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ADP Says Better Than Expected 176K Private Jobs Added, Of Which Only 4,000 Manufactuing Jobs

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The ADP Private jobs report is out, and in June America allegedly created 176K private jobs, better than expectations of 100K, and up from last month's 136K revised print. What hasn't changed is the continued lack of correlation between the ADP and the NFP report, nor the ongoing deterioration in claims. More importantly, Obama's promise of doubling US exports in 5 years from 2 years ago may be in jeopardy, since of the 176,000K extra jobs created, a whopping 4K was in manufacturing, the rest, or 160,000K, was service jobs.

ADP vs NFP via Reuters:

And from the report:

Employment in the U.S. nonfarm private business sector increased by 176,000 from May to June, on a seasonally adjusted basis. The estimated gain from April to May was revised up slightly, from the initial estimate of 133,000 to a revised estimate of 136,000.

 

Employment in the private, service-providing sector rose 160,000 in June, after rising a revised 137,000 in May. Employment in the private, goods-producing sector added 16,000 jobs in June.

 

Manufacturing employment added 4,000, reversing May’s decline.

 

Employment on large payrolls—those with 500 or more workers—increased 11,000 and employment on medium payrolls—those with 50 to 499 workers—rose 72,000 in June.

 

Employment on small payrolls—those with up to 49 workers—rose 93,000 that same period. Of the 72,000 jobs created by medium- sized payrolls, 7,000 jobs were created by the goodsproducing sector and 65,000 jobs were created by the service-providing sector.

 

Construction employment rose by 8,000 jobs, more than reversing the declines of the two previous months. The acceleration of employment since April does lend credence to the argument that unseasonably warm weather boosted employment during the winter months, with a “payback” spread over April and May.

 

The financial services sector added 11,000 jobs from May to June, extending this sector’s consecutive advances to eleven months.

At least Libor-manipulating banks are hiring.

 

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Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:27 | 2588308 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

does obama count fraud as an export? if so, he may already be there.

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:28 | 2588312 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

We'll have to check the revisions.......we'll get back to you much much later.

 

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:51 | 2588380 New_Meat
New_Meat's picture

"We'll have to check the revisions.......we'll get back to you..."

Next Thursday.  Fixed it for ya'

- Ned

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 09:04 | 2588405 ihedgemyhedges
ihedgemyhedges's picture

Anecdote: my 17 year old son got a summer lifeguard job in early June paying $10 per hour. He's saving his money to buy a car next year after graduation. Looking at his paystub, it's processed by ADP. So yes he has a job, yes it pays very little, yes he's not spending a penny of it and YES it counts in that monthly ADP report of service jobs......

Take that FWIW.....

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 10:03 | 2588544 The Big Ching-aso
The Big Ching-aso's picture

 

 

Fluffers? Internet porn's the only sector that's not showing signs of softening in this country.

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:29 | 2588309 MillionDollarBogus_
MillionDollarBogus_'s picture

New commercial building going up near me.

Nice to see that.

Will be interesting to see if a tenant moves in right away.

Lots of commercial space for sale and rent nearby.

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:31 | 2588317 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

The ghosts will be pleased to hear that.

 

Lots of commercial space for sale and rent nearby.

 

.....and growing exponentially by the day.

 

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:28 | 2588311 Machiavelli1
Machiavelli1's picture

overall shouldnt this be considered good news

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 09:23 | 2588440 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

It is.....if you like Koolaid.

 

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:28 | 2588313 Let The Wurlitz...
Let The Wurlitzer Play's picture

Can I have some fries with that?

 

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:30 | 2588318 Bold Eagle
Bold Eagle's picture

"Every quarter astronomical number of boots were produced on paper, while perhaps half the population of Oceania went barefoot".

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:30 | 2588319 Confundido
Confundido's picture

Never mind. The algo is out to damage precious metals....Can someone remember a day when gold lost $20/oz with the announcements of a 25bps cut in ECB rate, 25bps cut in China, GBP50BN in QE out of UK? How pathetic is this? Anyway, this only encourages me to buy more....(am I a sadomasochist for that? or will I look smarter when US Treasuries are downgraded and the repo market collapses?)

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:36 | 2588336 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Never mind. The algo is out to damage precious metals..

 

Your government at work.....trash PMs with public printed dollars so they can buy with private funds....rinse are repeat as long as it works.

 

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:32 | 2588327 Catullus
Catullus's picture

Retail fireworks sales jobs and special events crews

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 09:03 | 2588331 ptoemmes
ptoemmes's picture

How many of the service jobs where hand fan attendants, ice cube servers, etc?  I mean it's hot and that's a way to correlate with the weather.

