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BofA Going For (QE3) Broke, Cuts Q4 GDP For Second Time In Two Days

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Literally seconds ago we noted how Bank of America will sell its first born to crash the market and get $600-800 billion in QE3 up and running by March. Sure enough, here is yet another desperate attempt to push this agenda, this time with the bank cutting tracking Q4 GDP estimates  for the second time in two days, to 2.7%, from 3.5% earlier.

From Bank of America

Well, we bumped up our Q4 GDP estimate to 3.5% recently, and to our chagrin the data now starts to disappoint. First, it was retail sales. Today, it is the worsening balance of trade. November's trade gap widened to -$47.8bn in November from  -$43.3bn in October against our expectations of a widening to -$44.5bn. The real goods balance fell to -$47.5bn from -$44.0bn. Bottom-line: A wider trade gap implies weaker GDP; our Q4 tracking estimate is running 2.7% from 3.0% post retail sales. The broader story is that growth net of inventory accumulation - domestic demand - is softening as we head into 2012.

 

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Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:44 | 2061284 Irish66
Irish66's picture

France, Spain, Italy, Belgium Portugal rumored to be cut buy S&P

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:49 | 2061305 jcaz
jcaz's picture

shocker....

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:51 | 2061313 HedgeAccordingly
HedgeAccordingly's picture

OIl hinted at these possible downgrades and other macro issues yesterday for sure 

http://hedge.ly/xXQ5L4

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:52 | 2061314 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Just out:

The Wall Street Journal

by Jon Hilsenrath - 1-13-12

  • 6 minutes ago

Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson stated his opinion that there would be "tanks in the parking lots & martial law in the lobbies" of Bank of America branches if TARP 3.75v3 in an amount of at least 22 trillion USD and QE3.666 of at least 12 trillion USD within the next 7 to 13.3 hours, and that should the Federal Reserve not cut the Fed Discount Rate to -80%, American living standars would fall to parity with those in Romania within the week.

 

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:54 | 2061319 Irish66
Irish66's picture

holy moly my damn kenmore microwave won't work so I can't have popcorn

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:01 | 2061344 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

Just in two days....everyone knows the third time is the charm.

Just think positive.  

Where did I put that SARC key again?

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:45 | 2061285 digitlman
digitlman's picture

Fuck 'em.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:03 | 2061355 bdc63
bdc63's picture

I suspect the Q4 GDP downgrade by BOA today was a direct result of the bad trade numbers reported this morning -- that number feeds right into the GDP calculation.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:45 | 2061287 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Anyone on here care to take a shot at explaing why Euro banks are doing flat out well today? Commerz up, DB flat? Anyone?....Please?

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:47 | 2061292 economics1996
economics1996's picture

Agreement to print?

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:48 | 2061298 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

It's gotta be that.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:54 | 2061318 alexanderstollznow
alexanderstollznow's picture

did you notice the Spanish and Italian auctions yesterday, perchance?

or Draghi's relatively upbeat comments?

honestly, it isnt that hard..

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:01 | 2061346 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

You mean the figures the markets priced in yesterday?

Jan. UMich consumer sentiment 74 vs 69.9 in Dec.

Mmm, yeah, everything's getting better in the land of fake stats.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:48 | 2061293 roccman
roccman's picture

gee

 

end of CHEAP unlimited energy = "softening of demand"

How about a bone crushing thud?

whoda thunk - not the asshat monkeys in suits.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:48 | 2061294 kridkrid
kridkrid's picture

QE3 or WWIII... which will get here first?  We'll end up in and around the same spot either way, so I suppose the question is rhetorical.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:50 | 2061306 alexanderstollznow
alexanderstollznow's picture

"crash the market and get $600-800 billion in QE3 up and running by March".  seriously, what planet are you on? 2.7% is above market concensus for 2012 GDP.  what were they trying to do when they put it up at a hugely optimistic 3.5% in the first place??

