!
GUS100CORRINA's picture

US Military Establishment Study Admits The American Empire Is "Collapsing"

My response: I agree in principle with the statement above. America following the path of ROMAN and GRECIAN EMPIRES along with NAZI Germany to a minor extent.

fockewulf190's picture

Gotta plug anti-media and strategic culture...at least once a day. Seems to be the SOP of ZH. At least ZH can operate under a freedom of speech environment, something that has been maintained because of the results of how WWII turned out....at least within the western sphere of influence that is.

American military and political power may soon implode, just like what happened to the Russian run Soviet Union...but I dare say if the US government crumbles as did the Soviets, and it would be replaced with a Putin type political and military leader, one who rules with almost totalitarian authority (and still in possession of thousands of nuclear warheads from the previous regime) this world will be vastly different..and more dangerous...than many here can even begin to contemplate.

Imagine China, Russia, and America all armed to the teeth with nuclear weapons, all run by totalitarian regimes, and all trying to survive under worldwide bankruptcy conditions. Schadenfreude will turn quickly into Schädenfurcht. The world is not going to be a better place. Not by a long shot.

Ghordius's picture

+1

"American military and political power may soon implode..."

alternative scenario: decline. example: British Empire/Commonwealth

Last1Out's picture

I think that is the most probable and certainly the absolute best of all outcomes.

"Cry havoc, and let slip the dogs of war!"

All Risk No Reward's picture

>>“In brief, the sta­tus quo that was hatched and nurtured by U.S. strategists after World War II and has for decades been the principal ‘beat’ for DoD is not merely fraying but may, in fact, be collapsing,” the report states.<<

No, the debt-money bubble is stretched to the limit and is about to pop, but they can't actually IDENTIFY THE ROOT CAUSE MECHANISM AND ITS ARCHITECTS AND MANAGERS.

Let me help... Debt-Money Monopolist Mega-Corporate Fascist Empire. Or, once that's concept is well ingrained... Moneyocracy.

-----------------------------------------

Resources:

"The issue which has swept down the centuries and which will have to be fought sooner or later is the people versus the banks."
~Lord Acton

"Power corrupts. Absolute power corrupts absolutely."
~Lord Acton

How To Be a Crook
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2oHbwdNcHbc

Poverty - Debt Is Not a Choice
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t7BTTB4tiEU

Renaissance 2.0 The Rise of [Debt-Money Monopolist] Financial Empire
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=96c2wXcNA7A

Debunking Money
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5iBSBVew-3Y

Krugman (and each MIT economist professor - THEY KNOW AND THEY OCCULT!) is a Goebbelsian propagandist as he covers the crimes of wolves with his fake sheep suit and lisp.

Krugman to Lietaer: "Never touch the money system!"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q6nL9elK0EY

And don't think Steve Keen is any better. He was called to the carpet for not admitting the system is a fraud when it was explained EXACTLY HOW THAT FRAUD WORKED... and he tucked tail and ran away PRETENDING he was responsive...

The Principal And Interest On Debt Myth (technically correct, but practically reveals inherent fraud as exposed CLEARLY in the comments section)
https://www.forbes.com/sites/stevekeen/2015/03/30/the-principal-and-inte...

Bottom line - Steve Keen won't "touch the money system" either. He learned well from his Debt-Money Monopolist Overlords.

30 sheckels of silver over THE TRUTH.

"The best way to control the opposition is to lead it and/or finance it."
~Yours truly, based upon Vladimir Lenin's quote

"If all the bank loans were paid, no one could have a bank deposit, and there would not be a dollar of coin or currency in circulation. This is a staggering thought. We are completely dependent on the commercial Banks. Someone has to borrow every dollar we have in circulation, cash or credit. If the Banks create ample synthetic money we are prosperous; if not, we starve. We are absolutely without a permanent money system. When one gets a complete grasp of the picture, the tragic absurdity of our hopeless position is almost incredible, but there it is. It is the most important subject intelligent persons can investigate and reflect upon. It is so important that our present civilization may collapse unless it becomes widely understood and the defects remedied very soon."
by: Robert Hemphill, Credit Manager of Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta, Ga.
Source: In the foreword to a book by Irving Fisher, entitled 100% Money (1935)

Luc X. Ifer's picture

Don't bite the worm bait. This will be seen by MiC as the perfect geo political context to get more business as now USSA must position itself in a high defense capacity position able to counter any aggressions towards itself or its interest, remember 1st WW. I start to wonder if this wasn't indeed the whole plan as this beeing truly the only way to avoid economical collapse.

