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And The Winner Is...Gold

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Year-to-date, Gold is up an impressive 9.4%, significantly outpacing the S&P 500 at +5.6% and the disappointing 2% loss (in price) for the 30Y bond.

Treasuries sold back off initial knee-jerk rally low yields into the close but the EUR kept going (holding above 1.3100) as Gold and Silver were the big winners on the day (+2.9% and 3.4% on the week now). Stocks and credit roared higher after an initial stumble post FOMC. Financials lagged among all the S&P sectors (and Utilities outperformed post FOMC statement +0.75% vs financials -0.25%). Right up until the close, credit and equity markets were on a tear but very soon after cash closed, futures limped back and HY credit snapped lower (quite dramatically) which makes some sense given just how ridiculously rich it had become to fair-value.

 

Gold handily outperforming this year.

After HYG signaled an early turn lower in credit and equities, the FOMC statement sent risk on a rip which didn't want to stop until it had taken out recent highs. Average trade size increased significantly once we got over recent swing highs and as is clear we leaked back into the close with quite a significant drop in HY as cash markets closed. The suspicion would be that CDS index levels were just being reracked by market-makers instead of heavy flow driving it up and then some real orders hit as we rolled over and the market hit a small void. We note that IG and HY are now at almost record levels of richness to their intrinsic value (and the 3s5s curves continue to flatten - bearishly in our view).

 

Commodities, as one might expect, enjoyed the limelight in what was on first glance a disappointing statement lacking any QE-specific expectations and ZIRP moves (it didn't seem that surprising to us). But the squeeze was obviously on in stocks and the reality that the only way the Fed has left to combat the ills of reality is to print drove Gold up to six-week highs over $1710.

Treasuries ripped and then dipped with 30Y ending up back near its high yields and the rest of the curve well off its low yields by the close.

Broadly speaking risk assets moved in a supportive manner for stocks (as is clear from the capital structure - left, and CONTEXT - right).

Charts: Bloomberg and Capital Context

 

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Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:24 | 2097696 theMAXILOPEZpsycho
theMAXILOPEZpsycho's picture

actually its silver - thoughts trav?

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:31 | 2097747 akak
akak's picture

Expect to read the words "silver pumpers", "bagholders" and "I told you so" from him, regardless of whatever happens in the silver market, today or over the next three years.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:34 | 2097767 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

ZIRP means "QE to infinity".

We hardly need Trav to tell us what that means going forward...although I'm sure he'll weigh in to let us know anyway.

GOLD & SILVER bitchez.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:38 | 2097782 The Big Ching-aso
The Big Ching-aso's picture

 

 

Calling Karl Denninger for a stupid vacuous incredulous rebuttal please.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:45 | 2097811 akak
akak's picture

No need to call Herr Forumfuhrer Doucheinger for a specific comment here --- you can read pretty much anything he has written if you merely want stupid and vacuous. 

Now, if you want surrealistically hilarious, just read any of his inane ramblings attempting to address monetary theory or history --- they are comedic gold!

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:46 | 2097821 The Big Ching-aso
The Big Ching-aso's picture

 

Ya know, he's gonna come on here and give you a demerit any moment now.

 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:50 | 2097833 Ruffcut
Ruffcut's picture

Maybe a pewter star is best.

I think alll these years I've blogged with the douchemeisterdingerhammer, he must be allergic to the PM's, or something.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:03 | 2097884 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Does he still have an audience?  Him and Mish look like idiots right now.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 20:35 | 2098270 AbeFroman
AbeFroman's picture

Ignore those two.

These two men have done more for the human mind than anyone (or anyhing) else...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ClV7B2xofVk&feature=related

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mQorzOS-F6w

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 21:18 | 2098366 trav7777
trav7777's picture

Fish and Douche didn't listen.

I specifically told douche under my first TF handle that BB would print.  I think I got banned for that. 

Both of those guys were warned that their stupid FRN notes of a bankrupt state would not become priceless.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:00 | 2098462 AldousHuxley
AldousHuxley's picture

Fed is not bailing out gold

 

Fed is bailing out TBTF....BANK OF AMERICA

 

 

 

 

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 08:08 | 2099086 Papasmurf
Papasmurf's picture

Fed is filling the sinking ship with more cargo.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 23:09 | 2098645 LowProfile
LowProfile's picture

Douchinger, sure. 

But Mish has been bullish on gold since $900.

...Want some ketchup with that crow?

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:51 | 2097834 akak
akak's picture

A red arrow from a Douchingerite is a badge of honor --- I wear each and every one of them proudly (just as I will wear the flayed skins of every one of his sycophantic deflationary flat-earthers in the coming years --- suitably lined with felt made from pieces of green linen).

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:20 | 2097951 akak
akak's picture

I would like to see Jon Nadler, Jeffrey Christian, "Kid Dynamite" or Bron Sucheki try to explain that chart; their efforts would certainly be entertaining, to say the least.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:53 | 2097840 RTFM
RTFM's picture

Grrrrrrrrrrrrr....

I hope you have been following Ticker guy's financial advice:

Stuff your mattress full of soon-to-be-priceless FRN's, lose 30 pounds in weight, and repeat the mantra, "The banksters won't inflate, the Fed doesn't set interest rates, Ron Paul wants to stick a gun up mah sweet daughter's azzzzz".

Grrrrrrrrrrrr.........

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:06 | 2097863 akak
akak's picture

Instead of calling himself "MarketTicker", it would be much more appropriate for Douchinger to call himself the "Market Tick", as he is utterly loathe to condemn the corrupt host from whom he sucked (paper) profits for so many years to his own advantage, regardless of the fact that said host has self-inflicted terminal cancer.

