Norway’s Big Fish Story

Tyler Durden's picture

Submitted by Nick Kamran – Letters from Norway

Decision Season

With Parliamentary elections looming, more Norwegians than usual are asking themselves the tough questions. It is now apparent that the slump in oil is not a temporary one. What will the country do now? Time for the lottery winner, after receiving the last annuity, to get a job before burning out the savings. Many are looking towards the sea, fishing and exploiting underwater natural resources. Others are looking to blast open the mountains to do the same.

However, commodity based economies, third-world in nature, are subject to mother nature’s whims, innovation, and ruthless competition.  Moreover, it creates complacency, catching the nation off guard when there is a shift in the supply curve (instead of hitting peak oil, the opposite happened). Hence, the decisions or lack thereof, made during the next four years will impact future generations. Two generations of Norwegians grew up on the delusion that their society, built on pre-socialist values and high oil prices, can endure any challenge. 


The
Fund’s withdraws could accelerate amid a global financial crisis: politicians burning cash to shore up the economy and secure votes.

Burn Rate

Taking the sovereign wealth fund (The Fund) for granted, many fail to realize that the underlying investments are all pinned to the prevailing low-interest rate climate. If inflation gets out of control and rates must be pushed up to cut it off, the effect on stock and bond values could be substantial.


Norwegian GDP growth correlates to oil prices.

Currently, assuming constant tax revenues, budget and oil fund value, Norway is in great shape: able to fill the budget gap for the next 30 years. But then what? Also, one must ask, how often do assumptions, which depend on everything remaining constant, endure the test of time? Is it possible to dodge a decade’s worth of black swans, some of which haven’t even been born yet? Based on observation, most believe that a miracle will happen, like it did in the past (stumbling onto one of the largest oil reserves just offshore), or the situation will just work itself out.

The New Normal

Yesterday’s lows are today’s highs: far off the $70/barrel required to balance the budget.  Technology turned oil, a once scarce resource, into an abundant commodity.


Rising rig counts rose, in the latest months, despite flat to downward trending oil prices, indicate lower break-even prices.

The technology from the American Energy Renaissance, is going global, offering all nations additional options, regarding energy sources. In addition to continuously improving fracking technology, clean coal, natural gas, wind, and geo-thermal sources, further reducing the need for imported hydrocarbons.   

The Fish Story vs. Reality

Although many Norwegian leaders believe that the nation can switch from one commodity to another, fish cannot replace oil.  However, the Norwegian Salmon’s strong brand equity could be diminished by increased on production on the back of industrial techniques. Moreover, commodity production, especially this kind, can be replicated worldwide.

The coastlines of the UK, Iceland, Greenland, Canada, Chile, Maine, Alaska, Japan, and Russia offer similar habitats, suitable for fish farming, like those of coastal Norway.  Moreover, fish farming is not rocket science. The required equipment is available on Alibaba.  Perhaps that’s where Salmar bought their latest system.


Sources: Statistics Norway: SSB.no and Fish Information and Services (FIS.com)

In addition to the law of supply and demand realities, new entrants joining the marketplace as long as profit opportunity exists, industrial fish farming offers a new set of problems:

  • Sea Lice poses one of the greatest challenges. Concentrated and congested in relatively small pens, the critters spread quickly, contaminating entire batches. Although the lice itself is not harmful to humans, it kills the fish. Currently, the Norwegian Ministry of Food and Industry states that there is a high risk of fish dying from lice between Karmøy and Sotra. Sometime soon, they will have a color code system (red, yellow, or green), overlaying a map of the nation’s coastlines, indicating risk levels.
  • Escapes post a major environmental hazard similar to that of Kudzu in the American South. When the genetically engineered (GMO) fish find their way into the open seas, they inevitably breed with the wild fish, weakening and mutating them. Based on a recent study, the problem is widespread.

