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And As A Reminder

Tyler Durden's picture




 

...For those confused why the market is reacting like a stung bee to today's announcement that contrary to Jan Hatzius' expectations, Twist may not be extended (at least not before we get a 20% market correction), here is where all, repeat all, market "growth" has come from in the past three months. Hint: $2 trillion in central bank easy money. Because the ECB is now shooting blanks, the Fed will find it difficult to ease so close to the debt ceiling farce, and the BOJ is irrelevant. And if the spigot is shut off, watch out below.

Chart: Citi

 

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Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:10 | 2314120 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

So.... I'm losing track. Is this bullish, or uber-bullish?

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 16:02 | 2314402 Chief KnocAHoma
Chief KnocAHoma's picture

FOUR MORE YEARS! Please no!

http://annoyanidiot.blogspot.com/

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 17:00 | 2314582 max2205
max2205's picture

This doesn't pass the smell test

Is this anyway to run a country (s)?

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:25 | 2314228 jus_lite_reading
jus_lite_reading's picture

This is what a PONZI looks like before its official... its not a PONZI until someone calls "FIRE!"

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:37 | 2313961 CryingBear
CryingBear's picture

i no understand why market would go down if economy is improving.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:01 | 2314078 tempo
tempo's picture

Economic growth is always less than the increase in debt. With EU and China declining PMI numbers and the US living off the 100 warm winter temperatures and GM channel stuffing; a sharp economic decline is likely w/o heavy central bank stimulus. Who can create enough stimulus to stop the collapse before the election and new debt ceiling problems??? Put on a happy face, we need more regulation and unions.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:02 | 2314088 hedgehog9999
hedgehog9999's picture

Market's only raising on Viagra printed dollars. Cut the viagra and you know what you get!

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:10 | 2314117 NOTfromSanFrancisco
NOTfromSanFrancisco's picture

 

 

To Hedge...

You get rimp noodles...

 

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:24 | 2314218 BandGap
BandGap's picture

At least four more hours of pulse pounding action!

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:38 | 2313965 Squishi
Squishi's picture

who else is impotent?

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:17 | 2314178 akak
akak's picture

RobotTroll has been oddly (and mercifully) silent these last few weeks.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:31 | 2314253 Vincent Vega
Vincent Vega's picture

Shhhhhhhhhhh! you might wake him.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:38 | 2313966 CryingBear
CryingBear's picture

H&S

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:39 | 2313970 Dealer
Dealer's picture

metals are getting torched

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:43 | 2313991 Pladizow
Pladizow's picture

If a stock went down by 2%, would you call that torched?

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:53 | 2314043 dereksatkinson
dereksatkinson's picture

If you are refering to gold, i'd call it normal given the volatility of gold.  I would say the miners are getting killed though.  4% on GDX and 5.6 on gdxj.  Ouch.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:21 | 2314205 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

Someone is trashng very good miners like SLW.   I have too much on margin to take advantage.  Pardon me while I go to the corner and bawl.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:56 | 2314054 Vincent Vega
Vincent Vega's picture

Excellent. I hope they get 'torched' some more. For many on this site that is just giving us a better exchange rate.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:14 | 2314145 NOTfromSanFrancisco
NOTfromSanFrancisco's picture

 

 

Vincent...

Agreed. I honestly thought my best buying opportunities to pick up some 2012 eilver eagles were behind us. I am glad I was wrong...

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:40 | 2313974 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

teflon aapl

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:46 | 2314011 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

The only thing that can and will take down AAPL is an earnings miss. 

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:59 | 2314071 caconhma
caconhma's picture

AAPL stock just became a new post-US$ currency.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:12 | 2314138 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

In Jobs we trust?

