Pew Research Center Says EU Muslim Population Could Triple By 2050

Tyler Durden's picture

Over the past couple of years, Europe has experienced a record influx of asylum seekers fleeing conflicts in Syria and other predominantly Muslim countries. Not surprisingly, the massive wave of Muslim migrants has become a political hot topic, particularly in countries like Germany, U.K., France, Italy and Sweden which have taken in a combined total of nearly 3 million migrants over just the past couple of years.  Per the Pew Research Center (PRC):

Now, in an effort to quantify how this massive wave of immigration may transform Europe's demographics over the next several decades, the PRC has released a study estimating how the size of Europe’s Muslim population may evolve depending on future levels of migration.

To start, PRC estimated that Muslims made up roughly 4.9% of Europe's overall population at the end of 2016 with Bulgaria (11.1%), France (8.8%) and Sweden (8.1%) having the highest concentrations.

They then proceeded to analyze how those populations may evolve over the next ~30 years under various immigration scenarios with the highest migration estimates resulting in a tripling of Europe's overall Muslim population.

The baseline for all three scenarios is the Muslim population in Europe (defined here as the 28 countries presently in the European Union, plus Norway and Switzerland) as of mid-2016, estimated at 25.8 million (4.9% of the overall population) – up from 19.5 million (3.8%) in 2010.


Even if all migration into Europe were to immediately and permanently stop – a “zero migration” scenario – the Muslim population of Europe still would be expected to rise from the current level of 4.9% to 7.4% by the year 2050. This is because Muslims are younger (by 13 years, on average) and have higher fertility (one child more per woman, on average) than other Europeans, mirroring a global pattern.


A second, “medium” migration scenario assumes that all refugee flows will stop as of mid-2016 but that recent levels of “regular” migration to Europe will continue (i.e., migration of those who come for reasons other than seeking asylum; see note on terms below). Under these conditions, Muslims could reach 11.2% of Europe’s population in 2050.


Finally, a “high” migration scenario projects the record flow of refugees into Europe between 2014 and 2016 to continue indefinitely into the future with the same religious composition (i.e., mostly made up of Muslims) in addition to the typical annual flow of regular migrants. In this scenario, Muslims could make up 14% of Europe’s population by 2050 – nearly triple the current share, but still considerably smaller than the populations of both Christians and people with no religion in Europe.

And here's a more granular look at each country assuming a "zero migration scenario"...

..."medium migration scenario"...

and "high migration scenario."

Per the charts above, under the "high migration scenario," Finland's Muslim population alone could increase by more than 5.5 times, while the UK could see an increase of 2.7 times and Sweden nearly 4x.

Of course, it's probably not that big a deal...what could go wrong?

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God Emperor's picture

Especially if the lefturd millennials are so slutty sending their nude selfies left and right.

Is just a matter of time until they are nailed and enriched with some shitskin offsprings.

Instagram Model Italia Kash Leaked Nude Photos and VIDEOS

RedPillGirl's picture

The year is 2050. Location: Utopic States of Europe.

Me visiting and writing back home:

Sometimes I see white people ... walking around like regular people

ACP's picture

If they were smart (which they aren't), the security agencies would start importing crack and fentanyl into no go zones to keep the population in check.

shitshitshit's picture

well, if you remove wellfare, magically the trend would totally be reversed...

Now why would wellfare be reduced?

Five Star's picture

All the immigration into Europe since 2012 by originating country:

Escrava Isaura's picture

Pew Research Center Says EU Muslim Population Could Triple By 2050

No, they won’t.

And the reason that Pew Research Center gets this wrong, it’s because Pew is following a dogma, just like religion.

If Pew was to use a scientific methodology, they will know that what they just said is a dogma.


HowdyDoody's picture

Give them a break. They are just publicising Soros' business plan.

IvannaHumpalot's picture

originating country isn't the issue. religion is the issue.

