Forget Catalonia, Flanders Is The Real Test Case Of EU Separatism!

Tyler Durden's picture

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Oriental Review,

Catalonia’s separatist campaign has dominated European headlines for the past couple of weeks, but it’s really the northern Belgian region of Flanders which will serve as a barometer over whether large chunks of the EU will fall apart into a collection of identity-centric statelets prior to the bloc’s reconstitution into a “federation of regions”.

What’s going on in Catalonia is of paramount importance to the geopolitical future of Europe, since it could very well serve as the catalyst for fracturing the EU if copycat movements elsewhere are emboldened by the Spanish region’s possible separatist success. This was explained in detail in the author’s recent analysis about “The Catalan Chain Reaction”, which readers should familiarize themselves with if they’re not already acquainted with the thesis put forth in that work. To concisely summarize, there’s a very distinct possibility that the EU’s liberal-globalist elite have been planning to divide and rule the continent along identity-based lines in order to further their ultimate goal of creating a “federation of regions”.

Catalonia is the spark that could set off this entire process, but it could also just be a flash in the pan that might end up being contained no matter what its final result may be. Flanders, however, is much different because of the heightened symbolism that Belgium holds in terms of EU identity, and the dissolution of this somewhat artificially created state would be the clearest sign yet that the EU’s ruling elite intend to take the bloc down the direction of manufactured fragmentation. Bearing this in mind, the spread of the “Catalan Chain Reaction” to Belgium and the inspiration that this could give to Flanders to break off from the rest of the country should be seen as the true barometer over whether or not the EU’s “nation-states” will disintegrate into a constellation of “Balkanized” ones.

“The First Bosnia”

In order to properly understand the state of affairs at play, it’s necessary to briefly review the history of what could in some sense be described as “The First Bosnia”, or in other words, Europe’s “first artificially created state”. Most of the territory of what is nowadays referred to as Belgium was unified with the modern-day Netherlands from 1482-1581 when the political entity was referred to as the Habsburg Netherlands. The southern part (Belgium) came under Spanish control from 1581-1714 when it was called the Spanish Netherlands. Afterwards, it passed under Austrian administration from 1714-1797 when it became the Austrian Netherlands prior to its brief incorporation into the First French Republic and later Empire from 1797-1815. It was during the Spanish and Austrian eras that Belgium began to consider Catholicism as an inseparable part of its national identity in opposition to the Netherland’s Protestantism. Finally, Belgium was part of the United Kingdom of the Netherlands from 1815-1839 until the Belgian Revolution made it an independent state for the first time in its history.

In essence, what ended up happening is that a majority-Catholic but ethno-linguistically divided population got caught up in the 19th century’s wave of nationalism and created a hybrid Franco-Dutch state that would eventually federalize in the late-20th century, in a structural sense serving as a precursor to the dysfunctional Balkan creation of Bosnia almost a century and a half later.

It’s important to mention that the territory of what would eventually become Belgium had regularly been a battleground between the competing European powers of the Netherlands, the pre-unification German states, France, the UK, and even Spain and Austria during their control of this region, and this new country’s creation was widely considered by some to be nothing more than a buffer state. The 1830 London Conference between the UK, France, Prussia, Austria, and Russia saw the Great Power of the time recognize the fledgling entity as an independent actor, with Paris even militarily intervening to protecting it during Amsterdam’s failed “Ten Day’s Campaign” to reclaim its lost southern province in summer 1831. For as artificial of a political construction as Belgium was, it fared comparatively well during the 19th century as it leveraged its copious coal supplies and geostrategic position to rapidly industrialize and eventually become a genocidal African colonizer in the Congo. Although it was devastated in both World Wars, Belgium was able to bounce back in a relatively short period of time, partly because it could rely on its Congolese prison state.

