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ABC Reports Tentative Debt Ceiling Deal Reached Between GOP And Obama

Tyler Durden's picture




 

This could very well be another red herring like the NYT article from two weeks ago that proved to be a dud, but for what it's worth according to ABC's Jonathan Karl, the White House and the GOP have just reached a tentative deal as follows...

  • Debt ceiling increase of up to $2.8 trillion 
  • Spending cuts of roughly $1 trillion
  • Special committee to recommend cuts of $1.8 trillion (or whatever it takes to add up to the total of the debt ceiling increase) 
  • Committee must make recommendations before Thanksgiving recess 
  • If Congress does not approve those cuts by late December, automatic across-the-board cuts go into effect, including cuts to Defense and Medicare.

In other words, virtually the same as the Boehner deal in the actual cuts, which will likely be back-end loaded (we expect about $10-20 billion in 2012 cuts), but the Democrats get what they want in that it will not require a second debt ceiling hike before Obama's re-elecetion as $2.8 trillion should last well into 2013. As for "future cuts", well, that's easily what Congress is so very good at. Indefinite future cuts that is.

Some more recent details from the National Journal:

Here are the outlines of a debt-ceiling deal that congressional leaders and the Obama White House are firming up in preparation for a possible announcement as early as Sunday afternoon. 

In many respects, the deal will, if approved by all parties, resemble the contours of a short-lived pact negotiated last weekend by House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev. Obama rejected that deal, forcing Congress to wrestle with other inferior legislative options throughout the week.

Among the newest wrinkles, according to informed sources, is an agreement to extend the current $14.3 trillion debt ceiling very briefly to give the legislative process time to work without resorting to emergency, hurry-up measures.

President Obama has said he would only sign a short-term extension (days, not weeks) if it were linked to an extension of borrowing authority that lasts beyond the 2012 election. 

According to sources, the Senate would use the military construction appropriations bill, one currently available for action, as the vehicle for the short-term extension. This element of the arrangement, like everything else, is subject to modification. But those close to the negotiations expect Congress to slow things down without jeopardizing the nation's full faith and credit. A debt extension of days would achieve that goal.

 

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Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:00 | 1509136 Derpin USA
Derpin USA's picture

I didn't edit that response in. I edited for grammar. You missed it the first time around.

BTW, I'm not in favor of central planning of the Soviet style. I don't believe the government should pick winners, but I think there is a degree of legitimacy in picking losers in certain cases. I believe in government steering away but not towards.

For instance, I'm in favor of carbon taxes because I believe they will eventually become instituted by the market anyway. I'd prefer we pay them now and use the proceeds to subsidize research and development of alternatives. I believe in this because while I know the market will eventualy correct the problem itself, the downside to allowing a crisis as the impetus is outweighed by the benefit of avoiding the problem in advance.

I'm also in favor of nuclear, albeit with far better regulation and enforcement.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 02:04 | 1509228 sasebo
sasebo's picture

I don't believe I've ever heard so much meaningless bullshit. Have you ever thought about reading some Austrian economics?

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 02:25 | 1509243 Derpin USA
Derpin USA's picture

I've read a lot actually, but most of it's wishful thinking based upon fictional rational actors with no accounting of human psychology whatsoever. I actually used to be a huge Randian libertarian who espoused such points of view until I grew up and realized how utterly wrong most of it is.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 04:20 | 1509315 Burnbright
Burnbright's picture

 but most of it's wishful thinking based upon fictional rational actors with no accounting of human psychology whatsoever.

WTF are you smoking? What wishful rational? You think the fact that people will make decisions based upon needing to make a living is not accounting for human psychology?

 

WOAAHHHHH

 

Oiiii.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 02:55 | 1509276 KowPie
KowPie's picture

..."For instance, I'm in favor of carbon taxes"...

 

Lost my interest in any aspect of your ability to articulate intelligently and factually right there. Nothing personal. Carbon Tax? Have you been smoking Al Gore's carbon based root?

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 03:28 | 1509300 Derpin USA
Derpin USA's picture

Global warming is irrelevant. The problem is economic. The world economy, and the US in particular, are heavly dependent upon fossil fuels, and imported fossil fuels at that. The growth potential of our economy is at risk from the obvious rise in the cost of energy over the next few decades.

If we wait and let the market do it, we will have a ton of missed opportunity because we allowed ourselves to be strangled by volatile energy costs. If we opt to pay those costs in advance in order to get the process started now, our transition will be far less volatile and we will miss fewer economic opportunities.

It's really simple. Oil and coal are finite, and their peak inexpensive production has already occurred or will very soon. An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 04:24 | 1509316 Burnbright
Burnbright's picture

Man you are extremely brainwashed. Price volatility of carbon fuels has more to do with the FED having printed up 16 trillion dollars in the last 3 years to make up for a popping credit bubble than anything else.

Not to mention the fact that their are other ways to produce energy, they may not currently be cost effective but by the time we run out of fuel they will be for obvious reasons. Central planning energy is going to cause problems.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 07:00 | 1509379 rcintc
rcintc's picture

"but most of it's wishful thinking based upon fictional rational actors with no accounting of human psychology whatsoever."

Does this guy think he's on theThink(backwards)Progress or Media(doesn't)Matter site?  


Sun, 07/31/2011 - 11:34 | 1509735 KowPie
KowPie's picture

1. "Global warming is irrelevant."

 

2. "If we wait and let the market do it, we will have a ton of missed opportunity"

 

1. Why is it that when a statement or questoin is posted (disparaging, dispelling or disputing) about an ultra liberal wingnut's core beliefs it is never addressed. Simply parsed off as "irrelevant" and the issue is dismissed as though it was never brought up?

and

2. That's a great example of stupidity. Sure. Take the freedom away from the market and give the power to govt. That will result in trillions of opportunities. I'd say right now is a good example: 1.5 trillion dollars worth of govt. funded, admitted openly, opportunity. How's that working out for you and everyone you know?

It is proven over time that when govt. forces a solution down our throats the only thing we end up with is a mass of jelly like substance in our throats and no other solution except back to square one or -1. The expense is needed to stimulate the PAIN that will force the development and implementation of new technology. If people can't afford it they use less. Simple fact. Branch that out from crude and all of it's byproducts. Eventually the lessening of demand (and I mean sustained, not artificial from a contraction or pullback) will result in advanced R&D in new technology industry. Then you'll get your alternate sources and not before.

I get very leary of someone that suggests govt. solutions to private needs or enterprise. And yes, energy production should be in that category- no govt intervention. Scrap the Dept. of Energy & the EPA and we'll have half the battle won.

Preemptive response: Plenty of state, county and local laws to protect the planet; just enforce what's there and problem solved. More laws or even the number on the books right now are not needed.

 My appologies to all for being so far off topic!

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 05:36 | 1509348 John_Coltrane
John_Coltrane's picture

Spoken like a true central planner. 

I've got one response:  leave me alone with your insane "plans".  I'll take my chances with my own skills and abilities.  What failing infrastructure?  I repair my own potholes even at risk of arrest by public sector unions.  Also do my own electrical repair, plumbing and chemical synthesis.