I just hope that Karl has a live feed going on the day that his beloved fiat dollar finally collapses, so that I can see his (atrophied) gray matter get splattered all over his camera, and my screen, as his enormously bloated head explodes as reality finally sinks into his excessively thick cranium.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:59 | 2097871 rodocostarica
rodocostarica's picture

Herr Forumfuhrer Doucheinger

 

Glad I was not drinking when I read that one AKAK. That is an original I imagine?

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:04 | 2097887 akak
akak's picture

Yes, I can take credit for bestowing that title upon The Arrogant One.

Although it must be noted that the full, official title is actually "Herr Oberstgruppenforumfuhrer Karl Douchinger, Kaiser von Internetland und der Vater von die Tea Party".

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:19 | 2097950 Ruffcut
Ruffcut's picture

Ok, Akak, cool it down a hair. He does have great math skills, but maybe had a visit from the matt simmons, hot tub guys. He didn't understand that always saying shit is just that. Too much shit. Too many opines, are worthless as the job that Washington DC does.

He figures  being the top 1% is deserving of a strong opine.  Having a log in on zerohedge is far more than I deserve, but I'll use it til the tap runs dry. Bitch and moan about the future and state of affairs, but realizing I am as helpless as anyone else.  Funny how we attack anyone with out our total views. 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:23 | 2097975 akak
akak's picture

As happens even here so often, you utterly miss the point, and raise a specious and insulting strawman argument to boot.  I do NOT attack Karl Denninger merely for having a differing opinion on this or that, I attack and condemn him for his DISHONESTY and for the utterly malicious disinformation that he so frequently propagates on the subjects of gold, fiat currency and the role of central banking in our corrupted and failing economy and oligarchic financial system.

Karl is intelligent enough to recognize that it is not just the PLAYERS who are at fault here, but the SYSTEM itself that is corrupt and failing --- yet he implicitly defends it at every turn, and attacks those who dare point out both his ignorance (of monetary theory and history) and his many logical fallacies.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 20:57 | 2098320 trav7777
trav7777's picture

Douchinger isn't in the top 1%.

Forumfuhrer came from suckerforum.info where there are a lot of refugees from the TF cult.

Douchinger is actually a paper pusher who made money on the .com bubble.  He wants paper markets forever so he can try to extract rent.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 21:57 | 2098455 Moe Howard
Moe Howard's picture

he's a confessed obama voter claiming to be the father of the real tea party which he now condems. figure that out for me and let me know what you come up with. Skitzo is what I call it.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:16 | 2098468 akak
akak's picture

Schizophrenic narcissistic sociopathic banksterphilic aurumphobic personality disorder, with delusions of forum grandeur.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:41 | 2098813 Bananamerican
Bananamerican's picture

"CUT THE CRaaAAAP AKAK BEFORE I START MAKING REFERENCES TO....ANAL STUFF!!!"

I've thought about cutting The DoucheKangs greatest rantomatopoeia in all their spittle inflected glory but it would just be too spooky.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:43 | 2098819 akak
akak's picture

LOL!

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 20:53 | 2098312 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

nice avatar. and i'll rebut: "why did treasury's rally again?" we're still "all heat and no light" in these here parts. i get that on the tele--or "trucker tele" as they call it now. can't help it that the "Less than Zero" set never had anything useful to do with their meaningless lives. Perhaps if they tried their hand at jumping out of an airplane at say...800 feet? anywho the knee jerk reaction of "inflation bitchez!" IS CORRECT. The question is HOW IS HE GETTING AWAY WITH IT!

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:42 | 2097800 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

+ 1, Bay, for PM diversification.

Platinum runs a little differently to Au and Ag, so add some Pt to your pile for even better diversification.  Pt is historically cheap vs. Au.

Still, the Bearing likes King Gold best of all.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:58 | 2097858 Boston
Boston's picture

Great idea, and I've been buying since the carnage began in late 2011. The problem is inventory---there are almost no 1oz platinum coins available anywhere in the US at reasonable mark-ups.

Most dealers have been "out of stock" for over a month now.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:16 | 2097937 Spacemoose
Spacemoose's picture

just got back from the coin shop where i had hoped to pick up a few gold 1/10 oz'ers.  no luck.  out of stock.  had to buy 40 morgans instead.  stock is running low on junk silver as well.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:30 | 2097985 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Rolling with Silver, Bearing; it's the engineering metal! And besides that, it will increase in purchasing power more than gold.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:56 | 2097852 Karl von Bahnhof
Karl von Bahnhof's picture

Long silver.

And unicorns.

Hopium for free till 2020

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:21 | 2097960 Ruffcut
Ruffcut's picture

Hopium has cost me up the ass. Are you getting a groupon deal?

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 20:23 | 2098244 ozziindaus
ozziindaus's picture

Interest rates can and have been at near ZERO and still have no inflation. Evidence? Look around. Again and again I have to say, gold is more of a deflation hedge then it is one against inflation for obvious reasons. Deflation means uncertainty. Security over yield just like the US Treasuries. Why do they yield so little? Also, JPY, and yes I'll say it, USD. Where is the hyperinflation I was promised 4 years ago?

http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2012/01/premature-dollar-obit...

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 20:44 | 2098286 akak
akak's picture

Once again, another disingenuous deflationary flat-earther who speciously declares "No hyperinflation yet!" even while his savings and income both continue to fall due to the same government-sponsored fiat currency depreciation that has been in effect for most of the past century.