In The Belly Of The Beast

Flash forward to the present, and the only thing that modern-day Belgium has in common with its past self is its internal divisions. The post-colonial aftermath of “losing the Congo” and shortly beforehand agreeing to host the capital of the European Union opened up previously nationalistic Belgium to liberal-globalist influence, which contributed to what would eventually become its utter domestic dysfunction in recent years. It wasn’t by chance that Brussels was chosen as the EU’s headquarters either, since its inherent weakness was thought to make it an ideal “compromise country” for establishing the bloc’s headquarters, as it would never become as powerful as France, for example, in potentially monopolizing the international organization’s agenda. Again, Belgium’s history as a buffer state/region came into relevant play in positioning it “in the belly of the beast” that’s nowadays reviled by all sorts of individuals across the continent.

The administrative disconnect between its northern region of Flanders and the southern one of Wallonia, as well as what would eventually become its multi-tiered federal, regional, and community structure, was exploited by the EU’s ideologically extreme elite to make the country the centerpiece of their “multicultural experiment”. After decades of facilitating mass migration from civilizationally dissimilar societies of the “Global South”, 5.9% of the country is Muslim while at least an astonishing 20% of Brussels follows Islam. Almost all of the capital’s Muslims are immigrants, mostly from Morocco and Turkey, which isn’t surprising considering that 70% of Brussels’ inhabitants are foreign-born. Unfortunately for the native locals, the “multicultural experiment” has failed miserably, and Belgium is now Europe’s jihadist leader in terms of the per capita number of fighters who have travelled abroad to join Daesh.  All things considered, the “utopia” that the Belgians were promised by joining the EU and hosting its headquarters has turned into a dystopia, and the country now finds itself in the belly of the liberal-globalist beast.

It’s little wonder than that some of Belgium’s population wants to escape from the organization which is responsible for their socio-cultural and security challenges, ergo the Flemish independence movement which aims to see the country’s northern region become an independent state because of the lopsided demographic-economic advantage that it has over Wallonia. Flanders contributes four times as much to Belgium’s national economy as Catalonia does to Spain’s, being responsible for a whopping 80% of the country’s GDP as estimated by the European Commission, and it also accounts for roughly two-thirds of Belgium’s total population unlike Catalonia’s one-sixth or so. This means that Flemish independence would be absolutely disastrous for the people living in the remaining 55% of the “Belgian” rump state, which would for all intents and purposes constitute a de-facto, though unwillingly, independent Wallonia. Therefore, it’s important to forecast what could happen if Belgium ultimately implodes with Flanders’ possible secession.

Breaking The Buffer State

This section should appropriately be prefaced by emphasizing that there’s no guarantee that Flanders will actually secede from Belgium, or that it would be successful in holding an unconstitutional referendum such as the one that Catalonia did in attempting to “legitimize” its anti-state ambitions. Furthermore, the Belgian state or its EU superstate overseer might resort to force just as Madrid did in trying to prevent this region’s secession, so the reader shouldn’t take it for granted that Flanders will inevitably become an independent state. Having gotten the “disclaimer” out of the way, however, there’s a very real chance that the “Catalan Chain Reaction” will spread to the “belly of the beast” in catalyzing a similar separatist process in Flanders, hence why the author argued in the introduction that the outcome of such a reenergized post-Catalan movement in this region will be the best barometer in gauging whether the EU’s liberal-globalist elite do indeed plan to “Balkanize” the bloc into an array of regionally “federalized” identity-centric statelets.

Given the domestic and historical particularities of the Belgian case study, it appears likely that Flanders’ successful secession (however it ends up coming about) would lead to a narrow range of geopolitical outcomes for the Western European country.

The first one is that Wallonia would be unable to function as a stand-alone “rump”/”independent” state given its measly 20% of unified Belgium’s GDP, its one-third of the previous population, and presumed dependency on Flanders’ port of Antwerp for most economic contact with the “outside world’ aside from France and Germany. For these reasons, it’s conceivable that the French-speaking region could be taken over by France just like how the famous French diplomat Charles Maurice de Talleyrand-Périgord originally envisioned in his unfulfilled eponymous “Talleyrand partition plan” that was first unveiled during the 1830 London Conference. As for Flanders itself, it could either attempt to remain an “independent” state or possibly confederate with the Netherlands, if there was any desire from both parties for this latter option.