Scientists tested half the rivers in Norway and found that every wild Atlantic Salmon population contains significant “Frankenstein” genes, introduced by the GMOs.  Escapes happen when storms tear open the containment nets, freeing hundreds of thousands of Salmon. Also, sloppy handlers and smolt (baby salmon) can slip out of containment system. The problem was so widespread in 2013 after a major “jailbreak”, which freed 127,000 fish, that a major fish producer offered a bounty: $90 per recaptured fish.


Nutritional differences exist between farm raised and natural salmon. Source:
Alexandra Morton – an activist in Canada. Norwegian salmon distinguishes and defines itself on quality. Mass production could diminish that advantage. 

Fish, especially Salmon, are an important component to the Norwegian economy but considering the public expenditure, marketplace competition, and industry risks outlined above, it will not carry the country forward.

Debt Fueled Economy

Nevertheless, Norway continues to party on.  The nearly trillion-dollar sovereign wealth fund can carry the nation forward until they find a strategic replacement to oil: but for how long?


Norwegian consumers are some of the most indebted in the world while the national government runs accelerating deficits in the face of a declining oil industry.  Source: SSB.no and the Norwegian Ministry of Finance

There are risks that could shorten that ability. Consumer debt, fueled by excessively low interest rates and rapidly growing money supply as well as a widening budget gap, could stoke a crisis. Such a crisis, generally international in nature, could also hit asset prices in a time of need, reducing the lead time from 30 years to perhaps 10. Imagine withdrawals accelerate while The Fund’s value takes a hit from a major stock market pullback and bursting of the bond bubble?


Source: SSB.no M1 ,M2 & M3 Money Supply Aggregates. It is quite apparent that once issued, currency is hard to take back. Norwegians are not supposed to discuss this but rather just trust in Norges Bank.

Sadly, very few Norwegians understand the underlying economics tied to their prosperity, blindly believing the headlines and Central Bank headline statements.  Who is richer, the guy with a new BMW bought on credit or the used Chevy bought with cash? Culturally, there is a lot of public trust in Norges Bank (The Norwegian Central Bank) and the mainstream media.  No one appears to question the consequences of simultaneously persistent negative real interest rates and rising in money supply (systematic currency destruction and standard of living degradation).

Based on street level observations and conversations with the politicians, campaigning for the September 11, 2017 general election, it appears that “kick the can down the road” is the way to go.  Politics is the art of delaying a decision until it is no longer relevant. Hence, they could burn this fund out, trying to buy votes for the next elections, taking place every two years (alternating national and local elections every two years).

The Critical Need for Leadership vs. Management

Generally, Norwegians are overly skeptical, unimaginative, and cautious, hindering their ability to innovate and invent on a grand scale.  Letting a generation slide by without thinking about the future affirms that. There is no industry stepping in to cover oil, revealed in the trade figures above.

Instead of investigating the facts about the Paris Agreement, Norwegian leaders jumped on the bandwagon, signing the speculative and flawed agreement because everyone else did.


Europeans love per-capita statistics. Very few nations can compete with Minnesota in innovation.

Instead, they should have used their influential position, regarding environmental issues, to question the underlying science.  The agreement is based on speculation and voluntary compliance by third-world nations, still struggling with human rights and corruption. If Trump had not withdrawn from the Paris Agreement, the world would have become complacent, believing the environmental crisis was solved.  Essentially, they would have falsely believed that India could enforce the rules.

On paper and at the UN, such nations can say anything. However, the reality on the ground is very different.  Considering India’s massive population and the public sector pay scale, individual factories will operate “business as usual,” paying bribes to the uninterested civil servants, getting them off their back. It is naïve to think otherwise. 

Living in Northern Brazil for a brief time, I personally witnessed farmers and ranchers blatantly cut down rain forest, despite the rules, to expand grazing land. Hence, Russia and China will outright lie.  Then, twenty years from now, we will be in the midst of an environmental disaster, caused by unaccounted third-world development.

Remember, that Hitler’s Germany, built up a military in secret, unleashing it on the world by surprise. The solution to climate change and environmental havoc requires much more than a piece of paper designed to crippled American development to the benefit of third world nations.

