On This Day In The History Of Ponzi Schemes

Tyler Durden's picture




As America embarks on its latest pre-IPO tech bubble, driven by a fundamentally broken Ponzi system which relies on the marginally disappearing greater fool, it is time to look back in time to this day in 1637, when the granddaddy of all irrationally exuberant bubbles died: the Dutch Tulip Mania.

Source: Wikipedia

What was tulip mania, you ask?

Tulip mania was a period in the Dutch Golden Age during which contract prices for bulbs of the recently introduced tulip reached extraordinarily high levels and then suddenly collapsed. At the peak of tulip mania, in February 1637, some single tulip bulbs sold for more than 10 times the annual income of a skilled craftsman. It is generally considered the first recorded speculative bubble.

And for fun here are a few recent 'exciting' opportunities...

UniCredit +89% in the last 3 weeks

FriendFinder +120% in the last week

And everyone's favorite Zynga +81% in 3 weeks.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

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Your rating: None Average: 4.9 (14 votes)

 
 


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Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:14 | 2123701 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Might be time to watch orchid prices.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:15 | 2123710 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Orchids, bitchez!

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:17 | 2123724 Manthong
Manthong's picture

I knew the market numbers were flowery.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:22 | 2123763 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

iTulip

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:26 | 2123783 MayIMommaDogFac...
MayIMommaDogFace2theBananaPatch's picture

O/T: just received a text saying:

"OMG! Rush Limbaugh is quoting Tyler Durden from ZH about labor data."

I did not hear it personally, but, I am, uh, a little bit surprised by that.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:28 | 2123791 trav7777
trav7777's picture

kinda looks like the price chart of silver when shameless pumpers were calling for "$60 by next week" and "hyperinflation IMMINENT"...back up the truck and "buy with both fists"

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:31 | 2123811 LuKOsro
LuKOsro's picture

Go ahead and put your IRA into T-bills if you feel that way, man... 

 

http://journey-to-alpha.blogspot.com/

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:09 | 2124226 trav7777
trav7777's picture

hmm...since the top of the silver bubble last year, Tbills did like way better

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:10 | 2124235 tmosley
tmosley's picture

I like how trav is so stupid and close minded he can't tell the difference between a bubble and a short squeeze.

It makes him so simple to play with.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 19:32 | 2125281 trav7777
trav7777's picture

Is one of them where you won't shamelessly pump and cause everyone who listens to you to lose most of their life's savings?

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 20:26 | 2125450 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Yes, because EVERYONE bought exactly at the high.  Nevermind that my position on silver being a "buy" hasn't fucking changed since October 2008, and that only those who bought over the month of April have a significant loss.  Also nevermind that I have always told people to cost average each month, meaning that by definition, everyone following my advice, even though who started that APRIL are even at worst.

Give it up.  Your stupid shit is really tired, and everyone sees through it.  

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 22:18 | 2125735 trav7777
trav7777's picture

your position of "buy" changed to "buy with both fists" and then to "back up the truck" the higher the price went.

You actually had people convinced that silver was going up another TEN dollars from the ABSOLUTE HIGH that you were telling them was a GOOD PLACE to buy at!

The reality is that you are incompetent.  You say things that are absurd and do so for the adulation you receive from idiots, which you feed on.  You are cliff mosely-claven.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:33 | 2123817 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Silver grows, but not like tulips.

Silver only grows on viens of other metals; you will never find a vien of only silver.  It will be on copper and other ores.

Platinum only grows on silver!

And gold, gold does not grow.  Gold only comes from super novas.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:36 | 2123831 LuKOsro
LuKOsro's picture

The same as bubbles grow on the back of unsuspecting sheeple.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:37 | 2123837 trav7777
trav7777's picture

wtf r u talkin about man?  what you said is complete horseshit except for the part about gold.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:42 | 2123858 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Rosebud....

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:10 | 2124237 trav7777
trav7777's picture

my lateral thinking is pretty good, but I'm not seeing the Kane link

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:22 | 2124283 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

I was reminded of Kane by the "tragic" tone of LH's metaphysical rhetoric.... nothing to do with you...

Must have been all the cough syrup I had this morning...

