Rand Surges After South Africa's Parliament Speaker Allows Secret Ballot In Zuma No-Confidence Vote

Tyler Durden's picture

In a surprise announcement, moments ago South Africa's parliament speaker announced a secret ballot will be held on Zuma no-confidence motion on Tuesday.

Speaking to journalists, the speaker of the national assembly, Baleka Mbete, who is a member of the ruling ANC party and is widely tipped to replace Zuma at some point, said it is her responsibility as speaker to decide whether or not the no confidence vote in President Zuma will be conducted by secret ballot or not. Her decision which was just announced: the vote will indeed be secret.

Some more soundbites via Bloomberg:

  • Motion is “potent tool towards holding president to account”
  • Central to the freedom of a member of parliament is to follow the dictates of personal conscience
  • Members must exercise oversight powers effectively
  • Secret ballot becomes necessary where environment is “toxic or highly charged”

A no-confidence motion is scheduled to be debated on Tuesday and requires the backing of a majority of the 400 lawmakers to pass.

And since it is generally assumed that a secret ballot would increase the chances of President Zuma being ousted, as ruling-party lawmakers who back his ouster won’t risk losing their jobs, the ZAR has surged by as much as 2.0%, trading up 1.5% to 13.2495/USD last while yields on benchmark government bonds due Dec. 2026 drops 7bps to 8.58%, as it now appears that a more "stable" regime may be in the offing.

Here are the details of tomorrow's vote:

  • Starts at around 14:00 local time (13:00 BST/ 08:00 EDT)
  • Full South African Assembly: 400 members (of which the ANC bloc makes up 249 MPs)
  • Votes needed: 50% (or 201 votes) are needed in favour of the no confidence motion.
  • Opposition holds just 151 seats, so assuming all opposition vote for the no confidence motion, then a further 50 of the 249 ANC MPs need to vote for it. That is one in five ANC MPs.

Still, as some have speculated while Mbete, Zuma's likely successor, has every incentive to allow a secret ballot to happen, it is rarely a good idea to be the one seen to be doing the ousting. And, as Citi notes, "she stands more to gain from being loyal to Zuma if she wants to keep her party onside." Thus, the cynical view would perhaps be that the ANC has been whipping votes and believe they have the necessary numbers for Zuma to survive – he would be absolved and allowed to continue as leader, and Mbete, by allowing the secret ballot, would look like a paragon of truth and justice, putting country above party.

And so begin the South Africa conspiracy theories.

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Tsunami Wave's picture

This and other actions are continuing to push the price of palladium up.. shhhhhhhhh. Theres more precious metals than silver and gold, ya know.

junction's picture

Jungle drums sounding.  Tribesmen, Zuma supporters, get your assegais out to strike your enemies. 

Arnold's picture

Missing sub Headline:

NSA on Retainer.

HRClinton's picture

A different kind of "Stand with Rand", by the sounds of it.

"Stand with Krugerrand", anyone? 

philipat's picture

Time for Zuma to get up up and away to party on in his private Boeing 747-800 and get away from this "reality"? Who gives a isht about reality? They learn this stuff from the US?

General Titus's picture

The Rhodesia to Zimbabwe & the new South Africa is the liberal cultural marxist "Democracy" model  they want to do to every Western nation via immigration, multiculturalism, & AA programs which in SA is called BEE

HowdyDoody's picture

BRICS -> RICS -> RIC courtesy of the CIA?


This is it's picture

It's just south Africa. It's probably nothing 

gespiri's picture

How about we switch?  Send back all the Africans in Europe to South Africa and all the Afrikaaners back to Europe.

Arnold's picture

Is there a Nike factory in danger?

General Titus's picture

Zuma is a POS but, him and his cronies took over the ANC and purged out the Bolsheviks, thats why they are now looking to take him out and are promoting the opposition

Herd Redirection Committee's picture

Details?  I'm not sure ousting Bolsheviks counts for so much when you go full Commie yourself (as Zuma has)!

General Titus's picture

Sure because the Bolsheviks are no longer in control!


ANC is a Jewish Front By Michael Hoffman II

The African National Congress (ANC) in South Africa was guided by two Communist Jews, Albie Sachs, "one of its foremost intellectuals"( London Sunday Times, August 29, 1993) and Yossel Mashel Slovo (Joe Slovo).


gdpetti's picture

True, as they are the 'chosen ones'... of Satan/Baphomet/Lucifer etc... Cabbalists in charge... not Qabbalists... BIG DIF!... opposite sides of the Tree.

But using "toxic and highly charged" to that statement of why she is using the secret ballot, says it all.... fear factor, as previous years in office has given Zuma control over the militant arm of the party and state.... this is the only option available to them to excise him from their midst... otherwise, the deep state full of foreign interest, Jewish or not, remains in power and control of the country.... same here in the States... the snowflakes don't realize they are being used by the deep state to upset the apple cart of the establishment adn the country... they are mindless puppets, same as the establishment in DC etc.