Irma Turning Into Monster Hurricane: "Highest Windspeed Forecasts I've Ever Seen"

Tyler Durden's picture

Hurricane Irma continues to strengthen much faster than pretty much any computer model predicted as of yesterday or even this morning.  Per the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest update, Irma is currently a Cat-3 storm with sustained winds of 115 mph but is expected to strengthen to a devastating Cat-5 with winds that could top out at 180 mph or more.  Here is the latest from the NHC as of 5PM EST:

Irma has become an impressive hurricane with intense eyewall convection surrounding a small eye.  Satellite estimates continue to rapidly rise, and the Dvorak classifications from both TAFB & SAB support an initial wind speed of 100 kt.  This is a remarkable 50-kt increase from yesterday at this time.


Irma continues moving west-northwestward, now at about 10 kt. There has been no change to the forecast philosophy, with the hurricane likely to turn westward and west-southwestward over the next few days due to a building ridge over the central Atlantic.  At long range, however, model guidance is not in good agreement on the strength of the ridge, resulting in some significant north-south differences in the global models.  I am inclined to stay on the southwestern side of the model guidance, given the rather consistent forecasts of the ECMWF and its ensemble.  In addition, the strongest members of the recent ensembles are on the southern side on the consensus, giving some confidence in that approach.



INIT  31/2100Z 17.3N  34.8W  100 KT 115 MPH

12H  01/0600Z 17.8N  36.2W  105 KT 120 MPH

24H  01/1800Z 18.2N  38.3W  105 KT 120 MPH

36H  02/0600Z 18.3N  40.7W  105 KT 120 MPH

48H  02/1800Z 17.9N  42.9W  105 KT 120 MPH

72H  03/1800Z 16.8N  47.5W  110 KT 125 MPH

96H  04/1800Z 16.0N  52.0W  115 KT 130 MPH

120H  05/1800Z 16.5N  56.5W  120 KT 140 MPH

As of now, Irma remains in the far eastern Atlantic ocean and is moving west at roughly 11.5 mph.  Based on current projections, the storm will make its first landfall in the eastern Caribbean sometime toward the middle of next week.


Longer term computer models still vary widely but suggest that Irma will make landfall in the U.S. either in the Gulf of Mexico or Florida.  Meteorological Scientist Michael Ventrice of the Weather Channel is forecasting windspeeds of up to 180 mph, which he described as the "highest windspeed forecasts I've ever seen in my 10 yrs of Atlantic hurricane forecasting."

In a separate tweet, Ventrice had the following troubling comment: "Wow, a number of ECMWF EPS members show a maximum-sustained windspeed of 180+mph for #Irma, rivaling Hurricane #Allen (1980) for record wind"

The Weather Channel meteorologist also calculated the odds for a landfall along the eastern seaboard at 30%.

Meanwhile, the Weather Channel has the "most likely" path of Irma passing directly over Antigua, Puerto Rico and Domincan Republic toward the middle of next week.

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Faeriedust's picture

By George, the boy has got it!  GIVEN ENOUGH TIME, MONEY AND POWER IS INEVITABLY CONCENTRATED IN THE HANDS OF A FEW WHO CAN GAME THE SYSTEM.  This is why ancient civilizations regularly collapsed or had revolutions roughly every 250 years, while modern nations have "internal disorders" followed by "revised constitutions".  THE US IS OVERDUE FOR ECONOMIC REDISTRIBUTION.   Only periodic redistribution of wealth can maintain a nation longer than 300 years.

are we there yet's picture

I live in west Houston and and vote that the next hurricane hovers over Washington DC until all of congresses hot air is used up.

NuYawkFrankie's picture

Attn: Miss Irma
Subj: Wash. DC Location

Latitude: 38°53' N
Longitude: 77°02' W

No problem... you're welcome.

Happy "hunting" - and don't forget that old adage: "Save the best 'til last" ;)

Twee Surgeon's picture

There is fake people on de rescue boats, I aint callin no rescue boats, shit be gettin real down here, dey tryin to do Marshul lore.

GotAFriendInBen's picture




WE'S ALL GONNA DIE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

OutWithLibs's picture

On a long enough timeline....

SwaziRed's picture

Alex Jones is silent on this, so permit me to take up the slack:

Why doesn't Mango Mussolini just put Obama's climate weapons into defensive mode? You know, those tiny airplanes and helicopters that can move hurricanes and tornadoes this way and that.

Or could it be that Cheetolini has already co-opted Obama's climate weapons and is using them as a much-needed distraction and the chance to be a strutting hero?

Or, even more ominously, is it that Obama is still in control of said climate weapons and is cooking up these superstorms just to get back at Twitler and the birther idiots?