Where things get tricky, however, is when it comes to the German-speaking community in eastern Wallonia, which might not want to become part of France. Also, for reasons of sensitive political-historical optics, they probably wouldn’t be able to join Germany because it would carry uncomfortably strong shadows of Hitler’s annexation of the Sudetenland during the pre-World World II dissolution of Czechoslovakia. Therefore, it’s likely that this sub-region would remain within Wallonia, which itself would probably become part of France, albeit with possible autonomy guaranteed to the German speakers that Paris would be “inheriting”. That said, this isn’t the trickiest part of any Belgian breakup, as the status of Brussels would definitely occupy center stage in this scenario. The EU would be inclined to see to it that its capital becomes an “independent” city-state on par with similarly sized Liechtenstein, though with a much higher and more dangerous Salafist demographic to contend with, one which could make it the “rightful” capital of “Eurabia” if civilizational-geopolitical trends continue in that direction.

Concluding Thoughts

The future of Flanders will be more of a harbinger of the EU’s administrative-political future than Catalonia’s will be, though the latter is indeed the trigger for sparking what might become the former’s emboldened separatist push. If the host country of the EU’s headquarters falls victim to the secessionist trend that might be poised to sweep across the bloc due to the “Catalan Chain Reaction”, then it would confidently indicate that the EU’s ruling liberal-globalist elite are determined to initiate the “controlled Balkanization” of the continent into a constellation of identity-centric statelets so as to ultimately satisfy their long-held goal of implementing a “federation of regions.

There is no place in Europe more symbolically significant than Belgium, and especially its jihadist dystopian capital of Brussels, so if the European power structures “allow” Flanders to separate from “the First Bosnia”, then it’s all but certain that the rest of the bloc will feel the geopolitical reverberations within their own borders sooner than later.

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Lost in translation's picture

Meaningless.

Nationalist and/or separatist/independence movements mean less than zero when the State has a monopoly of violent force, and the plebes are defenseless.

peddling-fiction's picture

This why Belgium should not offer their "mediation" "abilities" to Catalonia.

Newsboy's picture

They say Waloons are the only nice Belgians...

Haus-Targaryen's picture

Its painfully obvious the author has no clue on how/what the German minority in Belgium thinks nor any clue on how post WWII Germany has dealt with border disputes/uncertainties.  

If Flanders was to pull off and create its own country and Wallonia would go to France, the German minority would have a snap vote (we're talking about a landmass the 10% that of Rhode Island with 20k people) as to which nation to belong to, Germany or France. 

Having spoken with quite a few people on this topic, you'd have 75%+ vote for Germany and the balance vote for France, just like in Saarland in the 50s. Bundestag would authorize the annexation, and given the German government is run like a hippie colony they'D probably get the blessing of the English, French and Americans.  Shoot they'd probably want the Polish to sign off on it as well.  But at the end of the day, this place would become a part of Germany. 

Know what would change there for the lives of the people?  Nothing.  Taxes would go down, license plates would change ... and thats about it.  

taipalag's picture

German speaking Belgian here. If  Belgium were to split, the German-speaking minority most likely would want to become part of Luxemburg because of its wealth.

The south part of the german-speaking region shares a border with Luxemburg, and an important part of the german-speaking population already works in Luxemburg, contributing to both the german-speaking region's and Luxemburg's wealths.

Haus-Targaryen's picture

I've heard this before as well.

From what I heard, there would be political opposition to this in Luxembourg due to voting habits and there is large support to rejoin Germany should this happen.

What are your thoughts  

Escrava Isaura's picture

Haus-Targaryen: Its painfully obvious the author has no clue

LOL.

Of course not, because that’s part of the propaganda. Fake news —abuse of reality— either from the left or right is what sells to their followers. Yesterday’s facts are today’s propaganda.

