This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Art Cashin Ridicules Europe's "Plan For A Plan"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

When a few weeks ago we coined the term "plan to plan to plan" we didn't realize we should have also trademarked it. Royalties and all that... That said, when it comes to the Chairman of the Fermentation Committee, we grant him a lifetime license of usage.

From Art Cashin:

A Plan For A Plan Plus Some Deadlines And Doings Produce Stunning Pyrotechnics - We took an extended weekend in honor of Columbus Day and Canadian Thanksgiving. A few of the Friends of Fermentation did fill in the blanks, however, and here’s what they said they saw.

 

The stock market exploded in a frenzy of short-covering. The primary driver was Europe and the motivation seemed to come in three aspects.

 

The first was the “Markozy” announcement that they had a plan to produce a plan to resolve the European banking problem. That, as you will note from this morning’s headlines, was thought to be the main catalyst. It was, but with a couple of asterisks.

 

A few pundits expressed concern that a “plan for a plan” was rather vague. They seem to forget that late last Tuesday an equally vague bank “plan” headline from the on-line FT started a savage 400 point reversal to the upside in the final hour of U.S. trading.

 

The FoF types claimed that it was in fact details that gave the short-covering explosion life. The first detail was the selfimposed deadline of November 3rd. That, in a minor leap of faith, said they “meant it”. The next step up in credibility is if they had shown real commitment with a pinky swear.

 

The other “detail” was what looked to be a swift resolution to the Dexia bank mess. The Belgian bank Dexia had become an almost instant poster child for the European bank crisis - and in a geographic area not originally thought vulnerable. 

 

The impression that they were cleaning it up swiftly lent an air of effective response to the Euroland efforts. 

 

U.S. stocks rallied into mid-morning and then flat-lined at the highs for most of the day. When a late mild pullback failed to produce bargains, the procrastinators, with their half filled baskets, stepped up, producing a last half-hour rally that closed them at the high tick for the day. All without any input from the bond market.

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:42 | 1760697 jekyll island
jekyll island's picture

A plan always works until it doesn't.  Hopium, bitchez!

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:44 | 1760713 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

Plan bitchez!

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:52 | 1760735 Don Birnam
Don Birnam's picture

Arthur, let the Continentals go belly-up. In such a case, the euro would depreciate into little more than colorful, watermarked scrip ( makes for interesting bookmarks ) -- and what with a resultingly stronger dollar, imported Jameson -- by the litre -- will be cheaper than Five Roses ! -- Ergo, the Fermentation Committee can finally trade up to some venerable Irish blended.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:59 | 1760946 The Big Ching-aso
The Big Ching-aso's picture

Peak plans, bitchez!

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:43 | 1760698 Smithovsky
Smithovsky's picture

Trademark "rumor of a rumor" while you still have time.  

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:42 | 1760701 HelluvaEngineer
HelluvaEngineer's picture

Coked out sociopathic traders have no time for details.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:44 | 1760708 rocker
rocker's picture

Art Cashin is more of a Whisky Drinker

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 11:31 | 1761022 depression
depression's picture

real commitment with a pinky swear.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:45 | 1760702 QuantumCat
QuantumCat's picture

Madoff also had a plan for a plan... until the very end. 

"There's a sucker born every minute" P.T. Barnum

But hey, enjoy the circus while it lasts. 

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:43 | 1760703 rocker
rocker's picture

  Boycott Wallstreet.  Don't Buy Stocks.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:45 | 1760714 qussl3
qussl3's picture

More like dont buy any security that's a derivative and dont trade.

Some companies are worth owning, trading them on the daily BS feed and using BS derivatives are the problem.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:48 | 1760716 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

I never believed in buying stocks, just a money machine for MM's. Long ago back when things were somewhat sane I would take a gamble on something that had been beat down too far, or something that had popped far too high in a mania, but thats it hell with stocks it was always a scam.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:53 | 1760736 qussl3
qussl3's picture

Having some self proclaimed guru manage your funds for a fee is almost always a losing proposition, but solid businesses with a history of dividends should be alright.

Where I live zero rates have been a fact of life for more than a decade, stocks for income is a very viable avenue.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:14 | 1760799 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Yea right....stocks have made some people money, if they were lucky. Stocks on the other hand have been sudden huge losses for many as well. If youre sitting here trying to tell me stocks are okey dokey try it on someone else I know the scam too well.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:53 | 1760925 qussl3
qussl3's picture

In the end we are all looking for a return on our capital, as fucked up as the markets are there are still opportunities to INVEST regardless.

Hating on stocks or PMs or USTs shouldnt be a religion, I just want a return.

Do my DD and take the licks.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:43 | 1760707 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

You go Art! Have a scotch and soda on me. 

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:49 | 1760723 Gobsmacked
Gobsmacked's picture

I love it when a plan (for a plan) comes together /John "Hannibal" Smith

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:55 | 1760742 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

I pity the fools.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:46 | 1760899 juangrande
juangrande's picture

Would a plan for a plan make the gods laugh twice as much ( or laugh squared )?

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:50 | 1760729 adr
adr's picture

You've obviosly never worked for the Japanese. They have a patent on plan to have a plan while planning for the perfect plan. If something goes wrong the Japanese believe the planned plan was just not planned enough.

