Euro-Fatigue Storm Rising
The ongoing drama and chaos across Europe has seen the rise and spread of a number of 'extremist' anti-EMU and anti-bailout parties. As JPMorgan notes, the political consequences of reform fatigue are high. Many countries have seen the emergence of nationalist parties but only France, Italy, and Greece have parties advocating EMU withdrawal (for now). This is exactly what we discussed as likely to occur and was quantified here (and here) as inevitably leading to chaos, judged empirically, when austerity has been imposed.