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ECB Publishes October Minutes, Says "Deflation Risk Not fully Excluded"





Moments ago Bloomberg's Richard Breslow explained why the ECB's minutes, since they would confirm the dramatically easing nature of the upcoming ECB action, are far more important than what the Fed disclosed yesterday. And now, here are the minutes themselves, with the following summary courtesy of Bloomberg.

 
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And Now The ECB's Minutes: One Trader's Take





The ECB has real policy choices they will have to choose between, and the implications are real. A further foray into negative deposit rates, extension and enlargement of QE, even a less likely change to the main financing rate. Each choice has externalities internally and is also likely to provoke a reaction from other affected countries. The Riksbank and SNB will be watching as closely as EGB traders. The ECB is in easing mode. The Fed plans to tighten. Relative value trades have further to play out

 
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Global Markets Surge Overnight On Fed Minutes Optimism; ECB Minutes Set To Keep Rally Going





While it is still unclear just why the FOMC Minutes which are said to have made a December liftoff "more likely" unleashed a dramatic market rally, one which sent both stocks and TSYs higher, the sentiment continued overnight, with both Asian stocks surging on the US momentum, as well as Europe, where the DAX gapped solidly above the 200 DMA as most European shares advanced, led by resources, travel stocks. U.S. futures continue their ramp higher, and at last check were another 8 points, or 0.4%, in the green.  But if the Fed Minutes were enough to unleash the latest leg in this rally, than the ECB's own minutes due also today, should send futures back over 2100 without much difficult, regardless of their actual content.

 
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What December Liftoff? The Lack Of Any Discussion On "Normalization Logistics" Is Big Red Flag





Aside from some vague reassurance that the Reverse Repo - IOER corridor "should" work, there has been no detail on the topic. To Jefferies this is a glaring problem: "The lack of any discussion of liftoff logistics is puzzling to us and a potentially significant communication snafu."

 
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Here Comes China: Xi "Vows Terror Fight" After ISIS Executes First Chinese Hostage





As a result of the latest announcement by ISIS, namely that it had just executed its first Chinese hostage, China's isolationist position has now changed and as Bloomberg reports "Xi Vows Terror Fight After IS Kills Chinese Captive".  As it further adds, China's President Xi Jinping condemned the Islamic State’s execution of a Chinese national, "an act that raises pressure on China to take a greater role in resolving Syria’s civil war."

 
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Russia Explains To Clueless US Public Why Obama Can't Defeat ISIS





“Apparently, it’s a kind of a ‘honey is sweet, but the bee stings’ situation: they want IS to weaken Assad as soon as possible to make him leave somehow, but at the same time they don’t want to overly strengthen IS, which may then seize power."

 
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"What Happens In Syria, Doesn't Stay In Syria"





Obama drops that 'C' word again...

 
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Did Goldman Sachs Just Find The Smoking Gun In Today's FOMC Minutes?





The market's reaction to today's FOMC Minutes was, to some, a little odd given the "December is on" hawkish narrative being sold to the public. Stocks rallied, longer-dated bonds rallied, gold managed gains, and the US Dollar sold off... not exactly the reaction one would expect from a 'hawkish' Fed statement. But there is one thing that would explain those moves... and it appears Goldman Sachs found it buried deep inside the 12 pages of Minutes...

 
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Meet The Institution Most Intent On Destroying American Freedom (Hint: It's Not ISIS)





No outside force can end freedom in America. The only force that can end freedom in America, is the American government itself. This is the main lesson of the 15 years since 9/11.

 
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Indians Refuse To Give Their Gold To The Government: Only 30 Kilograms Take Part In "Gold Monetization Scheme"





One week after the gold scheme's official launch, we take a look at how has it has done so far. In one word, so far the "gold monetization" plan has been a disaster with a laughable 30 kilograms in gold tendered by the people from physical into "government-backed" form.

 
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The 1% Is Rolling Over





Today’s financial world is a tough place for the average person but paradise for rich guys. As easy money raises asset prices, the owners of those assets make effortless profits. Then they buy expensive toys and trophy properties. Hence the recent boom in fine art, high-end real estate, yachts and private jets. But like all financial trends, this one has a limit, and that limit is now in sight. The 1%, it seems, is rolling over...

 
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Brazil GDP In "Free Fall Mode", Get Ready For "Terrible" Q3 Print, Analysts Warn





Well, we got a look at the IBC-Br monthly real GDP indicator on Wednesday and as you can probably imagine given the stagflationary nightmare currently unfolding in Brazil, the picture was not pretty. If fact, we just witnessed the largest Y/Y contraction in series history.

 
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Dead Unicorn Walking: Square IPOs At $9, 42% Below Latest Private Financing Valuation





If having to slash valuations by 30% from the latest private financing round was not bad enough, Square's IPO just priced notably below the expected (already lowered) range of $11-13 (and even further below the $15.46 at which it raised private money last year):

*SQUARE SAID TO PRICE 27M IPO SHARES AT $9 EACH, REUTERS REPORTS

So from a private valuation around $6 billion to this, and along with Fidelity marking down its SnapChat valuation, it appears that without another massacre in a major city, risk appetite for these paper-behemoths may have gone the way of the mythical unicorn itself.

 
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