Chart Of European Emergency Liquidity Back At Record Levels, And Why Bank Of America Is Long French CDS

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Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:21 | 2001487 TruthInSunshine
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There's a run on buying insurance policies.

Insurers and re-insurers hang the gone fishin' signs in the windows and pray to Baby Jesus & The Bernank regarding past issued insurance/CDO/CDS/anything else that they derive risk from/have exposure to.

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:23 | 2001504 camaro68ss
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Bet the farm, if you lose the FED bails you out. Thats one hell of a deal BofA has!

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:43 | 2001592 Ahmeexnal
Ahmeexnal's picture

BOA will go bust.

France will pull out a Grease out of it's ass and even if debt holders are "voluntarily forced" to accept a 50, 60, 70, or even 80% haircut, it will not be considered a CDS event.

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 14:11 | 2001703 s2man
s2man's picture

Yup.  Almost-bankrupt BoA sells insurance on almost-bankrupt France.  France defaults, BoA can't pay, they fold.

What is this I keep hearing about dominoes?

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 15:15 | 2001881 swmnguy
swmnguy's picture

Actually, I'm thinking France defaults, BoA can't pay; everyone along the chain of counterparties takes a percentage hit, no CDS's are triggered; Fed backstops everything with digital dollars that never get out into the general economy; things keep grinding on.  When the rules dictate that TPTB are going to lose, they merely retroactively change all the rules.

Thu, 12/22/2011 - 00:38 | 2003448 ThrivingAdmistC...
ThrivingAdmistCollapse's picture

This is the biggest circle jerk ever.  Everyone is stuffed with the bad debts of everyone else.  Everyone is also insuring everyone else.  This would only end in economic collapse.

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:21 | 2001489 virgilcaine
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A global run for Dollars.  Like a giant vacuuum sucking them up (UUP).

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:24 | 2001491 GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

Ice9

BAC ain't happy with that Fitch downgrade. When I see this become a trend I'll worry, for now I'll just assume BAC is in panic mode.

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:21 | 2001496 YesWeKahn
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US stocks are still acting like there is no crisis. Just look at those REITs, SPG, PSA, etc near all time high

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:31 | 2001537 Jonas Parker
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Read Ann Barnhardts latest blog, "I'm Calling for a General Financial Market Strike" at http://www.barnhardt.biz/. If this catches on, there will be a rude awakening...

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 16:01 | 2002035 Zero Govt
Zero Govt's picture

Ann Bernhardt is great. This girl has spunk ....and balls

Calling for investors to pull their money from the markets, hopefully specifically those snake oil merchants and accomplices to white collar thieving at the CFTC and CME Group, is a great call

like her stand to refuse to pay any more tax to the murderous parasites of the US Govt

Give me 2 weeks to pull my positions Ann and I'm in

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 16:03 | 2002041 smlbizman
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just waiting for jan 1 for tax reasons...than 100% out....

system d....

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:21 | 2001498 Cult_of_Reason
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Hungary to default before Greece?

Forint is plunging like a rock vs EUR and Swiss Franc.

Anyone has an explanations for a sudden Hungarian Forint drop that started fifteen minutes ago?

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:30 | 2001529 GeneMarchbanks
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I recall a poster recently said that this would happen. Hungary couldn't reach a deal with the IMF, so maybe this is a political seppuku?

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:35 | 2001553 Cult_of_Reason
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Via Dow Jones:

"Reports that the rating company Fitch Ratings has informed Hungary's government it is about to downgrade the country's sovereign rating by two notches to junk grade triggered the move [Forint plunge]."

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 14:25 | 2001738 Dcheeth2
Dcheeth2's picture

I thought Hungary was downgraded to junk some time ago.

Anyway, bodes ill for Austria, as they are heavily in with the Hungarian mortgage market, which is nose-diving to oblivion.

Plus, the leader in Hungary (don't know his name off by heart, and can't be arsed to google) is a right belligerent sod, holding out for pretty much free everything for sod all austerity in return. Bless. 

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:24 | 2001509 Jlmadyson
Jlmadyson's picture

Ice9 indeed. Trillion plus more dollars into the system from the ECB and Fed in the last week or two.

