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ECB Intervention Comment Du Jour: "Classic Banana Republic Banking"
Today's move can be summarized in one word: euphoria. The same euphoria every previous instance of central planning intervention has engendered, only to fade days, weeks or months later. But for the time being it will suffice, and send the S&P to fresh post 2008 highs. In the meantime, below is the definitive note summarizing what has just happened, courtesy of Pierpont Securities via Bloomberg.
- ECB Plan "Classic Banana Republic" Banking: Pierpont
- ECB’s outright monetary transactions (OMT) indicate that the central bank “will underwrite the profligacy of peripheral Europe,” Pierpont Securities strategist Stephen Stanley writes in note.
- OMT program will lengthen EU’s “march to insolvency,” raises the odds of a bad outcome
- Sterilization ensures program isn’t inflationary in short-term
- OMT will attempt to transfer wealth from wealthy countries in Northern Europe to the Southern nations, who have “squandered” their wealth
- Transfer of wealth is what Germany and Merkel have refused to do
And, we should add, once the Greek realize they were just swindled by the ECB's refusal to implement retroactive pari passu status on the now-defunct SMP program, in the process preventing the reduction in Greek debt by tens of billions as it gets the same treatment as all other Greek debt as part of the country's recent restrcuturing, the political upheavals will return.
But for now, as said above, we have euphoria. Enjoy it while it lasts.
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ECB SMP1 was failure so how can SMP2 will be success. LTRO1 and LTRO2 were non effective. http://www.freefdawatchlist.com/2012/09/ecb-smp2-will-be-failure-like-smp1.html
Hello $100 Silver !
The long "march to insolvency" continues . . . Bataan death march for the Euro and fiat. The demise of the Euro will take down the rest of fiat currencies as well. All government debts will be poor investments, ruinous by next decade.
Can someone explain to me in simpler ways why this affects the $100B of Greek debt????
Eurobonds seem to be catching a bid everywhere. Can someone bring up a chart on what U.S. bonds are doing? Doesn't the fed have some repos to do shortly?
The ECB is jeopardizing the future of Europe and global economic stability. Are clearly betting on central planning of the economy. A Size Europe crisis could not have a simple solution. But the rulers and the monetary authority does not want to understand that situation. This is a game as dangerous as jumping into the void. But the market is not crazy. Markets are simply taking advantage of the mistakes of the authorities. Do not forget that accompany market while prices rise (helping keep rising). But the market also accompany them when things worse (helping to bring prices down). This is a two-way road.
We are all Zimbabwee now.
Want to laugh? Dems now agree to ban corporate profits: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=07fTsF5BiSM&feature=g-all-u
It's funny and sad. Thanks for sharing!
2007-2008 ain't got jack on this run.
Kleptos & Narcissists
This movie (central bank-induced flagpole rally from post to post with barely a hiccup) has already played dozens of times since 2009 bottom. Never gets old.
Meanwhile, oil solidly at $100, soft commodities at records, NASDAQ at 12-year highs, stocks like AMZN and CRM trade at records even as they report no earnings, and still the bankers want more.
When and what is going to end this vicious loop?
Obama will take most of the credit tonight. There will be an end point but as long as they can keep printing and kicking cans, that end point could be years away. Until then, It's all Bullshit!
Our problem is trying to understand this in a rational manner - just hit your forehead really hard with a hammer and try to get rich and not be right
Understanding this in a rational manner would be illogical, though.
yes as Dr Spock would say, "This is bullshit Jim"
Does anyone else have mixed emotions about watching family and friends lose their money playing the casino known as the S&P?
It is always easy for me to sit back and laugh at the sheep, but deep down, these are people I care about. Ignorance is bliss to most, ZH'ers are just different. We get it.
I say 99% of the people in the markets clueless .....and long. Maybe clueless has beenthe way to be for the past 4+ years.
F*** them, They crack jokes at my 6 month supply of food, ammo and My barbaric relics. Call me a nut job, lets see who has the last laugh.
Whoa- let's separate the common sense preparedness with the obvious schizophrenia.
These are not mutually exclusive just not part of the same equation.
jk
i split the difference...i bought food stocks, ammo stocks, and barbaric relic stocks. so when TSHTF i will be covered either way....!
A little light on the ammo supply, don't you think?
Only if you're New York's finest and you've been schooled at the fair ground ;)
Last night I was told I should be ashamed of my Ron Paul magnet on my car. Screw them!
Family members out waving signs for the pale faced indian today. They drink the Kool Aid and will just blame Bush.
your son is making a killing...like all those who went counter to contrarian since jan 1 2012.