 

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:51 | 2061307 alexanderstollznow
alexanderstollznow's picture

,,,,,,,,,,,

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:51 | 2061311 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

How can GDP be down when Chipotle is printing new highs today?

 

$40 to $350 in less than 3 years.

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/kaavio.Webhost/charts/big.chart?nosetti...

Where's the recession?

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:59 | 2061341 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

 

 

Fantastic sarcasm robo. It's about time you are seeing how broken things are. There's hope for you yet.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:08 | 2061373 adr
adr's picture

In ever middle class home in America you fucking idiot. Who cares that Chipotle got a whole bunch of inside trading, QE induced bullshit  levitation so a few hedge funders can cash out big. For every momo stock hitting new highs there is a corporation employing thousands and through the supply chain affecting millions of jobs going bust every day. If Chipotle went away tomorow it wouldn't affect a thing. OH NO I CAN'T BUY A $8 BURRITO FILLED WITH FILLER AND $.50 WORTH OF MEAT!!! Sears going under will affect over half the workers in the country. Any mall with a Sears will not survive losing the income from the loss of a major anchor. How many jobs will be lost if one mall goes under? How many if 100 malls close? Can the great momos like Buckle survive if they lose 100 stores? How will Chipotle survive when most locations are by major shopping centers? If all you care about is cherry picking stocks hitting all time highs based on nothing but an inflated stock market, well you have no use to society. How's that $500 Netfix call working out?

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:13 | 2061393 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

Yeah, there are never bubbles in equities.

I think you should go all in with such strong fundamentals. A mexican restaurant chain with a P/E ratio of 55. What could possibly go wrong.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:37 | 2061514 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

I know where the expansion is.  In my pantelones.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:51 | 2061312 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

B(urn)ank e of fleecing Americans.

Poetic licence, wot?

Anyone else see the quadrillion dollars (Story) in the Pure White Boy Account sloshing around in the under-belly of the global financial sewer system? Signatory in Chief, her Most High Ness...

Google it, quite a story, Comittee of 300 and all that jazz.

So, all this then become the steam rising off a Starbucks Venti latte, in relative terms.

So, we should all just re-lax, re-tire(wtf????), get re-leased (WTF??????)...

see? tch...tch....trapdoors everywhere.

ori

/the-deep-perversion-of-language/

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:05 | 2061360 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Classic, ORI

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:33 | 2061491 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Thanks CE. ;-)

ori

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:32 | 2061487 VelvetHog
VelvetHog's picture

That steam you see is from the back of a large shiny turd.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:53 | 2061316 The Limerick King
The Limerick King's picture

 

 

So now we should all trust a thief?

Their hubris is beyond belief!

When you fuckers fail

And you hear a wail

It's laughter you bastards....not grief!

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:55 | 2061324 riley martini
riley martini's picture

 More fascist bailouts are on the way for Warren and BAC . BAC will fire ollder employees to be replaced by new government subsidized employees . The end to taxpayer welfare for fascist banksters QE was the end of the profits . Government for the fascist by the fascist the bribes and bonuses will return but only for banksters and politicians .

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:56 | 2061328 adr
adr's picture

Help us Obi-Ben Bernake you're our only hope. We've got billions in losses on worthless paper and we need you to buy it all at book value so we can be flush with cash to funnel it all to publicly traded corps so theycan issue stock buybacks, so all the insiders can cash out their generous stock options. All our director friends have been waiting for a better time to cashout because 200 times earnings isnt good enough, they want a new market record to cash out. With QE3 we can engineer Dow 15k by May so Obama can put record high stock market on his re-election resume. Just think how much money we can funnel back to washington with Autozone at $700 a share. Please Ben, please.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:57 | 2061334 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Bernanke and the Fed by doing more and more QEs are helping only a few very wealthy people.

A greater number of people will be smashed by higher food costs and oil/gasoline prices. Even those on food stamps will be hurting.

Riots in more parts of the world because they won't be able to afford to eat.