Go look at a ten-year chart of gold, or silver, or cotton, or rubber, or corn, or wheat, or pork, or lead, or aluminum, or almost ANY commodity, and then try to tell me that there is little or no inflation, asswipe.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 21:08 | 2098333 ozziindaus
ozziindaus's picture

Ever since ZH appeared, the word hyperinflation has been thrown around by the likes of you as an inevitable event. You got it wrong and I strongly suspect you lack the understanding of the definition of inflation and especially it's causes. 

Want to learn? Start here

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ybRZPDd-MNM

Could any of the commodities you listed above be subject to global economic growth, speculation, government intervention? I don't advocate government or Federal Reserve policies but please take time to understand the causes rather than defaulting back onto INFLATION. 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 21:24 | 2098383 akak
akak's picture

Actually, you totally put words in my mouth --- and that is the nice way of saying it (the more direct way would be "You lie!").  I have NEVER claimed, here or elsewhere, that hyperinflation was inevitable or even highly likely, so I would thank you to directly address my own claims and statements, and not those of others with whom I have no connection.

As to the issue of inflation, yes, I fully understand the meaning(s) of the word, and that it is properly defined solely as an increase in the money supply, usually leading to higher prices and a depreciating currency.  But using the word in the more colloquial sense, as the depreciation of a (fiat) currency and the concomitant rise in general prices, you cannot deny that what we are experiencing today, and HAVE been experiencing over the lifetimes of probably everybody here, has been "inflation" and certainly NOT deflation (i.e., a falling general price level).  Indeed, there has NEVER been a deflation under a fiat currency regime, least of all during a time of exponentially rising governmental debt --- and I am not willing to bet any amount of money, least of all my entire life savings, that this time will be the very first.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 21:30 | 2098403 ozziindaus
ozziindaus's picture

If I have falsely accused you of being a hyperscaremonger, then I apologies. But as i suspected, your understanding of inflation and it's causes is totally flawed. Did you click on the links I provided you? Did you go to school today AKAK. 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 21:43 | 2098425 akak
akak's picture

Mike Shedlock, like Karl Denninger, is clueless on monetary theory, and totally discredits himself from discussing monetary matters by his shallow and ignorant lumping-together of both money AND debt/credit, and thereby trying to claim that the decline in debt (and only individual, not governmental, debt at that) somehow constitutes "deflation", in opposition to virtually all non-statist monetary theorists as well as history and reality itself.  He can try to define "deflation" however he wants, and thereby insist that it is happening today, but the average man on the street knows damn well that his dollars are purchasing LESS, not more, with each passing year, and fundamentally that is all that really matters.

Exponentially rising governmental debt, such as we are experiencing today, ALWAYS leads to depreciation of the currency, and the diminution if not devastation of both the average person's savings and their standard of living --- ALWAYS.   There is not ONE historical example to the contrary.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:05 | 2098469 ozziindaus
ozziindaus's picture

I understand that but we are talking about is NOW. The average person, in the near past, is actually losing wealth in the form of money and credit availability. All the QE and quasi bank bailouts have not helped since it's not accessible to the average person and this is why Mish makes the point that an increasing government debt (public) has little effect, and besides, it's only a fraction of the decreasing private debt (deleveraging). Again, total sum of debts is decreasing. This is deflation. So why are commodities rising, well they're not all rising. Many are collapsing and I won't even mention houses and oil. 

http://finviz.com/futures_performance.ashx?v=16

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:14 | 2098486 akak
akak's picture

Again, total sum of debts is decreasing. This is deflation

That is both so simplistically wrong and so wildly misinformed that it makes my brain bleed to even read that profoundly ignorant argument yet again.  Debt is NOT money --- it is as simple as that.  Until you understand the fundamental difference between the two radically different entities, you are going to continue to fall prey to every monetary charlatan out there.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:21 | 2098506 ozziindaus
ozziindaus's picture

In our current system (assuming you live outside the "Axis of Evil"), MONEY IS DEBT. Every dollar (beside constitutionally minted coins) is credited into existence as DEBT. Here's another lesson. 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dc3sKwwAaCU

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:40 | 2098526 akak
akak's picture

Yes, I know that shallow and specious argument that you are trying to make --- I have encountered it countless times from the acolytes of both Mish and Douchinger.

The enormous mistake that you make is that you implicitly assume a commutative principle here that simply does not exist.  Yes, dollars can be considered to be debt, so in that regard "money = debt". BUT, that does NOT in any way imply that ALL debt is therefore somehow money.  This is such a failure in elementary logic that I consider myself debased in even having to address it, yet somehow so many out there continue to fall for it.

Look at dollars (money) as a simple subset of debt; one can NOT turn around and take the the larger set (debt) as a subset of the smaller set (money), nor take the subset as identical to the larger set.  Beginning to get it yet?

Just to give you one example of why making this erroneous and facile "money = debt, debt = money" argument is demonstrably false, we should have seen absolutely GALLOPING inflation between the middle 1990s and 2008 as a result of the tremendous rise in personal debt combined with the rise in governmental debt --- somewhere well above 1000% --- and yet that was clearly not the case.  It SHOULD have been, however, if debt = money = debt.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:54 | 2098604 ozziindaus
ozziindaus's picture

Sorry AKAK, by the swiftness of your response, you likely did not absorb much of the lesson. Goodbye. 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 23:28 | 2098619 akak
akak's picture

It is you who is going to suffer in the future as a result of your miseducation on monetary matters and profound ignorance of monetary history, not I. It would be preferable to see you enlighten yourself and spare yourself from  financial devastation (at least to some degree, as regards whatever savings you might possess), but clearly you have not considered my arguments whatsoever, so I leave you to your inevitable inflationary fate.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:09 | 2098757 trav7777
trav7777's picture

JFC, you are a fricking loser.