It’s like a religion. Mine is right. The others are false-flags.

 

 

AssN9's picture

The author has a clue, it's the same clue Rickards gets when you are supposed to believe the "elites" still have control over this mess...They don't.
It's all part of a cycle and what comes next is fragmentation. Rise and fall replace itself forever.

Escrava Isaura's picture

Believing is not an elite problem.

The middle-class also believe.

So does the lower-class.

Believing is just a way to justify against the unknown. Religion is its insurance plan. It gives you cover and protection against the unknown.

 

Now controlling, you’re talking tactics. And those are not settle in stones. Tactics keep evolving with the situation.   

 

 

Disgruntled Goat's picture

All the more reason to solidify gun rights in the USA and establish Constitutional Carry in all 50 states.

Captain Chlamydia's picture

 Yes,  that is what I used to think (....the State has a monopoly of violent force, and the plebes are defenseless).

But,  it ain't so. The moment people STOP PAYING taxes and mortgage, and use barter as much as possible, the state can not function.

The people have the power. Unfortunately, too many people are indoctrinated into thinking that the state is necessary in it's present form. The people will only revolt or stop paying tax, when TPTB have gone too far, in effect beying a totalitarian state,  even more than it is today.

 

Gandhi showed the way. Now if only the people grew some brains and balls....

Hokkaido Bear's picture

"The moment people STOP PAYING taxes and mortgage, and use barter as much as possible, the state can not function."

 

How's that working out for Venezuela?

 

Big Twinkie's picture

Gee, what happens when you stop paying taxes with the money the government printed?  The government doesn't need a single penny of your taxes.  They spend as much as they like on whatever they choose.  Federal taxes are only used for controlling you.  Control -- nothing more.

piliage's picture

You've obviously never dealt with the incompetent Belgian police or military. They couldn't find their ass from a hole in the ground. And even in Brussels, the VAST majority of the state police are Flemish, as they need to be bilingual (French & Flemish) and the French generally refuse to speak Flemish. The police will not fire on Flemish separatists, ain't gonna happen.

And glorious Wallonia qualifies for 2nd world status under OECD standards, a complete abject corrupt socialist economic failure, funded 100% by Flanders. It will not improve until the money train stops.

 

just the tip's picture

They couldn't find their ass from a hole in the ground.

american colloquialisms are just so fucking confusing.  don't you agree?  let me help.

They wouldn't know the difference between their ass and a hole in the ground.

you're welcome.

New_Meat's picture

they couldn't find their ass with both hands in a snowstorm

God Emperor's picture

They can't find their ass with both hands and a dildo.

Or do they?

spieslikeus's picture

Some will find YOUR ass with both hands and a dildo

Farqued Up's picture

There you go, trying to intellectuallize between knowing and finding. It doesn’t matter.

You’re welcome. ????

taipalag's picture

Socialist corruption is a problem, true. But what the Flemish conveniently forget is that for more than a hundred years Wallonia was the richest region in Belgium and has financed the poor flemish region.

alt-center's picture

With the Flemish population doing all the hard work and making the money for their franskilion elite slave owners.....

Walloons have been socialistic since Ceasar.

Escrava Isaura's picture

The level of idioticy is astonishing.

piliage: It will not improve until the money train stops.

Money is the incentive. The grease. More needs to be created to produce employment and future wealth.  

 

Pendolino's picture

Someone call Ghandi and tell him he's wasting his time!

junction's picture

Without Wallonia, the French-speaking part of Belgium, what would the Flems do for crime news. Consider the Dutroux affair, a case that involves a gang that robbed Belgian supermarkets and killed shoppers in the late 1980s, a pedophile ring that involved high court corruption and the assassination of a top politician in the 1990s.  Plus illegal arms deals made by top NATO officials.  

http://www.nytimes.com/1999/07/16/news/prosecutor-in-pedophile-case-kill...