IvannaHumpalot's picture

wrong for they are not coming for welfare. They are coming on hijra to colonise for Islam as they have been promised that Allah will reward them for doing so. They know when they die and face the scales of judgement that there's only 2 guaranteed ways to get into heaven: death in jihad or being rewarded for hijrah

YouJustCouldnt's picture

Correct - they are not specifically coming for the welfare but they make damn sure that they invade countries that have a very generous welfare system. Hence they avoid many Eastern Europeans countries. Generally, they are not known for their solid work ethics, and if you look at the stats around Europe you will see that a good percentage of them are unemployed. If they all (women in burkas included) had to go out and graft everyday like the taxpayers who are supporting them do, I believe the numbers would halve. They are able to have 4+ children each as they know that they will be taken care of from cradle to grave. Not only that, but they routinely marry first cousins which, in many cases, results in a severely handicapped child which can cost the already beleaguered  NHS around half a million pounds annually per child.  Tragic to think that no other group of people contribute so little, and cause so much grief, yet take so very  much in every way and the useless Governments readily facilitate and defend this.

shitshitshit's picture

A man (muslim, that is) accused of running a welfare scam out of a Portland halal grocery is pleading guilty.

Two More (muslim, that is) Retailers Sentenced to Federal Prison for Food Stamp Fraud

But in baltimore they want moar rapefugees...

IvannaHumpalot's picture

They don't avoid the eastern European countries: the eastern European countries won't let them stay because they recognise what this is: a colonisation migration

IvannaHumpalot's picture

crack and fentanyl don't check fertility. There are drugs without side-effects that do check fertility but it isn't crack or fentanyl


and yes, if the authorities were smart they would be getting china to make loads of that side-effect free drug that causes ovaries to shrivel, and putting it in the food/water of the no-go areas.

RationalLuddite's picture

I actually got a chill reading this. Because it's likely to be true without a mass 'expulsion' event ...

Sudden Debt's picture





How many where caught by the police? ZERO!




IvannaHumpalot's picture

"But when a Muslim approaches they have to cross the road. They only do the most menial of jobs like street sweeping and they have to wear a special haircut so everyone can see they are not a Muslim. They aren't allowed to hold positions of authority or be in the police force. They have to pay a special tax called a 'jizya'. Sometimes this tax is so high they have to sell their daughters into slavery, where those under age 13 fetch the best prices. They are not allowed to repair their churches and temples or build new ones so their communty is in a constant state of decline."

IvannaHumpalot's picture

don't be racist. nobody cares about skin colour, only religion

Ghordius's picture

negative discrimination of a group based on race or creed or any other characteristic shared by this group is...

IvannaHumpalot's picture

It is correct to pre-judge and discriminate on creed because creed is a set of beliefs that determines behaviour


If you're a member of aum shinrikyo and you believe in sarin gassing a subway then I am going to discriminate against you based on your creed


It's wrong to pre-judge and discriminate on race because race does not determine behaviour. You can be white, black, arab or asian and be a Muslim. You can be white black arab or asian and be a Christian or an atheist. 


The christian or atheist is not going to cause a problem to Western Civilisation. the Muslim is - even if the Muslim is peaceful and law abiding, if enough of them settle they will replace Western Civilisation with Islamic Civilisation a totally different and competing civilisation

Rubicon's picture

Polska it is then.

Nightjar's picture

Woodchipper market will tripple. Sieg Heil.

Nightjar's picture

Woodchipper market will tripple. Sieg Heil.

Minack's picture

Europe will be mired in civil war and ethnic cleansing before 2050. The US shares the same fate.

css1971's picture

Peak of skill is to defeat an enemy without fighting.  Sun Tsu.

IvannaHumpalot's picture

Gold star for you: you got it right. That's exactly what is happening. Most are too stupid to see this colonisation project for what it is: warfare and domination by people who cannot militarily hope to defeat us.


But yet they are winning.

Sonder's picture

All kinds of hype my dude, I've been itching to burn off some of this 5.56.

Don Watcher's picture
Muslim Caliphate: Coming to an EU town near you.
Intelligence_Insulter's picture

Cultural enrichment.  Niggers and muzzies need to be purged.  

Ghordius's picture


I knew someone would come with a "Muslim, Nigger, the same" meme

SoDamnMad's picture

Many of these immigrants are still in Europe as a "refugee" status with the hope that peace in Syria will allow many to return. All the other economic refugees could get sent home on a dime.  If ISIS flees or is forced out of Syria and the neighborhood stretching across to Morrroco then we shall see what th elections bring when terror attacks commence. We can hope the ship rights itself from the huge wave.

