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Dear Germans: Bring Out Ze Checkbooks

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Something funny happened on the road to a "fixed" Europe.

A week ago we presented the €2.5 trillion closed liquidity loop at the heart of Europe's (solvency and mercantilist) problems: the cumulative capital account deficits of Europe's import countries (virtually all of them except for Germany and Holland), and the under the table funding mechanism, in the form of Germany's subsidizing of said countries via the ECB TARGET2 cash settlement process. In simple terms, in order for the PIIGS to import German "stuff", Germany had to fund their economies in a very roundabout, yet unmistakable fashion (see chart). Well, as the latest update from TARGET2 shows (courtesy of Sean Corrigan of Diapason), the fact that this now accepted enabling mode of existence continues, as nothing has changed in Europe except for Greece going bankrupt, and all the PIIGS still pretending they have fixed their economies when in reality all that has happened is a $1.3 trillion cash injection providing some very brief dry powder to drive bonds to lower yields temporarily, Spain and Greece have just posted their biggest draw on TARGET2 bringing the total to just under €400 billion! Congratulations Germany - This is the amount that Jens Weidmann and the German Bundesbank will have to fund to keep the ponzi going. But at least BTPs and Bonos will be at 0.00% as the ECB floods the market with a quadrillion in paper at a point in the very near future to pretend that the system is solvent judging by bond yields.

To all our German readers: sorry. Yes, extend and pretend actually has a price.

To summarize: the bond market, courtesy of the ECB, has signalled the all clear, if only for a brief amount of time (remember what happened with the first LTRO back in 2009). In the meantime, the PIIGS economies are getting worse and worse. But for the time being Germany can keep them afloat. However, Germany, unlike the ECB can not print money. And in fact, largely does not want to.

And here's the Bundesbank. How does one say exponential in Germano-Grecian?

 

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Wed, 03/14/2012 - 16:24 | 2255655 Frederic Bastiat
Frederic Bastiat's picture

Ze Germans are the same as the Chinese.  Wealth is goods, if you run a current account surplus for an extended period, you end up wis nossing. 

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 16:33 | 2255688 zerozulu
zerozulu's picture

Let me say, wealth is not transferring from WEST to EAST but poverty is being transferred from EAST to WEST.

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 16:35 | 2255693 Dick Darlington
Dick Darlington's picture

BUBA wishing Target2 balance will just simply vaporize. Weidmann consulting Corzine.

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 17:46 | 2255920 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

They better don't wish. Maybe the PIGS do it as they consulted GS to cook the books like Greece.

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 16:45 | 2255723 pschwammerl
pschwammerl's picture

Would be Gold flowing to Germany in earlier times, today just IOUs and wealth illusion. Germany has two problems: Giving away wealth because of a too weak Euro for their exports and helping finance those exports when in the eurozone. But this will go on because there is no real public resistance to this kind of theft. 

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 16:45 | 2255724 mohadiep
mohadiep's picture

 

Ok, I am German. And I am pissed! For the third time within the last 100 years we will be the fucking assholes when this sucker comes down. 

 

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 16:51 | 2255737 Nojak
Nojak's picture

Ck out the former German Prez' retirement pay (he served less than 2 yrs on the job)....from Der Spiegel Online-

"The politician continues to be dogged by controversy. Last week's torch-lit ceremony was marred by the whine of Vuvuzela trumpets blown by scores of demonstrators against his receipt of a presidential pension totalling almost €200,000 ($262,000) per year until the end of his life, even though he was in office for less than two years."

http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,820813,00.html

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 17:09 | 2255816 sampo
sampo's picture

I bet the US ambassador in Berlin (Goldman) will do multiples of that at the time he retires.

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 17:57 | 2255939 flyingpigg
flyingpigg's picture
Weidmann doesn't realize he is just a Mario-nette.

He won't be able to reverse the trash-for-cash trillion on LTRO's.

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 18:32 | 2256053 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

Right, but lots smoke & mirror around Target2 until Weidmann made it clear, what risk does it involve and confirming HW Sinn's concerns, which had been discredited heavily for almost a year.

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 17:20 | 2255853 stocktivity
stocktivity's picture

"Ok, I am German. And I am pissed! For the third time within the last 100 years we will be the fucking assholes when this sucker comes down."

 

Don't be so modest.

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 17:28 | 2255872 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

It makes you feel bad for the numbnuts who short gold in the midst of an intervention after watching CNBC instead of loading up.

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 17:49 | 2255927 Richard Whitney
Richard Whitney's picture

Durch eine grossenzuvieledeutchemarkenschittensturmunddrang geficken wir sind!

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 19:57 | 2256295 css1971
css1971's picture

Not sure this is gramatically correct.

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 22:48 | 2256609 Richard Whitney
Richard Whitney's picture

Ich fur diene kommenter grammatische unsinnlich und unnotig viele dankes abgegeben haben. Gezundheit!

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 22:46 | 2256606 TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

Through a big assed shitstorm of fiat currency, we are totally fucked. (or something like that)

 

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 22:50 | 2256611 Richard Whitney
Richard Whitney's picture

Sie sind richtig! Sie freibier gewinnen!

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 23:01 | 2256624 TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

Prosit!

 

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 23:49 | 2256730 Richard Whitney
Richard Whitney's picture

You velcome are!

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 21:15 | 2256434 Tom Green Swedish
Tom Green Swedish's picture

In case you haven't figured it out yet Europe is trying to avoid another currency disaster by purchasing large amounts of gold (they have experienced several hyperinflation events in their history).  This is contradictory to the United States which has been disposing of the crap since World War 2.  USA ditches 12,000 tons, Europe picks up 12,000 tons. The price of gold is being increased by European and Asian purchasing.  Does anybody really think that the gold buying strategy is going to get anybody out of any mess?  The USA certainly doesn't, and our track record since WW2 has been significatnly better than the rest of the world. Seriously the Fed is not out to destroy the country or create a New World Order, there job is to control interest rates and inflation.  Inflation in the USA is not nearly as bad as the rest of the world besides maybe Japan or Germany.  And seriously hyperinflation in the USA when the rest of the world is creating just as much or more debt than the USA?  Get real. Do you really think Bernanke is going to create a hyperinflation scenario? Buying gold is a scam and a greedy Swiss one at that.   The only thing gold can do is be traded in for more money when goes up in value, and just like real estate who ever said it keeps going up in value? 

 

And just in case your wondering. If hyperinflation ever does happen in America, a gold nugget is not going to solve any of  your problems. Its not even a basic necessity.

Wed, 03/14/2012 - 23:30 | 2256698 jywhy999
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Thu, 03/15/2012 - 05:22 | 2257021 cnhedge
cnhedge's picture

 

This is why Fed should ease further.

 

http://www.cnhedge.com/thread-3032-1-1.html

http://www.jinrongbaike.com/

 

Thu, 03/15/2012 - 05:51 | 2257034 The Navigator
The Navigator's picture

Dear Americans (taxpayers of last resort for the World Bank, the IMF, MFGlobal, every fucking bailout and stim-ur-ass scheme)

Bring out your lubed asses and SQUEAL "Yes Sir, more please, sir"

Thu, 03/15/2012 - 06:59 | 2257066 strateshooter
strateshooter's picture

Germany should just get the hell out of the Euro .RUUNN while you can guys !!!

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