Then again, maybe this is exactly what climate scientists have been prediciting for decades - and here it is.


DEMIZEN's picture

youd kinda need an airplane that makes the earth spin the other way around. whatever to get get a grant. it is doable in infinite term.

ToSoft4Truth's picture

Run for the hills!!!  Bury your head like Jesus said!!! 

Robert Trip's picture

Computer models it turning South as a Cat.5

Reality is closer to turning North as a tropical storm.

Computer modeling has fuckall to do with reality and the overpaid pseudo "scientists" responsible for this bullshit should all be sacked.

Look at the last 10 years of hurricane predictions. All wrong.

One makes landfall now and suddenly these self-indulgent narcissistic scientific dipshits know what they're doing. I know it's looks good on TV seeing these "scientists" in their big control center with their high tech equipment and big screens on the walls wearing lab coats buts it's all bullshit.

DEMIZEN's picture

the model is a complete BS without colorcoded likelihood assigned to the possible paths Its a graph porn that makes prancing weather mammas look bit more scientific. according to model: if momentum is sustained and will the form a hurricane it will likely fall on N atlantic coast. its forming in N atlantic ocean duh and average winds point in the direction so.. fucking idiots. sad.

if statisticians are not willing to put their annual sallaries on their models, the models are worthless

DEMIZEN's picture

too bad her name was not karma.

Juliette's picture

How is that weather manipulation thing working out for you, Murrica? LOL. Making matters worse, most Murrican houses are made of plastics and plywood ... that's gonna be a mess!

KuriousKat's picture

The moment I hear..I've never seen anything like it....baffled or scratching their heads..think ufo reports and move on.

Last of the Middle Class's picture

Nothing like a hurricane to suck all the climate change retards out of the closet for their 10 seconds of fame. Even a broken clock is right twice a day. Climate change is the absolute antithesis of critical thinking.

DEMIZEN's picture

i cant wait for the choir of retards expressing their sadness and sorrow. 

the co2 spike and a viral houston wet stray cat sitting on a tilted bayou mailbox. the correlation cant be ignored.

Swampster's picture

CO2 spike? you mean from .001809 to .001810?



Toshie's picture

As usual with zero hedge ;- the sky is falling on our heads !!

How come we never about those poor little islands in the way of those hurricanes before they hit the US.

Hehe.... Who care right?

DEMIZEN's picture

i bet they care and post about it.. on their lil portorican zerohedge or whatever

onmail1's picture

Souls of the dead , killed by USA

all over the world

crying for vengeance

Adapt peace now or cry later

Arrest Hillary's picture

You forgot the dead souls of the living socialist filth ? 

Arrest Hillary's picture

Hurricane Bonanza .... for government workers and welfare trash .... heroic efforts by private, tax paying citizens go unpaid .... like everything else in socialism .... the knife only cuts one way ?

Arrest Hillary's picture

Living in an active climate zone .... should make people like Algore smarter, more aware .... all they see is the power of the Socialist Tsunami Mammy ? 

mog's picture

Irma Turning Into Monster Hurricane: "Highest Windspeed Forecasts I've Ever Seen"

Nearly as devastating as the USA's latest bombing raid on defencless women and children.
Looks like there is a God after all.

Arrest Hillary's picture

Only 14 killed .... they're more killings in Cairo every day .... that Tsunami in Indonesia killed thousands .... we are very good at protecting life .... even the worthless ones, sigh ?

Arrest Hillary's picture

The Perfect Storm .... hurricane cleanses the cesspool of "Lake Maracaibo" .... and sweeps "Maduro Rapper" from office ?

Expat's picture

Well, THAT should certainly help gasoline prices!

Swampster's picture



Plain and simple.....TRUST A 'NAZI JEW AT YOUR OWN RISK!



P.S. Don't forget to fill upyour tank with some 'NAZI JEW PRICE GOUGED GASOLINE!!!!!....summer driving season has been a bust so far!

Arrest Hillary's picture

In Mexico gas is $4 a gallon .... the roads are shitty, but improving .... in California it's $2.50 .... and most of that is taxes .... and the roads are excellent and the most expensive in the world ?

highwaytoserfdom's picture

 DC or Bust Great..    This is what is ment by blowing the three letter agencies to the wind.  


HARP tuning locations

  1. Langley
  2. Fort Meade
  3. Anacostia-Bolling
  4. J.edgar Hover building DC
  5. 1880 2nd Street SW DC
  6. most important funding DEA El Paso shipping and rat lines (you didn't think it was a Wall did ya?)
  7. and 10 other destroyers of human intelegence and decency, Krugman we got guns not Art of Deal


Dogman57's picture

It would be great if it turned north and made landfall in Washington DC


Swampster's picture

Question for kLIEmate Klowns.....