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:52 | 2123907 Ahmeexnal
Ahmeexnal's picture

The part about gold is horseshit. Silver DID exist in huge deposits. Everyone knows about the Potosi mountain in Bolivia. A mountain made almost entirely of silver. Spaniards mined the mountain dry, but most of it (like most of the treasure they looted from the new world) went to the Vatican and to the german bankers who "financed" Spain's (and europe's) endless wars.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potos%C3%AD

 

But today, silver is more scarce than gold.  And gold has finally been achieved in laboratory thanks to multi TeV CM energy.

Anyone who thought the goal of the LHC was to find the Higgs just for "science's sake" is either an idiot... or worse (an idiot with a Ph.D.!).

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:56 | 2123920 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Stick to quoting Wiki on the Potosi... as far as the LHC and the nucleosynthesis of Au, you don't have a fucking clue what you are talking about.... 

There is 9 times as much Ag mined as Au.... the relative price is 1 to ~53...

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:02 | 2123945 Ahmeexnal
Ahmeexnal's picture

Dieter, you're the one without a clue.

So, if there's a 9-1 AgAu mining ratio, and there's more silver demand (both industrial as well as financial), how do you explain the 53-1 price ratio?

Your little sand castle is about to washout when the wave hits.

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:05 | 2123960 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

My little sand castle??

My, are we not presumptuous... you clearly have no fucking idea what you are talking about... 

So why *did* they build the LHC???

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:39 | 2124128 Ahmeexnal
Ahmeexnal's picture

The world in which we live is not the only one in which we shall live or have lived.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:44 | 2124149 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Based on the dribble that you have posted, you clearly did not pen the above... so you are plagarist as well as a part-time moron?

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:12 | 2124243 trav7777
trav7777's picture

he's pretty much a full-time moron...overtime in fact

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:42 | 2124341 Ahmeexnal
Ahmeexnal's picture

There is a reason it was posted as a quote.
Anyway, I knew you would not understand.
And sideshow Bob, the idiot racist trapped in the past.
Still reading Thomas Carlyle? You poor fool. To the power elite, your color does not matter. You are also a serf.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:51 | 2124373 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

This thread has become:

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:52 | 2124378 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

"Margin"alized

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:43 | 2124342 dildo o flaherty
dildo o flaherty's picture

He's quoting Kurt  Godel

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:51 | 2124375 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Great, some one suffering from the DK effect quoting Godel...

As if Godel's work gives creedence to his misconceptions....

The irony is almost unbearable....

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:01 | 2123943 CrazyCooter
CrazyCooter's picture

Elements up to iron create energy during the fusion process. Elements after iron absorb energy during fusion. See nucleosynthesis over at wiki and pay particular attention to the log chart of elements.

Thus, one could conclude things don't "grow" on other things in terms of raw elements, however similar elements may be found together.

Along this same line, it has been possible to make gold in a lab for quite a while. The problem is the energy inputs required. While I am not a physicist or specialist in this area, this might be one way to calculate a "top" for gold ... the price of energy to make it.

Good thing we have a future full of abundant, cheap energy ...

Regards,

Cooter

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:22 | 2124060 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Fusion does not create energy, the binding energy of nucleon is larger in heavier elements (up to Fe), you gain the difference when you fuse 2 lighter elements (typically in the KE of the byproducts)....

The energy inputs per gram are enormous.... Unless you can find isotopes that are amenable to nuclear reactions induced by natural radioactivity that lead to Au.... I am not aware of any that are easy (I can assure you that most Nuclear Physics gold bug types have looked at every possible isotope of Tl, Hg, Pt, Ir along with natural alpha or neutron emitters to see what is possible...To give you and idea, check the price per gram of Americium.....)

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:59 | 2124191 CrazyCooter
CrazyCooter's picture

I mispoke. When I said "elements up to iron create energy during the fusion process" I mean output elements. I wasn't clear in how I said it. So, you are correct, two lighter elements that produce an element up to iron release energy.

This is why stars turn to iron and die.

Now, when they super nova, the massive renergy is what creates the bulk of the heavy elements past iron are created.

Regards,

Cooter

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:14 | 2124248 trav7777
trav7777's picture

actually it's neutron capture but whatever.  Just tighten up the verbiage a bit.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:23 | 2124258 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Yes....

My understanding is that in an SN resulting in a neutron star that the collapse of the outer shells bounces off the core where the nucleon degeneracy pressure is adequate to stave off utter collapse. There is an enormous neutron flux that results in processes like

   n + AZ  ->  A+1Z  ->  A+1(Z+1) + e nu

The produced Ni and Co (A+1, A+2 wrt Fe) produce gamma rays which allow us to estimate the total energy released....