Therefore, the Paris Agreement would have doomed the planet, offering a delusion that problem had been “solved” after signing. Much needed attention to the environment would have been diverted to something trivial like removing offensive statues.  Environmental issues go far beyond emissions. It also includes plastic in the oceans, clean drinking water, and deforestation in India, Africa, and South America.  

The Paris Agreement forgot those issues. Our allies should have seen through this fallacy and expressed interest in real solutions, especially the Norwegians.

Thor’s Hammer

Hence, Norwegians need to elect a decisive “Viking like leader.” Someone with lofty ambitions and ideals who is daring, seizing the opportunity with Thorium. The land of fire and ice not only holds around 15% of the world’s thorium supply but also leads in reactor technology development. Thor Energy (Halden, Norway) is in the second phase of a five-year trial, validating the viability as a commercial energy source.

This technology offers the basis to a comprehensive environmental solution that would not only cover emissions but also take care of ocean plastic, deforestation, and chronic poverty. Integrating it with other existing Norwegian technologies: shipbuilding (Aker), automated garbage sorting (Tomra Systems), autonomous systems (Kongsberg Defense) and heavy engineering (Kongsberg Maritime) and working with North African leaders, Norwegian industry could fill the massive Sahara Desert with water, terraforming it into a lush rain forest and vast fields.

The Genesis of New Greenland

Running massive Thorium powered desalinization plants, pumping water into the dessert underground over the next 100+ years, vegetation and eventually forests could take root. A new society would emerge, built on green values and sustainable technologies. That concept would do more to ensure our planets survival than a piece of paper, written by professional politicians intended to upend America. 

But how could we make this happen? It would require the massive integration of existing technologies and proven concepts:


The massive dessert, larger than the United States, was once a rain forest, recycling massive amount of CO2. Thorium technologies could restore that quicker than the Paris Agreement could lower temperatures by .5 degrees over the same time period.

  • Ship Building: Norway is already a leader in specialty ships and the floating nuclear reactor concept has been around for over 50 years. Once the people in Halden industrialize the Thorium concept, they can mount the reactors onto highly automated ships, ensuring safety, security, efficiency. 

Two types of ships are needed. The first would be one that generates electricity and desalinizes seawater. The second type would collect ocean plastic, turning into drip irrigation equipment.  

  • Electricity created by the onboard powerplant could be delivered from ship to shore by undersea cable, directly into a modern grid.
  • Desalinization technology, using excess heat generated by nuclear powerplants, already exists. For the past 20+ years, India, Japan, and Kazakhstan have been doing this on an industrial scale. 
  • Drip Irrigation tubing, pipes, and other fixtures can be made from recycled ocean plastic onboard a thorium powered ship as it collects plastic from the massive Pacific Ocean plastic patch (it is the size of Mexico). Water would be delivered by pipeline from the shipboard plant to shore, distributed underground and directly to the plant root systems.

Israel has already proven that drip irrigation works: growing crops in the dessert with almost 90% less water than by open air.


Drip Irrigation in Libya, sourcing water from an underground aquifer. It would be better to use purified seawater, preserving the underground systems. Therefore, It is already possible to
grow forests in the desert with this technology.

  • Modular Housing Components, also made from ocean plastic onboard the Thorium powered collections ships, could provide a place to live for many of the worlds displaced people and SJW’s. The houses could be covered in Earth and vegetation protecting residents from the elements in a cost-efficient manner.  Those same people could also work in the field cultivating various crops for export and consumption, making this model sustainable.

Dirt prefabricated homes – Green Magic Homes Over time, the dessert above in Libya could look like this. Eventually a rainforest canopy could take root, furthering the reduction of carbon-dioxide.

The rainforests throughout the world act as our planet’s lungs, cycling carbon dioxide into oxygen.  Hence, this concept would not only clean up the ocean but also turn the dessert into a rain forest over the next few hundred years, permanently and naturally balancing carbon dioxide instead of depending on human compliance.

The question is who would pay for it and what would be the return?

