Satellite Images Suggest North Korea Preparing Submarine Ballistic Missile Launch

Tyler Durden's picture

On Friday afternoon as the market was about to close, we discussed an unconfirmed report that North Korea had issued "emergency standby orders" to its civil defense units, and we said that at the same time, "traders are furiously hitting refresh on the website of 38North.org for the daily satellite image update of North Korea's missile launch preparedness, which has yet to hit and which could mean the difference between another sleepy, boring open on Monday and a VIX surging above 20, 30 or more depending on what "path" Kim Jong-Un picks over the next 48 hours."

Shortly after the note, 38North, best known for its real-time satellite imagery of North Korean military operations and slightly less known for a pro-war spin according to some (hence, take their conclusions with caution), reported that recent satellite photos suggests that North Korea is preparing for fresh submarine-based missile tests even as Trump has repeatedly stated that any new provocation from North Korea could be grounds for a military operation.

Referring to photographs taken on August 7, Joseph Bermudez, a North Korea specialist, claimed that they could indicate preparations for a new test of a submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM). "Recent commercial satellite imagery reveals several developments suggesting that North Korea may be accelerating the development of the sea-based leg of its nuclear forces," he said.

Of particular interest in the imagery is that netting or tarps have been suspended above both the fore and aft decks of the SINPO-class submarine obscuring any activity taking place beneath them. This was last done prior to the July 9, 2016 test of the Pukguksong-1, suggesting that the North may be preparing for a new series of “at sea” test launches, has undertaken modifications or upgrades to the submarine’s launch systems, or is developing a more advanced version of the Pukguksong-1. Recent ejection tests of an SLBM also support the assessment that an at-sea SLBM test may be forthcoming.

Figure 1. Netting or tarps suspended over SINPO-class SSBA in the secure boat basin

Some further details:

As noted in our July report, sometime during the last week in May, the SINPO-class submarine was repositioned forward along its dock and the submersible test stand barge was moved to a position aft of the submarine (both had previously been in their former positions since December 9, 2016). Since the July report, netting or tarps have been suspended above both the fore and aft decks of the submarine obscuring any activity taking place beneath them. The only other time this was seen was during May-July 2016 and prior to the failed July 9, 2016 Pukguksong-1 test. It is unclear if this activity is signaling a forthcoming at sea SLBM test, although the recent ejection tests would support such an assessment. No activity is noted on or near the submersible test stand barge in the latest image.

Figure 2. Netting or tarps suspended over SINPO-class SSBA observed in May 2016.

Separately, Bermudez said that imagery of the Mayang-do Navy Shipyard and Submarine Base shows the same number of ROMEO-class submarines that are usually berthed there, indicating that a recent spike in ROMEO activity in the East Sea (Sea of Japan) was a singular rather than force-wide event.

Imagery of the Mayang-do Navy Shipyard and Submarine Base shows the same number of ROMEO-class submarines that are usually berthed there, indicating that a recent spike in ROMEO activity in the East Sea (Sea of Japan) was a singular rather than force-wide event. The week-long patrol by a ROMEO-class attack submarine in the East Sea (Sea of Japan) was “highly unusual and unprecedented,” as Korea People’s Navy submarines have not been known to venture far from their home ports over the past ten years. The few times they have, it has been only to participate in short annual military exercises. The purpose of this recent activity is unclear, but there are several potential explanations including: Kim Jong Un’s desire to expand his provocative policy of the past two years into the naval arena; a practical exercise demonstrating renewed North Korean offensive naval capabilities (potentially a component of the strategic review of military capabilities ordered by Kim Jong Un when he came to power); a training cruise intended to prepare a submarine and its crew for a longer cruise to monitor future ballistic missile tests or conduct offensive conventional attack missions; validation of upgrades to the ROMEO-class submarine (a number of ROMEO-class submarines have been undergoing extended maintenance and refurbishment during the past five years)—or some combination of the above.

 

A preliminary comparison of the submarine activity at both the Mayang-do Navy Shipyard and Submarine Base during the past twelve months with the August 7 image shows the number of ROMEO-class submarines has remained relatively constant, averaging 12-15; and the number of SANGO-class coastal submarines averaging 11-15. In the August 7 image, 12 ROMEO- and 15 SANGO-class submarines are berthed. This suggests that the July “unusual activities” were a singular event rather than a force-wide event. Regardless, extended North Korean operations in the East Sea should be viewed with concern.