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:38 | 2314285 Red Raspberry
Red Raspberry's picture

Worship a dead martyr in a dead economy.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 17:37 | 2314671 Zero Govt
Zero Govt's picture

the economy isn't dead, the US Govt and Banks are

...sooner they both collapse in a shitheap and get off the economys back the sooner those green shoots happen

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:40 | 2313975 TwoJacks
TwoJacks's picture

sweet

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:41 | 2313982 Angel Face
Angel Face's picture

A nice crash before the elections would pretty much doom Obummer.  Not that Rmoney would be any better.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:46 | 2314008 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

Not if it happened quickly... The 2010 flash crash" was all but over by the end of June...

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:41 | 2313983 AgShaman
AgShaman's picture

Sooner or later...they will find the crayon they've been looking for...and it'll be ok

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:41 | 2313984 strongband
strongband's picture

nice rout.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:42 | 2313986 oklaboy
oklaboy's picture

could it be the powers that be are abandoning the great Obamster?

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:16 | 2314170 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Could very well be. 

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:21 | 2314200 KickIce
KickIce's picture

No, but math certainly is.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:28 | 2314238 blu
blu's picture

If throwing Obama under the bus buys the oligarchs a few more quarters hidden behind the curtain ... then yes.

Nothing like a spectacle to draw attention away from the actual gears and wheels of destruction.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:44 | 2313993 tony bonn
tony bonn's picture

you can look at it as a loss of employment or reduction in costs, but running a random stock pricer every day at market open and close - instead of trading algos - would allow the elimination of all traders/hft....prices would now be set by a simple computer program which would drift ever higher....

this in turn would free more money for the bond market which will be hurting in a real bad way one of these days....

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:45 | 2313995 vegas
vegas's picture

Attention Vampire Squid Muppets: All is well; we are both long and short equities. Any questions contact the prop desk at 1-800-EAT-SHIT.

 

http://vegasxau.blogspot.com

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:44 | 2313997 navy62802
navy62802's picture

Well, at least PNCL is off its lows. Haha.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:45 | 2313999 casey13
casey13's picture

With the US deficit at 1.3 trillion where does the bond backstop come from if the fed stops buying? 

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:47 | 2314016 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

This isn't the default you're looking for.

This isn't the default we're looking for.

Move along.

Move along, move along.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:47 | 2314010 gjp
gjp's picture

AAPL and AMNZ still up and gold getting hit harder than any other commodity or asset class.  Central planners still having it their way, for now.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:47 | 2314013 markalpha
markalpha's picture

Any minute now there will be some rumor, or Jaime Diamon will release a statement and the market will melt up

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:48 | 2314024 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

Still 12 minutes before the 3PM no volume ramp job...

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:48 | 2314020 Sutton
Sutton's picture

Someone check in on Bill Gross.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:50 | 2314030 markalpha
markalpha's picture

It feels like Bill Gross is always on the wrong side of the trade. Last year he shorted bonds and MBS right before the big rally and this year he buys up a pile of MBS expecting QEIII

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:48 | 2314023 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Groupon summer special: 10% off gold and silver. 

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:10 | 2314121 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Groupon summer special: 10% off gold and silver.

When(not if) the EU melts down, if the sheeple climb back into USD's/Treasuries,Bonds, we may get a chance at a 20%+ Groupon sale.

Please ONE more firesale.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:49 | 2314026 Everybodys All ...
Everybodys All American's picture

there is only one way to sell the amount of Treasury's necessary if there is no operation twist or QE infinity. Fear.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:55 | 2314045 ReallySparky
ReallySparky's picture

They are not planning on selling them for very long.  Please expect your IRA and 401K to be legislated, (without your consent) into Treasuries in the forseeable future.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:18 | 2314180 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

HA HA yea exactly!

 

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:51 | 2314032 Lore
Lore's picture

 

Short everything but beef jerky and hard liquor. Central bankers STILL think they're in control.

Hope pension fund managers anticipate some of this garbage. If Pavlov's dog could learn to salivate, so can they.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:51 | 2314037 kito
kito's picture

(sweating...panting...).......hope!!!....give me hope!.....please.....just one more little empty intimation that there will be more liquidity!!!!....pleeeeeeease.....just a little one!!! i swear.....last time...........pleeeeease!!!................