  • National government funds in Europe set aside for refugees could be spent on making them a new nation, which they will have a part in building and take pride in.
  • Bored billionaires like Mark Zuckerberg, Bill Gates, Warren Buffet, Elon Musk, Richard Branson, and George Soros who supposedly want to do some good in the world.
  • Multi-National Corporations that supported the Paris Agreement and oppose President Trump.
  • The return would be from crop and electricity exports as well as tourism.  In addition, this new nation would be leaders in ocean plastic recycling innovation, selling housing solutions throughout the world. Norway could be at the forefront as an investor and benefactor.  

Conclusion

The greatest consequences of Nordic socialism are how it instills a lack of courage and imagination when facing global problems. For such a system to work, people must be mostly compliant and amicable. Currently, Norway can manage the economic shift by drawing from The Fund but I would hope that they want to do more than just get by. It is obvious that betting on fish is a bad idea.

However, culture of modesty and skepticism holds them back. Norway needs to think big if it wants to maintain the standard of living for future generations. They need to move beyond apps and electronic gadgets to true innovation: the kind that changes the world.  

Think about that when voting on September 11, 2017!

 

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Megaton Jim's picture

You expect black countries to embrace or be ready for technology?!? In most nigger coutries, a pointed stick is high technology!

californiagirl's picture

Don't forget the devastation the Norwegian farmed fish industry had on Chile's fishing industry. 

https://mobile.nytimes.com/2011/07/28/world/americas/28chile.html

Manthong's picture

Damn Norwegians…

I just hope they do not all try to emigrate to Minnesota and displace the native Somali’s,

Just chill out and have a sardine.

Mimir's picture

Sardines in Norway !!!!

researchfix's picture

Nothing wrong with the fish idea. The Pacific fish will have to be substituted soon.

CheapBastard's picture

I took a look at the Pacific currents and see the Fuki waters still bathing the Alaskan Coast.

 

No wonder their seal pups are born with deformities. We are already seeing that in our California Coast offspring. Look at the Berkley kids.

Norway (as did the other Scandanavian countries) had a good thing going but sodomized themsleves allowing this flood of unskilled, violent rapefugees in. Same with the EU and UK.

HillaryOdor's picture

To the cult members government is always a good thing, until it isn't.  And by then it's too late. This is why libertarians say to restrict government power or you will run into problems, problems that never exist according to every socialism apologist, until they inevitably do.  Yes they are always unforeseen and unpredictable, and unrelated.  That's the point.  Government is not good at predicting anything.  Stop giving them so much power.

pods's picture

Nice to see some optimistic posts every now and again. 

The thought of greening up the Sahara with desalination and recycled plastic drip irrigation helps counteract the daily bombardment of how the central bankers are deep dicking everyone. It reminds me how I looked at the world before I started on my journey down the rabbit hole of how money comes into being, who controls it, and why we operate in such a dumb system. 

I'd much rather think of using technology to make the world more livable then how to survive the coming collapse of fractional reserve banking. 

So in short, thank you. 

pods

buttmint's picture

.....this article was all over the map. Just sticking with Norway and their farmed fish would've been enough---but then jumping to the Thorium reactor at sea?

Who's been smoking what?

Manthong's picture

 

It used to be such a nice country.

Just wait until sub -Saharan Africans adapt to the cold.

 

Blue Steel 309's picture

To sustain a high level of wealth in a country, you need both natural resources and production.

The premise of this article is BS, because of that reality.

The USA is bleeding out the wealth of its natural resources by letting the rest of the world profit from them.

tuetenueggel's picture

keep your niggers and world will be grateful

Stuck on Zero's picture

"To sustain a high level of wealth in a country, you need both natural resources and production."

Blue you are dead wrong. To sustain a high level of wealth you need hard working moral people and an honest government.