Watch the movie "Brazil" if you want to understand the endgame of central planning and control and get a huge laught to boot.  It will be less challenging for you than Hayek.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 06:52 | 1509377 equity_momo
equity_momo's picture

We are already in a bubble - pulling forward yet more future demand is only going to make the resulting crash worse.
And you should brush up on our energy constraints , maybe even understand how oil , population and money growth all need to be in harmony to keep the ponzi going. Well 2 of those 3 are easy to sustain a parabola in. The problem is the first. And without that , the other 2 crash and burn.
We live in a finite world.
Back to the drawing board for you.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 12:07 | 1509822 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

removed

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 12:09 | 1509830 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

Demand increases through public policy can be achieved. We can fix our failing infrastructure as an investment in the future and create jobs by doing so

Here is the problem with what you just wrote: Those government infrastructure jobs are temporary, and they are paid for with debt. Let's say you build a road and employ some people to do that. When the road is finished, the jobs go away but the debt remains. The road is not a productive asset. It's nice to drive on, but it costs money to maintain and the government now has to pay interest on that debt.

Now, let's look at another example. A private company builds a factory. The factory produces real goods and permanently employs a bunch of people. Taxes paid by the company can be used by the government to build a road. Now you have permanent jobs and a road and don't have to pay interest on the debt to do it.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:38 | 1509071 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

what percentage of government borrowing represents transfer payments in the form of welfare payments

You've piqued my curiosity.  I'm interested.  Can you tell us?  What percentage?

Are SS and Medicare "welfare"?  Foodstamps/SNAP? Military pensions or veterans' disability benefits?

If there's a deficit, how do you decide which part of the spending was paid for and which part wasn't?

If I earned $1000 last month, and spent $1500, with $500 going to rent, $500 going to my car/commute expenses, and $500 going to food and utilities, "what percentage" of my rent was deficit spending? 

(Please show work.)

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 03:00 | 1509279 Ponzi Unit
Ponzi Unit's picture

$120 billion in ssi disability; 44million folks on food stamps at $1500 per year, what's that, um, another $66 billion; Medicaid is what by now, um, $300 billion; unemployment averaging what $300 a wk for 4 million people is what, um, $60 billion. So $550 billion in transfers to the pre-retired underclass, and I have not included free lunches for kids, housing subsidies, on and on...

None of the above even touches upon the two biggies, now cresting a trillion a year.

Ev Dirksen was right: a billion here and a billion there and pretty soon you're talking about real money.

Too many promises.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 14:37 | 1510177 Havana White
Havana White's picture

Payroll taxes set aside and earning safest-vehicle interest WOULD more than cover social security, medicare and more.

But taking from them to cover for revenue shortfalls caused in large part by reducing taxes on the rich, and on corporations is STEALING from beneficiaries to provide further WELFARE for the rich and for corporations.

They've stolen the common man's money - death by a thousand cuts - and now twith the nation on the ropes would have us believe the only way out is to let them steal more and steal faster.  Its easy -- just 'tips' to legislators from our STOLEN money.

So... you can stuff your phony figures up your ass. Got it?

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 07:06 | 1509381 rcintc
rcintc's picture

I'll show you where....

 

$500 for your car is excessive - Get a used car and lower payments and lower insurance....

$500 for food and utilities - turn off the AC, shut your lights, get an unlimited cell phone use and buy beans and rice and baked potatoes etc....

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 10:51 | 1509633 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

Oh, don't be silly.  I don't have a car.  You can't answer the question, though, not because you're a moron, but because anywhere you draw the lines is arbitrary.

So one guy says "Medicare" is deficit spending, and the other guy says the wars in the mid-East are deficit spending, and there's no way to determine which guy is "correct."

No truth-value, there.  Just an excuse to rant about your opinions.  Good luck with that.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 03:25 | 1509298 oldman
oldman's picture

How about the non-transfer payments(outright gifts) to the banks and balance of non-entitled entitlements?

Sorry Shanken, every time I hear anyone chip in about welfare payments, I get really pissed because the single largest welfare program in US history went to guarantee IBM, MMM, US Steel of contracts signed under the Marshall plan.

We are so phucking conditioned against ourselves-----where else does this self-detructive mania come from????

There is a utopian dreamland-----in the forest you dudes are driving me to!

respectfully                     om

 

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 03:28 | 1509299 Sock Puppet
Sock Puppet's picture

A divided house will never stand.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:18 | 1509031 Clinteastwood
Clinteastwood's picture

Try to grip this concept, lamebrain.  SS is NOT A TAX.  

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:27 | 1509051 Derpin USA
Derpin USA's picture

It's money government forces me to pay them. I'm not sure what else you can call that but a tax.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:45 | 1509084 rcmullins
rcmullins's picture

I concur.  In public schools they have a forced retirement program in which your money is extricated from your check before you can cash it.  Don't teach in Arkansas if you want to keep your hard earned money.  Or anywhere in the public school system here for that matter.  

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 03:24 | 1509297 AustriAnnie
AustriAnnie's picture

+3,068.42

(thats the number of dollars I was taxed thru SS withholding last year and will never see in my life because it has been spent)

SS is a tax.  If it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck.....

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:18 | 1509171 piceridu
piceridu's picture

Yeah tell that to your employer.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 10:36 | 1509584 rwe2late
rwe2late's picture

Clinteastwood

A rose by any other name is still a rose.

The monies collected as SS payroll deductions, are treated no differently than IRS deductions.

They are not "invested", they are tossed in with general revenues and spent on anything including wars and handouts to financial racketeers.

The government's promise to pay it back tomorrow does not negate its use as a straightforward tax today.

Had the monies actually been "lockboxed" to Social Security, and invested in something other than IOUs, an argument that it was an insurance payment more than a tax would have some standing. But that is not the case.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 12:01 | 1509815 KowPie
KowPie's picture

Let's put that dumbass statement I hear OVER AND OVER about SS not being a tax to bed right now. Directly from the IRS as to whether or not Social Insecurity would be considered a tax:

 

"1.1.1.2 (06-23-2009)
Definitions...

119. Tax is a sum that legislation imposes upon persons, property or activities to pay for Government operations (broadly defined to include individuals, trusts, estates, partnerships, associations, companies, and corporations). The power to impose and collect Federal taxes is given to Congress in Article I, Section 8, of the U.S. Constitution. Collections that arise from the sovereign powers of the Federal Government constitute the bulk of governmental receipts, which are compared with budget outlays in calculating the budget surplus or deficit."

 

 

"1.34.1.2 (06-23-2009)
Definitions...

62. Governmental Receipts are collections from the public based on the Government’s exercise of its sovereign powers, including: 

Individual and corporate income taxes

Social insurance taxes,

Excise taxes,

Duties,

Court fines,

Compulsory licenses, and

Deposits of earnings by the Federal Reserve System.

