In The Markets... "It's All About The Magic"

Tyler Durden's picture

Authored by Sven Henrich via NorthmanTrader.com,

It’s all about the magic.

Firstly, following up on the Liquidity Wave: Mario Draghi followed through on his primary mission and did not upset markets. Indeed Super Mario gave the $DAX virtually all of its price gains for October:

Magic.

Just so we’re still clear who’s running the price discovery show in global markets:

Magic.

You do realize that Mario Draghi’s term is ending in 2019. Which means he will have never raised rates once during his entire tenure. He came, he saw, and he was easy. And stayed easy. And then went on to cushy speaking engagements. Magic.

Next in the line of magic: Tech.

Tech flew to new highs on Friday on the heels of earnings reports and markets celebrated Jeff Bezos becoming the richest man in the world with a $90B net worth.

Magic. Cause it was all done with a shrinking earnings picture:

Operating income cut in half and net income 23% of what it was last year. But hey, disruption and destruction of the entire retail space as we’ve seen 6,700 store closings already in 2017.

So one company kills the margins for everyone else, has an operating margin of virtually zero itself, but hey, magic:

Indeed the real magic is in market cap expansion. It is true the tech monopolies are killing it in terms of growth and market share, but the market cap expansion that comes with it is awe inspiring.

Someone ran the math:

AMZN now has a market cap of $528B with a PEG ratio of 4.77. But it’s not about valuation and it’s clearly not about earnings. It’s about magic.

So tech screamed to new highs on Friday.

Watch the magic:

New Highs vs New Lows on Nasdaq:

$NDX stock above their 50MA:

I take it you noticed that sinking feeling.

But it’s not only tech, it extends to the entire market:

$SPX:

$NYA:

Indeed the new highs on Friday?

Came on a negative $NYMO:

The entire new highs picture since September has come on lower and lower $NYMO readings.

Check recent cumulative advance/decline:

New highs on running cumulative negative advance/decline issues.

And all of this of course is reflective of a long standing trend in equal weight that just fell off the cliff:

But hey. Time for tax cuts, the top 1% are suffering:

Convincing voters that these folks need tax cuts so that they themselves may fare better may indeed be a true magic act.

But that’s what everyone is waiting for I’m presuming. After all this would be the reason why investors are fully long positioned per the Rydex bull/bear ratio, now at 0.05:

With valuations in the 99th percentile of history:

And planning to add more and more and more:

Yes, everybody loves magic. Just remember magic levitation may simply be a cheap trick with someone pulling on a string:

Next week we will get to see another magic show: The FOMC will tell us why they can’t raise rates again and we will find out who Janet Yellen’s replacement will be.

 

I’m sure it will be magical.

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VWAndy's picture

 Between the CB and the PPT they can make all the markets do backflips if they want to. That goes for bitcoin too.

Looney's picture

 

Just wondering… if Jeff Bezos’ head is turned inside out, does it look the same?   ;-)

Looney

VWAndy's picture

 Interesting theory.

Majestic12's picture

It's funny how we (average Joe) can't take out Billion dollar loans using "non-GAAP" net worth valuations...

Its even funnier that we can't have the globe's largest bank (the Fed) buy "our" small business stocks to "help inflation"...

It's hysterical that 99% of all of those who "can" do these things are Jewish Zionists...

Ahh, this whacky world....

VWAndy's picture

 The numbers tell the real story. Elon gets a red carpet I get the bill for installing it.

ebworthen's picture

$19.5 Trillion of wealth transfer to the Elite.

It's going to be paid with your IRA's, 401K's, and Pensions going to zero.

HRClinton's picture

That would be called (((Babylonian Money Magick))).

Ask the crypto Pharisees posing as 'Jews'.  They know all about it.

Majestic12's picture

"(((Babylonian Money Magick)))"

Invest on the 6th, 9th, 11th, 13th, 15th, 21st, 22nd, 23rd, 25th...

Oh, yeah, and be an insider Cabalist Jew...Magic!!!

earleflorida's picture

The Internet of Thingys?   (ioT)*

AMZN  = Monopolization of Commerce (Globally?)

FB =  Monopolization of Civilizations Personal Communication (Globally)

GOOG (Alphabet) = Monopolization of the Total Internet Infrastructure (Globally)

AAPL = Monopolization of Globile Mobile Communication (Globaly [video/voice/*equities-transfer])

MSFT = Monopolization of Entire Internet Linkage via Software Machanics & AI (Globally)

all brought on by majic with the advent of the internet era, and now too big to fail

Ps. great read

thanks ;)

numapepi's picture

Taxes on the "rich" could be 110% and Bezeos along with his billionaire buddies will still not pay a penny... unless they sell some shares of their stock, and when they do that they pay 15% while you pay 33% on wages you worked for.

Those who want to raise taxes on the "rich" are shooting themselves in the foot while helping the truly rich get ahead.

Fantasy Free Economics's picture

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I am completely amazed at folk's adherence to traditional dogma.
http://quillian.net/blog/stock-market-now-to-year-end/
Amazon's earnings? Amazon can earn any number they wish to post. Accounting laws are not being enforced. Someone tell me, who in the world is going to prosecute a corporation which is contributing so greatly to the Deep State's bottom line? Who owns the legal system? Who owns congress? Who owns the central banks?

TheSilentMajority's picture

A surprise rate hike by the fed next week would be very prudent for ol’yellen, before she is ushered off to the assisted living home.

StevieTexie's picture

It would be considered irrational.

 

LOVE THIS LINE Convincing voters that these folks need tax cuts so that they themselves may fare better may indeed be a true magic act.

yogibear's picture

LOL, what price discovery?  Just BTFD in this Fed Rigged game.

hola dos cola's picture

This PlungeProtection Team, they know what to do when the market plunges x%.

But... I guess you know what a blow out is (think 'Deep Horizon'). Is there a BOP in place?

P.S. It's starting to dawn on me that it might not be a crash that'll end all the 'magic'.