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On This Day In The History Of Ponzi Schemes

Tyler Durden's picture




 

As America embarks on its latest pre-IPO tech bubble, driven by a fundamentally broken Ponzi system which relies on the marginally disappearing greater fool, it is time to look back in time to this day in 1637, when the granddaddy of all irrationally exuberant bubbles died: the Dutch Tulip Mania.

Source: Wikipedia

What was tulip mania, you ask?

Tulip mania was a period in the Dutch Golden Age during which contract prices for bulbs of the recently introduced tulip reached extraordinarily high levels and then suddenly collapsed. At the peak of tulip mania, in February 1637, some single tulip bulbs sold for more than 10 times the annual income of a skilled craftsman. It is generally considered the first recorded speculative bubble.

And for fun here are a few recent 'exciting' opportunities...

UniCredit +89% in the last 3 weeks

FriendFinder +120% in the last week

And everyone's favorite Zynga +81% in 3 weeks.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:28 | 2123792 Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

Betcha RoboPrattle bought UCG & ZNGA the 9th, and FFN on the 27th.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:28 | 2123793 woozi
woozi's picture

Aside from being 300 years off that is one hell of a fall out of bed drop.  At least the graphic has the year right.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:29 | 2123798 gmak
gmak's picture

Erratum:

 

" it is time to look back in time to this day in 1937,"

 

You mean 1637, I hope.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:34 | 2123821 AN0NYM0US
AN0NYM0US's picture

No doubt Bill Gross in his interview with Keene this AM referred to his company as pimPco

here is the clip unfortunately it does not have a timeline but the comment is just beyond the halfway point prefaced by this question from Prewitt

What happens if the two Percenters are wrong?

While that's possible Ken, the fed has always said that they were conditional and lets not forget that including pimPco..."

http://media.bloomberg.com/bb/avfile/News/Surveillance/v8AuLTGbvzRk.mp3

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:35 | 2123825 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

SPX 1343: this is the same exact level we fell from on Feb 19th, 2011.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:36 | 2123830 AC_Doctor
AC_Doctor's picture

Were is the RoboRoach at?  Changing a flat tire on his Schwinn in LuluLemon yoga leotard while on paper route?  This fucker knows ALL the bubbles...

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:38 | 2123839 Squid Vicious
Squid Vicious's picture

the telling thing about this rally is that all the good solid co's are on FIRE today like TZOO, LNKD, Homies, Restaurants, Brunswick... everyone gona have a steak dinner after they write that 50k check for a new boat, LOL

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:39 | 2123842 Barbarians_R_Us
Barbarians_R_Us's picture

Favorite pun of all time:

What's better than roses on your piano......

(Bonus ZH points for first posted correct answer)

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:43 | 2123856 AnAnonymous
AnAnonymous's picture

tulipsonyourorgan.

 

AndwithUS citizenism around, quite a lot to be done.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:42 | 2123859 linrom
linrom's picture

Facebook-- what an ironic concept for the "I am special generation", that will soon join the ranks of OWS because one can't turn virtual reality into real life economic opportunities.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:45 | 2123879 AnAnonymous
AnAnonymous's picture

They are probably already much in the real life.

Quite funnily enough, with US citizenism around and the prospects born by that set of beliefs, social networks like the Internet FB is the place to be.

US citizens have the passion of group, it is all about submission to the group.

People who join FB are people who can submit.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:04 | 2124209 HungrySeagull
HungrySeagull's picture

Fuck FB, I dont work for Zuckerkid.

 

I find it amazing that a little man who is not yet in prime can change money like that. Most of folks his age don't quite look that healthy.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:48 | 2123888 DutchMadness
DutchMadness's picture

The sellers of those tulipbulbs were later thrown into the Keizersgracht. ( a famous Dutch canal...) History will repaet itself...

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:48 | 2123890 SAME AS IT EVER WAS
SAME AS IT EVER WAS's picture

and over and over and over and over...........................

 

 

 

 

                                                                                                                                                                 and over and over...........

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:51 | 2123904 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

Bubbles...Crowd behavior, Mass Psychology, Hysteria...I love it...

Its got everything...Fortunes, Broken dreams, Insanity...All the warm fuzzies!

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:53 | 2123908 Lmo Mutton
Lmo Mutton's picture

So is it too late to get in on this tulip bubble opportunity thing?

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 13:57 | 2123926 YesWeKahn
YesWeKahn's picture

I figured that out!

I don't do any useful work, i spend my entire daily and nightly life on facebook and play facebook games. I buy FB and ZNGA, I will get rich because I "produce" statistics which are the only useful metrics in the internet age. GO facebook and zynga!

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:02 | 2123948 adr
adr's picture

Why is a site specializing in Adultery up 120% in a week???

