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Bank Of America Is Just The Start Of Paulson's Problems: Behold.... Citigroup

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With Bank of America getting taken to the woodshed, we can only hope that Paulson managed to sell all of his stock in the name, or otherwise just like Bruce Berkowitz is organizing a call to defend Bank of America on Wednesday, Bank of America would have to organize a call today to protect JP from his LPs. Alas, Bank of America is just the start of Paulson's problems. For a just as big problem we shift our attention to the next worst bank in America, Citigroup, which as the excerpt below demonstrates, was a bragging point in the firm's January 2011 letter. Alas, there is little to brag about these days. Which is why we wish to caution investors to be vary careful with liquidation-like selloffs in gold. Should D-Day strike at Paulson, the firm's multi-billion GLD "gold share class" will likely have to be sold very fast to preserve liquidity. When that happens we may see a 20-30% correction in gold in one day. This is just a theoretical warning, and we hope to have some sense of when, if at all, it would take place. But just something to keep in the backs of your heads...

From Paulson January 2011:

Uh, ok...

Here is why Paulson is now likely down 30% for the year and the margin calls may soon commence.

 

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Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:07 | 1537523 candyman
candyman's picture

Finally,  the Black Swan wakes up from its hibernation.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:15 | 1537560 Chief KnocAHoma
Chief KnocAHoma's picture

Do yourself a favor. Buy land: http://sotcksdairyroadfarm.blogspot.com/

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:15 | 1537564 lunaticfringe
lunaticfringe's picture

Black swan my ass. I've been waiting for this shit to happen for four years. BAC the most crooked and inept bunch of pricks on the planet and if not- swallowing Countrywide sealed the deal. Fuck BAC.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:28 | 1537654 filmflam
filmflam's picture

More likely Ken had to choose between swallowing Hank and Ben's shotgun or Countrywide.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:32 | 1537682 trav7777
trav7777's picture

didn't they get MER crammed into their belly too?

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:40 | 1537742 Newtons Lawyer
Newtons Lawyer's picture

Ken had been after MER for years.  And they had dumped $4 bil into CFC already, bought the rest thinking they were covering their losses, uh, guess not.

Now MER is probably the only asset they could sell.  They are just one big pile of bad debt.  They'll be nationalized and MER split off.  More shit for taxpayers to eat.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:34 | 1537707 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

+1,

But to credit the above, 'Wake up' was writ.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:17 | 1537570 Lobbelt
Lobbelt's picture

It's not a Black Swan to Zerohedge readers - or anyone with common sense.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 13:20 | 1538003 fx
fx's picture

ZH has by now become, it seems, an hourly exercise in fear mongering. Gone are the days of high quality articles. Now citing daily mail, foolish reports by S&P and the like have replaced them. Sad.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 13:39 | 1538131 SMG
SMG's picture

Yes you're right everything's just fine, no reason to worry.   The Titanic is the greatest ship in the world, surely it can avoid that large white thing coming right at us.   Why to sound the alarm would be fear mongering and wake up all the guests below deck. That would really incovenience them. 

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 13:43 | 1538169 john39
john39's picture

yes, I'm sure that if ZH looked just a bit harder it could find all sorts of positive economic stories to post.  /sarc off.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 15:14 | 1538540 boogiedown
boogiedown's picture

I found a positive story in under 5 minutes:

http://blog.sustainablog.org/urban-farming-detroit/

 

@fx - It IS pretty bleak out there, but it's not 100% bleak...no market is ever so. ZH is good readin', but also pretty much gloom and doom... That's why you gotta read a variety of sources 

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:09 | 1537527 pelican
pelican's picture

BOA and Citibank? LOL.  FU both.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:09 | 1537532 AFZ
AFZ's picture

BEHOLD AMERICA

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:09 | 1537533 monkeyboy
monkeyboy's picture

Is there a chance that Citi could fall?

 

If so how would this affect its banks in other regions in the world?

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:32 | 1537684 trav7777
trav7777's picture

Citi is a .gov bank at this point

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:40 | 1537745 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Which means nothing.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:09 | 1537534 oobrien
oobrien's picture

Fuck All the Goldman Sachs cocksuckers.

They can kill us, but they can't eat us.

Well, maybe they can. 

But who gives a shit.

The secret?

Tune on, turn on, and drop out.