Gifts and contributions (as distinguished from payments for services or cost-sharing deposits by state and local Government s) are also counted as governmental receipts. Total governmental receipts include those specifically designated as off-budget by provisions of law. Total governmental receipts are compared with total outlays in calculating the budget surplus or deficit."

 

Guess that kind of pisses on your parade (see above). No offense intended, just reprinting facts (see above).

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:37 | 1508928 Havana White
Havana White's picture

missiondweller selfish cunt:  Tell me you don't drop the word "income" when arguing this with less discerning types.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:01 | 1508995 sellstop
sellstop's picture

If 50% pay no taxes it is not because they have good lawyers. It is because they have no money.

gh

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 10:44 | 1509619 rwe2late
rwe2late's picture

"If 50% pay no taxes it is not because they have good lawyers. It is because they have no money."

 - sellstop

 At least that is true for most of the alleged 50% regarding their IRS tax.

But for the umpteenth time, there are many other federal and local regressive taxes that also have to be paid. And taxes are but one way in which the flow of money is directed upward.

The overall excess flow of monies is upward, the concentration of wealth is at the top. There is NO excessive flow of monies or wealth downward.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:44 | 1508950 boredbutdeadly
boredbutdeadly's picture

I don't get how some of the people here are rightfully upset about monetary policy unfairly benefitting the richest amongst us, yet they're completely against taxing those profits to help cut our defict.

If somebody rapes your momma, is your idea of justice to go rape their momma?

Unfortunately, the "rich" aren't homogenous.  Like the poor, there are the justly rich, and the unjustly rich.  Unfortunately, the later crowd keeps growing along with the total state.

If you actually have any principles, then trying to cure a robbery with a counter-robbery involves entirely too much collateral damage.

 

 

 

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:50 | 1508965 wisefool
wisefool's picture

9 Billion people. Start taxing coke and whores instead of covering it up with a TARP. Or just end the tax code and see who escapes new york.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:52 | 1508973 Derpin USA
Derpin USA's picture

At this point, it's not even about justice. It's about what works.

Supply-side's effects are way past the threshold of diminishing returns. Demand-side is the only thing which will increase economic activity and restore the most important element: Confidence.

The type of shit the Tea Party is pulling right now is the exact opposite of confidence inducement. It tells the entire world we're stuck with a small minority for the next year and a half who march to the beat of their own drum and may or may not desire to destroy the entire system.

I'm not entirely of the belief that the system can be saved, but I can guarantee it won't be with cuts to demand-side and an ever-growing disparity of wealth.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:01 | 1508997 wisefool
wisefool's picture

Cramer from CNBC advertises here and has made a chitlod of money investing in gold. Gold does not work. it just sits there. Gold miners are pretty last week.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:02 | 1509137 ActiveIngredient
ActiveIngredient's picture

I'm not in the TP, but I'm sympathetic so I'll take a stab at answering your question about taxes on the wealthy.

1.) I'd support closing some loopholes and lowering overall rates to make things fair. It is wrong that a hedge fund manager pays 15% while a neurosurgeon pays 36%. But until the government shows they can control themselves I have no reason to believe sending them more money wouldn't just result in even more spending.

2.) I do not believe that either party is serious about taxing the uber-wealthy. If they were, they'd stop talking about the marginal tax rates on wages. The top 1% don't make their money on wages, they earn their income via capital gains, dividends, real estate, tax-free bonds, etc. Raising marginal rates just punishes the middle & upper middle class, the people who are already getting screwed on taxes.

The Democrats had two years of holding the presidency and the Congress. If they were really serious about raising taxes on the mega-rich they had their opportunity...... and passed. Republicans can't raise taxes, they'd get booted out of office. Low taxes are a central tenet of their party, and the few who have violated this principle have been been punished at the polls (see George HW Bush).

4.) The uber-wealthy are the ones who can most easily avoid paying taxes. They have lawyers & accountants to help them navigate the tax code to minimize their tax burden. I just think no matter what happens they'll find a way out. And it doesn't matter anyway because our politicians are corrupt to the core and would never go after their masters.

5.) All that aside....I don't think anyone should be forced to send the federal government more than 15-20% of their income.

We had a perfect opportunity to stick it to the thieving plunderers who brought us this depression in 2008, when their greed and gluttony had brought many of their companies to the point of collapse. We should have given them the collective middle finger and let them go. But our politicians (both parties) decided to bail them out. I hate it, but you can't now raise taxes on everyone else under the mistaken belief that you are somehow punishing the people who caused (and are now benefitting from) this economic mess. Just my 2 cents.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:28 | 1509185 Derpin USA
Derpin USA's picture

I think you make a lot of sense actually. I agree that capital gains taxes are what should be raised. I'm simply approaching the issue from where we now stand, not 2008. I wish we had that chance again.

Unfortunately, at this point, our fates are inextricably intertwined. We can either bring the whole thing down or work with what we have.

I just see a humongous amount of dishonesty on the part of people who think balancing the budget without tax increases will somehow save us. That, or they're complete morons. If the TP came out and said "we're actively obstructing everything because we're trying to destroy the system," I'd have massive amounts of respect for them. Unfortunately, they're just cronies of the Koch brothers and other rich sociopaths who don't see that symbiosis requires balance.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 10:00 | 1509528 OneEyedJack
OneEyedJack's picture

When you lean forward too far, You just fall on your face

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:31 | 1509191 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

"All the men who have vanished, the men you hated, yet dreaded to lose; it is I who have taken them away from you. Do not attempt to find us. We do not choose to be found. Do not cry that it is our duty to serve you. We do not recognize such duty. Do not cry that
you need us. We do not consider need a claim. Do not cry that you own us. You don't. Do not beg us to return. We are on strike, we, the men of the mind.

We are on strike against self-immolation. We are on strike against the creed of unearned rewards and unrewarded duties. We are on strike against the dogma that the pursuit of one's happiness is evil. We are on strike against the doctrine that life is guilt.

There is a difference between our strike and all those you've practiced for centuries:
our strike consists, not of making demands, but of granting them. We are evil, according to your morality. We have chosen not to harm you any longer. We are useless, according to your economics. We have chosen not to exploit you any longer. We are dangerous and to be shackled, according to your politics. We have chosen not to endanger you, nor to wear the shackles any longer. We are only an illusion, according to your philosophy. We have chosen not to blind you any longer and have left you free to face reality -- the reality you wanted, the world as you see it now, a world without mind." -- John Galt

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 05:08 | 1509337 suvivalwithstyle
suvivalwithstyle's picture

"war is peace, freedom is slavery, ignorance is strength"

 1984

 

or 2011 

game plan is the same, fOOk with your brain, we have gone insane. sws

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 07:53 | 1509405 LasVegasDave
LasVegasDave's picture

how is a cut to an entitlement a "tax hike"

most who receive entitlements pay no taxes.

Please dont advance the same dishonest half truths and arguments as the scumbags on capital hill

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 08:55 | 1509464 oldmanofthesee
oldmanofthesee's picture

When the bottom 50% of wage earners pay ANY income tax, as opposed to getting a check, then we will have all paying their "fair share". Let's start with that, or better yet, let's have a weighted voting system, where one's vote size, is based on the amount of income tax they pay. How about that?