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 19:41 | 2125328 s2man
s2man's picture

Yep.  That look's right to me.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 20:17 | 2125419 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Thanks... you don't how much that means to me coming from you..... 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 22:26 | 2125749 trav7777
trav7777's picture

especially with the apostrophe in looks

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 16:46 | 2124624 DogSlime
DogSlime's picture

You're kidding?

But today, silver is more scarce than gold.  And gold has finally been achieved in laboratory thanks to multi TeV CM energy.

That must be a joke?

Who the hell is going to use 180 MEGAWATTS to synthesise a few atoms of Gold?

You'll find more gold atoms and use less energy by sieving through a few kilos of mud from your back yard.

You'd have to burn tens of millions of tons of fuel just to make an ounce of gold using the LHC.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 19:36 | 2125297 trav7777
trav7777's picture

there's mo gold in spent fuel rods from fission reactors

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 20:36 | 2125488 SilverRhino
SilverRhino's picture

Who the hell is going to use 180 MEGAWATTS to synthesise a few atoms of Gold?

A Type II Kardashev civilization would do that in a second if gold was what was needed for a project.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:54 | 2124174 HungrySeagull
HungrySeagull's picture

Chemistry of Metals in our Earth.\

It's the way it is beneath our feet.

 

Once you understand all that, then you will have mountains to harvest a little gold.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:48 | 2123892 SilverRhino
SilverRhino's picture

Anything with an atomic number over Iron only comes from supernovas. 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:04 | 2123958 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

Yep...You guys rock...Iron is the end of stellar fuel...Was it Boltzmann, I forget

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:08 | 2123982 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

No, it was not Boltzmann...

Higher mass elements are produced by neutron capture and subsequent beta decay....

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:12 | 2124005 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

Awesome...I love ZeroHedge...

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:04 | 2123959 Ahmeexnal
Ahmeexnal's picture

Riiiiiiiiiiiight....and oil only comes from dead dinosaurs.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:06 | 2123973 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Let me guess, you found the Philosopher's Stone?

How is that Abiotic oil startup going??

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:19 | 2124043 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

He and Bernanke must hang out a lot.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:14 | 2124014 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

So if you say "Beetlejuice" three times, you can have all the gold you want...

http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2010/06/01/is-betelgeuse-about-to-blow/

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:31 | 2124105 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Yes....  I can only hope that it will occur in my lifetime...

It will be the greatest fucking show ever....

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 19:37 | 2125301 trav7777
trav7777's picture

only superseded by an on axis gamma ray burst.  Oh wait, that would cook the planet...be like that old apple commercial

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 20:18 | 2125416 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Well that is a risk... but Alpha Orionis is long ways off...

I did compute once that based SN 1987A which "rattled" the proton decay experiments with neutrinos, that one would see about 3 million or so neutrinos interacting in the Super-K detector in the space of a second or 2....

To put that number in perspective, there have been maybe 20,000 cosmic HE neutrino interactions observed in the past 30 years....

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 21:42 | 2125654 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

I'm not worried about these things...