Let's enjoy the Ben Bernanke song:

http://www.geraldcelente.proboards.com/index.cgi?board=music&action=display&thread=320

Fuck all the cocksuckers in their Ivy-League asses.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:27 | 1537649 Liquid Courage
Liquid Courage's picture

... they can't eat us. Well, maybe they can.

Heh heh ... Be the shit that hits the fan ...

Hopefully not ... keep yer heads down!

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:50 | 1537797 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

Wow, jealous much

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:10 | 1537537 tmosley
tmosley's picture

You mean we might get another buying opportunity while a bank fails?  It must be my birthday!

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:10 | 1537538 choorles
choorles's picture

"To see the role of the monetary system in this let us take a look at how this currently works: Basically, in the modern world there are places called ‘banks” that have computers in which many people have so-called “accounts”. In the accounts of these computers there are numbers, which are measures (in the US given as dollars) of how much “money” you own. A large proportion of humanity in fact does not have any such “account”, whereas some people may have 10.000 ($) associated with it. Others may have 10.000.000 or even 10.000.000.000 ($) associated with their names in these bank computers. Moreover, for a large number of people these numbers are negative because the banks have “lended” “money” to them. Thus there are huge differences in these numbers for different people despite the fact that people work approximately the same amount of time everywhere. Sometimes the numbers may be related to a service done by someone to the planet, but more often than not it is the other way around. Those that cause the most damage to our planet in fact often have the highest numbers in these bank computers. Regardless, the point to realize is that the numbers in these bank computers more than anything else defines a power structure, where those with high numbers dominate those with low or negative numbers. Money has no real existence, but the legal definitions of a society maintains a system of dominance based on these computer numbers."

carl calleman

http://www.silverrevolucion.com/story.php?title=the-beginning-of-the-fou...

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:15 | 1537559 kridkrid
kridkrid's picture

Is that your work?  Well said.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:53 | 1537700 choorles
choorles's picture

it was written by carl calleman. a great read i found here http://www.calleman.com/content/articles/Beginning_4thNight_9thWave.htm

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 13:45 | 1538191 john39
john39's picture

unlike most out there, Calleman analyzed the Mayan calendar end date as taking place fall 2011, not 2012.  I think he is correct.

Fri, 08/12/2011 - 10:50 | 1554205 choorles
choorles's picture

me too.. using the calendar you could have predicted the 2008 crash, and Calleman did predict it.. using the calendar you can also expect a another big crash to occur in August. particularly the 18th to 26th... on the down wave of Night 5 http://www.4-ahau.com/ressources/Ninth_Wave_Calendar_4-AHAU.jpg

http://www.silverrevolucion.com/index.php?category=Mayan%20Calendar

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:10 | 1537539 Archimedes
Archimedes's picture

July 21st Dow Jones:

12,724

August 8th Dow Jones:

11,120

Dow has lost 1,600 points in two weeks (1.6 Trillion is US household weatlh evaporated). Talk about taking the elevator down!

 

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:11 | 1537541 gorillaonyourback
gorillaonyourback's picture

is that paper gold tyler or physical?

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:54 | 1537815 Jonas Parker
Jonas Parker's picture

"by gorillaonyourback

on Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:11
#1537541

is that paper gold tyler or physical?"

 

Just my guess, but it's probably paper. COMEX prices seem to be somewhat disassociated with the real world...

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:13 | 1537544 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

Gold majors breaking out

Eldorado +7.55%

Agnico-eagle +5.35%

Barrick +5.59%

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:21 | 1537599 Liquid Courage
Liquid Courage's picture

Yeah. Interesting, wot? I just was doing a nooner price check and and in my surprise and haste, skipped over your post.

Your scoop. Could be a change in trend for Gold Stox (finally) developing?  Gold does need a bit of a rest, though. Interesting cross-current.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:33 | 1537697 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

There is simply too much liquidity in this world. I bet there is some investors just doing some quick PE checks and buying.

This is flight to safety buying.

ELD +8.5%

AEM +6%

ABX +6%

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:12 | 1537546 Kina
Kina's picture

May come to an agreement on price with China. Sure they would love the gold.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:12 | 1537547 jcrows
jcrows's picture

Could be a real "swan dive" in gold and then right back up and through the roof (again). Topsey_Turvey!

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:13 | 1537548 geminiRX
geminiRX's picture

All the lemmings will strew forth and proclaim the gold bubble has popped...