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 10:02 | 1509531 Iam_Silverman
Iam_Silverman's picture

"Cuts to entitlements are tax hikes."

Spoken like a true socialist..

I can understand your confusion though, so let me clear it up some for you - your sole "entitlements" (as guaranteed by our countries founding document) are spelled out in the Bill of Rights.  Let me condense it for you, you are entitled to Life, Liberty, and the Pursuit of Happiness.  There were ten original amendments to ensure that "entitlement" was allowed for all.

You are not "entitled" to free housing, food, medical care, transportation, utilities, higher education, or cell phones provided through the government by assessing a tax on me.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 11:28 | 1509717 AnAnonymous
AnAnonymous's picture

Among other things...

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:24 | 1508894 Ramboy
Ramboy's picture

Obama and administration basically shoves Reid and democrats aside to work out a deal.  

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:37 | 1508929 legal eagle
legal eagle's picture

Maybe the same 50 percent that doesn't graduate from high school? What really doesn't make sense is that income earned by the rich is taxed at 15 percent (passive income from inheritance and hedge fund managers) while working stiffs making the same amount via wages pay a higher rate.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:24 | 1508895 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Google Translation: Wall Street +$2.8 Trillion, Main Street -$1 Trillion. 

It's a Biflation Miracle!!

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:24 | 1508896 caerus
caerus's picture

perhaps they should form a committee to investigate the feasibility of the possibility of the formation of a committee to recommend future cuts

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:38 | 1508924 StormShadow
StormShadow's picture

Congressional committee = circle jerk

They form a committee just to decide where to go for dinner and drinks to discuss how to f**k us yet again

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 08:55 | 1509465 BandGap
BandGap's picture

Well, at least they're doing something by forming a committee - sarc

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:25 | 1508899 infiniti
infiniti's picture

ironically, the banner on the left-hand side of the this page is the barackobama.com 2012 campain ad.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:34 | 1509062 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

LOL, I bet their ROI sucks big time.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:25 | 1508900 Milton Waddams
Milton Waddams's picture

Perfect, now the inevitable weak holiday sales numbers can be chalked up to 'uncertainties surrounding the 11th hour negotiations going on in Congress as part of the required spending cuts, but the jittery consumer and cautiousness by business leaders is likely to be transitory.  Analysts expect GDP to pick up in the first half of 2012.'

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:41 | 1508937 Frankie Carbone
Frankie Carbone's picture

My money is on that they blame it on the weather, speculators, or solar flares.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:28 | 1508910 Arch Duke Ferdinand
Arch Duke Ferdinand's picture

The Business of America is War...Plus Anti War/Obama Slogans...

http://seenoevilspeaknoevilhearnoevil.blogspot.com/2011/06/anti-waranti-...

OT: 2 min Vid...Hilarious...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W0Uju3tYS2s

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:33 | 1508911 Havana White
Havana White's picture

Republican Obama would be okay with this plan to cut Medicare without raising taxes, and with the old guard GOP he'd be delighted to put Senate dems on the hook for triggering default.  Senate dems should be right pissed at him for trying to sneak it in by way of a "trigger."

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:52 | 1508954 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

"Of the banks & Wall Street, by the banks & Wall Street, and for the banks & Wall Street."

 

And don't ever forget it. This is Amerika.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:30 | 1508913 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Here's a rough calculation of second-round effects:

Gasoline $4.50, Unemployment 11%, Core PCE 3.2%, GDP 0.5%

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:39 | 1508931 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Gasoline $5.20/gallon, unemployment @ 10.7% using U3 & 23% using U6, Core PCE 3% to 3.5% (you nailed it), GDP 0.2% officially (-1.8% in reality), and 30 year U.S. tnotes yielding 0.007% -  these are the official numbers prior to Obama's re-election, after which time, each will  be revised to a 40% to 100% worse number.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:50 | 1508968 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

We're on the same wavelngth bro. I like that bond yield! And the 5 Year TIPS at -3%, PCLN at 1,250, Gold at 2,400

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:54 | 1508976 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

TIPS, lulz.

I bet The Bernank literally laughs out loud whenever someone mentions TIPS to him in a private meeting.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:00 | 1508993 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

It's how they can claim they made money on the bailouts

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:40 | 1509075 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

TIPS have always seemed a ludicrous idea to me. You don't trust the government to keep inflation under wraps so you pay extra for bonds where the government gets to tell you what the inflation rate really is???

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 02:34 | 1509259 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

+++

That is what gold is for...

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 12:16 | 1509846 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

At least TIPS pay something right now, unlike short-term Government debt that pays nothing.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:43 | 1508948 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

I think ZH should run a betting pool to see which predictions come up 3 months and 6 months with a couple of silve oz.s as the prize.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:52 | 1508971 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:56 | 1508983 Frankie Carbone
Frankie Carbone's picture

If they default we get a transient deflationary spiral from deleveraging which should cause silver to plunge. The weak hands will be throwing silver eagles at us. Hell, if that happens then I might have to rent a U-haul trailer.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:30 | 1508914 FUN160
FUN160's picture

Why do Americans continue to accept the scam of baseline budgeting, the Kick The Can mentality in Washington, the Ponzi scheme called Social Security, and a debt "limit" that isn't limited at all?

We need a real leader in Washington, one who is going to say, "I'm mad as hell and I'm not going to take this anymore!"

This is so freaking frustrating.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:41 | 1508939 StormShadow
StormShadow's picture

That leader would take a bullet in under a week, courtesy TPTB.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:45 | 1508953 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

Because they are the 'frog' in the scorpion and the frog tale.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:34 | 1508916 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

They're going to get a deal done within 24 hours, and this is probably it.

Does anyone really believe the few members of Congress who planned on making this their last stand, and the nations last stand, on the absurdity ad infinitum that is the perpetual and greater debt ceiling hikes, would not be pushed into a category known as the 'radical right,' as Wall Street & the Banking Lobby puts the heat on captured bitchez Boehner, Cantor and the rest of the alleged fiscal conservatives, even going so far as to threaten them in all kinds of ways?

Conference call with Jamie Dimon, Lloyd Blankfein, John Boehner & Eric Cantor (with The Bernank listening in with his phone on mute, unknown to Boehner & Cantor): 

Jamie Dimon:     So, John, Eric, we've let you play this up enough to try and save your sorry asses with your constituencies, but make no mistake, we will get the taxpayer teet back, with or without you, and consider all favors extended to you, including family members hired, campaign contributions, and you know what, suspended and in jeopardy of a serious downgrade, if you don't feign helplessness and 'reluctantly agree' to raise the debt ceiling.

Lloyd Blankfein:   Exactly, gentlemen. I think I speak for all of us when I tell you that now is the time to fold. It's been a great show, but the show is over.

{Ben Bernanke is so titilated by the tone of Jamie and Lloyd's voices that he's sexually turned on at this point, anticipating more QE and MBS purchases from TBTF institutions}

John Boehner:    Alright, message received. We'll do the deal tomorrow.