 

Observers said that Mr. Massa's death could delay the Cools and Dutroux investigations since it would take a new prosecutor time to study the dossiers, each running thousands of pages.  Mr. Dutroux, a convicted rapist, is in a maximum security jail in Arlon awaiting trial for the kidnapping of six young girls, the gruesome murder of four of them, the murder of an accomplice and a general charge of criminal conspiracy.

 

Mr. Dutroux was a key member of an international pedophile ring, which has been speculatively linked in the press here with members of Belgian high society and the political class.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/judge-accused-of-cover-up-in-coo...

 

The accusations by the Cools family against Mr Wathelet are not the first to be made against the Luxembourg judge since the Belgian crisis broke.  Following the discovery of child murder and sex abuse allegedly perpetrated by Dutroux and his accomplices, Mr. Wathelet was accused by the families of the dead girls of letting Dutroux walk free during his period as justice minister. It was Mr. Wathelet who agreed to Dutroux's release when he had completed three years of a 13-year sentence for child rape.

 

As the scandal continued to produce revelations, it emerged separately yesterday that new evidence had been given to the authorities suggesting that the Cools killing may have been carried out by Sicilian Mafia hitmen, as long suspected.

http://www.politico.eu/article/belgium-failed-state-security-services-mo...

 

Liège was another socialist stronghold. In the early 1990s, Belgium was rocked by the assassination of a Liégeois socialist politician, André Cools, who had been budget minister (1968-1971), a deputy prime minister (1969-1972), president of the Belgian socialists, Walloon minister of public works, and president of the Walloon parliament. Those convicted in 1994 of his assassination were Tunisians with links to the Italian mafia, but it was not until 2004 that convictions were secured of political rivals said to have ordered the killing. The investigation into the Cools assassination in turn brought to light corruption in the purchase by the Belgian state of helicopters from the Italian firm Agusta. A casualty of the Agusta-Dassault scandal was Willy Claes who was forced to resign as secretary-general of NATO.

 

 

 

Juggernaut x2's picture

They produce some good beer in Wallonia. 

BobEore's picture

Indeed - not only does our 'hired pen of the $power' scribbler leave out any mention of Brussels as HQ of the pedophile establishment ruling both sides of the Atlantic...

he conveniently repackages the critical historical period in question - "Spanish Netherlands - so as to PURPOSELY AVOID all mention of the facts that|

the same simpering Hapsburg gang were waltzing round wallonia whilst their taxfarmin minions were taking apart that same CATALONIA and its' constitution... outlawing its language and running roughshod over entrenched civil liberties...

the flood of talmudist terror - in the form of crypto-fugitives from Spain driftly north in search of new empires to conquer with weapons of debt... was loaning mucho loot to these royal gangsters in the early version of what would become the 'court jeudin' racket...

and the game of breaking down all legitimate sovereignties in order to impose rule by international finance capital - and warped wasp royals as puppet princes\

would just be getting underway! \history - raped and abused daily here... in service to the moneypower and its alt-media minions.

waspwench's picture

There is a massive amount of information on the web about the Dutroux pedophilia case.   It is truly horrifying stuff

Mimir's picture

I think you forgot to mention the many diamant crime cases in Antwerpen or the cocaine market in the same city (20 tons per year pass the harbour), but they speak Flemish, don't they ?

strayaway's picture

The importers probably speak French or Arabic. That's another reason Antwerp should be run by Flemings.

land_of_the_few's picture

Pretty sure you can't blame the French in general for much bad behavior of NATO. They exited it for 43 years starting 1966. Which include the Iraq war period.