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:16 | 1537549 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

This is just a theoretical warning, and we hope to have some sense of when, if at all, it would take place. But just something to keep in the backs of your heads

Passive aggressive, bitchezzzzz!!!

Gold up 5%+ priced in Rubles

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:13 | 1537550 dbach
dbach's picture

Gold on sale for 20 to 30% off nominal prices, that would be the day!

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:16 | 1537552 jcrows
jcrows's picture

Could be a real "swan dive" in gold and then right back up and through the roof (again). Topsy_Turvy!

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:14 | 1537553 Cleanclog
Cleanclog's picture

Goldman down to $118.6, Ford down to $10, BAC under $7, Citi down to $30 which is about $3 before the reverse split, GM down, AIG down,  all those lovely government bailouts look for more buckets again.  What a sham!

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:14 | 1537556 Astute Investor
Astute Investor's picture

Looks like Paolo Pellegrini was the real brains of the operation. 

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:15 | 1537561 PaperWillBurn
PaperWillBurn's picture

Try to find ANY physical gold if the price crashes 20-30%.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:16 | 1537565 Kina
Kina's picture

If Paulson needed to sell all the gold in one hit wonder how he would go about it. Dumping it on the market will crash his price. If it is physical better he seek a buyer for the lot maybe.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:16 | 1537566 Liquid Courage
Liquid Courage's picture

OT ... or not! Anyone watching gold stox? ... some up 5, 6 and even 7%. Veeeeery interesting.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:16 | 1537567 Threeggg
Threeggg's picture

J.P. Morgan just uprgraded spot Gold to $2500.00

Everyday with the upgrades

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:17 | 1537569 Miss Expectations
Miss Expectations's picture

How does that game go again...Rock, Paper, Sissors, GOLD?  No Gold?  Why not?

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:18 | 1537576 PaperBear
PaperBear's picture

Who thinks there won't be takers for all that gold which Paulson might have to exchange for worrthless fiat paper currency ?

There will be plenty of takers.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:18 | 1537578 lunaticfringe
lunaticfringe's picture

Time for a little music rewind. Jump you fuckers. http://youtu.be/9TYezSrzUUs

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:20 | 1537589 wombats
wombats's picture

So when does this wonderful gold sale take place?  I want my place in that line!

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:21 | 1537597 ViewfromUnderth...
ViewfromUndertheBridge's picture

EUR/CHF just fell.outta.bed!

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:21 | 1537601 markar
markar's picture

so when is silver's turn to shine?

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:22 | 1537611 TradingJoe
TradingJoe's picture

Paulson won't sell his gold, its his only "flagship" left! Hard to make money if you can't CHOSE your shorts eh, suckmouth?! Folks, get ready for the next LEG DOWN, followed by a "relief rally" of some magnitude, (Benjie is getting ready shortly), followed by the NEXT REAL LEG DOWN!

Enjoy!

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:23 | 1537612 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

he is probably hedged in the position. interesting that the reverse split in C may have been done to accomodate the shorts, because investors (technically anyway) cannot short stock on margin, and you cannot margin a stock once it falls below $5. (the official bullshit reason for the rev split was that the higher share price would make it more attractive to fund managers) and his gold position operates as a hedge as well, gold up, citi down.

i'm more interested in whats going on at goldman, (which managed to wrangle FDIC protection after 2008, though they have not one retail customer - should they try to tap that line of equity one or two Congressmen may have something to say - those nasty T party guys and gals)

and Shiela Barr as you point out in another post basically had TARP forced upon her, and she might have something to say this time around, although vicitims of financial rape are often reluctant to speak out. out of fear of course.

paulson and bernanke forced the Merrill deal on BAC, a criminal activity, and now BAC shareholders get the penultimate indignity. is there anybody out there who doesn't believe in the T Party?

 

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:23 | 1537615 Monkeyfister
Monkeyfister's picture

Unfortunately, ShitiBank happens to hold the Contract as the Official Purchase and Travel Card Servicer for DoD and most of the rest of the US Gov't until at least 2012 (with possible extentions).

They'll get a fat bailout, instead of being kicked into the dumpster of History's failures.

 

I don't think that Bank of America will be so lucky.

 

 

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:25 | 1537628 Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

No problem.

Citi will just fix this with another reverse split.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:27 | 1537650 Kina
Kina's picture

Meanwhile at the Perth Mint..