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:52 | 2314039 nobusiness
nobusiness's picture

Green by end of day.  Banker scum still have plenty of fire power

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:54 | 2314047 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Everyone knows they will have to print or rates take off on them.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:57 | 2314056 PaperBear
PaperBear's picture

How many silver longs got shaken from the tree today I wonder. Harvey Organ will tell us later today and I will not be surprised if he reports, yet again, that the longs are in strong hands.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:19 | 2314188 DosZap
DosZap's picture

How many silver longs got shaken from the tree today I wonder. Harvey Organ will tell us later today and I will not be surprised if he reports, yet again, that the longs are in strong hands.

As long as Au holds 1625.00, and Aug holds 32.00, we are in strong hands, watch the mkts after 5:00.........see what happens in Asia.

If these points are taken out, we could see $1550-75, and $30.00 again.

OTOH, WHEN Iran is bombed, you had best be set, because you will not be able to get any of either unless your willing to pay HUGE prems.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:59 | 2314069 monopoly
monopoly's picture

Rates take off? That might happen no matter what the idiots do. Remember, there is more to monetization then just America. What a farce this all is.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:04 | 2314070 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

...Drupal

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:54 | 2314339 paulbain
paulbain's picture

CarbonMutant wrote:

Drupal

OK, I know what Drupal is, but do not understand your comment. How is the CMS Drupal relevant to Tyler's story? Please let me know.

-- Paul D. Bain

paulbain@PObox.com

 

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 14:59 | 2314073 hedgehog9999
hedgehog9999's picture

Glad I got out of that PM garbage. As I said in another thread, GOLD, SILVER and the PM sector is toast for at least a year until we hit GOLD 1050 and HUI 250 or lower. Paper 's won the war for now.

US economy will muddle along 'till year end without QE, then the slow down will hit Obama or whoever straight  in the crown jewels as the new presidential cycle starts. Mean time we may have an Iran war, etc.

Bottom line the economy would have to crash before any meaningful QE lifts your favorite asset again.......in 2013 or later.

Sell bitchez sell!!! if you haven't.....

 

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:09 | 2314113 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

If you're talking about the paper speculation market, you may be correct, but it'd be madness to sell PHYSICAL gold/silver at this point.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:16 | 2314172 KickIce
KickIce's picture

Right or wrong, you're playing with fire.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:17 | 2314176 ActionFive
ActionFive's picture

The PM war with paper is not occuring on the COMEX 'dial' they set for you. That is for trolling/MOPE/HOPE. Look at Asia/BRIC/Iran.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:45 | 2314310 Bear
Bear's picture

I hope you are right ... I missed the big move from 1000 -->> 1900. I'd like to get it

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:02 | 2314087 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

A market with out QE is like sex without viagra...

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:07 | 2314100 El
El's picture

Is there ANY chance they could be right and the steps taken so far might possibly result in a sustainable economic turnaround? I cannot see how that is possible, but would like some less biased opinions.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 20:16 | 2315074 WSMassiv
WSMassiv's picture

Our very monetary system is not functioning, so the short answer is no.  Do a little more research on interest free money.  "Bill Still" is a good start.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 20:47 | 2315100 akak
akak's picture

With all due respect, fuck Bill Still the Fiat Shill and his ragingly statist, maliciously disingenuous monetary nostrums, in which he not only advocates doing NOTHING to remove government from its iron-grip on the issuance and control of money, but positively reaffirms and defends the total governmental control of money.  His numerous lies and propaganda against gold and the gold standard, moreover, have earned him an honorary place in the Jon Nadler Paperbug Hall of Shame.

Bill Still loves the state --- I prefer the free market.  He no more represents true and honest monetary reform than Obama represented real financial and political change.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:08 | 2314106 nobusiness
nobusiness's picture

It is just too easy for the banks.  No matter what news comes out.  They have trillions to play with and they just Fuck us all.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:08 | 2314111 hedgehog9999
hedgehog9999's picture

"A market with out QE is like sex without viagra..."