This guy tried real hard to be polite and you just can't help yourself from taking a verbal shit all over everything, can you?

What we use as money IS DEBT. 

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:44 | 2098814 akak
akak's picture

What we use as money IS DEBT.

BUT NOT ALL DEBT IS FUCKING MONEY!!!

God, why can't you ignorant idiots grasp that simple fact already?

(Oops, I guess I just answered my own question.)

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 09:40 | 2099247 trav7777
trav7777's picture

right now, it is.

You seem to struggle with the definition of IS like Clitton did.  Typical for weasels and liars.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 15:36 | 2100577 Anarchist Thinker
Anarchist Thinker's picture

I've been wondering about this. How can they call this "credit contraction" deflation, and not call its opposite, credit expansion, inflation? Where were they when credit expanded to the current levels?

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 15:57 | 2100605 akak
akak's picture

BINGO!

That is EXACTLY the point that I have raised with so many of the clueless deflationary flat-earthers.  IF we can simplistically and blithely lump money + credit/debt together, then it necessarily follows that there should have been a MASSIVE inflationary wave from the early-mid 1990s until 2008, on the order of AT LEAST 1200%, to match the rise in private debt + public debt + the "real" money supply. 

However, while there was indeed "inflation" (currency depreciation) during that period, it was nowhere even close to such a magnitude as 1200% or more.  This is just ONE example where their facile and ridiculous deflationary theory falls apart, but they keep on bleating "deflation!  deflation!  Baaah!  Baaah!" like good little sheep.

The fact that there has also NEVER been a deflation under a fiat currency regimes, ever, and that EVERY fiat currency has depreciated over the lifetime of each and every one of them, with not one historical example of a fiat currency ever appreciating in value, oddly seems to have zero impact on these people as well.  The depth of their ignorance of financial and monetary history is profound.

I am, in fact, increasingly convinced that the majority, if not most, of those who rabidly disseminate this absurd deflationary line are actually disinformation agents for the political and financial powers-that-be, actively herding the sheep into taking financial actions that will MOST benefit the Establishment (such as holding depreciating dollars, or running like lemmings into US government debt), rather than taking the actions (such as buying and holding gold and silver) that would most benefit the individual savers and investor instead.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:29 | 2098527 Bringin It
Bringin It's picture

Akak - FYI, starting your post in italics prevents me and others from hitting the green arrow.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:50 | 2098546 akak
akak's picture

Sorry, BI --- I try to make my responses clear by beginning with the quote to which I am responding, but I know that it messes up the arrowing system for some reason.  I will try to start such posts with a "." or something in the future to avoid that little problem.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:07 | 2098752 trav7777
trav7777's picture

you are officially the 2nd biggest idiot on ZH

Everything you just said is wrong.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:48 | 2098828 akak
akak's picture

And everything you say is a lie and/or full of shit.

You know, you disgusting collectivist piece of shit, it is interesting to note how very often you make sweeping assertions and accusations without offering any facts, or logical or rational arguments, to buttress them to even the slightest degree.

But thanks again for demonstrating your nature as a mean-spirited and purposefully antagonistic troll.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 09:41 | 2099250 trav7777
trav7777's picture

everything you said is still wrong.  Insult and blather and pound the table all you want.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 14:06 | 2100223 akak
akak's picture

Psychological projection --- gotta love it!

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 20:51 | 2098303 trav7777
trav7777's picture

I think I said ZIRP was forever

Silver is caught in the same price trap oil is

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:14 | 2098490 HungrySeagull
HungrySeagull's picture

Ah it was a good day, Ja?

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:35 | 2097770 tmosley
tmosley's picture

The funny thing is that its silver, even weighed down as much as it is by the depleted uranium anchor that is the paper silver market.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:39 | 2097790 trav7777
trav7777's picture

yeah, um, silver is at 33...gold didn't utterly collapse like silver did, losing countless bagholder victims of shameless pumpers their life's savings

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:41 | 2097795 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Oh, there you are...spewing your nonsense again.

Welcome aboard douchebag...

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:59 | 2097869 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Trav, my average price is $18.  And I have bought a lot this last year.  Wassup?

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:05 | 2097890 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

If my average were $40 I'd still be happy.  The idiot banksters are losing control of the economy and their own balance sheets.  My physical is not double counted, miscounted, misrepresented (other than to the downside, maybe) via some accounting wizardry called FASB, and still resides in my hands.  The few stocks I have, well, not sure when those will be stolen, but probably soon.

Could care less what others think of my physical stack.  It's there.  I can touch it.  Corzine proved to the world how corrupt these bitches are, and even having "segregated funds insured by the CME" means fuck all.

 

 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:09 | 2097908 I Got Worms
I Got Worms's picture

I bought some near the top last year, can't remember the price but definitely over 45$, and after the huge dump, didn't lose a wink of sleep over it - and still haven't.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:16 | 2097939 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

If there is anyone out there with an incentive to buy, it is you.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 20:59 | 2098328 trav7777
trav7777's picture

Figure I would respond at the top of this chain...