Eric Cantor:       Yes, it's not like we were actually going to push this much past Sunday, anyways. We'll comply.

Jamie Dimon:    Great talk. Lloyd and I will see both of you at the usual time and usual place. ANd the checks are in the mail, gentlemen. Goodnight,

Lloyd Blankfein:   You two are such whores. I just can't help but to tell you that before hanging up. You might possibly even be bigger whores than Obama and McCain. But at least you're our whore, bitchez.

{The Bernank is near climax}

Conference call is terminated.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:43 | 1508946 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

Good stuff!

I'm betting there's a little quid pro quo that the banksters keep enough interest in Treasuries to enable the August borrowing boom to go forth without blowing yields up and defeating the "spending cuts" by mid-month.

Should be fun to watch the MSM breathe credit to everyone for getting us the next leg in the coming debacle...

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:52 | 1509115 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Perhaps you meant squid pro quo Mayhem??? ;-)

ORI

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:58 | 1508989 FUN160
FUN160's picture

Yeah, you know The Bernank was pleasuring himself during that call.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:34 | 1508923 FidelityBoy
FidelityBoy's picture

Tyler, you forgot the last part of the quote:  "

A senior White House aide pushed back against the idea that a deal was struck.

"Talks continue, but there is no deal to report," the aide said."

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:47 | 1508959 Tyler Durden
Tyler Durden's picture

That was added after the initial article was released

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:54 | 1508980 FidelityBoy
FidelityBoy's picture

The powers that be are doing a masterful job of keeping the public in the dark as to what will happen with this situation.  I can hear an echo of Mr. Kennedy, from Gone with the Wind..."Don't keep me on tenterhooks!"

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 02:37 | 1509264 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Well one answer for us shrimps is: Gold bitchez!

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:06 | 1509148 SAME AS IT EVER WAS
SAME AS IT EVER WAS's picture

Wait, wait, wait a fucking minute. Do you think the drama queens are going let one of the years biggest events just die down with at least 2 more days to spin more BS? Nope, just another teaser before their off to the next one.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:35 | 1508925 reefermadness
reefermadness's picture

Hostage situation over? Tea Party GOP Confederate traitors can go straight to hell.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:41 | 1508941 GOSPLAN HERO
GOSPLAN HERO's picture

Oh, I'm a good old Rebel

Now that's just what I am

For this fair land of freedom

I do not care a damn.

I'm glad I fought against it

I only wish we'd won.

And I don't want no pardon

For anything I've done.

I hates the Constitution

This great Republic too

I hates the Freedmen's Bureau

In uniforms of blue.

I hates the nasty eagle

With all his brag and fuss

But the lyin', thievin' Yankees

I hates' em worse and worse

Three hundred thousand Yankees

Lies still in Southern dust

We got three hundred thousand

Before they conquered us

They died of Southern fever

And Southern steel and shot

I wish they was three million

Instead of what we got.

I can't take up my musket

And fight' em now no more

But I ain't a-goin' to love' em

Now that is certain sure

And I don't want no pardon

For what I was and am

And I won't be reconstructed

And I do not give a damn.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:01 | 1508996 Lednbrass
Lednbrass's picture

I love that song,an all time great.  I find myself paying it more and more, and particularly next to cars with northeastern plates. 

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:22 | 1509040 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

Y'all boys still sore ya lost?  Well, shucks.

(Comin' on 150 years, bro.  Get over it.)

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:31 | 1509059 Lednbrass
Lednbrass's picture

A large portion of this part of the country still has no interest in sharing a nation with the northeast and left coast.

We just arent that into you, sorry. Its not you, its us, we've grown apart but can still be friends, etc.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:46 | 1509091 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

I hear ya.  Do what you gotta do, man. 

Truth be told, personally, I know a lot more worthless Northeasterners than I know worthless Southerners or Midwesterners or whoever else.  I just don't think the place of birth means anything.  

You're a waste of space, but it's not because you're from a different part of the country, it's rather because you're a smallminded provincial bigot.

We got your kind up here too.  You'd fit right in at the proper bars. 

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:57 | 1509126 Lednbrass
Lednbrass's picture

Oh please.

Are the Ukranians also narrow minded provincial bigots? Czechs? Slovaks?

Trying to hammer 300+million people into the same box doesnt make you sophisticated.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:11 | 1509161 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

Eh?

I'm all for your independence.  Get hoppin, son, quit wasting time on the innerwebz.  I'm an anarchist--I *am* my own country. 

You should achieve the same.  I'm saying you're an asshole, but I'm fully in favor of your self-determination to be such. 

Go somewhere and shoot a cop or a congressman or whatever.  Be free.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:42 | 1508942 The Shootist
The Shootist's picture

And you lose the internets. Sorry, better luck next time.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:04 | 1509003 Lednbrass
Lednbrass's picture

And we await your pitiful attempts to send us there.  Shooting real guns isnt like Halo, boy.

In the meantime we'll just take your money and keep pouring sand in your gears until your states implode, then toast marshmellows on the flames and sing "Dixie" and the classic "Im a Good Ole Rebel" posted here.

Its coming, count on it.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:07 | 1509010 reefermadness
reefermadness's picture

Been to Iraq chickenhawk?

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:12 | 1509020 Lednbrass
Lednbrass's picture

No. Which has what to do with anything?

And why are you bringing your sexual preferences into the discussion?

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:21 | 1509035 reefermadness
reefermadness's picture

Just as I suspected zerohedge filled with deliverence dixie traitors, 

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:35 | 1509053 Lednbrass
Lednbrass's picture

Oh theres stellar logic. Self determination = treason.

Be honest, I doubt you had a problem when the Ukraine went independent, of Kosovo, or a ton of other regions in Eastern Europe. You only have a problem when other people in the US decide they dont want anything to do with you anymore.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:35 | 1509064 reefermadness
reefermadness's picture

NY rules your sorry ass. Get used to it.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:50 | 1509104 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

Don't be silly.  There's no need to rule some guy's ass...these bastards here OWN it. 

At least that "owning people" tradition is appreciated in some parts.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:54 | 1509119 Lednbrass
Lednbrass's picture

Well that hurt.  Excellent refutation of my point that youre a complete hypocrite, fantastic display of intellect and logic..

We will laugh when your city falls apart later this decade.

Stick to scaring some metrosexual twit in Manhattan, only New Yorkers are impressed by New Yorkers.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:55 | 1509124 Irwin Fletcher
Irwin Fletcher's picture

Your fascist attitude is unbecoming of reefer.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:11 | 1509160 dogbreath
dogbreath's picture

smoke another joint

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:05 | 1509005 firefighter302
firefighter302's picture

Obviously, way too stoned.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 02:28 | 1509251 bk1037
bk1037's picture

This is interesting, I continue to suspect ZH has a major support from Tea Party symptahizers and the vote on this guy's comment gives evidence that there is a lot of Tea Party tilt here. While the Tea Party has its agenda, I do not agree with its no holds barred no compromise approach.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:47 | 1508958 zorba THE GREEK
zorba THE GREEK's picture

As long as both sides can claim some sort of victory in that they got what they were holding out for, then it's a done deal.