Figure 3. Multiple SANGO and ROMEO-class submarines berthed in the Mayang-do Navy Shipyard.

Figure 4. One SANGO-class and three ROMEO-class submarines berthed at the south pier of the Mayang-do Submarine Base.

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BaBaBouy's picture

oh yeah, thats a good move...

Looney's picture

 

Little Kim is getting bigger with each passing day.

Fess up, you horny bastards, who knocked him up?  ;-)

Looney

38BWD22's picture

 

 

I am going to guess that if that sub (probably noisy, etc.) got anywhere close to to US waters that there would be some mysterious accident, and it would never find its way home...

Manthong's picture

 

 

I fart on the pot all the time………

What is the MSM’s problem   ??????????????????

 

skbull44's picture

...and Iraq has WMDs...

Kotzbomber747's picture

A few grainy pics?

Isn't it funny how all the ZH Trump fans are now rooting for war? Wasn't Trump supposed to stop "Big Government" and reduce the number of troops overseas? Oh wait, he also bullshitted so much, that he also promissed MORE spending on the MIC. And then these Trump fanboy-idiots still believe that Trump will drain the swamp? The MIC is the swamp!

Kotzbomber747's picture

Yup, the Daily Mail/National Enquirer, thats the sad level ZH has sunken to: sensational Doom-Porn. 

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-08-12/crash-landing-us-f-18-fighter-j...

JLee2027's picture

Better than NBC, ABC, CBS, MSNBC, CNN, the WashingtonPost, the Ny Times, that rag in LA....

 

 

JRobby's picture

Knock them out of the sky. Have 2 subs shadow it wherever it goes.

TruxtonSpangler's picture

Even if they werent puting on a show, CIA/MIC would want us to think they are.

fx's picture

"knock them out" - based exactly on what reason? That they don't obey the will of washington d.c.?

By that logic, there are literally dozens of countries how would have at least the same right to knock US naval wessels out - which operate thousands of miles away from US shores, don't ya think?

LA_Goldbug's picture

Anyone that is rooting for war is unable to think coherently and knows very little history of how the Western War Machine works.

aPocketofResistance's picture

Tracking events that potentially lead to war and rooting for it are very different, you fucking dumbshit.

SeaMonkeys's picture

I voted for Trump and I agree with you. At this point he seems more like Hillary in drag. It seems to me that what was good in Trump was actually due to Steve Bannon. That influence is nowhere to be seen anymore. Just a gimmick to get us to vote Trump. 

Sir Edge's picture

Bingo... All MSM War Porn... 24/7 BullShit... USA Exceptional Propaganda... 

Lumberjack's picture

Meanwhile in Afghanistan:

Mystery Aviation in Afghanistan: Whose is it?

https://sputniknews.com/amp/asia/201708131056429613-mystery-aviation-afg...

Kabulov also said that Russian diplomats raised the issue of the unidentified aircraft during a meeting of the UN Security Council.

A question emerges: where did the helicopters appear from in the airspace where only NATO, US and Afghan aviation is allowed to go.

“But everyone knows that with the help of these helicopters, in addition to supplying Daesh and Taliban, there is the smuggling of precious stones and drugs going on,” the analyst said.

According to him, the situation in Afghanistan is not under the control of the authorities.

“Nobody controls US and NATO planes that can land at any airfields in the country. They act independently: they can bring anything into Afghanistan, as well as take out what they want,” Amarhel concluded.

Earlier, a Russian diplomat, Zamir Kabulov, cited the fact that Daesh continues to strengthen its positions in Afghanistan, which triggers serious concerns in Moscow about the possibility of the spread of instability to the countries of Central Asia near Russia's borders.

BeansMcGreens's picture
2 soldiers killed, 5 injured in Iraq on Sunday

http://www.fayobserver.com/news/20170813/2-soldiers-killed-5-injured-in-...

 

US soldiers dying everyday for what, nothing important.

If you have a son or daughter, nephew or neice, or friend, convince them not to sign up to die in vain. They are NOT defending our values, rather promoting death and chaos.