 

 

All Risk No Reward's picture

Light Bringer, economic collapse won't be avoided. It is impossible.

But it can be leveraged...

1. Into crowd control. When you are fighting for you life, you aren't thinking about Banksters and the abstract debt-money pillaging. When you are worried about radical Muslims raping your daughter again, you aren't worried about the ECB (even though it is the controller so the ECB that ultimately made the call to bring the radical Muslims into your country!).

2. Profit promoter. War is big business. Read War is a Racket by Major General Smedley Butler (most decorated Marine ever in his day). Also, when it is time to rebuild, Banksters make out, too, because they control the Mega-Corps that will rebuild.

Think about that - the more they destroy, the more they profit; the more they have to rebuild, the more they profits.

3. Population reducer.

4. Human degrader.

5. Mass blood sacrifice.

666. More debt to enslave the masses in their latest incarnation of the Roman Empire system they control.

7. More countries will have a debt-money central bank surreptitiously shoved their their throats.

I'm sure I'm missing some benefits these sick people think they accrue by creating war out of thin-air, just like they create their societal debt-enslaving "money."

They don't call them "bonds" for nothing - hidden in plain view.

Ezra Pound was EXACTLY correct...

“In our time, the curse is monetary illiteracy, just as inability to read plain print was the curse of earlier centuries.”
~Ezra Pound

GatorMcClusky's picture

I understand what you are saying about trying to wake people up. As long as the NFL and other "activitiees" have their attention, it will be an uphill fight.
Even contemplating being the least bit self sufficient is a mental block that most people cannot get past.

giovanni_f's picture

Angloimperialists are not able tolerate a state of non-dominance. They would prefer to drag down the whole planet into a nuclear disaster rather than play their part in a so-called multilateral world. That's why the danger level is signalling red hot on my shit-o-meter.

 

The Wizard's picture

Let's hope it is the MIC. This will give Trump justification for reducing the ridiculous number of foreign military bases which would reduce the debt load. The soldiers could be placed at the borders to protect the homeland and save from having to build a stupid wall.

El Vaquero's picture

The way our neo-empire works requires perpetual growth.  Real, organic growth stopped some time ago, and it has been replaced with fraud.  A big part of that fraud is the FRN, and due to how the FRN works, its supply must continually grow to service the interest on the debts that are created when new FRNs are created.  If we pull back militarily, the government will just have to find something else to spend on to create that debt.  Our currency is the largest Ponzi scheme in the history of mankind.  

mike_king's picture

Trump should fulfill his promise and bring ALL troops home, guard our own borders and mind our own business. No American should care about Iraq, Syria, ISIS etc.

BritBob's picture

Don't forget the Spanish---

 

Spanish Guardia Civil vessel Rio Cedena twice tried to disrupt the visit by ballistic missile sub USS Florida as it was approaching the British Overseas Territory on the southern tip of Spain.


According to the 
Sun, the incident has caused outrage among senior officials in Gibraltar with one 'top source' saying: 'This is not only a very dangerous game for the Spanish to play but it is unbecoming of a NATO ally to treat the US Navy with such contempt.'

(Daily Mail 6 May 2016)

 

Looks like Spain will try and play the Gibraltar card  (A worthless sovereignty claim): Gibraltar - Some Relevant International Law: https://www.academia.edu/10575180/Gibraltar_-_Some_Relevant_Internationa...

 

Gibraltar is an important NATO base.

JB Say's picture

Yeah but everything else is collapsing faster. Russia? China? Military superpowers built on sand and collapsing demographics. Like the dollar, USA is still least-worst and likely to be for decades.

Xredsx's picture

But the British are so cheerful about brexit. Seriously, don't fear the shift but embrace it. 

The Wizard's picture

When the petrodollar dies, so will the hegemony. If you believe it will continue to be a world reserve currency, I have a bridge to sell ya. BRICS and other nations behind them are moving on.

logicalman's picture

Look at the following list, then decide how much you trust this report.