Or part time forest fire fighters...and I mean that with all due respect and honor to those who do that - they aren't paid enought if paid at all.

 

Pete

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:36 | 2588337 torak
torak's picture

Help Wanted:

McDonalds -- part-time counter help
Wendys -- part-time counter help
Walmart --  part-time greeter
Sunshine Car Wash -- Full-Time rag jockey
...
...
...

The New Normal LMFAO

 

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:37 | 2588342 insanelysane
insanelysane's picture

Stcoks to fall as there will be no QE with these numbers.

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:37 | 2588343 Rock the Casbah
Rock the Casbah's picture

My daughter got a "service job" in June waiting tables at a legit restaurant. Her income "might" pay for the gas to get there and back....

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 09:11 | 2588420 pazmaker
pazmaker's picture

Thats too bad rock, it is relative though.  I don't say this to cause grieve but just to demonstrate it's not like that everywhere.  My daughter gota waitress job at a chain restaurant and she is averaging about 14.50 an hour whith her tips.  Sometimes on fridays and saturdays she comes home with 200 bucks per day.

If you got higher end restaurants around she should try those.

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:38 | 2588344 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Most were hired into companies with less than 49 employees.

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:39 | 2588347 giggler123
giggler123's picture

Andy, please adjust the rates for this next press release on jobs, better make'em feel ok for what's comming next.

 

Well you know, they did it for Libor...

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:39 | 2588349 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

I am not getting that tingly feel good feeling.

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:40 | 2588355 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

YEAY for QE3! Oh, wait....

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:42 | 2588357 GubbermintWorker
GubbermintWorker's picture

Would you like fries with that??

 

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:42 | 2588360 The Duck Stops Here
The Duck Stops Here's picture

They should stop ADP from reporting, they are always wrong and usually overstate the employment picture. Even a broke clock shows the correct time twice a day, while ADP to my memory hasn't been correct once in the last...well. ever. On the flip side it seems in today's world, if you are wrong the first couple times, you get to keep trying ***stares at Ben Bernanke ***

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:51 | 2588382 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Momma don't take my ADP away.

 

When I think back on all the crap I learned on Wall Street...it's a wonder I can think at all.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wZpaNJqF4po

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 09:41 | 2588473 Rikky
Rikky's picture

In your view ADP is wrong because it doesn't match up with NFP?  Think about that statement for a minute.  Maybe its the opposite?  I'll trust numbers from a firm that procesess almost 1 in 5 paychecks for US workers over a government bureaucracy that changes algorithms on the fly.

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 09:48 | 2588511 adr
adr's picture

Think about a firm that processes 1 in 5 paychecks that applies that data to the entire US economy. Yep, not very trustworthy anymore.

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:43 | 2588363 Confundido
Confundido's picture

When are we going to see the futures markets cornered, destroyed, to end PM manipulation???

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:54 | 2588392 MarkD
MarkD's picture

When will ADP get with the program like car manufactures have done with sales/inventory numbers and any person that applies for a job is considered hired.

We could be creating a million jobs a month.

Chrysler dealer inventory up 16% YoY

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 09:17 | 2588430 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

I fully expect stackable cars to make better use of lot space before this is through.

 

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 08:55 | 2588396 JPMorgan
JPMorgan's picture

*Cough Bullshit.

http://www.shadowstats.com/

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 09:03 | 2588402 MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

Haha! Sure!

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 09:09 | 2588418 CrimsonAvenger
CrimsonAvenger's picture

No, see, our baristas will pour coffees that are then Fedexed to Japan - two service jobs increasing exports right there. Don't be such cynics.

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 09:16 | 2588429 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Bean Delivery Index

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 09:18 | 2588431 orangedrinkandchips
orangedrinkandchips's picture

FRIES ARE UP!

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 09:22 | 2588439 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Til I turn blue: aggregate income is more important than number of bodies in servitude.

 

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 09:42 | 2588479 Son of Loki
Son of Loki's picture

Barry can double exports but he will have to follow Larry Summers advice to weaken the dollar considerably...that's hard to do now that the euro is crumbling before our eyes.

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 09:53 | 2588533 adr
adr's picture

Every June millions of high school and college kids go out to get minimum wage service jobs to make some money to pay for the folowing school year.

160k jobs isn't even worth mentioning considering the number of people seeking employment this time of year.

Millions of the jobs that would have been taken by the high schoolers, are actually now held by people with masters degrees. Yep that guy running the rideat Cedar Point has an advanced engineering degree, at least he's working with machinery.

Thu, 07/05/2012 - 12:01 | 2589143 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

They are starting to include blow jobs in the stats.

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