WarPony's picture

Plausible deniability?  Uncle Sam purchased 63 M-17 Russian helicopters ($1 Billion) because they haul more dope from high altitude (where poppy grows better), supposedly to give to the Afghanis.   https://www.rferl.org/a/afghanistan-mi-17-helicopters/25167681.html

mc888's picture

You really wanna know who it is and what it's doing? Shoot one down and see who complains.

Until that happens, you're full of shit.

Kotzbomber747's picture

The photos are dated roughly one week ago. What's the relevance?

MsCreant's picture

But they closed the screen doors, they should be okay...

tmosley's picture

Diesel-electrics are actually quieter than nuclear subs from what I understand.

But quietness won't be counting for much when they are being pinged constantly by the entire surface fleet, assuming the Navy has failed to use machine learning to create a high resolution passive sonar underwater visualization device (a task that would be trivial for any ML undergrad).

apadictionary's picture

nice. can it reach trump tower quickly.

Lorca's Novena's picture

All you idiots that hate Trump that I come across can NEVER provide ONE valid argument why he is so bad. 

rsi1's picture

Lol, if you dont see it you are the idiot

There are far too many reasons, here is one as you asked.

- He's a complete ignorant He says he wants to repeal Obamacare but does not even understand how it works and what it is

Dormouse's picture

Sounds like the magical Kenyan Nigger who invented it.

tmosley's picture

You don't need to understand those things to see that they have driven enormous cost increases.

GUS100CORRINA's picture

Satellite Images Suggest North Korea Preparing Submarine Ballistic Missile Launch

My response: So a NK Submarine with nuclear capability parked 200+ miles off the coast of the Eastern USA that can create and EMP pulse to take out the ELECTRICAL GRID of the entire Eastern USA. Note that the missile doesn't need to be fired at the USA, just fired up into the air and detonated off of the coastline of the USA. Interesting!!!!!!

By the way, where in the HELL did NK get the SUBMARINE from anyway? CHINA? RUSSIA?

Shemp 4 Victory's picture

 

So a NK Submarine with nuclear capability parked 200+ miles off the coast of the Eastern USA that can create and EMP pulse to take out the ELECTRICAL GRID of the entire Eastern USA.

The diesel/electric subs used by NK have a limited range and would need to resurface for refueling several times if a trip to the US east coast were to be attempted.

Bay of Pigs's picture

Impossible unless the subs were ignored.

That said, the US is well known for allowing and even participating in false flags around the globe to create wars.

HenryHall's picture

The NORKs are just planning to do some "freedom of navigation" exercises in international waters. No different from USA exercises in South China Sea.

kill switch's picture

That's like the back of a broad's head giving a BJ. This creates a lot of satellite exposure on a trip like that.

kbohip's picture

They got it from Harbor Freight tools China.  It's been said they purchased the extended warranty for it too so they mean business!

c2nnib2l's picture

proably Russia

Russia used to exchange old submarines for pepsi bottles (no joke)

 

http://www.redkalinka.com/Russian-Blog/78/_The-day-Pepsi-became-a-great-...

 

and they had plenty

 

land_of_the_few's picture

Nothing to do with Russia. Old 1950s Chinese ones, more of the same type assembled locally with parts from China prior to 1995, and self-built lately "influenced by older Yugoslavian designs"

Chupacabra-322's picture

The Criminal Deep State / Pentagram PsyOp, Scripted False Narrative changes daily.

Gotta keep the masses in manufactured, perpetual Fear & Distraction from the Awan brothers, Seth Rich, Wasserman-Shultz & Clinton Crimes under wrap.

Here's the suspect / circumstantial at best report created by the Criminal DIA headed by a known perjured Criminal Clapper.

Conceivable - Adjective. Capable of being imagined or grasp mentally.

The DIA white paper stresses Pyongyang’s “significant headway” in the nuclear race and its “possible” (italics mine) ability to develop miniaturized nuclear warheads able to fit on the tips of its missiles.

This “possible” ability is drowned in outright speculation. As the report states, “It is conceivable that North Korea’s nuclear weapons program has already considerably advanced and it is possible that North Korea has already achieved the miniaturization of nuclear bombs into warheads and has acquired nuclear warheads.”

NK doesn't have, never had & for the foreseeable future never possess the ability to produce a Nuclear Weapon even with the Nuclear Tech Rumsfeld sold NK back in 2000.

There's that pesky word again "Could" in the article. To my point. NK doesn't currently possess a NK weapon.