The Tea Party may not like it, but they are still a small minority. The spending won't stop until the house of cards collapses.

I have a feeling the Tea Party will be a lot larger after the next election, but that may be too late.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:55 | 1509123 Bonesetter Brown
Bonesetter Brown's picture

A deal like the one described in the article, assuming the Tea Party has nothing to do with it, sets the stage for the Tea Party to get larger and larger

It is still early days, I don't think "too late" shows up for a while yet.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:49 | 1508960 Rodent Freikorps
Rodent Freikorps's picture

We need a rule that everyone who forecasts a "false flag" that does not happen must send Tyler a dollar.

He'd be a millionaire inside a month.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:49 | 1508962 Alex2245
Alex2245's picture

This will most likely change in the next few hours. They are going to say that it will be martial law if Obama doesnt get dictator powers!

 

They are even using the word martial law in legislation!

 

http://theintelhub.com/2011/07/29/obama-to-use-dictatorial-powers-to-rai...

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:50 | 1508964 Bansters-in-my-...
Bansters-in-my- feces's picture

Hey,why don't they just get some money from Benny,he's got lots....and lots and lots....and well you know.

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:56 | 1508966 russwinter
russwinter's picture

 

There are some built-in scheduled  assumptions into the pre-deal baseline FY 2012, that now presumably can't be tampered with. Relative to what was going on before this is a degree of not business as usual austerity. In addition Boehner's plan cut $22 billion more. The question then is how much of the $1.8 trillion to come going to fall into 2012 and 2013.

1. The 30% reimburshment cut to physicians under Medicare. Normally the Congress automatically repeals this. If they add it back on it costs about a $100 billion, so this would have to go through, or they'd have to cut somewhere else.  

2. There is controversy on how to budget for the housing agencies: CBO says $317 billion, OMB says $130 billion. Both of these were presumed on housing prices stabilizing, which now is problematic. The baseline uses OMB. 

3. .The FY 2012 budget presumes that the one-year unemployment extension to 99 weeks will go away. If it does, then 6.7 million quasi-permanent unemployed will fall off of benefits, resulting in a hard to imagine amount of distress, disorder and rioting. The cost of the 73-week extension beyond the traditional 26 weeks is $100 billion. This program should be dead. 

 

4. In addition, as a facilitation to maintaining unemployment insurance, the states have utilized a little discussed credit line from the Federal government The balances are currently $40.5 billion owed by the states. The Federal loans to support the State Unemployment Trust Fund remained interest free through Dec. 31 of last year, but interest began to accrue on Jan. 1, 2011. The first interest payment will be due on Sept. 30, 2011. Will the Federal Government defer this, too? If not, it will be just one more burden on the states.

5. The 2% payroll tax reduction was designed as a one-year stimulus and will automatically expire at the end of 2011. Its extension, the cost of which is $120 billion, is not included in the FY 2012 budget. One would now presume this is dead?

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:58 | 1508987 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

That's ok. A few internet stocks will be on a tear. We expect that all Americans will be fully invested. Medicare? We have a deal going where Medicare will be accepted in China. Brand new facilities too! Lots cheaper

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 08:32 | 1509435 Chuck Walla
Chuck Walla's picture

Doctors already routinely refuse Medicare patients because they are such money losers due to the Fed cutting payments in a world of Jackpot Justice diagnosis and treatment.

Medicare is fast becoming FIAT health care. 

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:58 | 1508990 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

I am trying to be more optimistic, so let me just say that I'm glad the U.S. isn't bankrupt, because by being able to borrow another several trillion, it just proves that we must be filthy wealthy, because no one is going to loan another 3 trillion dollars to someone who is even remotely close to insolvent, especially when they already have such a large outstanding balance.

Am I right?

 

 

/sarc

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 03:19 | 1509295 PhattyBuoy
PhattyBuoy's picture

Not to worry - Ben has us covered !

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:03 | 1509002 kito
kito's picture

these pols are setting a bad example for all of our little boys and girls out there. so many will now know how to avoid taking the medicine that mom tries to give them.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:05 | 1509007 MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

Country run by idiots.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:07 | 1509012 Dirtt
Dirtt's picture

Great.  Does this mean we can quit this fruitless crock and get back to what is far more entertaining political theater?  Like NAILING THE DOJ to the wall for "Fast & Furious"

It's bad enough to gamecock gun control.  It's quite another thing to make Baja so dangerous that we can't go to The Palm for Top Shelf tequila shots. THAT is an impeachable offense.

Oh yeah. So is murder.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:11 | 1509019 High Plains Drifter
High Plains Drifter's picture

yawn.............

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:14 | 1509024 Milton Waddams
Milton Waddams's picture

Everyone of these congrifters desperately wants to forge a deal before the Sunday morning news circuit begins.  The details of the outcome are trivial to these 'people' in comparison to the optics of the situation.  'Listen up, Jack, give me a feather to put in my cap that I can boast about on the Sunday morning news-talk shows and I'll provide you the same.  We both can express angst over having to make 'hard sacrifices' to achieve the outcome but the host has assured me they'll play it up as a new day of bipartisanship in America.  Win-win.'

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:18 | 1509033 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

Sorry to break this, but it was a mistake.  That wasn't a news report, the guy was reading the pilot for the next series spinoff: Law and Order: Dollars to Donuts

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:23 | 1509044 JLee2027
JLee2027's picture

Even if true (which I don't believe) don't think this would pass the House.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:30 | 1509057 Catch22
Catch22's picture

A vote on the BBA will probably get enough tea partiers to support it. I suspect it could easily pass the house if Obama supports it. That gives the donks all the cover they need.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:28 | 1509047 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

you don't need to "pass" anything

this bullshit will be incomprehensible and impossible to straighten out for years with these contigencies and so on

don't do anything

this results in the goobermint having to equate money in with money out.  no more debt laid upon the nation, for a while

this will not lead to default

it can be managed

scare;  lie; cheat;  more lies;  more fear.  have a nice day, yourself, shitforbrains, pretending we can't manage without more debt.

i'm looking at the top of the pagewhere williambanzai_6.9 has posted the cute title:  "to default or not to default" which, unfortunately, is, again, another false dichotomy by zH writers/"priveleged" posters.  cute, tho!  just darling!  what an artiste!

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:06 | 1509150 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

I kinda want to see it too.  Not because I care so much about whether the Feds can float more bonds, but because the REAL fireworks would only just get started when every single aggrieved party who is "owed" a dollar from the US gummit calls some hack with a JD to file suit demanding payment.

There's nothing I could think of that'd promote individual liberty and responsibility MORE than 3 million lawsuits, class-action and individual, being brought against Uncle Sam.