 

roddy6667's picture

Not true. Look at Japan, with almost no natural resources. Or look at Holland. Nothing, yet they have a much higher standard of living than America.

ramius's picture

of course blacks are quick to addopt new technology. Just look how fast they learnt to use alcohol stills , AK's, TOW's, Stingers and other adult toys. Of course they chucked aside in disgust farming implements, human rights, schoolbooks , condoms etc. Don't blame them, it's a "cultural "thing, but worry not, they will share it with all the rich countries around, especially Germany. Just don't expect them to work or pay taxes, that is not in they're culture. 

SoDamnMad's picture

https://www.wfp.org/news/news-release/generous-us-donations-sustain-millions-hungry-africa-and-asia

 

As part of a South African regional initiative, $20.6 million will be distributed to Zimbabwe, Swaziland, Lesotho and Mozambique to assist populations devastated by chronic food insecurity and HIV/AIDS.

A lovely African example.  Mugabe throws out (murdering) the white farmer when Zimbabwe use to be an exporter of grain and now requires the US to feed them.  

Mentaliusanything's picture

The US will respond and allow them to continue to breed until these 'Locusts' die out byeating everything and then self starvation. DO NOT FEED the ANIMALS. Free is not Free

sinbad2's picture

Pointed sticks do have their uses, in some countries they love hammering them up the arses of Americans.

deimos178's picture

pointed sticks are what they use for surgery. 

roddy6667's picture

Norway has a higher standard of living than America.

Norway is more financially solvent than America. 

America is declining much faster than Norway.

Any American reading this article needs to know this.

Mimir's picture

You are right.

People should notice that the author of this article writes under the moto: an "American Perspective from Norway".

It should also be noticed that Norway,  this so-called "socialist" country, is Governed presently by a Conservative righwing governent. 

sinbad2's picture

How about US oil reserves, they must be getting low if your reduced to sucking oil out of rock?

PrivetHedge's picture

Not just that, the very method contaminates the top soil with uranium that was safely buried and dispersed deep underground.

The reason we have naturally occuring uranium is that it's got a long half life: 4.5bn years.

Highly toxic and not going to go away, it's the most shortsighted action one could imagine.

Uncle_Cuddles's picture

Hillary has dibs on the uranium.

deoldefarte's picture

We have more than enough oil in the good old USA...

That is why we import about 5 Mbd..LOL

Cloud9.5's picture

Magic money makes shale oil production possible.  Something about burning a candle at both ends making a merry light, but those staring at the flicker know it will not last the night.

Blanco Diablo's picture

Will this Man be Norway's First Muslim Prime Minister?

Sharia in sheep's clothing?

He's articulate and can put on the charm. He has an extremely slick, lawyerly way of fielding ticklish questions – not that the Norwegian media ever ask him ticklish questions. No, they fawn over him and give him protection, the way the U.S. media did with Obama. Given this – and given Raja's high level of name recognition, the rapid rise in Norway's Muslim population, and the number of Norwegian voters who are eager to prove at the ballot box that they're not Islamophobes – he could eventually be a shoo-in. In short, when I looked at the newly made-over Raja, I realized I was looking at the man who someday might well become Norway's first Muslim prime minister.

http://www.frontpagemag.com/fpm/267685/will-man-be-norways-first-muslim-...

PrivetHedge's picture

Using America as a measure to compare countries is like using a cow dung to measure how nice cakes are.

BidnessMan's picture

Was in Norway last year - true statements. They are seeing the effects of uncontrolled immigration of Arabs and Africans in next door Sweden. Doubt the Norskes will let it happen to them.

Fireman's picture

Big frankenfish is obviously the way to go in a stymied oil economy! If its good enough for dying USSANS then libtard gone-to-seed Vikings will love it all the more considering they are the anglozionazi front line canon fodder in the ongoing anglozionazi Ruskie hysteria.

 Electric fish....yummy!

https://www.fda.gov/ForConsumers/ConsumerUpdates/ucm472487.htm

 

Why is the Pentagon stuffing caves in Norway full of tanks?

http://theweek.com/articles/442882/why-pentagon-stuffing-caves-norway-fu...

ET's picture

Interesting read.