American Enterprise Institute

The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

The RAND Corporation

The Institute for the Study of War.

Qui Bono?

El Vaquero's picture

I think there may be some merit at taking the report at its face value.  It basically boils down to this:

 

We did some crazy shit to keep our gravy train rolling, and it's not working, so we should double down.  

DollarMenu's picture

"In short, the US Army War College study team believe that the spread of ‘facts’ challenging the legitimacy of American empire is a major driver of its decline: not the actual behavior of the empire which such facts point to."

So, it's shut up and don't discuss anything and things can go on as we wish.

What a crock of shit.

This s just an excuse to do a real clampdown on any kind of thought not originating from these supreme alien assholes.

They ain't really human.

 

Grave's picture

haha american "empire"
you mean american potemkin village,
biggest fraud in history, from the very beginning
and the psychopaths and sociopaths in power are laughing in the stupid faces of sheeple.

hestroy's picture

Lol! Poor brainwashed retard.

Hikikomori's picture

Has there ever been a study by the US military-industrial complex that wasn't designed to scare the public into giving them more money?

ParkAveFlasher's picture

They don't need the public's money.  Government is funded directly through fiat issuance. 

They need the public's fear, so that the public complies voluntarily.  We are thus soft slaves.

Colonel's picture

"They don't need the public's money."

 

Keep going... because ultimately they do need the public to put up with the inflation of the fiat.

virgilcaine's picture

Status Quo =Collapse

RawPawg's picture

M.A.D. is ALWAYS an Option

Go Big,Eh?

Winston Churchill's picture

The threat of MAD always was an insane concept that only worked when all the players believed each

of the others was sane.

Viewing the actions of Pax Americana since 9-11 there can be no doubt that one major player no longer is.

Using a Samson option  is not limited to  Israel.Spending money on ICBM defenses is probably a total waste of money.

There are lots of ways to skin a cat.

Bad Goy's picture

We're seeing the death throes of the US propaganda machine.  Fake news, fake wars, fake enemies.

The only problem is that these assholes would rather destroy the world than lose power.

Frankly, I'm afraid.  Very afraid.

Chupacabra-322's picture

The misconception is that individuals believe we are dealing with normal, sane human beings. We're not. Far from it. What we are dealing with are sick, twisted, Pure Evil Criminal, Psychopathic, Satanic / Lucerferian elements from the CIA / Pentagram Temple of Set Scum literally making Hell on Earth.

Hell Bent on one goal: Total Complete Full Spectrum World Domination over Mankind.

These "Occult" Scum Fucks have been "Illuminated" & bought out into the light for all the World to see. And, like roaches. They're attempting to scurry back into the darkness through distraction & deception.

This impure evil has been running the world since the time of the Pharoahs, it's ancient Babylonian mysticism/paganism and it is nothing more than the worship of Lucifer; it has never died out, it just re-emerges as something far more wicked, vile and sinister. They are all the sons and daughters of satan and do what he does - kill, steal and destroy.

It would be Nieve to think that hundreds of thousands of years of control over mankind be simply turned over by the Criminal Pure Evil Psychopathic Elite.

PrayingMantis's picture

... " ... are sick, twisted, Pure Evil Criminal, Psychopathic, Satanic / Lucerferian elements from the CIA / Pentagram Temple of Set Scum literally making Hell on Earth. ... " ...

... here's one example ...

>>> ... "The Khazarian Bankster Cult That Destroyed Libya" ...

>>> http://www.veteranstoday.com/2017/07/16/the-khazarian-bankster-cult-that... ...

...

kochevnik's picture

Really just power junkies.  They need rehab and new jobs which do not feed their addiction

Wild tree's picture

Ditto on the "Nailed it" Chupacabra.

hestroy's picture

You are really a bad goy!

Rick Cerone's picture

That's why you're not getting a tax cut or Obamacare repeal. US cannot default on its debt payments.

GracchusBrothers's picture

Rome went from kingdom to republic to empire to collapse. In my 71 years I've seen our country go from constitutional republic to empire and I'm witnessing the collapse as a slow motion train wreck picking up speed.

Enjoy the ride while you can and prepare accordingly because the crash is going to be a bloody nightmare.

China and Russia are being cautious because they see it coming and are jockeying for position to fill the power vacuum remaining.