"I Think There Will Be War" - Iraqi Kurds Fear Conflict After Referendum

Tyler Durden's picture

Authored by Tom Westcott via Middle East Eye,

Official fears violence after 25 September independence vote, as disputes grow in areas controlled by Kurd forces outside original KRG borders.

Fears of fresh conflict in northern Iraq are bubbling to the surface weeks before Iraqi Kurds hold a contentious vote on independence, with warnings of war over disputed, ethnically mixed border regions and reports of Shia forces pushing Kurd officials from a town to prevent voting.

The Kurdistan Regional Government, or KRG, has refused repeated requests from Baghdad, the US and regional powers to postpone its 25 September referendum, saying it would only do so if an alternative was presented by Iraq’s central government.

Tensions have risen in areas liberated by KRG forces outside the region’s original 2003 borders, including the city of Kirkuk. On Monday the KRG’s president, Massoud Barzani, said “any attempt to change the reality using force” in Kirkuk “should expect that every single Kurd will be ready to fight.”

Dr Jutyar Mahmoud, a member of the region’s independence referendum commission, told Middle East Eye that disputed territories such as Kirkuk were the focus of fears of a new conflagration after the referendum.

“We will face border problems in the near future and I definitely think there will be another war, and soon,” he said.

He described Iraq as “militarily weak,” after three years of battling the Islamic State (IS), during which time forces have suffered extensive losses, particularly in the recent nine-month fight to liberate Mosul.

A greater threat, he said, was posed by Iraq’s other army – the Iranian-backed paramilitary Hashd al-Shaabi, or Popular Mobilisation force.

“The Hashd are another threat and maybe Iran will push them to fight us,” Mahmoud said, adding that Iraq’s prime minister, Haider al-Abadi, “doesn’t control the Hashd, but Iran can.”

Jutyar Mahmoud considered the Hashd a greater threat than Iraq’s regular army (AFP)

Hostile acts

His comments preceded bouts of recent unrest in some of the contested border regions. On Saturday, local Arabs pulled the KRG flag from a council building in Mandali, in the province of Diyala, and staged an armed, albeit peaceful, protest in the town.

The next day, the town council sacked the Kurdish mayor and overruled a previous vote that agreed to the town’s participation in the referendum, according to the Kurdish news service Rudaw. Claims that the Hashd were involved were denied by a well-placed source, who said such actions were not in line with the force’s policies.

The source told MEE that if local fighters affiliated with the Hashd were involved, they were representing themselves, not the Hashd al-Shaabi.

Also on Saturday, Kurdish Turkmen were urged to boycott the referendum by eight Turkmen parties in Kirkuk, who repeated Baghdad’s line that the vote is unconstitutional.

In Sinjar, 2,000 Yazidis have joined the Hashd, according to the force’s spokesman Ahmed al-Asadi.

Yazidi refugees living in camps said the move was prompted by dissatisfaction with the Kurdish peshmerga forces for failing to protect them from IS in 2014, and what they said was ongoing neglect and marginalisation of Yazidis under the KRG.

Adding to extant tensions are limitations of voter eligibility. Although northern Iraq has long been ethnically mixed, Arabs relocated under former Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein’s Arabisation schemes are not eligible to vote in the referendum, said the KRG referendum commission’s Mahmoud.

Voting in the disputed territories would also be limited to areas controlled by the peshmerga, Mahmoud said, adding that Hashd forces had made it clear that they would not accept ballot boxes being placed in any areas under their control.

Kirkuk’s tinderbox

Both the peshmerga and Hashd forces are maintaining a strong military presence in several disputed territories, including Kirkuk province.

Several thousand Turkmen Hashd fighters reportedly control what Hashd spokesman Asadi said was the lion’s share of the province, but he insisted any talk of war was political bluster.

“The Hashd al-Shaabi were founded to ensure the stability and security of Iraq, not to ignite sectarian or regional wars,” he told Middle East Eye.

 

“Anyone who promotes these ideas about war between Iraq and Kurdistan are outsiders intent on destabilising the security and stability of Iraq.

 

“The affairs in Kurdistan are not going to lead to a war and such talk is nothing but a passing political tempest to satisfy some political matters for some Kurdish politicians.

 

“We view Kurdistan as an Iraqi land and we will defend it as we continue to defend all of Iraq.”

Asadi said “brotherly ties” between Hashd fighters and the Kurds had been proved by how they stood united in one trench to defend Iraq in the battle against IS.

Baghdad, the US and regional powers have urged the KRG to postpone its referendum (Reuters)

Brotherly ties

Dr Kemal Kerkuki, a peshmerga commander stationed near IS-occupied Hawija, echoed this sentiment, saying the chance of war with Iraq was “very, very narrow, if not impossible” – but was keen to reiterate the strength of the peshmerga.

“The peshmerga forces are always ready to defend our lands and I think the fight against IS has shown the whole world what our forces are capable of,” he said.

 

“However, we are determined to use the referendum and all democratic tools in our negotiations with Baghdad for an amicable divorce.”

Kerkuki insisted defeating IS remained a priority for both the KRG and Baghdad, and said there was ongoing cooperation between Iraqi and peshmerga forces.

Having swiftly defeated IS in Tal Afar, Iraqi forces are now preparing to begin their operations to retake Hawija, in one of the many disputed areas along the border regions between the KRG and Iraq.

Kerkuki admitted there were recurrent problems between rival Iraqi forces but remained adamant that the referendum would help resolve rather than exacerbate problems in the border regions.

“The referendum is a peaceful and democratic tool to solve the chronic problems between the Kurdistan region and Iraq,” he said.