Dax n NAsdaq made >20%; CAC40 w/O financials selection made 25%; Gold made >8.5%.
You chose.
It's really incredible what they are doing to people when you think about it.
'they' didn't do anything to slewie
even when i attampt to cogitate
pierpont got his shorts fried with the bananas
listen: while germany awaits the pastryChefCourt verdict angela said yesterday or the day before she had no propblemo w. marioECB monetizing the short bonds for spain
it was reported on zH
INO.com Markets - Chart for U.S $ INDEX (NYBOT:DX)
now the only thing left is to see if tyler gets whiney about the volume
i guess the kiddies may have learned that when the VIX goes up a good % from bullshit lows, it doesn't ALWAYS mean the "markets" will go d.o.w.n.
as i've tried to point out for a few weeks we MAY be seeing a situ where stocks have been "cornered"
but i'm insane! L0L!!!
anyhow, the forune-tellers and doomers can re-load and pretend we need mittens in there to "fix" everything from here; because this is just fuking AWFUL!
prez0 may look a wee bit more "prezi-dental" tonight, eh, children?
Quiz of the day: whih european country produce Bananas?
The Dutch...colonies
I know there are palm trees in southern Ireland but I dont know if they can grow bananas.
So I guess I dont know the answer...nuts
The French should probably have some of the "Departements Outre-mer" that produce bananas. Reunion, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Mayotte, French Guiana. (And they have the best KoolAid there in Guiana too...)
Perhaps the new joke will be "olive and wine" republics ... ?
well we've had the olive and wine mountains.. and butter, milk, wheat and cheese mountains and pretty much you name it with EU agricultural subsidies ...a complete farce everywhere you look
now they've added Jabba the Huts behind Govt desks telling fishermen what they can and cannot catch, what size, dishing out licenses on who can fish but as always these cretins know exactly zero about what they're doing
clueless Govt cretins know as much about fish stocks as they do about rocket science ..they've meddled and made a farce of just about every food product we consume
everything Govt touches turns to crap
Norway.. The banana tree lined fiords are the winter nesting places for the "Norwegian Blue" parrot.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4vuW6tQ0218
OMT ... Outright Moonbat Transactions.
As Saddam Hussein used to say, 'Anything is possible now, my brothers!'
We've passed from the mundane world into the Mystic ...
i have never known anyone that referenced quotes from sadistic mass killer dictator. when i was at the last church picnic i tried qouting hitler and it didnt go over to well......?
4+ years of euphoria "fixes" everytime one is needed. Unreal.
ZH disclaimer needed: Heed the Tylers but trade the Charts.
FUCK YOU CRAMER!
This is Merkel's dream.
If Draghi and the ECB bord rebel against Merkel, they will be tagged RESPONSIBLE for the collapse by the WORLD MEDIA, not Germany.
It's going as per Merkel's plan. She would love Draghi and the board to rebel and go ahead with everything, since the system has no cure and ECB will end up being blamed for everything.
Not saying you should sell metals (unless you are fully invested) but this is NOT the time to step on the gas. I explain with charts:
http://wp.me/p2CT0a-5f
I think at this point that being a Banana Republic would be an improvement.
You would at least know exactly where you stand.
This transitory phase on the road there,is more than frustrating.
the people who are long may well be clueless but they are getting PAID by the market .. while ZH followers have been carried out initiating short positions .. sad but true.
Correct, I have not seen a Bidermann video here in ages since he went 100% short.
Yeah, But most people here are stackers, right? They will do well either way.
Anyone realize the ADP was the prelude to the NFP being good and Ben doing nothing next week?
Does it matter? NFP good....market up. NFP bad....... market down until 10 am....then up...until 2pm, then up some more. Once the new level reached, any news void is filled by the promise of QE. Unreal, but true.
Dem convention. after Clinton's speach last night praising "O's" glorious job creation vs. Romney's job creation...the ECB, BLS, ADP and PPT are ensuring high notes for tonight's speech. not that TPTB actually care who wins, they just want a massive mud-slinging back alley fight for the next couple of months to distract the sheep using their media to highlight every throw.
I assume this banana republic will conform to EU Commission Regulation (EC) 2257/94.
not a snowball in Hells chance
the rats who make Law make rat holes in the Law and own the crones that apply it
for "Rule of Law" read Rule of the Rats
"But for now, as said above, we have euphoria. Enjoy it while it lasts."
"There is always another high" said the junkie to the other guy.
That is..........until there isn't.
The bankers did it. Next Thursday they give it another dose.
sometimes the markets dont make sense and the dumb money do rather well .. just one of those things.