They fail to realize that having the perfect plan can't work when everyone is planning the plan. Somebody needs to actualy implement the plan. While discussing the plan no counter argument can be presented against the plan because the planned plan is perfect. Failure is not the fault of the plan but of the people who are not perfect enough to understand the plan.

The bailouts are the perfect plan. Us sheeple just don't understand how bailing out debt with more debt actually works.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:51 | 1760733 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Yea its worked SO well for Japan and all.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 13:54 | 1761750 Crack-up Boom
Crack-up Boom's picture

First rule of war:  no plan survives first contact with the enemy.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:58 | 1760740 Smithovsky
Smithovsky's picture

There's a new rumor of a rumor of a plan for a plan of fixing the debt with more debt.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:56 | 1760745 Hansel
Hansel's picture

I would say it slightly different.  Merkozy announced a November 3 deadline so banks knew there would be 3 more weeks of no news -- a target rich environment for forcing short squeezes on nothing.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:07 | 1760757 Hansel
Hansel's picture

<--- Europe will announce a plan on Nov 3rd to resolve crisis

<--- On Nov 3rd, the can will be kicked again.  There will never be a resolution

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:16 | 1760802 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

The crisis will never be 'resolved', because bankers run it and theyll never take the haircut or prison sentences. You will be stuck 'resolving the crisis' when your wealth is completely transfered to them in the end thru currency blowout.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:31 | 1760845 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Well, you have to admit, the stress tests had one part of genius.

Dexia was, if fact, number one.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:56 | 1760748 Ronaldo
Ronaldo's picture

markets just took a nice bounce, must be a new plan to plan to spread a rumor of another new plan.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 09:57 | 1760750 Ivanovich
Ivanovich's picture

What's next?  Cue the jeep turning over in mid air, crashing into a burning metal heap of junk, and Juncker crawls out all bruised before the camera fades to Merkel and Sarkozy standing on a hand-fashioned cannon, merkel's cigar burning down to a stub before she says "Ich liebe es, wenn ein Plan funktioniert."

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:00 | 1760762 IrritableBowels
IrritableBowels's picture

This market is FUCKED.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:04 | 1760777 I am a Man I am...
I am a Man I am Forty's picture

We would be so much better off if we let the shit fall apart and hit the reset button.  The assholes would be out of jobs, the corrupt banking institutions would be gone, and the responsible people that have saved money could get cheap equity prices and would be willing to buy.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:08 | 1760785 lairdwd
lairdwd's picture

This is ridiculous. We all know that they are going to ... "make tough decisions" (print money... cough cough). It's the path of least resistence, and right now - there is no resistence to that path.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:17 | 1760804 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

They have a rescue plan.  All they are trying to figure out is how to explain the fact they are about to print 3 trillion dollars to the public.  That is all they need a plan for.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:26 | 1760826 PhD
PhD's picture

Art Cashin knows nothing!

Given the bullish sentiment following the announced "plan to plan" it is blatantly obvious that the market had priced in expectations of "Markozy" to announce "a plan to form a committee to plan how to plan the plan". Hence, the response of the market is nothing more than a healthy market returning to fair values that reflect the rapidly improving fundamentals of the economy.

Run and buy before it’s too late!

 

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 11:49 | 1761094 tsx500
tsx500's picture

if you are trying to sound like an idiot .......   it's working !

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 13:13 | 1761569 PhD
PhD's picture

Just trying to do a Hamy :)

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:26 | 1760827 XitSam
XitSam's picture

P.P.P.P.P.P.P. 

Since they can't do the first three, the last three is what we'll get.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:27 | 1760831 winter is coming
winter is coming's picture

UP UP UP...Every day is UP

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:35 | 1760851 illyia
illyia's picture

Art Cashin? = Pricelss!

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 10:35 | 1760852 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

the answer is 1194 + EUR/USD = wtf

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 11:01 | 1760953 terryfuckwit
terryfuckwit's picture

they can can kick kicking cans as much and often as they want to can kick i could use 5 years of metal buying at current prices.. we all could..  the fact is they are losing control.. and each measure is becoming more desperate.. remember the first rescue fund announcement all the msm proclaimed how comprehensive that was.. bout 5 months of comprehensive... the lying bastard scum liars are depending on the honesty of the  other lying bastard scum to provide concrete proposals based on the hyper accurate transparent accountancy of those scum lying bastards..

 

so ... buy the metal and get some popcorn and enjoy!!

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 11:19 | 1760982 s2man
s2man's picture

On one hand, I just wish it would all crash and get it overwith.  But you are correct; When you know something is going to happen, time is your friend, as you can do more prep'ing. 

+1 on a long dip while we buy

Another +, if I could, for "can can kick kicking cans"

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 11:05 | 1760962 The Big Ching-aso
The Big Ching-aso's picture

To print or not to print, that is the question.

Bernanke's job is to print.   If he doesn't print he gets fired.   If he gets fired he has to find a job.

Therefore, he shall print.

Peak printing coming our way.

Plan accordingly.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 11:12 | 1760976 s2man
s2man's picture

I watched a little Fox last night (just a little, I swear) and they used a plan for a plan for a plan.  I cracked up.  Didn't bother to explain to dear wife.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 11:42 | 1761067 monopoly
monopoly's picture

Art is a pleasure and a breath of fresh air in this den of thieves, scum and squids.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!