Amazon Misses, Guides Lower, Sees Q4 Operating Loss; Shares Tumble

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Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:15 | 1809771 SeverinSlade
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CNBS says BTFD.  Stocks are cheap, remember that.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:16 | 1809775 Skeebo
Skeebo's picture

I'm looking for stocks to get cheaper too before I'll start buying.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:42 | 1809835 TruthInSunshine
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I'm no prophet, but I do like profit, and I'd dare say I'd add "a lot" to your cheaper, before I'd entertain buying into what may be the Japanese-esque 21 year/negative 88% (and counting) black hole.

Amazon has efficiencies and competitive advantages infinitely more plentiful than Brick & Mortar retailers and other online retailers, and even it misses.

I can hardly wait for the next CNBS anal-cyst to advise how this is the bottom, rather than a mere appetizer.

If Amazon is working off of these margins, Retail-geddon cometh.

Apple is now implementing a 'cut our prices' business model (officially) after seeing unit volume sales miss and 9% decline in same store sales, Amazon misses big, and NFLX loses nearly 1 million customers in a single quarter, and all I have to say is the MOMO crowd is going to relive 2008 with - leverage.

But the sell-siders will all rush onto CNBS & Bloomturd and excoriate the sheeple with cries of BTFD [aka "we really need you to buy at least some of our soon to be big time losers, because The Bernank & Geithner have their hands full with MBS & banking black holes, not to mention the plague of Black Death of looming EuroDebtapocalypse, and we are going to need to be as liquid as possible - please?"]

#Green shoots

#winningthefuture

#everything-is-all-better-in-the-EU-now

#saved-or-created-[fill in blank]-jobs

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:46 | 1809914 Fake Jim Quinn
Fake Jim Quinn's picture

Bad Christmas season coming. Sounds like kids may get gifts, but I think this is season where adults settle for Xs and Os

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:50 | 1809924 WonderDawg
WonderDawg's picture

Please please please let CMG be next.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:55 | 1809945 max2205
max2205's picture

PPT is doing a great job....we should have been down 2,000 Dow points on all these breakdowns.... WELL PLAYED Sir!

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 17:13 | 1810025 azusgm
azusgm's picture

Please, please, please let BAC be next. And I'm not even short. It is simply time to flush that one.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 17:52 | 1810129 rumblefish
rumblefish's picture

i've noticed CMG has not been as crowded as of late. don't get me wrong. they are  still slinging some serious burritos but volume has to be down.

 

 

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 17:35 | 1810085 Freddie
Freddie's picture

Santa doesn't come to America since the stupid vermin elected the muslim.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 17:00 | 1809971 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

No worries, the CNBS and sell side momos still have PCLN to ramp.  If that fails, they can always cut to Phil "Go Unions" Lebeau to distract the lemmings with a pretty new Detriot built and middle class financed glossy red future recall p.o.s.

If that doesn't work then the next step is CNBS "directive #1"...unbutton the blouses and focus on rack.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 17:53 | 1810131 toady
toady's picture

Speaking of momos, I hope robo got out of netfix & amazon somewhere near the top, otherwise it has been a pretty rough ride lately...

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 18:08 | 1810169 YesWeKahn
YesWeKahn's picture

You got it wrong. The true strength in Amazon is actually its brand name. All the tech stuff you mentioned is nothing, someone good at it can do that in a few months of time.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 18:23 | 1810213 DeeDeeTwo
DeeDeeTwo's picture

Amazon is now just another middleman, baby.

Wed, 10/26/2011 - 05:54 | 1811460 UP Forester
UP Forester's picture

Nuh-uh.  They're women, and they're on the moon....

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 18:56 | 1810320 riley martini
riley martini's picture

 Amazon wouldn't even have the .07% margin without the tax free advantage over retailers that have to pay for Amazons free ride .

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 18:56 | 1810324 riley martini
riley martini's picture

 Amazon wouldn't even have the .07% margin without the tax free advantage over retailers that have to pay for Amazons free ride .

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 20:03 | 1810480 Vampyroteuthis ...
Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

#2 of the 5 horsemen of the stock market apocalypse. NFLX, AMZN, BIDU, PCLN and AAPL. The market's end is near.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:32 | 1809854 HedgeAccordingly
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another one bites the dust... @theback9 nailed it again  http://hedge.ly/slrwMs

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:40 | 1809895 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

But, but, but, the CNBS momoconimists said that AMZN, FSLR, and NFLX would guarantee full employment by Q4 2011!?!?!?!

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:54 | 1809938 Ronaldo
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But, Bob Pissonme said this is just a bit of a rain shower in an otherwise bull market.  Really, this is just the expected pull back after a great run up in the market, the economy is in good shape. 

Can't you feel that wet spot running down your back, it is just rain!