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:32 | 2001514 hedgeless_horseman
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We remain long 5y CDS protection on France, at 210bp (target 300bp, stop loss 175bp)." So let's see: BAC is shorting the EURUSD, which implies they are pushing for a market drop, and now they want French CDS to soar? Who was it that said the megabanks do not want a crash?

 

I don't trade French CDS, but neither should Bank of America.

Reinstate Glass-Steagall, for mercy's sake.

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:32 | 2001538 GeneMarchbanks
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Desperation. I doubt that the other megabanks are heavy on this trade, unless of course they are informed of the timing of a downgrade which wouldn't surprise me at all.

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:42 | 2001586 hedgeless_horseman
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I wonder who has been selling the French CDS?  Probably CALPERS.

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:46 | 2001610 GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

Heh. It just won't end well, will it?

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:30 | 2001525 falak pema
falak pema's picture

...Who was it that said the megabanks do not want a crash?...

Oligarchs on the blood trail, "if I go, at least I won't be alone!"

Now that is crazy TREX thinking at its best! As we all know BAC is desperate and has nothing more to lose. Madoff's whisper still lingers on...."Why just meeeeee?"

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:33 | 2001544 FranSix
FranSix's picture

Its blatantly apparent that Wall St. banks are looking at the Euro as some sort of Russian Rouble and that they are ready to pull the carpet out from under the feet of Eurozone banks.  Not  much different than hanging Lehman or MF Global out to dry.

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:35 | 2001549 bob_dabolina
bob_dabolina's picture

Looks like the Santa Claus rally is going to be hijacked and Santa's slay flown into the global financial edifice.

I hope Donner and Blitzen aren't Saudi nationals.

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 14:25 | 2001739 willien1derland
willien1derland's picture

+1,000 - Since the passage of NDAA, Santa Claus has published a press release indicating that he will NOT be delivering ANY packages within the US for fear of imprisonment without trial -

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 18:29 | 2002630 chump666
chump666's picture

lol

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:37 | 2001563 PulauHantu29
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U.K. Stores Brace for Most Insolvencies Since 2008 as Sales Weaken: Retail Q

 

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-12-21/u-k-stores-brace-for-most-insol...

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:37 | 2001565 Eireann go Brach
Eireann go Brach's picture

Lets see here...BAC is offering advice as a completely broke and pathetic ward of the state??...Let's ask Lindsay Lohan to run the Betty Ford clinic!

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:38 | 2001566 Jlmadyson
Jlmadyson's picture

Looking at BAC the stock could easily hit the 4 handle again. The bank is clearly under stress and will likely try any route to stay up. Talk about a gigantic titanic Lehman moment. It's funny all this stress out of Europe but I certainly would not be surprised if the next failure comes from the US again. Bloody miracle a big EU bank has not bit yet. Hope that swaps chart ain't a tell, tell for BAC.

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:41 | 2001587 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

I'm betting that BAC won't survive in it's current form through the first half of next year.

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 13:56 | 2001631 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

The laughable part is I'm sure S&P has already downgraded France internally, but certain powers are threatening them with hearings should they release it.

Too bad for BAC, the CDS will not trigger as there will be a "voluntary" haircut.

Wow, who's selling the 5 year in mass quantities to buy EUR?

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 14:14 | 2001707 trebuchet
trebuchet's picture

LTRO = EU QE... Chart 2 says it all. EU liquidity just changed today, significantly

 

 

 

 

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 14:21 | 2001721 virgilcaine
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  It's Going to be hard times in One Bankster town Charlotte, NC.  Bac has a mkt value of a debit fee.

The Wall St of the South.. he he 

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 14:23 | 2001732 willien1derland
willien1derland's picture

 

WSJ - Hungarian Forint Falls Sharply Vs Euro, Swiss Franc

http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20111221-710371.html

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 15:14 | 2001882 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 Wait!!!!  I can't swim!

Wed, 12/21/2011 - 15:17 | 2001889 dr.charlemagne
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Is the theory that the CDS will actually pay out after a "credit event"?

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