True unless you are an old fart like Bernanke who can only perform under the influence of printed notes ...............................

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:13 | 2314132 magpie
magpie's picture

Perhaps this is only a "what-if" simulation of what happens when interest rates get out of control. We'll see where the simulation ends or not.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:20 | 2314194 Olympia
Olympia's picture

Global Debt Crisis

The greatest private fraud of human history.
Who are the great fraudsters who are becoming the murderers of the human kind? How does the economy "illness" threaten Democracy and the freedom of people?

http://eamb-ydrohoos.blogspot.com/2012/01/global-debt-crisis.html
---------------------------------
By knowing what happened in indebted Greece, where loan sharks created “bubbles” and the current inhuman debt, one can understand the inhuman plan in total ...understand where this plan started just to bring all states at the same end ...understand how this type of plans are established...

Authored by PANAGIOTIS TRAIANOU

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:22 | 2314211 Bear
Bear's picture

If there had truly been an expectation of FED announcement of easing and we got what we got ... then this market should be 5% lower by now, but I expect that no one really expected an easing 'announcement'

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:27 | 2314233 q99x2
q99x2's picture

BoE didn't seem to get much bang for their buck.

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:42 | 2314304 Bear
Bear's picture

BoE doesn't seem to get much bang for their quid

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:42 | 2314303 catclaw
catclaw's picture

So... Perhaps we are just now experiencing the effect of financial fracking...?

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 15:45 | 2314311 trilliontroll
trilliontroll's picture

MAYDAY!MAYDAY?

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 16:30 | 2314500 hedgehog9999
hedgehog9999's picture

For those gold bugs, it is interesting to note that with all that excess liquidity from the BOE in the last few months which lifted all European /US markets GOLD and the PM sector did Zilch!

That is the key indication that the perception in the GOLD market is that paper is in charge right now liquidity print  or not.....There was lots of bad press that the western world was disintegrating due to excessive debt.....Greece blah blah blah.....

It is quite obvious the moron central bankers defused the Greece situation in a way that they have actually bought at least a year maybe two before the wheels come off again at which points Gold bugs will have their long awaited extasis..... they will keep printing behind the scenes anyhow, without publicly starting a QE program or what not...somebody has to buy that new debt from Timmy or the sovereigns in Europe and that of course is Ben and Draghi......As no investor in their right mind is going to buy near zero interest rate paper.......gold knows this but the wheels won't come off yet!!!

Tue, 04/03/2012 - 16:27 | 2314501 Pitchman
Pitchman's picture
The Stock Market: au contraire

With the market operationally twisted we present Daneric's Elliott Waves (last evening) commentary.

Re the Reggie Middleton's ZH commentary on Facebook;

 

Look at what is happening to the Carlyle Group IPO ... bad intent from the very beginning.

"...Is it just a foisted "red flag" as the Washington based asset management firm puts itself up for half of it's rival Blackstone group's IPO, though each has about $150 Billion under management. Whatever the case, their one sided deal could be greed shooting itself in the foot.

Talk about negative baggage: Bin Ladan, inside dealings with the House of Saud, terror ties and blatant conflicts of interest between their adviser Bush Senior and GW.  As the most negatively lopsided IPO in history who in their right mind will invest in these sociopathic baby killers?"

"When people whose job is to buy low and sell high – and who have done a pretty damn good job doing it – are selling, why the hell would you be buying? Do you think you’re going to get a better return than they are? Best of luck!" -  Stone Street Advisors...

Aside from the putrid odor can anyone smell a market top?"

See: WAR PIGS: Carlyle Group's Lopsided IPO That No One Cares About

-

Warren Buffett: The Paradigm Puppet - Who Is Worse; The Criminals Or The Men Who Enable The Criminals?

 

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