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Bill Gross Insinuates The ECB's Upcoming LTRO Is Merely A Shell Game

Tyler Durden's picture




 

It is one thing for irreverent blogs to call a spade a spade an accuse the ECB of engaging in ponzi operations, such as Wednesday's LTRO where the European central bank will give local banks money and hope and pray the use of proceeds is to purchase sovereign debt (something we said previously is very unlikely to happen). It is something totally different when the world's biggest bond fund manager makes the same tacit accusation by saying that all the ECB does is take from one hand and give to the other - a very efficient shell game. Such as what Bill Gross has just done in a tweet from mintues ago. So how are investors, we wonder, supposed to have any faith in bonds (forget equities - they have long given up on those), when even the members of the status quo systematically undermine confidence in the global pyramid scheme (not that we are complaining).

 

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Mon, 12/19/2011 - 14:57 | 1994935 dereksatkinson
dereksatkinson's picture

Tyler...  If banks fall in line and participate in this carry trade, wouldn't this be QE?

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:00 | 1994943 Tyler Durden
Tyler Durden's picture

Not QE. TLGP.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:21 | 1995012 vast-dom
vast-dom's picture

At what point will this all be called what it actually is: ILLEGAL?!

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:22 | 1995022 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Ha! They'll redefine the law long before that day arrives.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 17:05 | 1995508 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

..or right after.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:24 | 1995027 vast-dom
vast-dom's picture

And pls dont forget that in a proper shell game more bills aren't printed nor is there pea creation and a fixed 3 shells.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:28 | 1995042 He_Who Carried ...
He_Who Carried The Sun's picture

Not QE. TLGP.

It will be XLBSN. ;-)

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 17:08 | 1995522 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

Have we met..., you look vaguely familiar?

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:48 | 1995135 Dealer
Dealer's picture

Somebody help, what does TLGP stand for?

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 19:17 | 1995914 falak pema
falak pema's picture

its like having a rich au pair girl. Who works and bails you out as well. Nice system funded by IMF. Now I didn't say the rest.

Fortunately both Berlu and DSK have left the Euro scene so the au pair is safer, but not safe! She has three year contract. But the house might cave in inspite of that. The walls are weak. The lift don't work. 

DSK was in China today and he bad balled the Euro, said there was no firewall and that Merkozy danced very badly together out of step; wouldn't end well, which isn't news; could just be DSK sour grapes griping. Maybe he wants a job with China as financial Oligarch as his days in France are over. If it happens the population of Peking will get a bonus. 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:05 | 1994965 ghengis86
ghengis86's picture

I believe the acronym is closer to BNDOVR

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:21 | 1995015 vast-dom
vast-dom's picture

and SUKIT

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:35 | 1995075 TooBearish
TooBearish's picture

1yr BAC paper trading behind 5%....put that in your LTRO and smoke it...

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:00 | 1994941 f16hoser
f16hoser's picture

"Shell Game?" Say it isn't so....

European Leaders: Monkeys fucking a football

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:06 | 1994966 GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

Are you an European Leader then?

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:00 | 1994946 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

"Shell game"

LOL

Bill sure bets a lot on the shell game; is he getting pissed off or trying to jigger outcomes?

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:01 | 1994950 Sardonicus
Sardonicus's picture

Whole market is getting that feeling quick

Reminds me of this http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dDrYOEhGNbY&feature=related

Bulls have been offered lots of chances to exit but have over stayed their welcome.

Quickly approaching "now Yous can't leave"

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:02 | 1994954 ghengis86
ghengis86's picture

A shell game?!?! Heavens no! The leverage available on shell games is much too small.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:03 | 1994956 Global Hunter
Global Hunter's picture

There comes a point when establishment professionals whether they be in finance or the media have to jump ship to save their own integrity.  Every man for himself weee

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:04 | 1994963 scatterbrains
scatterbrains's picture

someone print some money and buy GM.. she looking fugly lately

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:07 | 1994971 ghengis86
ghengis86's picture

Like Aztec fugly or Volt fugly?