Um, people at the top asked for me by name; was I supposed to disappoint?  JFC, you people are never happy

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 23:23 | 2098672 Ranger4564
Ranger4564's picture

Me too.  I bought 400 oz at $47.75 per.  I looked it up real quickly. On April 26, 2011. I believe Silver peaked on that day or on the 29th.  My average is $29.50 per.  For Gold, I'm currently doing better average at $1337 per.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:06 | 2097897 Transformer
Transformer's picture

And you had the chance to sell at $48.  Wasup with that?  If you had 1000 ounces at $18 that would have been a $30K profit.  And now, you've lost $15k.   And you think it's going well?

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:15 | 2097931 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

I unloaded half of my SLW position at $44 and the other half at $40 (I bought in at $15/share), I sold some producers there too.  I won't ever sell my phys, that is not a trade, that is an investment.

I pay a premium for each oz I buy, why would I clip that profit trying to trade phys?  I wouldn't.  If I want to trade I will move back into miners.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 19:20 | 2098089 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

We're always all such geniuses ex-post, aren't we.

Fact of the matter is, gold is a way better investment than silver. As simple as it gets.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:39 | 2098001 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Damn, twin brother.  My cost average is also around $18.

But don't bother telling Trav about that.  He doesn't understand what that means, thinking it means you bought all your silver at $18, and have been a "pumper shill" since that time.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:29 | 2098528 HungrySeagull
HungrySeagull's picture

Last year my average cost was around 40, I got out at high 40's thankfully.

This year Im less than 30 all in and both cash and metals ready for either way.

I am already in the money thanks to today and this week. I can simply just sit and watch. I hope for another run at the 50's

 

And taking advantage of the ratio I will eventually get into Gold and then the other metals. That way, it will absorb the blows and supports the profits.

 

Buy low, sell high. Remember your cost spread per ounce. Always.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:47 | 2097823 akak
akak's picture

Hey Trav, you STILL haven't addressed my cogent point that I have repeatedly addressed to you:  For the vast number of investors who bought silver BEFORE it hit $30 leading up to its (transitory) price spike last year, exactly how are they all automatically "bagholders"?

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:50 | 2097835 tmosley
tmosley's picture

I think he would rather die than address such questions.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:01 | 2097878 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

And hey while we're at it, how about those of us that watched and never bought above $36?  Some of us got out of paper and miners last year before the drop.  Some people know how to trade metal.  Wassup Trav?

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:21 | 2097959 s2man
s2man's picture

Yep. I sold (paper) silver @ $44 for a nice 135% profit. Let's do it again this year. :-D

 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:45 | 2098011 akak
akak's picture

And it's still just crickets chirping from Trav.

Get back here and defend your specious argument, Trav7777, you cowardly piece of shit.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:46 | 2098015 tmosley
tmosley's picture

He saw it, and pretended to leave.  He'll be back after it falls off the front page.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 21:01 | 2098335 trav7777
trav7777's picture

look, both you and akock's lives orbit around ZH.  Mine doesn't.  I don't sit around thinking "oh I can't WAIT to hear from cliff and akock on ZH, where are they!?!?!?" like you two idiots do.

What about silver at 18?  Fuck, I bought at 6.52, dude, so GFY.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 21:57 | 2098394 akak
akak's picture

And yet you STILL refuse to acknowledge the fact that you have incessantly labeled EVERYONE who either bought silver at ANY TIME in 2011, or who even owned silver throughout the last year, regardless of when or at what price they might have purchased it, as a "bagholder". 

Care to explain that sweeping accusation of yours?

 

 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 21:58 | 2098456 akak
Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:31 | 2098539 TuesdayBen
TuesdayBen's picture

LOL!

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:12 | 2098761 trav7777
trav7777's picture

you must have absolutely no life whatsoever...

jeez it sucks to be you...sorry, man

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:50 | 2098837 akak
akak's picture

And yet you STILL refuse to address my point, which devastates your ridiculous and nonsensical claims about silver "bagholders".

If you're going to try to be a bully, at least be good at it.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 09:44 | 2099258 trav7777
trav7777's picture

yes, your point that ALL the people who bought at $30 made next to no money is taken.

GENIUS, akock, PURE GENIUS.

You seem to think I would have been shitting on you silver pumpers at $20 or 10?  Hell no, bitch, I would have said to buy.

The DIFFERENCE is that I wouldn't have cheerled people into a slaughterhouse like the two of you idiots from $40 onward into an OBVIOUS price bubble.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 12:15 | 2099754 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

So you come in much later on these threads to defend your position?

Price bubble? Fuck you're dumb...no wonder you take so much abuse around here. 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:19 | 2098497 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Note that you still didn't answer akak's question.  I bet you won't address the fact that you have continuously talked shit about silver "bagholders" while yourself owning fucking silver either.

Clearly it is because you are a fucking coward and a hypocrite.

*Cue Trav's disappearance until thread is off the front page.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:17 | 2098768 trav7777
trav7777's picture

dude, what did I just tell you?  My life doesn't ORBIT around what is posted on ZH like yours does.

I realize I am the wellspring from which you flow and if I weren't here, you would have no reason to exist.

You created tons of bagholders by shamelessly pumping silver.  And you paint ME out to be the bad guy?  ME, who told people NOT to listen to you?

I told everyone to ignore your stupid ass and your little chihuahua akock as the two of you were reckless silver pumpers and that people would lose a lot of money and/or opportunity cost by listening to anything you said.  I said better prices were coming.  I said NO 60 by next week.