Bernanke and the Federal Reserve's Keynesian game is dying.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 10:59 | 2061340 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

BOA to Benny and the Inkjets......Please oh please we are begging you to buy some of this shit off our books. We are dying here, please.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:01 | 2061348 xela2200
xela2200's picture

Well, QE3 has just become the rumor of the day even cnbc has a piece on it.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/45977098

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:08 | 2061375 bdc63
bdc63's picture

The FED always uses their chief "tool" ... Steve Liesman ... to float ideas and move markets.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:01 | 2061349 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

To me this headline said it all:

 


Bank of America Ponders Retreat

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405297020440900457715688109860654...

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:02 | 2061351 sudzee
sudzee's picture

But, but, but, consumer sentiment just rose to levels not seen since last May. Gotta b bullish.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:04 | 2061356 Lndmvr
Lndmvr's picture

Unable to access an account there this am.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:05 | 2061361 xela2200
xela2200's picture

For sure Bank of America is going to bet on QE. What other choice do they have? If no QE, they go broke anyways. Also, the dollar right now is like a wrecking ball going around killing the "economy." They will have to target some Nominal GDP. I will see You all at the bottom picking the scraps.

 

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:15 | 2061383 cowdiddly
cowdiddly's picture

.....and the Big Ole fat catfish is lying at the bottom of the lake waiting patiently for the lake to freeze, causing a dieoff of baitfish that will drift down to the bottom without having to chase them.

Hummm... that one looks like a robominnow....gulp, what a tasty snack.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:08 | 2061374 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Everybody's so frisky today....what is it, Fri 13th?? Or is it the rising disquietude.....

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:18 | 2061415 monopoly
monopoly's picture

Agree, it is just getting worse all over. And the mainstream media trys to tell us we are moving up and forward. I guess part of our frustration is we know what is going on yet so many try to cover it up so they can get re-elected. Our democracy is failing as we know it.

This great country is not so great anymore. Sad but true.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:39 | 2061533 xela2200
xela2200's picture

The sheep believes their government knows best. Just read some comments on yahoo finance. Occasionally somebody comes out and says He trusts the fed because they are by far smarter than anybody else and they know best. Big brother mentality.

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:19 | 2061416 Alex Kintner
Alex Kintner's picture

It's so bad now, even the rich are bitchn'.

CEO John Castle allegedly breaks waiter's finger over check, says report
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-504083_162-57357702-504083/ceo-john-castle-a...

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 11:32 | 2061482 youngman
youngman's picture

Its France and Austria now...at least the rumor mill says so....

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 13:22 | 2061645 Georgesblog
Georgesblog's picture

Ok. Hold the phone. This looks like different strokes for different folks. Some reports say that 2011 was an up year for retail sales. Perhaps it could be a difference in perception and actual performance in different businesses. Based on past performance, I'm not inclined to give the banking crowd the benefit of the doubt. Their word is no good. With all this push for more QE, it just looks like they're begging for a worse beating. I think we are really waiting for the Fed to foreclose on the Capitol Building and the White House. 

http://georgesblogforum.wordpress.com/2011/11/02/the-daily-climb-2/

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 12:22 | 2061770 SillySalesmanQu...
SillySalesmanQuestion's picture

SOS from BOA...QE3 me FRN'S...you promised they were free...so sign me up, for QE infinity...

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 12:45 | 2061934 toomanyfakecons...
toomanyfakeconservatives's picture

Is this the same BoA that lobbied Congress to allow it to issue credit cards to illegal aliens, sans ID, a while back?

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 13:06 | 2062053 quacker
quacker's picture

Come on Baby .. Warren need a new pair of shoes ..

Fri, 01/13/2012 - 13:40 | 2062212 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

same shit, different day...

all the bull that BAC was pumping thru to the MSM cheerleaders last month due to all the "8-sigma  surpassings of expectations" must now be adjusted down due to the actual numbers, is all...

...jobs, sales, earnings, trade deficit, growth, GDP...

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