 

“The referendum is a tool to defuse war and intra-city conflicts in the newly liberated areas, particularly the so-called ‘disputed areas’.”

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hoytmonger's picture

The US and Israel will make sure there is war.

07564111's picture

Kurd need to look at where the money their leaderships are stashing away comes from. They average Kurd is going die for nothing.

Haus-Targaryen's picture

What a surprise, more people chopping each others' heads off in the desert. 

Mr 9x19's picture

i think  UN / NATO will make longer than usual to state about the situation, letting some hundred thousands fading away...returning to dust, blended in air with sand in the void of the spirituality... amen... err i mean, hallah akbar

giovanni_f's picture

what exactly is a Kurdish "Official"? A member of the most powerful tribe bribed by the US?

Veritas X-'s picture

Barzani is a mozzad agent & buttf-cked by BB.

Don't believe me?

LOOK:

https://duckduckgo.com/?q=barzani+mossad&t=ffab&ia=web

 

BARZANI'S ISRAEL TRIP IN 1960ies - SARA Distribution BARZANI'S ISRAEL TRIP IN ... Visit of the Mossad to Kurdish leader Mullah Mustafa Barzani's head quarter in Kurdistan's mountains in 1966. — With Safti Barzani, ... saradistribution.com/barzanisisraelresa.htm Masoud Barzani - Wikipedia Masoud Barzani (Kurdish: ??????? ??????? ‎ or Mesûd Barzanî; born 16 August 1946) is an Iranian-born Iraqi Kurdish politician who has been President ... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Massoud_Barzani 'Barzani-Mossad ili?kisi 90'larda belgelenmi?ti' - Timeturk ... IKBY'nin 25 Eylül'de gerçekle?tirece?i ba??s?zl?k referandumu, mitinglerde aç?lan ?srail bayraklar?yla gündeme gelirken Barzani ailesi ve Mossad ... https://www.timeturk.com/barzani-mossad-iliskisi-90-larda-belgelen... "Mossad sent me to Kurdistan to help the Kurds": Sagi Chori "Mossad sent me to Kurdistan to help ... These questions had been discussed and answered with Sagi Chori who was one of Mala Mustafa Barzani closest ... Kurds knew ... ekurd.net/mismas/articles/misc2011/7/state5261.htm --------- X-

 

Volkodav's picture

       kurds kinda the poles of ME..

       getting used again

 

Mr. Pain's picture

Money to be made for the Industrial war machine.

Mr 9x19's picture

PROMO :

 

one M16 bought from side A = once m16 sold to side B

 

USA like to keep things balanced...........

 

Sky flyer's picture

Fresh supplies of M-16s and AKs, everyone wins.

AG17's picture

US weapon artillary needs to go somewhere, anywhere. Economy is in shits..

Volkodav's picture

       need beat into plowshares...

BarkingCat's picture

Aluminum and plastic make lousy plows. 

USofAzzDownWeGo's picture

Iraqi and Syrian people are actually some of the nicest people ive ever met... and ive met quite a few. The FOREIGN PAID mercenaries are there doing the dirty work of Israel. The so called "terrorists" or "insurgents" are all bought off just like US politicians are. They both work and serve who?? 

otschelnik's picture

Kurds occupy a territory from east Turkey to northern Iran and Southern Azerbaijan.  They also are sitting on the Kirkuk oil field, which is a neat source of financing.  If they ever cast of the colonial boundries that France and England drew, formed a nation state, well Katy bar the door....

Normally Aspirated's picture

More divide and conquer by Israel. Always fund and support the minorities. It's actually happening in one way or another everywhere

DEMIZEN's picture

what are they retarded? there will be war. there is war as we speak.

WTFUD's picture

. . . and i'm going down to the pub tonight to find a new B.I.R.D.

homonohumanus's picture

Another obvious plot that has been going on for quiet long that might get to the hot point.

 

It looks like Trump controls nothing any longer. The mid term election are going to be really funny and scary.

Brazen Heist's picture

Make no mistake about it, behind the scenes, the UK, Israel and the US are shuffling in a frenzy and fully supporting this movement. Publically the say they're opposed to it, which is a lie.

sinbad2's picture

The US is trying to split Iraq and Syria, like it split Korea and Vietnam. Keeping the various sides fighting is a very profitable business for the US.

ogretown's picture

Sure. If the Kurds want to hold a vote amongst themselves to move forward the idea of having their own country, fine - why not.  But in the end is up to the countries that will be impacted to decide if they want to carve off huge pieces of *their* land to make that new state a reality.  But speaking of reality, all I can see is a stronger alliance between Iran and Syria to thwart this effort. And hopefully there will be a large number of the Iraq people who will side in with the Syria-Iranian alliance.   As far as the Kurds go, surely to shit they must realize they are being groomed and manipulated by the usual rogue nations?  Divide and disorganize. And what amazed me, the tactics used by the Crusaders continues to be an effective regional tool. The only difference is the evil machinations are no longer directed from Rome.   

Cluster_Frak's picture

Reptilians demand sacrifice, more fodder needed to please gods.

star_guide's picture

Iraqi Kurdistan independence referendum  https://goo.gl/aFmvt6  

Son of Captain Nemo's picture

A somber note to the Kurds...

You are on the losing "team" (https://southfront.org/russian-sumbarine-launches-cruise-missiles-terror...), and if I WERE YOU I'd be calling it a day with the Syrian Government, Iranians, Iraqis and Turks and share the provisions before your genocide comes full circle.

Stop being a greedy little Zionist and preserve of your culture and peoples whatever may be left of it!