In the end, it's all about limited natural resources and how to make the most of a difficult situation.

Socialism is simply not the answer.

Mentaliusanything's picture

NO! Fuck it the End it is about Sustainability of the Human Race.. My figures around 800,000,000 very smart people might survive. But with how we are breeding Dumb and Dummer.... we are Fucked

totenkopf88's picture

The Georgia Guidestones state that a world population of 500M is about right for man to live in harmony w/nature so you are not too far off.

Andre's picture

You cannot live in harmony with what you despise. Right now, all too many people get their view of nature from specials about things like poisonous fish. Corporations only care about what they get out of "otherwise useless" environments, regardless of the long-term consequences.

Reducing population is useless if you do nothing about government/corporate greed, callousness, and carelessness.

Peanut Butter Engineer's picture

Corporation are created by the people, change the people and you will change the way how a corporation operates.

Andre's picture

Corporations are created by people, not "the people". Apologies, but the latter has a broader context, implying the public at large.

The issue is the broader view  of the people at the top of the corporations. First, corporations tend to hire based on the principles I am against. profits are not just OK, they are essential. It's how you make them that concerns me. More than a few of these people feel anything up to and including murder is OK (e.g., Karen Silkwood).

Also, corporate heads come and go - the bureaucracy, however, has more power and influence. They tend to be the corporate memory and repository of the "real" goals. Changing a large bureaucracy is a nigh-impossible task.

Allegedly true story of Nixon. After years of wrangling, he was able to close a "temporary" USPS office space that had been in use for 35 years. When it closed, he is supposed to have said "Gentleman, today we have accomplished the impossible" (or words to that effect).

East Indian's picture

Nice greenery in Libya. I am sure ISIS and Sorosters are greening up Sahara!

 

Gaddhafi had more concern for his people than these "leaders" who let loose a stream of barbarians into Europe. His only fault was he tried to break out of the invisible fiat net of the banksters that strangles all of us. He was murdered horribly. 

 

The next stage of progress is only after the fiat "money" and its beneficiaries are abolished. Else, we are staring at thousands of years of feudalism and serfdom.

 

farmboy's picture

First get rid of the socialistic welfare paradise. Promote turism as it is an extrodinary beautiful country, lower taxes on alcohol.

Do not let Goldman Sachs run the welfare fund. A few remarks to keep Norway as Norway.

totenkopf88's picture

Because Crony Capitalism where a few oligarchs hoard trillions-  which we have now- is so much better!

bitplayer's picture

Ugh. You say dessert, I say desert. And I call "Vic 20" on your graphics, Dumbass.

Blacksunday3's picture

Random topic. Super detailed article. Love it

DeeZ_nutZ's picture

putin can fish better than these sorry fuckers, i saw pictures and stuff!  they should take couple lessons from the greatest man alive!

DeeZ_nutZ's picture

1.  Let refugees rape a bunch of beautiful blonde chicks in norway.

2. ?????

3.  Profit and prosperity!

Still Losing Money's picture

so Norway’s economy is heavily dependent upon north sea oil money, so they support RENEWBLE green energy, solar, wind, hydro, electric cars and all that crap etc, which REDUCES demand for oil, LOWERS the amount that the country gets in fees/taxes, which hurts the economy and lowers the amount they have for paying for socialism like free health care. And then think the answer is over fishing naturally / farm fishing which is an environmental/ food health disaster. yeah makes so much sense.

sinbad2's picture

It's called taking a long term view, something the US should have done.

It's Americas love affair with profit today, and to hell with tomorrow that has brought it unstuck. The US had the largest oil deposits on the planet, and has burnt through most of it in a hundred years.

totenkopf88's picture

How is overfishing and depleting your natural resources a long-term view?

hooligan2009's picture

.. interesting

long thorium (as well as lithium)?

BritBob's picture

The UK currently inports about 35% of its gas from Norway via undersea pipelines. The Norweigians get about 95% of their energy needs from hydro-electric power so they have an abundance of gas and oil to export.