ANYONE who bet on ANY prediction that YOU made in the past year did WAY WORSE than silver.  They would have lost EVERYTHING.  I doubt you could pick a fucking sports event.  You'd probably "guarantee" SFO was going to win the superbowl after they already LOST last week.

You act as if because I don't respond to you sometimes that I must be disappearing?  LOL, don't flatter yourself, chimp.  I make a fool of you so frequently and you say stupid shit so often that it's a no-brainer to show up on ANY thread you'll be on if I want to do it again.  You are literally like a crackwhore and I have $20 in my pocket.  You're a sure thing.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:57 | 2098860 Bananamerican
Bananamerican's picture

"Gentlemen, Gentilemen...PLEASE get yourselves a room..."

the thread is in peril....again

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 09:43 | 2099255 tmosley
tmosley's picture

All those empty words filled with insults, and you continue to ignore the question.

Such a fucking coward.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:00 | 2097877 oddjob
oddjob's picture

Listen Akak, and get it straight...according to trav everybody that ever ever bought Silver did it easter sunday night between 1 and 4 am.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:06 | 2097894 theMAXILOPEZpsycho
theMAXILOPEZpsycho's picture

using huge leverage in the futures market

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:08 | 2097905 akak
akak's picture

Yeah, just like according to Jon "Gold is in a bubble but NOT in a bull market!" Nadler, everyone who ever bought gold before 2008 bought it exactly at its peak price of $850 on January 21, 1980 --- yep, each and every one of them.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:16 | 2097933 fuu
fuu's picture

with credit cards and 4th mortgages...

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 21:03 | 2098337 trav7777
trav7777's picture

Tyler, rename ZH to TravHedge because I am all these mfers talk about anymore

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 21:34 | 2098415 fuu
fuu's picture

We should play your theme song now.

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nnpEI3njoeo

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:07 | 2098473 moonstears
moonstears's picture

fuu, that's brilliant, laughed and laughed but kept waiting to hear "fuckin' jooooos", maybe I missed it, I'll try again. 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:10 | 2098480 fuu
fuu's picture

With so much material to work with I had to leave stuff out.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:19 | 2098770 trav7777
trav7777's picture

feel free to do volume 2

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:00 | 2098742 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

That was a really great creation fuu!

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:19 | 2098769 fuu
fuu's picture

Thanks!

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:35 | 2098550 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Maybe because on PM threads (silver in particular) you spew forth all kinds of bullshit that makes absolutely no sense?

Figure it out Trav or just STFU on silver...

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:36 | 2098551 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:53 | 2097841 SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

Some actually bought more on the dip.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:57 | 2097859 Karl von Bahnhof
Karl von Bahnhof's picture

Trav you esel...

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:59 | 2097870 Ruffcut
Ruffcut's picture

Travesty777 don't like the silver because he tried collodial silver and it made his tiny dick, turn blue.

He still can't handle a good internet name. Adding numbers to your name? REALLY? Was that your first Trav7777@aol.com Account????

Figures.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 21:04 | 2098342 trav7777
trav7777's picture

I used to be trav777 then I forgot the password and just added a 7.

Imagine my bemusement when someone said that there was some sinister PURPOSE in the 7777.

Almost as much as my bemusement at your dumbass post.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 21:49 | 2098444 akak
akak's picture

Personally, I think it is just another manifestation of inflation.

Next year, you will probably be Trav77,777.

At some point in the next few years, I expect that you will be Trav7.777X10E9

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:32 | 2098542 smiler03
smiler03's picture

"He still can't handle a good internet name. Adding numbers to your name? REALLY?"

Ruffcut (wow what a cool name), do you realise this makes you look about 13 years old? Pathetic.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:33 | 2097987 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Long term charts, trav; long term charts. I'm up over %500 percent without calculating the various puttings on and takings off of margin over the years; and the best thing is; I knew it all along; I was never worried.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 21:06 | 2098346 trav7777
trav7777's picture

This place is turning into like a German BDSM porn flick.

You people just ASKED ME to piss on you.  "Trav, where are you?????  Please come abuse us"

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 23:20 | 2098665 prole
prole's picture

delete   delete   not a nice comment....

Trav when would you recommend buying silver?

Where is your recommendation to buy? at what price?

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 23:37 | 2098690 akak
akak's picture

That is easy --- the answers are "Never", and "at no price", as according to trav buying silver at ANY price, at ANY time, instantly makes one a victim of the self-serving "silver pumpers" and therefore a "bagholder".

BTW, this "trav7777" has already been outed as the vehemently anti-silver blogger Bob Moriarty, of 321Gold.com --- his consistent anti-silver sentiments, his dishonest and hateful rhetoric, and his vile, highly disagreeable personality are all identical to Moriarty's.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:22 | 2098775 trav7777
trav7777's picture

hmm...last week for a quick turnaround.  Long term when production peaks.

That said, I think physical silver is a complete waste of time as it's too fuckin heavy.

Playing a trade on an industrial precious metal with vanishing stockpiles...platinum all the way.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:54 | 2098846 akak
akak's picture

That said, I think physical silver is a complete waste of time as it's too fuckin heavy.

Just when I think Trav has managed to say the stupidest thing possible, he manages to top himself once again!

LOL!  Poor Bob Moriarty, still raging at silver under yet another pseudonym.

Dance, little troll clown, dance.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 09:52 | 2099287 trav7777
trav7777's picture

let's see...20 oz of gold or 1000oz of silver?  Hmm....which would I rather lug around?

Yeah I forgot, all silverbugz have cranes and other construction equipment.  And all of them bought at $6.52 like I did.