The entire NK conflict is nothing more than another badly written Deep State Scripted False Narrative PsyOp.

Suffice it to say, it's plausible the Criminal Pentagram/ Deep State have been Scriptng the PsyOp since 2000.

U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld served on the board of a Swiss company that in 2000 sold light water nuclear reactors to the government of North Korea, which critics including Pentagon hardliners say could be used to produce nuclear weapons.
http://www.utne.com/community/rumsfeldcompanysoldnuclearweaponequipmentt...

LA_Goldbug's picture

What is most interesting today (I suspect the same was true in the far away past) is that no matter the amount of information that shows how manipulative and guilty the West is, It Just Make No Difference.

yogibear's picture

China is pulling NK's strings.

Trump is pressuring China on unfair trade. 

So China sicks it's mad-dog NK on the US.

 

Gen. Ripper's picture

Yes, but china is the loser. They were suckered in by the Jews, they took the money and employed millions. If trump hits the sanctions button those same millions will be out of work, and angry. China will dump most support for NK, lose a few artificial islands and we will back down.

peopledontwanttruth's picture

Time will tell but I remember a certain saying about fairness in love and war.

Remember they're way closer a relation than (US)!!

Blood is thicker than water

pkea's picture

Is it confirmed that they have EMP on their subs? anyway a few romeos are missing so they are somewhere on the mission perhaps?

land_of_the_few's picture

Of course not. How would anyone confirm it? No doubt those great military experts WaPo will print that they absolutely do have.

By the way, NK is not going to strike first, particularly since China said they're on their own if they do.

This also mirrors China's traditional no-first-strike policy. They keep their warheads *separate* from launching systems. At least they did, until the US kept noising them up lately ...... recently they were talking of changing that policy.

The key word is "defense".

HRClinton's picture

It doesn't even have to be a sub. It's far easier to launch from a fishing is freight ship.

If they launch on a trajectory parallel to the coast, they don't even have to aim at the US, to detonate above the atmosphere. Do it 200+ miles off all US coasts, and it's "Welcome to the 1800s, 'Muricans!"

Only solution: leave them the f**k alone. Stop yanking a dog's chain to make him bark and snarl. I.e. stop antagonizing them with massive naval drills with SK at harvest time, and then claim that they are starving their people.

"A (((Globalist))) always cries out in pain, as he strikes you", is well known.

1033eruth's picture

Spreading a wildly popular rumor again.  You or any of the other eggheads that have upvoted your comment about a SINGLE NUCLEAR WARHEAD explosion causing an EMP that would take out the electrical grid of the ENTIRE Eastern USA.

I understand that some people have vivid imaginations, but I INSIST that you provide some historical basis for this sort of claim.  As in, GIVE ME AN EXAMPLE!!!

"In 1963, three (UK, US, Soviet Union) of the four nuclear states and many non-nuclear states signed the Limited Test Ban Treaty, pledging to refrain from testing nuclear weapons in the atmosphere, underwater, or in outer space. The treaty permitted underground nuclear testing. France continued atmospheric testing until 1974, and China continued until 1980. Neither has signed the treaty.[1]

 

So, up until 1963 three countries were doing above ground tests.  Now, WHERE is all the historical evidence about above ground testing knocking out electrical grids.  NO, they didn't just blow them up in the ocean.  

The Nevada test Site is where the US did the bulk of its above ground testing and Las Vegas could see the mushroom clouds from the hotels.  From the following article:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nevada_Test_Site

 

The city of Las Vegas experienced noticeable seismic effects, and the distant mushroom clouds, which could be seen from the downtown hotels, became tourist attractions. St. George, Utah, received the brunt of the fallout of above-ground nuclear testing in the Yucca Flats/Nevada Test Site. Winds routinely carried the fallout of these tests directly through St. George and southern Utah. 

StychoKiller's picture

Bamboo is a very strong building material...

tmosley's picture

It is, actually.

Flies far over the heads of the peanut gallery though.

To be fair, it flies above almost everybody's heads. Even I had to have Scott Adams explain it to me: https://www.pscp.tv/ScottAdamsSays/1djGXLkONlOGZ?

kommissar's picture

absolutely facsinating how scott is able to so thoroughly and dispassionately deconstruct trump's right brain lunacy.