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:09 | 1994973 AndreiC
AndreiC's picture

Depends on where the interests of these members of the status quo currently lie. Maybe this goes against some of their bets in this "bad year" for them.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:09 | 1994977 San Diego Gold Bug
San Diego Gold Bug's picture

Things are getting so bad it is sad.  Some Christmas cheer from Turd's site.  Christmas Silver

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:09 | 1994980 csmith
csmith's picture

Watch what Mr. Gross does rather than what he says. He has no choice but to buy.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:18 | 1995005 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Bill hearts MBS

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:10 | 1994984 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Gross has twatted more than Kimmy K lately. 

Hey Bill, when the Treasury issues get bought by PDs, and flipped the next day to the Fed, what's that?

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:17 | 1994998 InconvenientCou...
InconvenientCounterParty's picture

You know it's hard times for magicians when they start outing each other's tricks. There's only one way that game plays out.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:30 | 1995037 hambone
hambone's picture

Anyone want to comment on obvious BAC "buyer" at $5 today???  Hmmm...so fucking obvious they are utterly nationalized....except on the upside for recent buyers of BAC shares (hmm Warren) and for bonus emp's in the organization.

Now having bounced on $5 at least 20 times today and not once seeing the underside...simply in your face.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:31 | 1995049 GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

That doesn't mean they won't see the 4s errr 3s after the holiday break. Enjoy it while you can, BoAtchez!

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:27 | 1995036 NumberNone
NumberNone's picture

Gross bitter about wrong predictions and underperformance for 2011.  Trying to prove he's still relevant. 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 18:00 | 1995720 earleflorida
earleflorida's picture

grossly irrelevant - it's different this time not having an anus

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:32 | 1995056 monopoly
monopoly's picture

Right, and it also reduces the chances of destroying the entire system again. Asshole! Moynihan

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:33 | 1995067 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

The 3-year limit on this LTRO is the exact time-span for bank refinancing cycle.  The banks could buy their own debt with the money from the ECB, as well as sovereign debt (sov less likely though).   

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:35 | 1995073 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Thanksgiving wrecked by EU-related market plunge.

Christmas wrecked by EU-related market plunge.

New Years wrecked by EU-related market plunge.

See a pattern here?

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 16:02 | 1995169 oklaboy
oklaboy's picture

hey hey hey, stop that, your are giving the word shell game a bad wrap

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 16:09 | 1995189 Winston Smith 2009
Winston Smith 2009's picture

Kyle Bass detailed this stupid shell game some time ago and has called it a "sophomoric" tactic that shouldn't be able to fool institutional investors, but may very well fool unsophisticated retail investors.

Humor - The EU's Circular Sovereign Debt Bailout Farce

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sBoR1HU6dzc

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 16:17 | 1995273 knukles
knukles's picture

Insinuates?
A faux Thermadorian capitulation at the Ozymandic moment.  

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 16:53 | 1995466 onebir
onebir's picture

"Sophomoronic"?

SocGen and others are also sceptical:

http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2011/12/19/806091/the-carry-trade-and-the-goldilocks-ltro/

(no FT subscription required for the blogs)

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 17:11 | 1995533 falak pema
falak pema's picture

shell game : with or without the oyster pearl?

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 17:13 | 1995539 WhiteNight123129
WhiteNight123129's picture

Who likes anagrams? LTRO ==> TROL (missing an L sorry, ....blame it on non native english).

Tue, 12/20/2011 - 00:05 | 1996555 EZYJET PILOT
EZYJET PILOT's picture

So the banks borrow the money off the ECB to buy the bonds and then the ECB buys those bonds off the banks. This would sound crazy if I hadnt already been desensitised to this modern day black magic. The question is how much profit do the banks make off this transaction, does anyone know?Tyler?

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 11:56 | 2001167 virgilcaine
virgilcaine's picture

or A bank loss will never be tolerated under the bernank. They postponed the Greek haircuts ( first 30%, 50% then 70%) and CDS non-payout has been swept under the rug.  Bernank is an amazing magician.

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