 

Mint is humming as investors rush to the safe haven of gold

 

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/markets/mint-is-humming-as-inve...

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:29 | 1537661 Sutton
Sutton's picture

They never should have reverse split Citi.  At 4-5, whats the point in shorting it(if you are even allowed), but at 50, much different story.

From 4 to 0,big deal.

from 50 to 0, now we're talking.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:29 | 1537664 BlackholeDivestment
BlackholeDivestment's picture

666 Citi and the Johnny Deutch boys, funny how that works. http://www.myspace.com/urbandancesquadmusic/music/songs/the-devil-57466543

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:41 | 1537749 Threeggg
Threeggg's picture

Warren Buffy's Company just got a -downgrade

Oh, The Humanity !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! LOL

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:44 | 1537769 youngman
youngman's picture

Makes you wonder how much EUROPEAN esposure they have......oh oh....could be a prolem for the next round of bonuses...

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:46 | 1537781 Doctor sahab
Doctor sahab's picture

Wasn't Wikileaks supposed to release files on BofA? Whatever happened other than broken condoms?

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:47 | 1537785 franzpick
franzpick's picture

Well, I've been calling for a $50 up day in AU, and here we are, up $52.90.  But it's tracking the 20% debt-ceiling increase, giving it a target of $1950 withing 18 months, probably much, much sooner.  Paulson's GLD is going to offset some of his other losses, until it doesn't.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:48 | 1537791 alien-IQ
alien-IQ's picture

now under $30...next stop? Who cares...

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:58 | 1537808 Gunther
Gunther's picture

A few billion $ sell order in GLD sounds big, but the daily trading volume on the LBMA is 22 million oz a day equal to ~ 37 billion $ (last daily LBMA Volume  data from  april '11, gold @1700.) There is the Comex trading  too. Moreover, with growing turmoil PHYSICAL demand is very likely growing.

Not too much to worry about.

 

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:53 | 1537811 Seize Mars
Seize Mars's picture

So wait a minute. If Paulson's position in GLD is something like $4.5 billion, that would make liquidating his entire position all at once equivalent to about 1.5 days worth of GLD volume, right?

I don't see a 20% move from that.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:54 | 1537820 Seize Mars
Seize Mars's picture

Oops, gunther my post crossed with yours. Looks like you concur.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 12:59 | 1537852 Gunther
Gunther's picture

yes

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 13:15 | 1537966 FoieGras
FoieGras's picture

Paulson is dead toast. The big down moves are in all of his holdings. Seems he's forced to liquidate a part of his sizable holdings.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 13:27 | 1538055 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

the firm's multi-billion GLD "gold share class" will likely have to be sold very fast to preserve liquidity

thx for the heads-up, t.d.

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 13:43 | 1538165 WilliamShatner
WilliamShatner's picture

Behold!

My Jan. 2012 $30 puts on C soaring today!

Yeeehawww!

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 13:58 | 1538307 cocoablini
cocoablini's picture

Why the hell did he old onto this garbage. Was he promised TBTF money or told it wluld be endlessly backstopped and ramped? We all saw this coming miles away

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 14:55 | 1538453 Meatier Shower
Meatier Shower's picture

Mommy, may I max out my BAC card on PMs, cut it up, and give them the finger now?

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 20:59 | 1540223 MOAB
MOAB's picture

Hey Paulson!

 

"GET SOME!"

Mon, 08/08/2011 - 23:56 | 1541090 Mr Tindle
Mr Tindle's picture

Regardless of what happens with any big whigs like Paulson or others, any sell off in Gold will be short lived in this environment. 2-3 years and Gold will easily be past $2,000 an oz. Silver will be up above $100 most likely. Don't let distractions like a big Hedge Fund manager having to sell his gold scare you out of your positions.

 

http://mrtindle.hubpages.com/hub/Gold-and-Silver-Will-Go-Higher

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 01:41 | 1541465 upWising
upWising's picture

Black Swan with diarrhea.  Explosive diarrhea and Exorcist-like projectile vomiting.  (Sorry if I ruined your lunch; it is kind of a vivid image).

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 01:41 | 1541466 upWising
upWising's picture

Black Swan with diarrhea.  Explosive diarrhea and Exorcist-like projectile vomiting.  (Sorry if I ruined your lunch; it is kind of a vivid image).

Wed, 09/14/2011 - 05:09 | 1667518 chinawholesaler
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