Now that'd be some kinda entertainment.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 03:35 | 1509266 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

the goobermint would probably give them permission to sue so it could say:  see?  we need more debt, here!  bizarro passed a coupla weeks ago!

myself, i fear for the nation.  when we went full tilt retard and nationalized the losses of the "financial sector" we put the nation at risk for the sake of the banksters and the life savings of their everyday clients as much as anything, really, i think

and, it didn't work out, even tho they kept telling us how wonderful they were doing.  green shoots.  a G/sachs "estimate" last december or so which was so "goldi-fried" as to defy common sense and tyler is still talking about it which, believe it or not, is healthy, imo

i just want the debt load on the american people to stop growing

this will probably seem corny as hell, but it reminds me of moses & pharoah, before the final scene and the parting of the sea, before even all the battles of the magicians and the signz and wonders

what happened?  well, if i understand the story, the hebrews had been doing ok as a "slave nation" within egypt

some of their power hitters had worked with the power, but then, things changed

new taskmaster

they were making bricks and had to produce so many, blahblahblah

new guy says:  less straw for you to put in the bricks you make (for strength), but i demand the same number of bricks and they must be the same strength and quality

fun stuff like that

what happened to the straw?  i don't know, but maybe mr big-shot had a little brick business, off books, on the side...  or maybe he just sold it, if he was a lazy pirate...  or his boss was doing the skim and making him cover... like a "command" situ

weird, huh?

pharoah's army got drown-ded;  over straw? ?pharoah's army got drown-ded, BiCheZ!!!

 

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 08:43 | 1509444 Chuck Walla
Chuck Walla's picture

Well, simply. who plays golf with who? Do you play with Lloyd, Ben, Tim or Braack?  No?  No bailout for you!  Ah, but for the golfing buddies, after the brags on the new, hot girlfriends stashed in Manhattan and the 6-7 figure priced cars: Hey, John, Harry, help a Brother out, spot me a few hunert billion and I'll see you get a taste- oh and your friends, too.

 

Who can forget Rahm Emanual making millions off Global Crossing and getting out just weks before the big BK while Joe Average took it in the shorts - hard!  What a stroke of luck or genius or some such!

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 03:41 | 1509302 oldman
oldman's picture

Sorry Slewie

You can't trick us with"don't do anything". You re a 'do-nothing dude' if I ever heard one. Congratulatios and

WELCOME ABOARD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!                     om

 

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 06:44 | 1509374 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

aren't you the passive-aggressive little BiCh, tho?

mommy's happiness must be very important to y-o-u!!!

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:28 | 1509049 firefighter302
firefighter302's picture

Part of the ABC news report directly from the ABC news website sited in the above article (abcnews.com):

A senior White House aid pushed back against the idea a deal was struck.

" Talks continue, but there is NO DEAL to report".

 

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:38 | 1509070 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

hi, mr fireman or woman! 

you may have missed this in some of the above comments, or you may just be another mindless troll, with another mindless troll giving you the + on your comment. 

some of these cut/pastes don't come out very well, but this is just PART of what you musta missed, brainiac:

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:34 | FidelityBoy


Tyler, you forgot the last part of the quote:  "

A senior White House aide pushed back against the idea that a deal was struck.

"Talks continue, but there is no deal to report," the aide said."

 

Sat, 07/30/2011 - 23:47 | Tyler Durden

That was added after the initial article was released

 

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:49 | 1509102 firefighter302
firefighter302's picture

Thanks Slewie..

My error. I didn't see that in the original post. I only saw it on the abc news website.

 

 

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:02 | 1509140 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

y.w.

thank you for not taking that too personally, f_f. 

some of these posts, recently, with all the politics (partisan R/D/?) have been brrrruuuutalll!   and i see trolls everywhere!

L0L!

peace

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:30 | 1509058 High Plains Drifter
High Plains Drifter's picture

"The budget should be balanced, the Treasury should be refilled, public debt should be reduced, the arrogance of officialdom should be tempered and controlled, and the assistance to foreign lands should be curtailed lest Rome become bankrupt. People must again learn to work, instead of living on public assistance." –Cicero, 55 BC

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:39 | 1509073 caerus
caerus's picture

very nice...his words were weapons wielded in defense of the republic

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:44 | 1509081 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

“I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies.”

– Thomas Jefferson

Issue of currency should be lodged with the government and be protected from domination by Wall Street. We are opposed to…provisions [which] would place our currency and credit system in private hands.

– Theodore Roosevelt

History records that the money changers have used every form of abuse, intrigue, deceit, and violent means possible to maintain their control over governments by  controlling money and its issuance.

-James Madison

The modern theory of the perpetuation of debt has drenched the earth with blood, and crushed its inhabitants under burdens ever accumulating.

-Thomas Jefferson

If congress has the right under the Constitution to issue paper money, it was  given them to use themselves, not to be delegated to individuals or corporations.

-Andrew Jackson

 

Woodrow Wilson signed the 1913 Federal Reserve Act. A few years later he wrote:

I am a most unhappy man. I have unwittingly ruined my country. A great industrial nation is controlled by its system of credit. Our system of  credit is concentrated. The growth of the nation, therefore, and all our activities are in the hands of a few men. We have come to be one of the worst ruled, one of the most  completely controlled and dominated Governments in the civilized world no longer a  Government by free opinion, no longer a Government by conviction and the vote of the majority, but a Government by the opinion and duress of a small group of dominant men.

-Woodrow  Wilson


Sun, 07/31/2011 - 11:21 | 1509701 Chuck Walla
Chuck Walla's picture

No, Wilson wittingly ruined it.  The Great Progressive wanted to create substantial and profound change. That he lies to his diary is no surprise.  No one since has lifted a finger to change it.

 

 

Whenever destroyers appear among men, they start by destroying money, for money is men's protection and the base of a moral existence. Destroyers seize gold and leave to its owners a counterfeit pile of paper. This kills all objective standards and delivers men into the arbitrary power of an arbitrary setter of values. Gold was an objective value, an equivalent of wealth produced. Paper is a mortgage on wealth that does not exist, backed by a gun aimed at those who are expected to produce it. Paper is a check drawn by legal looters upon an account which is not theirs: upon the virtue of the victims. Watch for the day when it bounces, marked: 'Account overdrawn'.

~ Ayn Rand: Atlas Shrugged (1957)

 

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 11:33 | 1509732 AnAnonymous
AnAnonymous's picture

Whenever destroyers appear among men, they start by destroying money, for money is men's protection and the base of a moral existence. Destroyers seize gold and leave to its owners a counterfeit pile of paper.

 

The sequence shows the great downfall in propaganda quality.

So, destroyers appeared only after money was invented...

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:36 | 1509067 JustPrintMoreDuh
JustPrintMoreDuh's picture

If we dont raise the debt ceiling (again), then we may not be able to pay off the debt!  Welcome to wonderland bitchez.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:49 | 1509101 tom
tom's picture

Funny, they're saying the same thing about CMBS. If the agencies won't rate new issues, and new issues therefore can't be sold, the default rate on existing CMBS could go up.

Maybe I'm crazy but I think they won't do it by deadline. They need more panic on the financial markets to give them the excuse for caving in.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:19 | 1509174 espirit
espirit's picture

Somebody has to (indirectly) buy the toxic levereged crap they are selling, so guess who that is going to be?