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 17:49 | 1810121 azzhatter
azzhatter's picture

Bezos giving Pissonme a golden shower

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:17 | 1809773 azzhatter
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Cramer- buy buy buy buy...................  Oh wait that was Netflix

 

Gotta love that operating margin at Amazon

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:18 | 1809786 YesWeKahn
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Next year will be event better when CA buyers have to pay sale taxes.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:17 | 1809779 gulf breeze
gulf breeze's picture

I am Robofader and I went short @ the highs. I am the best

 

LOL

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:27 | 1809842 homersimpson
homersimpson's picture

The only thing Robo is short is his ability to pick winners before the fact.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 17:32 | 1810079 LooseLee
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BTW Where is that POS MomoTard? Yesterday it was Netflix and today Amazon; two of his favorite bulltard calls. What a lousy POS conformist establishment pig is he! ZH readers kept pointing out the fundamentals of these companies and he scoffed. Well, Robo, what do you have to say now? Be a man! Let's hear your rationalization...

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:17 | 1809780 monopoly
monopoly's picture

10 Billion, 20 Billion, it means nothing if you earn .14 cents. Freaking absurd.

Wed, 10/26/2011 - 05:59 | 1811463 UP Forester
UP Forester's picture

It's easy if you give a $450 million spread on the next quarter....

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:18 | 1809782 YesWeKahn
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Don't worry, they will pump this junk back up tomorrow. This is the darling stock for many idiots.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:18 | 1809783 catacl1sm
catacl1sm's picture

and BOOM goes the dynamite!

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:42 | 1809903 Manthong
Manthong's picture

Bring on LNKD and CRM.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:55 | 1809944 Smithovsky
Smithovsky's picture

looking forward to (buying puts on) GRPN

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 17:01 | 1809980 Sequitur
Sequitur's picture

Yep. Got some big puts on LNKD and CRM, two supreme shitbags with p/e at 400+.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 17:26 | 1810058 devo
devo's picture

I'd add VMware to your list. Not a complete shitbag, but you definitely do not want that P/E ratio in this environment...

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 17:49 | 1810120 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

LNKD currently at P/E of 1,238...

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:53 | 1809928 FinHits
FinHits's picture

You know that it would be untrue 

You know that I would be a liar 

If I was to say to you 

Girl, we couldn't get much higher 

 

Come on baby light my Fire*

 

*Kindle variant

 

I'll stick my neck out and say that Kindle Fire will grab significant iPad market share, and the ramp up of volumes will be okay. Rebound in the cards.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 17:30 | 1810073 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

catacl1sm, I'd be remiss to not give credit where credit is due (context nothwithstanding):

Boom Goes the Dynamite
Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:18 | 1809784 SeverinSlade
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Amazon's going to follow NFLX.  They'll likely soon respond with raising pricing for Amazon Prime which will lead to even more losses.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:27 | 1809841 DormRoom
DormRoom's picture

With a P/E of 100, they have a lot of room to fall.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:31 | 1809853 Blorf
Blorf's picture

Exactly, they are still at NFLX from three months ago levels in terms of PE.  No reason to buy here.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:41 | 1809879 DormRoom
DormRoom's picture

I'm still waiting for the web2.0 bubble to pop.. Linkedin has a P/E over 1000!  Christ.  Then all those angel/VC seeded companies with poor business models, will go bust.  DST (Digital Sky Technologies) will implode, and Silicon Valley will be ruined, from their bubble-mania (look @ the lofty  valuations in secondary markets).  That is the lesson for misallocating capital in such a grand scale.  There is no free lunch.  Bankers have failed to learn this lesson.

 

#occupywallstreet.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:56 | 1809950 Willzyx
Willzyx's picture

PCLN I'm looking at you

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 17:04 | 1809983 DormRoom
DormRoom's picture

floats of PCLN, and LNKD are too small.  I wouldn't short them, less a short squeeze wipes you out. But the drop in AMZ, and NFLX will put over-valued web companies on notice.

Wed, 10/26/2011 - 10:45 | 1812450 Willzyx
Willzyx's picture

Shorting the likes of PCLN or LNKD is always a tricky proposition.  Just ask Whitney.  Worthless OTM puts are better than a margin call.  With a P/E of 35, market cap of nearly $25 billion, and a book value of $2 billion, the flameout will be spectacular.  Just like NFLX.  Unless of course they continue to grow their revenue at a rate of 25-35% each year.

Wed, 10/26/2011 - 09:27 | 1812002 Reform1776
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Check out Jan 2012 OTM PUTS. They go clear down to $90.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 19:43 | 1810441 SofaPapa
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They didn't "fail" to learn it.  They were protected from learning it by the insertion of hundreds of billions of dollars to cover the losses that such behavior brings.  So they've learned the lesson they were taught: we do not need to fear losses as long as those losses are large enough; when large enough, the taxpayer will take the loss.  Moral hazard, not incompetence.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 16:18 | 1809785 Biggvs
Biggvs's picture

Wow, AMZN tanks, ES doesn't even care.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 17:04 | 1809988 Ralph Spoilsport
Ralph Spoilsport's picture

What is ES? Thanx in advance.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 17:23 | 1810049 TheLooza
TheLooza's picture

Electric Seal.

 

He don't give a fuck about much, granted.

Tue, 10/25/2011 - 19:17 | 1810381 Esso
Esso's picture

S&P futures.

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