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ECB Shoots First, Conducts Analysis Of LTRO Inflationary Impact Later

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Confirming once again that when it came to last year's LTRO desperation, the operation was nothing but the latest attempt at filling liquidity holes at insolvent banks, and nothing to do with facilitating lending, is the interview by Helsingin Sanomat with ECB council member Joerg Asmussen, according to which there would be no more LTROs until the ECB found out what it is the LTROs actually do. From Bloomberg: "The European Central Bank won’t provide more long-term loans until it has studied how the funds are distributed into the economy, council member Joerg Asmussen told newspaper Helsingin Sanomat. “We need to see how this liquidity feeds through over the next few months,” Asmussen said, according to a transcript of an interview with the Finnish newspaper on March 24 and published today." Well supposedly this means that with everyone now looking the ECB squarely in the eyes while also looking askance at $10/gallon European gas, there will be no more LTROs "for at least a few months" as the ECB actually figures out what it has done. Which also explains why the need to redirect from one bailout process, now topped out as the LTRO no longer is pushing the European economy higher, to another: the old narrative of EFSF+ESM expansion, so prudently picked up over the weekend by Angela Merkel.

More from Bloomberg:

“Nobody should expect that we will do a third LTRO based on the fact that we have already done two LTROs,” he said. “We never pre-commit on our actions."

 

The non-standard measures employed by the Frankfurt-based central bank to counter the crisis, including buying peripheral euro members’ sovereign bonds and lending funds for three years, are temporary and have served to prevent a credit crunch in the 17-nation single-currency area, according to Asmussen.

Trillions in extra cash never lead to inflation. Seriously.

The extra liquidity in the financial system hasn’t caused a jump in the inflation rate, he said. Euro-area consumer prices increased for the third month in February, rising 2.7 percent, the same as in January.

 

“We monitor this very carefully,” Asmussen said. “Inflation expectations across the euro zone are firmly anchored. Owing to rises in energy prices and indirect taxes, inflation is likely to stay above 2 percent in 2012, with upside risks prevailing. In the medium-term we expect price developments to remain in line with price stability.”

 

The ECB’s objective is to safeguard price stability, defined as inflation near and under 2 percent. Its steps have eased pressure on the markets, allowing banks to keep lending to businesses and households and keeping credit flowing.

 

“Our non-standard measures are there in order to ensure a good functioning of the policy transmission mechanism,” Asmussen said. The time isn’t right for withdrawing that support, he said, signaling that even amid the crisis, policy makers must begin to consider mapping out how to arrive at a more-standard policy.

 

“In our view, it is too early to decide on the exit from non-standard measures,” Asmussen said. Even so, “we have to start to think about how to prepare the exit.”

Too early to decide on exit, but never too soon to conclude that flooding markets with countless fiat 1s and 0s is at best neutral and at worst deflationary. Got it.

 

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Mon, 03/26/2012 - 07:59 | 2290309 AU5K
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If it feels good, print it.

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:10 | 2290323 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

It's the throw the spaghetti against the wall concept.........something's sure to stick.

 

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 09:05 | 2290504 knukles
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Like the penultimate wanker never haing a sock ready.

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:12 | 2290325 battle axe
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Europe can you say: HYPERINFLATION? 

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 09:04 | 2290513 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Sure we can!!

Listen up: WE'VE GOT THE GOLD BITCHEZ AND YOU AIN'T!

 

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 10:49 | 2290906 LeBalance
LeBalance's picture

Got W?

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:12 | 2290326 spankthebernank
spankthebernank's picture

OT: these vix products are going to be a problem!!!!

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:59 | 2290487 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

They did! It's called Hustler!

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:06 | 2290315 HelluvaEngineer
HelluvaEngineer's picture

wtf just spiked futures?

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:08 | 2290319 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

the release of Bernanke's comments (see: lies)

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:08 | 2290318 Sutton
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Which means Ben's up.

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:16 | 2290331 Schmuck Raker
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The beat goes on. La da da da dee...

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:09 | 2290322 oogs66
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print it and they will come

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:23 | 2290333 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

hasn’t caused a jump in the inflation rate, he said

yeah... on planet mars that is....

Starting the month of January we already had a inflation rate of 3.2%... not bad for "no inflation"....

I'LL HAVE WHATEVER HE'S DRINKING!!! WITH A STRAW!!!!!!!!

WHOEYAH!!

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:30 | 2290383 Sophist Economicus
Sophist Economicus's picture

Just came back from Mars, FRNs have made it up there too!   The price of bread is soaring

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 09:03 | 2290507 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Yeah, I just bought "Mars Oxygen Calls 0,00000001 bar" calls.

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:22 | 2290347 euphoria
euphoria's picture

Miss snitzel face...

 

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:24 | 2290356 HD
HD's picture

genius, genius, genius....

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:39 | 2290411 PaperBear
PaperBear's picture

"how the funds are distributed into the economy" or not distributed into the economy as the case may be.

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:48 | 2290435 bank guy in Brussels
bank guy in Brussels's picture

Petrol (gasoline) prices are not the big deal in Europe. They have essentially been around $10 US for a long time, considering the exchange rates in various phases.

In Europe we long ago accepted high petrol prices as a necessary step for a less car-dependent civilisation ... and it has been a great success, with our excellent cheap public transport systems. Many of us hardly bother with a car, which are basically 'toys' here for many of us.

What matters here is 'inflation' in the pricing of food - and beer!

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 09:18 | 2290569 Sanksion
Sanksion's picture

I doubt our european-sold Ipads get to the stores thanks to cheap urban public transportation... Latter that I have never seen in Europe (And I lived in France, Germany, Netherlands, and Spain), and I was always relying on my car to move.

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 09:06 | 2290499 Mercury
Mercury's picture

And what %age of that LTRO money has made it full circle to the ECB balance sheet - now parked and netting the banks negative something interest?

Pretty high I think...

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