IvannaHumpalot's picture

Most of the immigrants are not Syrian they're Muslims from places like Bangladesh and Eritrea who moved to Europe on Hijra believing as their religion teaches them that if they move to another country for the purpose of establishing an Islamic colony that Allah will reward them.

peippe's picture

Perfect place for Muslim Breeding Purposes.

Have fun listening to the call to prayer five times a day-buy a rug you euro D bags.

css1971's picture

UK cities are installing Muslim gates round public spaces to prevent vehicle attacks...

Now thats Cultural enrichment

YouJustCouldnt's picture

My son is going to a concert tonight and I  have just received an email from ticket master that back packs or big bags are prohibited. This is with Muslim population at a measly 5%. I know this seems no big woop, but I dread to think how much our lives in the West will be radically changed in another 30 years. 

charlewar's picture

biojihad: muslims infest host, breed wives, daughters, mothers as rabbits while sucking welfare, then try to vote themselves power.

eurobug's picture

Then the host dies, the parasites feed on themselves for a while, before spreading to new hosts. Unless the host administers a healthy dose of antibiojihadtics in time.

Sonder's picture

"Democracy" was a mistake. 

I am Groot's picture

And in other news, the US military announced today that they would still be using cluster munitions.

Ghordius's picture

the problem here can be expressed in one word: Purity

those who don't care, look at the data here and... note there is no problem whatsoever

those who care... won't ever be satisfied until that percentage is zero point zero

meanwhile, that "one Muslim equals any other Muslim" meme, i.e. it does not matter, they are all the same, from the Turk drinking Efes Beer to the Bosnian girl in miniskirt... is sponsored. by the "War on... -insert here new target-" crowd which wants Your Blood For Their Profits

exploiting people that don't even know Muslims personally, can't even comprehend that there is a billion of them, showing a huge range of human behaviour. oh, and not minding alliances with for example Saudi Arabia

wake up. you are being sold a pup. again

css1971's picture

I'm sure you're right for the main part... 

However what were liberal democratic societies are having those liberties stripped away, and at a fair old pace. I personally blame the left more than Muslims, who are both victims and opportunists in all this.

IvannaHumpalot's picture

The Islamists are colonising Europe so Islam will dominate and rule. The Left is helping them so Islam will smash Western Capitalism which they hate. The left thinks it will deal with those silly religious men in their funny hats later, after capitalism is smashed. But those silly religious men in the funny hats have a trick or two in store for them.

LA_Goldbug's picture

" Islam will dominate and rule. "

... it will not rule but it will be used to make the natives irrelevant in governing their country when the Masters decide that the concept of "country"/"nation" has lost its meaning in the mass mixed gene pool. I see this like Blade Runner. Just try to guess what country it could be by the faces of those in the film. No clue , wink wink.

I have no idea how Brevik fits into all this but some of what he was saying sure as hell makes sense seeing what is happening today.

IvannaHumpalot's picture

it won't matter what your globalist elites think is going to happen. When Islam dominates, Islam dominates. As it has done in every country in which it has established itself to date.


You don't see any buddhissts and hindus in Bangladesh or Pakistan - ask yourself: why is that?  Why are there nearly no christians and certainly no jews left in the middle east (except for Israel)?

IvannaHumpalot's picture

You are not going to get BladeRunner in europe's future. You are going to be Lebanon.

LA_Goldbug's picture

Ghord, this is all fine and dandy, but simply opening the Gates and then saying all is fine is suicide. Deport, put in line, check, decide if entry is allowed. THAT is the way it should have been done but the Masters of the Material world could give a flip about such trivia when they are build the World of 1984.

Kaeako's picture

I wonder, how many first or second generation migrants are on the French terror watchlist? UK, German? Oh well, all we can do at this point is hope the watchlists don't grow at the same proportion - or worse. What's the projected cost in lives of this enrichment&economic growth&sins of the past project, a few thousand more by 2050? Doesn't sound too bad.

Ghordius's picture

counterquestion: are you... "used" to terrorism? I... am

it's a question of perspective, really. I remember the IRA, the "Red Brigades", the PLO, various secessionists, anarchics and all kinds of fascist laying bombs, kidnapping, and so on

for me, terrorism is definitely nothing new at all. and no, hysterics don't help