Bagholder Ma & Pa's 401(k) will now share MBS risk as deemed so by oversight of the US Govt.  Wait for it....

It's the only pot of literal gold the scumbags have left to tap.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 02:05 | 1509231 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

I don't think that's coming anytime soon, personally.  I don't think the Feds are anywhere *near* the stage of audacity where they'll wantonly seize 50% of the population's "retirement" assets...

BUT:

I'd say that IF the scamalicious nature of the corporate-sponsored 401K/mutual fund hasn't become obvious to you yet...IF you haven't cut your potential losses by cashing that shit out and taking the tax penalty and actually getting to do something productive with your own money...well...

...sorry if that shit doesn't work out, suckers. 

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:45 | 1509085 honestann
honestann's picture

There is absolutely NO reason to raise the debt ceiling.  About 95% of what the federal government spends is unconstitutional anyway.  Screw them.  Close down all foreign bases and outposts.  Bring all military home.  No more foreign aid.  Close down 98% of federal departments... they are blatantly unconstitutional and counterproductive.  This is just insane.  Do not raise the debt ceiling.  And to give in to Obama on his utterly and completely personal temper-tantrum to have unlimited spending money for the rest of his term as a pre-condition?  He is holding the entire country hostage.  Arrest him and lock him away.  Then lock away the congress and the courts.  Then nuke DC.  That's a good start.  Freaking morons.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:11 | 1509158 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

i still sense that you're holding back, h_ann.  L0L

i can only encourage you to:  ?[Buddy Holly]-Rave On?‏ - YouTube

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 12:25 | 1509872 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

I'm not quite as extreme as honestann, but I was thinking about the Department of Education. Why do we even have one? What purpose(s) does it serve? It seems like they could simply eliminate it entirely and pass educational issues to the state and local level. The 2011 budget for Department of Ed was $71B. Take that over 10 years and it's $710B. That would be 1/3 of the target cuts right there. What am I missing here?

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:07 | 1509106 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

When a government is dependent upon bankers for money, they and not the leaders of the government control the situation, since the hand that gives is above the hand that takes… Money has no motherland; financiers are without patriotism and without decency; their sole object is gain.”

Napoleon Bonaparte, Emperor of France, 1815

 

“Banks lend by creating credit. They create the means of payment out of nothing. ”

Ralph M Hawtry, former Secretary to the Treasury.

 

“… our whole monetary system is dishonest, as it is debt-based… We did not vote for it. It grew upon us gradually but markedly since 1971 when the commodity-based system was abandoned.”

The Earl of Caithness, in a speech to the House of Lords, 1997.

 

“The bank hath benefit of interest on all moneys which it creates out of nothing.”

William Paterson, founder of the Bank of England in 1694, then a privately owned bank

 

“I am afraid the ordinary citizen will not like to be told that the banks can and do create money. And they who control the credit of the nation direct the policy of Governments and hold in the hollow of their hand the destiny of the people.”

Reginald McKenna, as Chairman of the Midland Bank, addressing stockholders in 1924.

 

“The banks do create money. They have been doing it for a long time, but they didn’t realise it, and they did not admit it. Very few did. You will find it in all sorts of documents, financial textbooks, etc. But in the intervening years, and we must be perfectly frank about these things, there has been a development of thought, until today I doubt very much whether you would get many prominent bankers to attempt to deny that banks create it.”

H W White, Chairman of the Associated Banks of New Zealand, to the New Zealand Monetary Commission, 1955.

 

“It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and money system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning.”

Henry Ford, founder of the Ford Motor Company.

 

“The modern banking system manufactures money out of nothing. The process is, perhaps, the most astounding piece of sleight of hand that was ever invented. Banks can in fact inflate, mint and un-mint the modern ledger-entry currency.”

Major L L B Angus.

 

“The study of money, above all other fields in economics, is one in which complexity is used to disguise truth or to evade truth, not to reveal it. The process by which banks create money is so simple the mind is repelled. With something so important, a deeper mystery seems only decent.”

John Kenneth Galbraith (1908- ), former professor of economics at Harvard, writing in ‘Money: Whence it came, where it went’ (1975).

 

Nicolas Trist – secretary to President Andrew Jackson – said about the incredibly powerful privately owned Second Bank of the United States:

“Independently of its misdeeds, the mere power, — the bare existence of such a power, — is a thing irreconcilable with the nature and spirit of our institutions.” (Schlesinger, The Age of Jackson, p.102)

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 06:15 | 1509365 Husk-Erzulie
Husk-Erzulie's picture

The Galbraith quote is great.  Highly recommend the book as well.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:51 | 1509111 SAME AS IT EVER WAS
SAME AS IT EVER WAS's picture

Well here it is, the headline we have been waiting for. My god, can you believe all the misleading articles, interviews with politicians, and just the total BULLSHIT drama? Damn I should have BTFD. S&P up what on monday,3-5%? 1500 by year end?

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:14 | 1509165 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

The algos are interested only in profits, and the impact on GDP of this has been badly miscalculated in the S&P earnings projections.

US GDP weakness takes down the whole world.  All those multinationals padding their earnings with foreign sales are going to get shocked when those foreign sales dry up.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 00:59 | 1509133 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

Don't pay taxes? You can't even rent beer without paying taxes. Hell kids buying candy pay taxes.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 08:29 | 1509431 Raskolnikoff
Raskolnikoff's picture

I'm sure a 7% tax rate on the poor takes a bigger chunk of their purchasing power than a 50% plus tax rate on the so-called super rich. Gov spends too much on nothing anyway, why would we want to enable this wasteful game any further? Really, I'm surprised the Al Gore types don't come out against big gov and our current tax system and collection of revenues, surely our tax system alone is responsible for the cutting down of hundreds of thousands of acres of forested land alone. Not to say what a waste of intellectual resources our many paged tax code requires.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:04 | 1509144 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

 

The wording of the baseline is critical.  CBO has more than one baseline.  If they compute against the "Plausible Baseline" then these can be real cuts.

I concur with Tyler that we are looking at about 20 billion in actual, no bullshit FY2012 money stoppage.  This is a very big deal.

We're looking at 0.4% GDP with full on QE2 in progress and only months after the 2% SS tax cut began 31 December  2010.  That Is Stimulus, and Brent laughed at it and took GDP to 0.4%.

Now we are going to have the 2% SS tax cut expire, Brent is still $118 and extract an additional 20 Billion dollars from gov't spending.

GDP is going to get slapped hard.  U3 will NOT decline in this environment.  Obama's re-election prospects are not great.

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:07 | 1509149 HungrySeagull
HungrySeagull's picture

I'll take the deal, lock stock and barrel, just enough already damnit.

I'll use the borrowed time until the elections to prepare accordingly.

 

Sun, 07/31/2011 - 01:07 | 1509152 alien-IQ
alien-IQ's picture

USD should be testing all time lows within 72 hours.

oh the joy.

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