NONE of you guys bought at 25, then 30, then 35, then 40, then 45, then 50, and have an AVERAGE cost basis that is underwater.  NONE.  Because silverbugz are GENIUSES like Wile E. Coyote!

I have other investments that did better than silver even at MY original cost basis and did so over far shorter a period of time than 10 years.  You retards act like gold was a good investment for a THIRTY YEAR timeframe because it eventually exceeded its price back then.

By being a diligent investor/speculator instead of a lemming chasing irrational bubbles based upon the words of idiots and the thoughts of morons, if I chose to, I could buy FAR MORE SILVER now than during most of the past 13 months.

You know, by IGNORING the chicken little bullshit of "IMMINENT" Comex default and all the other canards that you shameless pumpers throw out there.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 10:38 | 2099421 tmosley
tmosley's picture

The COMEX already defaulted, both on paper (since Dec 2010, when they started delivering SLV instead of silver) and on physical (seized the delivered silver of MF Global account holders, failed to deliver to those accounts which were standing for delivery).

Further, very few people only started accumulating in Jan 2011, which is when $25 was first breached.  We've been talking about this shit for years.  

You are a fucking idiot.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 19:29 | 2098112 SilverRhino
SilverRhino's picture

Those of us holding PM's understand this one little phrase that seems to have escaped you

"Ride it out"  

I haven't lost a dime's worth of FRN because my positions are still in place (AND I AM NOT LEVERAGED LIKE AN IDIOT).   When they STOP printing money and move away from fiat currnecies towards something stable, then I might think about selling.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 02:34 | 2098919 delacroix
delacroix's picture

.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:49 | 2097826 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

"But,but, it only costs $5 to dig it out the ground"....
Whatever happened to that moron....

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:53 | 2097845 akak
akak's picture

He dug the grave of his own credibility --- now he is lying in it.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:02 | 2097881 Long-John-Silver
Long-John-Silver's picture

First there were calls for a fall back to $5.

Now those calls are for a return to $18.

When Silver is above $50 will the calls be for $33?

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:14 | 2097928 akak
akak's picture

It's very much like reading the old official German news bulletins from the waning days of World War II:

 

"Wehrmacht wins glorious victory over Soviet forces near Minsk."

Then, a few months later:

"Heroic German forces turn back Bolshevik advance near Warsaw."

Then, a bit later:

"The invincible army of the Fatherland utterly routs collapsing Communist armies on the eastern border of the Reich."

Inevitably followed by:

"Fuhrer promises 'complete victory' over Asiatic barbarians in the suburbs of Berlin."

 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 20:04 | 2098137 NuYawkFrankie
NuYawkFrankie's picture

Re It's very much like reading the old official German news bulletins from the waning days of World War II:

...or those incessant glowing dispatches from the waning days of Vietnam (courtesy of Gen Westmoreland/CBS/ABC/NBC/NYT et al. Inc.) - before the last USA dignitaries had to be ignominiously airlifted of the roof of the USA Embassy in Saigon - like a buncha rats jumpin ship

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 20:06 | 2098195 akak
akak's picture

"Like" a bunch of rats jumping ship?

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:21 | 2097961 ViewfromUnderth...
ViewfromUndertheBridge's picture

Say what you like but the one I fucking miss is Johnny Bravo.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:19 | 2097949 Stu Pedassle
Stu Pedassle's picture

You idiots buying gold never cease to amaze me.  Read this to find out where gold is REALLY going in the next few years (hint: zero)...

 

http://seekingalpha.com/article/319486-why-gold-related-investments-are-slowly-becoming-worthless?source=yahoo

 

/ sarc off

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 20:32 | 2098262 trembo slice
trembo slice's picture

silver is up 18% YTD... Silver is the winner.

also, remember the 10 yrs since 9/11 chart on ZH?  Silver was the clear winner there... up something like 810%

Silver is a monetary metal just like gold.  However, gold's uses are limited to primarily jewelry and dental work.  Silver has practical uses, as well as intrinsic value like all commodities.  You can't go wrong owning the finite goods of nature whilst the madmen in Washington and throughout the world are hell-bent on destroying currencies to hook up their criminal buddies... all while advocating an abandonment of capitalism, which to them is incapable of dealing with these turbulent times.

Too bad these F***s are granted the slightest bit of respect... they literally know nothing about the nature of wealth and the path to human prosperity.  They're evil.  I hope hell exist, so these f***s are treated to eternal suffering!

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 21:09 | 2098349 trav7777
trav7777's picture

silver was, uh, kinda DOWN bigtime last year?  Perhaps you forgot it...that whole "60 by next week"?

We're at 33 now.  Gold is about 10% off its peak. 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:20 | 2098464 akak
akak's picture

Silver was down last year ONLY if you (highly) selectively, and disingenuously, measure it starting from its brief price spike in late April/early May.  Using almost ANY other starting and ending points, silver was either only down modestly, roughly even, or up, depending on the exact dates selected. 

Trying to use a price spike as a baseline reeks of the dishonesty and intellectual bankruptcy of a pro-bankster shill such as Jon Nadler.  Epic fail of both logic and objectivity there, trav.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:25 | 2098786 trav7777
trav7777's picture

no, it was down for the year, you fuckin idiot.  as in START of the year and END of the year.  Idiot.