We can always send Bruce Willis up in a spaceship (that is, as soon as he finishes apprehending all the bandits that are making off with the Fed's gold in dump trucks)...

~~~~~

Footnote: As you can see... I'm MUCH more worried about the stupidity of humans destroying themselves than about axis ray gamma bursts from Beetle Juice...

Sat, 02/04/2012 - 00:36 | 2125957 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

As right you are, re: self-immolation....

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:37 | 2124122 GiantVampireSqu...
GiantVampireSquid vs OWS UFC 2012's picture

Thank fuck someone knows what they are talking about.  The rest of you would benefit from 5 min of research.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:40 | 2123841 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

When this is all over...Some of the juniors... literally at pennies will be dollars...

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:40 | 2123849 LoneCapitalist
LoneCapitalist's picture

Well lets see. The average annual salery of a skilled craftsman is what? about 40k. So, 10x 40k is 400k. which will buy about 10,000 oz. of silver, so yeah 1 tulip bulb = 10,000 oz. of silver .

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:48 | 2123893 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Right, so in the mind of idiot Trav, a short squeeze==bubble.

What a fucking dumbass.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:15 | 2124254 trav7777
trav7777's picture

ROTFL..you call that mania you encouraged people to "buy with both fists" a SHORT SQUEEZE?

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA...gfd you are pathetic

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:41 | 2124327 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Show me where I "told" people to do that.  I told people to buy on a regular basis, ie dollar cost average.  Further, for there to be a "mania" there must be an increasing number of longs.  That is not what we saw.  We saw a decreasing number of shorts.  But don't let the facts stop your insane ranting.

You are a fucking liar, and always have been.  Yet you still can't understand why your family left you.  

Yes, you are pathetic.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 19:38 | 2125306 trav7777
trav7777's picture

"$60 by next week"  BWAHAHAHAHAHA

no price was too high to BUYBUYBUY

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 20:28 | 2125459 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Repeat that lie enough, and it might become true, lying shitstain.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 22:31 | 2125752 trav7777
trav7777's picture

Hyperinflation "IMMINENT"  bwahahahahahahahahaha

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:50 | 2123900 swanpoint
swanpoint's picture

My Jan '13 $50 calls SLV I bought in December are killing it..

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:18 | 2124040 Muddy1
Muddy1's picture

Today is not the first time Rush has referred to ZH.  Probably the death of ZH as Rush is very complimentary of ZH.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:32 | 2124108 EnglishMajor
EnglishMajor's picture

The problem is Rush doesn't read ZH, somebody on his staff does.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:23 | 2124065 Votewithabullet
Votewithabullet's picture

Do straight ppl use "OMG"? Rush has been mentioning ZH at least  a year.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:40 | 2124132 Miss Expectations
Fri, 02/03/2012 - 16:14 | 2124491 CoconutPete
CoconutPete's picture

Sure enough...starts about 6 or 7 paragraphs in

http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/daily/2012/02/03/happy_days_are_here_again_in_obamaville_raw_jobs_numbers_tell_very_different_story

Tyler, you may need to tell Rush that he is a statist puppet and you'd prefer to not be associated with him

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 16:35 | 2124585 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

While you are at it, you can add that Rush is a bloviating fascist shill...

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:03 | 2123952 Whiner
Whiner's picture

My Great, Great,Great, Great, etc., Grandfather went all in for the black tulip right I the top. Wound up eating his tulip bulbs. Still buying high today-FaceBook will break the curse.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:21 | 2123744 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture
iTulip.com bitchez!
  • Quote for this Market:  
“It's almost worth the Great Depression to learn how little our big men know.”
- Will Rogers
Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:24 | 2123773 resurger
resurger's picture

i tulip it is ...

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:27 | 2123788 ACP
ACP's picture

Did they buy physical, or the tulip 3x ETF, UTUL?

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:26 | 2124086 blueRidgeBoy
blueRidgeBoy's picture

and if not physical, did they risk rehypothecation of their paper tulips?

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:50 | 2123871 caerus
caerus's picture

Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds

1841 book by Charles Mackay was a favorite of Livermore and Baruch...great read with history of tulip bubble, mississippi company, crusades...etc.

"Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one."

- Charles Mackay

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:14 | 2123706 swanpoint
swanpoint's picture

1637, bitchez!

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:16 | 2123720 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

And the collapse only took two months....

....hmmm.....

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:19 | 2123733 Votewithabullet
Votewithabullet's picture

As cool as this site is they cannot submit a post without a fucking typo. Its always been thus.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:21 | 2123759 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Hey, here's an idea....

If you want to see Zero Hedge perform at its best, you can help!

Donate to Zero Hedge:

http://www.zerohedge.com/donate

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:23 | 2123769 Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

"It's"

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:25 | 2123780 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

ftmfw

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:26 | 2123785 TheGameIsRigged
TheGameIsRigged's picture

actually....it's "its"

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:29 | 2123799 trav7777
trav7777's picture

no, the other guy was right, you are wrong.  Probably mistook the indent level versus the post he immediately followed

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:37 | 2123822 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

No, he abbreviated "It has".

"It's"

Fucking dumbass

Not meant for Trav, meant for dude above Trav

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:39 | 2123845 trav7777
trav7777's picture

"As cool as this site is they cannot submit a post without a fucking typo. Its always been thus."

This was the OP.  The use of "its" is wrong. 

Oh wait, I see you are not talking to me...lol...you just added that prior to my reply.  Was about to go tha fuk off

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:42 | 2123861 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Yeah I figured which is why I added the disclosure.

heh

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:08 | 2123978 TheGameIsRigged
TheGameIsRigged's picture

True....I was referring to a post from higher up

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:30 | 2123806 MayIMommaDogFac...
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