Why don't you want the weather to change? What would happen to the earth if the weather stayed the same everyday like you idiots want?


You are too stupid to know that weather and climate are synonyms, yet you claim to know science? Did you all really skip 7th grade?

Climate is a 7th grade level vocabulary word.....maybe you should look it up, before using "big words' like that?


Don't you retards know the first three words in the definition of climate are THE WEATHER CONDITIONS??? DO YOU RETARDED DUMFUX EVEN KNOW WHAT A SYNONYM IS?



66Mustanggirl's picture

Holy buckets! Reading through these comments, it seems people are on the edge of losing what is left of their collective minds. Maybe step back from your keyboards and take a deep breath.
I'm submitting this comment as is. I am a person of faith, so I have a completely different perspective on things. I find it a little hard to believe it is just some giant cosmic coinkydink that the names NOAA pulled out of a hat for the 2017 hurricane season carry a message as profound as THIS within them but make of it what you will. Or make nothing of it at all and make sure you BTFD. Whatever. Each to his/her own. I'm just sharing what I found when I looked up the meaning of each name. Peace.

Harvey: Battle Worthy
Irma: Goddess of War
Jose: God will increase
Katia: Purification
Lee: Clearing
Maria: Bitterness/also sea of bitterness
Nate: Gift from God
Ophelia: to help
Philippe: that has two parts one of which is philo, brotherly love
Rina: peace
Sean: God is gracious

Put it all together you have Battle Worthy, Goddess of War, God will increase, purification, clearing, bitterness/sea of bitterness, gift from God, to help, brotherly love, peace, God is gracious.

Kaleb's picture

Wow, Mustanggirl. That is impressive.  Its like looking at the meaning of the 10 names between Adam and Noah, it told the same type story.

OK, this puts a whole different slant on "things".

Thank you!!

VooDoo6Actual's picture

lol, as if Hurricanes (Typhoon the anciient God) are good or not being manipulated by Geoengineering. Riiiiigggggghhhhhhtttttttt got it !!!!!!!!!!!!

Tiwin's picture

Girl , put it all together and you have an exact repeat of the names in 2010 except Irene-Irma.

In 2024 if Mankind survives , there will be no harvey.

Ron_Mexico's picture

"In the year 2525, if man is still alive"

SuperRay's picture

Sue your parents, your school, your pastor and anyone else in your life who influenced you to abandon/avoid developing any critical thinking skills, you sad, pathetic little ghost

Jack4952's picture

Yet another chance for FEMA to show its COMPLETE INCOMPETENCE !!!!

It is too bad that such hurricanes do not hit Washington, D.C. !!!  If you you can not "drain a swamp", at least you can drown all the rats.

VooDoo6Actual's picture

We all know they are steering & manipulating the Weather via Geoengineering in the Technocracy by the CVryptocracy. They have been manipulating the weather since at lest early 2000's. That fact hasn't changed & many people still ignorant / nescient to that. At what point does the collective consciousness become aware of that fact or does it ?

Tiwin's picture

About the time we pull all our troops home and send in endless Cat 5 destruction to our enemies.

Manipulation does not equal control.

Ask any non ZH reading goldbug.

lennysrv's picture

"...manipulating the weather..."? Really? How does this happen?  I'm dying to know how humans have found a way to manipulate weather events, especially the large scale behemoths that wreak havoc.  What's next, manipulating earthquakes and volcanoes?

ArtificalDuality's picture

It looks like you're not entirely up-to-date on matter. That's where technology and science come in. Take some courses and get to understand where matter stands today.

Swampster's picture

Really? You must be one ignorant SOB....never heard of AgI????



Public schooled, huh?

Weiss's picture

Interesting!  Dane Wigington of Geoengineering Watch just did a video (link below) showing that Harvey was artificially manipulated to stay put over Houston and dump so much rain... and one of his main points was that oddly, meteorologists somehow already knew well in advance that Harvey was going to be a big event.  That despite there being NO evidence at the time that Harvey was going to be an unusual issue at all.

And now... somehow they know that Irma is going to be a big event--despite there being very little evidence that Irma is going to be an unusual issue at all.  How 'bout that!

Sugarcandy Mountain's picture

Glad to see somebody else is paying attention. Most people have their head well and truly wedged up their arse, along with their smartphones. Dane does a great job.

Swamp Yankee's picture

Queue "Black Hole Sun" by Soundgarden.  


Good night Chris wherever you are.

iamrefreshed's picture

Yeah, just like Hermine last year.

brazilian's picture

May it pass right over Houston and totally destroy the oil refineries and associated dirty industries.