And, Brussels, location of both 1/2 of EU HQ, and the NATO HQ, isn't in Wallonia, it's in Flanders. If Flanders joins Holland, it's going to be minus its capital city.

strayaway's picture

Any Flemish independence movement would probably be led by the Vlaams Belang Party described as right wing and nationalistic.  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vlaams_Belang

Flanders is already minus its capital city now overrun by EU bureaucrats, their retinue of profiteers, and Muslims. Brussels could be set up like Washington,D.C. and its relationship to Maryland. When Belgium became a country, Walloons outnumbered Flemings and a German francophile was brought in to be king. French became the sole official language. The more conservative Flemings eventually out populated the Walloons. Industry and wealth shifted to the north. Flemings eventually managed to get equal language status for Flemish. Walloon politicians encouraged the immigration of French speaking north African Walloons to increase their voting constituency.

The District du Nord, with some Flemish place names like 'Dunkirk' in northern france used to be Flemish. France kept it and it is now mostly French speaking. It is ridiculous to think that Wallonia would suffer because of losing Antwerp as suggested in this article. There is no reason to believe that Antwerp or Flanders would reject Wallonia's money and commerce.

Yen Cross's picture

   Spain is just the beggining. Just overrun the cops and steal their guns and ammo. The MOB RULES !!!  Just ask the assholes that created fractional banking on Jekyll Island.

spdrdr's picture

"Flanders, however, is much different because of the heightened symbolism that Belgium holds in terms of EU identity, and the dissolution of this somewhat artificially created state would be the clearest sign yet that the EU’s ruling elite intend to take the bloc down the direction of manufactured fragmentation."

How on Earth is the Euro ruling elite bloc (i.e. a clear "One World" government) intending to take Belgium down in a "manufactured fragmentation"?

Seriously, our Overlords do not have any desire whatsoever towards fragmentation, manufactured or otherwise.

"Fragmentation" means different groups, with different desires, different expectations.  Living life amongst their own.  Cannot possibly happen in the "New Europe".

 

 

Juggernaut x2's picture

The EU will fail, it is just a matter of time. As will the US, if not in our lifetime then in our kids' or grandkids'.

Escrava Isaura's picture

Juggernaut x2: The EU will fail, it is just a matter of time. As will the US, if not in our lifetime then…...

Again, appealing for the low hang fruit —easy predictions.

The interesting question is not that EU “all humanity, in fact” will fail next decade.

The interesting question, in my view, is which nation will go hungry first in Europe.

The British imports 1/4 of their food from Europe.

Hitler invaded Czechoslovakia for food.

 

Weisshorn's picture

"Overlords do not have any desire whatsoever towards fragmentation, manufactured or otherwise."

The (((banks))) are on the cusp of getting complete budgetary and financial control over all of the Euroland, but the EU has no national police or military.  In order to get these things the EU could well plan on breaking down the old nation states and then consolidating the broken up military and national police forces into a larger EU force that can be used to enforce compliance.  

Megaton Jim's picture

Flanders?!? What would Homer Simpson say?!?

afronaut's picture

Everybody is stupid except me

Dr. Engali's picture

Hi diddly ho neighborinos

Byte Me's picture

Never. Going. To. Happen.

This bollocks about a "Balkanized" EU is just that - bollocks.

If Vlaanderen 'goes' - then the whole EU disintegrates.

Bring it on.

waspwench's picture

I should have thought that a gaggle of small, "independent" states would have been ideal for the EU.   None of them would be viable individually and they would all end up huddling under the EU flag.   All would be small enough to intimidate and none would be large enough to fight back.

Both Scotland and Catalonia want EU membership so their "independence" ambitions are a  pure fiction.   In the case of Scotland the bid for "independence" was nothing more than local power grab. by the SNP.

Mimir's picture

I don't think any of the regions in Europe which have some kind of independence movements wants to leave the EU or leave the EURO area. Oh yes one : the Faroe Islands which will vote for total independence from Denmark next year, and yet they are already not part of the EU just like Greenland.

Temple of Truth's picture

Lombardia / Veneto are strongly anti EU.

Mimir's picture

As you say bollocks !

The EU would shake it off during an evening meeting in Bruxelles. The only question, that interests the EU in the case of Flemish and Walonian independence is what what happens with Brussels, and the German minority region and will Wallonia become part of France ?