Central Banker Bukkake Party.
wow our planners almost lost control of crude and gold there for a minute... looked like they were about to lead the crack up boom to the sky until they jumped on them both lmao! Sooner or later our planners will lose thier grip.
why shouldn't we enjoy the rally ?
It's like that night at the bar where the drinks are flowing and with each round everyone gets louder and apparently happier; before the fights break out, or the drunk driving and barfing start.
+100 what an awesome picture.
the ship won't capsize until the gentle oscillations turn into massive [volatility] wretches
Let us be perfectly clear –
We will not not let the periphery sovereigns not default by providing a unlimited amount of limited unconditional support through the EMU, provided that certain conditions are met and others are not met, and still others are not in violation of unconditional conditionalities.
Let's face it: Everybody has lost their freakin' minds. Bad is good, worse is better, acknowledgment of failure a reason to be bullish. I say: F.... the markets! Staying out of this game of musical chairs (where there are no chairs at all) is the only way to stay ahead.
ultimately markets have been going one way since 09 .. and that is up. we are now back where we stated before the crisis. you know what they say .. IF YOU CANT BEAT EM .. might as well fucking join em and get long :)
Hahaaa....
And do you really believe they will give you a call beforehand to let you know when they decide to 'correct' the markets again?
The color RED is officially NO LONGER VALID!!!!
I got to fix what you said ... "But for now, as said above, we have euphoria. Enjoy it while it lasts."
... YOU have regained your losses ... SELL, SELL, SELL!
Not sure what the big deal is. Draghi has completely left it to Spain etc to pick up the baton.
He's offered nothing that isn't sterilized or with full conditions attached (as it should be).
Rajoy will be hopping mad, Monti will be hoping mad. Hungary has already said no.
Enjoy the sugar rush, because Spain is fucked.
The big deal?
Draghi has overstepped his mandate BY A MILE and NOBODY is stopping him!!! That is a huge deal!
Germany is in eternal bondage to the ECB. Germany is gagged and muzzled and HAS NO CHOICE unless - UNLESS - GERMANY QUITS THE EURO A.S.A.P!!!
Elections - WORTH SHIT
Political will - WORTH SHIT
People ??? Well .. the people are waking up .. but it will take a few years to stoke the fires and get GERMANS angry enough to BURN DOWN ECB HQ in Frankfurt.
Same as it ever was.
Bankers WIN - People LOSE
PIGS yields fell today, but that may be short lived. The US is bordering on a banana republic too.
http://confoundedinterest.wordpress.com/2012/09/06/draghis-hard-road-ahead-greek-and-france-unemployment-rise/
I collected ECB blog comments (ZH, alphaville, etc) both before and after the event, and will update the post as the show develops.
http://morelivers.blogspot.com/2012/09/6th-sep-ecb-watch.html
Banks should be very happy with the result. Investors, less so. Pari passu for the big positions, seniority on the little guys (Portugal, Greece), who will default at least partially soon... When the tax man rings my doorbell, I'm not home.
I never thought it would happen in my lifetime but here we are.
Deutschland Kapitulation Versailles 2.0
If anyone believes the Teutonic nation will just get bend over and take it again - keep dreaming.
IT IS ON LIKE DONKEY KONG
on this issue of banana republic banking, ECB now has fully joined the club of FED, BOE, BOJ.
As sterlising unlimited amounts is a pipe dream; unless I'm missing something.
I don't see Euphoria - I see control.
Tight control by desperate people. None of them are happy. Each day new lies come forth to protect the old lies. The only people I see cheering this rally are the paid seals.
The economy is still in the tank, unemployment doesn't get better on market hights, housing market still sucks.
No one - even those in stocks should be euphoric about the situation. Draghi comes out and lies.
Stocks go through the roof.
The fundamentals are still in place.
This is a sad day in a long list of sad days.
Of course stocks are rallying. What else is there to buy if you have billions in the system and face the substantial loss of wealth every minute, every hour of every day going forward.
It's a sad day when HYPER INFLATION was unleashed.
Translation:
Draghi says - ECB QE FOREVER !!!
UNLIMITED BOND BUYING, UNLIMITED QUANTITIES = UNLIMITED QUANTITIVE EASING
DRAGHI IS GREENSPAN'S SON!!!
Exactly -
You have given the kids cake and ice cream for breakfast - lunch - and dinner.
Wire house HFT big numbers but volume still weak.... it's just gonna be this way cause only a very foolish person would touch this market. This is all just the wire house trading their accounts.
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