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The Elephant Also Rises: VIX Spikes Most In 8 Months

Tyler Durden's picture




 

VIX is trading back above 20%, up over 4 vols this morning as its jump is the largest in over 8 months. This instant response to the ultra complacency we discussed last week, as 'they' take their totally dislocated foot off the neck of implied vol, has shifted the short-term volatility expectation from its calmest in almost four months to its most terrified in a month. Perhaps, just perhaps, the talking-heads who espouse this 'fear' index will finally realize its contemporaneous nature and treat it with the disdain it deserves. For now, it appears expectations of market turbulence - now that OPEX is out of the way - are reverting to more realistic levels of un-complacency, back in line with stocks and credit.

VIX jumps over 25% (over 4 vols) in a pattern of risk-flare-to-complacency-to-panic that we have seen before...

 

VIX falls to Equity and Credit's reality...

 

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Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:04 | 2642319 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Run for the hills!

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:08 | 2642340 idea_hamster
idea_hamster's picture

VIXplosion, baby!

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:36 | 2642474 battle axe
battle axe's picture

Some one knows that the Euro explosion is going to happen sooner then "the experts" are saying. Hold on. 

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 11:07 | 2642607 flacon
flacon's picture

I bought UVXY on Friday, sold it when it was up 20% this morning. Nice!

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:04 | 2642320 5880
5880's picture

Nice Tradestation chart

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:05 | 2642323 Cursive
Cursive's picture

Yes, now that Opex is over.  More easy evidence of stock market manipulation.

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:08 | 2642336 viator
viator's picture

VIX must have gotten caught in a fireworks explosion.

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:12 | 2642355 jcamargo
jcamargo's picture

Good call!

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:12 | 2642357 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

Not only that, the opening TRIN reading was wild, a huge 6.40

 

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$TRIN&p=1&yr=0&mn=0&dy=3&id=p86933460505

Everyone was jumping out of the pool at once.

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:22 | 2642411 asteroids
asteroids's picture

Disgusting, yes. But, the flip side is that there is no panic, no fear, no depression. There is a lot of control, even on a day like today. Someone appeara to have a tight grip on this market.  Amazing.

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 14:10 | 2643265 4horse
4horse's picture

"Someone* appeara [sic] to have a tight grip on this market . . .

the scum also rises*

 

. . . it's Amazing."

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DwDbd4jQpkA&feature=related

right up into and through the asteroids? *

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:31 | 2642452 Cursive
Cursive's picture

@RobotTrader

So, do you (and others) finally get it?  Everyone will be trying to jump out at once.  Prepare for 2008 redux.

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:14 | 2642366 Bill D. Cat
Bill D. Cat's picture

Time to turn on the Sackman light .

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:18 | 2642380 ChanceIs
ChanceIs's picture

The VIX spike has nothing to do with the Euro meltdown, and everything with Penn State being thrown out of college football.  Americans will wake up only when their government entitlement checks bounce - or when they can no longer get frois-gras at Whole Foods with their SNAP card.  Then the VIX will spike.

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:20 | 2642399 5880
5880's picture

This guy is actually the closest to understanding Vix

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 11:30 | 2642696 flacon
flacon's picture

NCAA: "This case involves tragic and tragically unnecessary circumstances," Emmert said. "One of the grave damages stemming from our love of sports is that the sports themselves can become too big to fail, indeed too big to even challenge. The result can be an erosion of academic values that are replaced by the value of hero worship and winning at all costs."

 

"The NCAA penalty was handed down one day after Penn State removed a statue of Paterno from in front of the university football stadium."

 

Does Jamie Dimon have sex with underage children? How about Lloyd BLANK-FINE? And when are we as a nation going to remove that phrase from our dollars: "This NOTE is LEGAL TENDER"?

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 15:04 | 2643437 4horse
4horse's picture

Does _ _ _ _ _   _ _ _ _ _  have sex with underage children . . .

_ i l l-_ _-_ _ _-b _ a n k s

 

http://aangirfan.blogspot.com/search?q=dutroux

 

missing children, more than missing money, There is more in heaven and earth than are dreamt of in our nightmares . . .

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:31 | 2642454 Global Hunter
Global Hunter's picture

Quick we need a distraction, to the Pitt campus so we look for some evidence of wrong doing, under age drinking perhaps!

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:23 | 2642415 CvlDobd
CvlDobd's picture

This market is awesomest!

Off topic. I found a greater fool to buy my house a few weeks ago. He was talking about housing bottoms and all that jazz. Obviously not a ZH reader.

I'm upgrading my generators and welders in the workshop. just hot a killer deal on a Lincoln V350 pro. It does stick MIG and TIG all in one machine.

Real assets children!

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:36 | 2642473 ChanceIs
ChanceIs's picture

Good for you.  ZeroHedge had an article over the weekend on the insanity of ZIRP.  It detailed what happens to businesses which borrowed at reasonable rates only to be totally torpedoed by people like you who get to borrow (assuming you did) for new gear at no interest cost.  You know - destroy existing businesses in order to add jobs in competitors businesses - at lower wages no doubt.

 

For sure - real assets better than cash.

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:25 | 2642423 Remington IV
Remington IV's picture

finally , I'm in the money

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:41 | 2642492 Cangaroo.TNT
Cangaroo.TNT's picture

Here we go.  Losses in the process of being erased.

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 10:45 | 2642506 Snakeeyes
Snakeeyes's picture

Yup, that was a big pop in the VIX. Things are popping all over today, but at least the Dow is rallying to -160.

http://confoundedinterest.wordpress.com/2012/07/23/monday-morning-blues-spain-gdp-falls-again-euro-plunges/

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 11:00 | 2642580 Hedgetard55
Hedgetard55's picture

PPT in action.

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 11:19 | 2642618 Turin Turambar
Turin Turambar's picture

It's really simple.  Big money got paid Friday on OPEX, and today there is just less manipulation of VIX.  It's still there though.  Don't think we'll have anything but an orderly walk-down.

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 11:12 | 2642631 Meesohaawnee
Meesohaawnee's picture

is that the sound of Bens Kinko Copier i hear getting warmed up?? are the vacum tubes in the algos warm enough to get us a green finish?

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 11:15 | 2642643 mendigo
mendigo's picture

Mr Ponzi...Please report to the principals office.

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 11:30 | 2642717 ATG
ATG's picture

VIX pulled back to 18.97.

Took 103% profits on DIA Aug 128 puts this AM.

Overnight Options portfolio a quadruple in real time since 2 July 2012.

For the next trade:

http://richcash8tradeblog.blogspot.com/2012/07/rich-cash-overnight-options.html

 

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 13:45 | 2643196 ATG
ATG's picture

At least two people sold themselves and others short with two anonymous red votes, showing their ignorance or prejudice against profits, as we have been posting these trades since 2 July 2012 in real time for all to see, up a quadruple so far, no guarantees for future results, maybe better.

Get a life. Trading well is the best revenge...;

Mon, 07/23/2012 - 13:21 | 2643136 Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

SPX bearish weekly chart strengthens: an important development.

As mentioned on Friday, SPX downleg continues.

Useful SPX weekly chart at my blog.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-12-24/market-analysis

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