I think Dotcom 2.0 peak is right around the corner. This really feels like 1999 all over again. Stocks up 100% in a couple hours, nobody can lose.

UnFUCKINGbelievable

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:14 | 2124015 caerus
caerus's picture

13 years is a long enough time to produce a new generation of suckers

 

nihil sub sole novum 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:11 | 2123996 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

Yeh but Tyler....they didn't have a plunge protection team during the Tulip mania!

Those guys just keep hitting the "BUY" button all day long. Whenever the 1 oz Gold eagle coin is flipped, if it lands on heads they buy bonds, if tails they buy bank stocks....

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:13 | 2124007 W10321303
W10321303's picture

.....and the Duch and all their colonies came under the control of the British crown and The City. Speaking of DEAD empires. You know when the Empire is DEAD when it's a really BIG deal if you get the endorsement to be the next Emperor from a guy who inherited all his money from his father and then went bankrupt TWICE because he couldn't get enough fools to throw their money away at his caisnos. Oh well, Newt has his own crypto-facist casino owner, who hasn't gove bankrupt. (yet) Where's Bobby D and Sharon Stone when you need them?

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:19 | 2124047 frosty zoom
frosty zoom's picture

remember, two lips are better than one.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:36 | 2124120 EnglishMajor
EnglishMajor's picture

I predict another flower bubble to burst...poppies when we leave Afghanistan next year.  Only it will be a burst in the record yields of the past decade that will send heroin prices through the roof.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:06 | 2124218 HungrySeagull
HungrySeagull's picture

Followed by a regional war in our Rio Grande and inner cities when gangs fight for the ones to buy drugs among the dregs of a society that has fled.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 14:54 | 2124175 Village Smithy
Village Smithy's picture

That's it, I am going into the weekend with a SMALL short position just to honour this day. Thanks for the post.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:19 | 2124271 non_anon
non_anon's picture

ponzi's live on, from century to century

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:26 | 2124277 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Pretty, aren't they?

http://cache.graphicslib.viator.com/graphicslib/media/f9/black-and-yello...

A speculative bubble from the past, no doubt fueled by elites with more money than sense or concern for the greater good.

Sounds familiar.

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:28 | 2124297 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Yes, IIRC the black ones were prized...

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:31 | 2124309 RichardENixon
RichardENixon's picture

Bernanke, Geithner and the gang could have kept that Tulip Bubble inflated for years. And don't think they wouldn't have tried if they had been around then.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 15:57 | 2124404 LongOfTooth
LongOfTooth's picture

According to the folk who believe in reincarnation Bernanke, Geithner and the gang probably were around then and if so they were probably involved in the Tulip bubble.

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 16:12 | 2124479 navy62802
navy62802's picture

Unicredit, FriendFinder and Zynga ... incredible.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 16:18 | 2124505 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

 

 

Speaking of Ponzi schemes and plants here is a fine crop of weeds (from left to right):  bindweed, dandelion, kudzu, crabgrass, poison ivy, mallow, ragweed, and quakgrass:

http://www.substancenews.net/assets/images2/1577080483.jpg

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 16:48 | 2124628 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

Well..it now seems clear...Blackhawk ben will save (bailout) the banks regardless of the amount of fiat required to float them.

Ben will use your money, my money, and print until the sheep come home.....and the banksters will have their equity prices...higher.

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 17:13 | 2124742 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Cotton Candy!  Git yur Cotton Candy here!

https://a248.e.akamai.net/f/248/17859/1d/deliveryag1.download.akamai.com...

Our sugar (money), their air (hot).

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 17:13 | 2124746 Bastiat009
Bastiat009's picture

Ok, the tulip thing is nice but no one is talking about the opening of the Manhattan gold mine this afternoon. I heard they have a special there. Gold is flowing and this increase in supply is trashing its price. 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 17:20 | 2124779 The Swedish Chef
The Swedish Chef's picture

In the last weeks my only tech stock has rallied silly. Now I know why, Greenspan said the nineties were coming back...

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 18:57 | 2125154 Racer
Racer's picture

And on BBC news today...

Record prices are being paid for single bulbs

.......welcome to the latest bubble...

 

snowdrops.......

One collector paid £360 on eBay last month for a single Galanthus "Green Tear" bulb. It's a new record price for the most expensive snowdrop bulb ever sold, say experts.

Sat, 02/04/2012 - 04:52 | 2126174 e-recep
e-recep's picture

What about the price of GLD? Is it also a bubble?

Sat, 02/04/2012 - 05:14 | 2126184 e-recep
e-recep's picture

Those were the days. The financial web was not as big and complicated as today's and such a bubble could be sustained only for a few months. Note that the housing bubble in US and UK lasted for 15+ years.

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