Maybe by "almost any" you meant something like completely different from the plain meaning, or perhaps you are just a shameless liar?  Because anytime after February would qualify as a point from where silver was down for the year.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 02:16 | 2098929 akak
akak's picture

So we MUST arbitrarily take January 1 and December 31 as the ONLY possible reference points?  Did EVERYONE buy silver on January 1, 2011, and sell all their holdings on December 31, 2011?  What about all those millions of "bagholders" whom you claim lost their life savings by buying at the exact peak price of $48.50?

Your every argument is an exercise in obfuscation, misinformation and misdirection --- you literally HATE this physical metal SO MUCH that it utterly freezes your brain in spasms of drooling idiocy.  Always with you dishonest, disingenuous anti-PM trolls it is cherry-picked dates and prices to attempt to poormouth and disparage the ten-year uptrend in prices for gold and silver.  But your blind and raging hatred has unmasked you, Bob Moriarty, and we now know you for the vicious, hateful anti-silver propagandist that you are.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 09:55 | 2099294 trav7777
trav7777's picture

no, we can take MOST OF THE FUCKING YEAR as a starting point, you fucking IDIOT.

We are NOT going to cherrypick a date where the price happened to be lower so a MORON like you can say "SEE??? Silver ALWAYS GOES UP"

Silver has been DEAD MONEY for most of the past year.  CERTAINLY selling in April and walking away was the smart trade.  Which is why silverbugz said to do the opposite.

They said to "back the truck up" and "buy with both fists"

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:04 | 2098467 tmosley
tmosley's picture

If by "down bigtime" you mean "even".

But then, you were never one to adhere to the definitions of words (or facts when it comes to persuit of your vendetta against me).  You know, sort of like how you still pretend that a cost average is the same as a one time entry point, and how you continue to pretend that a one time expression of my exasperation at the breakdown of my "paper silver to zero" thesis as a "call".

You are so warped by your hate, I don't even know what to say to you, other than "that's the reason your family left you--right there".

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:27 | 2098787 trav7777
trav7777's picture

silver closed the year off more than 10%.

From MOST of the year, it was DOWN HUGE.  March-April, July-September...down HUGE.  The rest of the year, off quite a bit.

Sorry, shameless pumpers, your incessant lies will be called for what they are...LIES.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 02:19 | 2098931 akak
akak's picture

Hey Trav, you STILL haven't addressed my cogent point that I have repeatedly addressed to you:  For the vast number of investors who bought silver BEFORE it hit $30 leading up to its (transitory) price spike last year, exactly how are they all automatically "bagholders"?

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 09:57 | 2099301 trav7777
trav7777's picture

Cogent?  ROTFL.  It is petitio principii with heaping doses of strawman.

It's also a shameless and transparent attempt to DIVERT the line of discussion away from the fact that I AGAIN have blown your lies out of the water.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 10:40 | 2099425 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Really?  You are the the one using ad hominem to try to weasel out of answering the very direct question.

If you want to claim that there are logical fallacies in the question, then you'd best show your fucking work.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 22:39 | 2098567 trembo slice
trembo slice's picture

Trav... YTD (year-to-date) literally means a 365 day chart.  We aren't dealing with silver's high of $49+... we are dealing with the silver spot price from 01/25/2011 which was roughly $27.

No matter which kind of bullshit you spew... the math is incontestible.  $27 to $33 dollars is an 18% increase YTD.

So, you're a fucking moron.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:28 | 2098789 trav7777
trav7777's picture

this is why YTD cherrypicking is stupid.  You could pick half of 2011 and you're WAY DOWN.

You people and your constant ballyhooing over a paper price you say doesn't even matter.  LOL

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 15:40 | 2100595 trembo slice
trembo slice's picture

fudging the distinction between trading and investing to not even make a point is stupid.

people that have invested in silver (like me) are not worried about the price action from a day-day or month-month basis...

your point is irrelevant, because you are acting like everyone is trading instead of investing.

"Buy cheap, hold for the long-term"  Jim Rodgers.

Silver investors have continued to do just that. 

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 00:38 | 2098807 Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

Sorry to interrupt the argument, guys....

"YTD (year-to-date) literally means a 365 day chart."

That statement is completely WRONG.

"Year-to-date is a period, starting from the beginning of the current year, and continuing up to the present day." - Wiki

....carry on.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 15:42 | 2100599 trembo slice
trembo slice's picture

i stand corrected.  looks like im the fucking moron :(.  Then silver is from $29-$33 making it a 12% increase YTD

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:25 | 2097706 aVian
aVian's picture

never sell a single oounce

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:43 | 2097813 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Yes.

Give it away instead, when the time comes...

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:27 | 2097714 Money never sleeps
Money never sleeps's picture

I bougt gold with 50% leverage at www.armadamarkets.com with all of my account. I hope this bastard goes to 170 000!!!

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 17:36 | 2097776 ilion
ilion's picture

I'm a client too at Armada Markets. This is a pretty responsible brokers and they'll probably kick you out soon if you overtrade on your account! I love your conviction, however, about gold!

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:16 | 2097934 tekhneek
tekhneek's picture

$170,000 gold? That's a new one.

I can agree and see the reasoning behind $8,000/$11,000 gold and even the $50,000/oz argument based on inflation/monetary base but... $170,000?

Does it even matter at that point? Would you seriously exchange something you paid $1,700 for at $170,000? I'd be a little hesitant at those lofty numbers.

Wouldn't be surprised though, honestly.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 18:41 | 2098004 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Once you see the dollar value of gold get close to the theoretical value, the market starts to count the dollar as a failed currency, meaning there will at some point be no active market trading real gold for dollars.  At best, it will be an ad hoc market like Zimbabwe was.

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