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Euro Jumps As S&P Leaks It Has Not Leaked An Imminent French Downgrade

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With speculation building up all morning that the French AAA rating will be momentarily gone, following a statement by France's Juppe that the loss of AAA would not be "cataclysmic", it was up to the S&P itself to leak the rumor which unleaked the previous rumor, and told the WSJ that it has not informed the French government of its rating intentions. The result: EURUSD soars by 40 pips on this absolute non-news, which does nothing but buy at best a 24 hours respite from the inevitable. Furthermore, the S&P has no statement at all if and how many Congressmen, and Nancy Pelosi of course, do know what S&P's intentions are and are already trading appropriately. We expect this momentary bump in risk to be unwound in seconds.

And the report from Dow Jones:

The French government hasn't been informed of an imminent ratings
downgrade by Standard & Poor's Ratings Services, a French official
said Wednesday.

 

Speaking on condition of anonymity, the official said
that the intentions of S&P regarding France's credit rating are
unknown to the government at this stage. He insisted that there was no
reason that investors would doubt France's ability to service its debt.

 

S&P typically gives a government 12 hours notice ahead of a change in its ratings.

 

 

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Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:30 | 1979263 Captain Benny
Captain Benny's picture

Already down!  Retraced approx 50% in a few minutes.  That'll burn some FX traders...

We're going much lower on EURUSD methinks... watch out below!  We need something like hypnotoad instead of the deer today.  Market is zombies to rumor: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8AOfbnGkuGc

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:32 | 1979298 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

I like her better...HypnoCallista Gingrich (wife #3):

http://callistagingrichpeckedoutmyeyes.com/callista.gif

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:54 | 1979402 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

That is awesome! Never seen it before - THANKS! +1

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:07 | 1979464 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

+1 if you think Joe Weasel-thal of BI would pimp his grandmother/Bubbeh if it would buy even a one minute rally in the spooz.

*Weasel-thal is the biggest minor league whore for the Zimbabwefication of U.S. equities (with the biggest major league whores being Andrew Ross-Sorkin, Michelle Big-Caboosa Cabrera & Warren 'B Quick Becky & Thanks Uncle Sucker' Buffett).

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:24 | 1979574 GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

I disagree. Joe is major league.

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:31 | 1979614 Hard1
Hard1's picture

We just can't wait for the rating agencies to tell us that a country whose CDS has been trading wider than the BBB spectrum is not AAA rated anymore.

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:39 | 1979654 macholatte
macholatte's picture

 

Wall Street Amusement Park Physics

Design a Roller Coaster

http://www.learner.org/interactives/parkphysics/coaster/

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:03 | 1979452 Randall Cabot
Randall Cabot's picture

Nah, the manipulators want green, they want to bring holiday cheer just like Santa.

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:25 | 1979266 Barry McBear
Barry McBear's picture

I thought it was a French politician who told the WSJ the S&P hasn't informed them what their intentions are.  Nothing was said by the S&P as far as I can tell.

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:26 | 1979269 GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

Headline: "Euro explodes on rumors that France isn't fucked quite yet"

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:33 | 1979303 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

France says "Mon dieu!  We don't get fooked, we do zee fooking!"

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:26 | 1979271 Irish66
Irish66's picture

helicopter ben summoned to the hill, what year did that happen last?

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:57 | 1979422 walküre
walküre's picture

source?

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:29 | 1979276 DormRoom
DormRoom's picture

too much leverage is built on top of French AAA debt-collateral.  when it gets downgraded, ka-boom.  rehypothecation bomb daisy chain.

 

sell to survive.

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:28 | 1979278 ziggy59
ziggy59's picture

Don't leak on the electric fence

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:32 | 1979294 machineh
machineh's picture

... unless you want to join the 'Glowworm Club'!

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:28 | 1979279 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

EZ rumor needed to come out early today, and it did.   EZ needs just one more rumor (EZ rumor squared) to create a short dash for cover.  

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:30 | 1979286 hugovanderbubble
hugovanderbubble's picture

GERMANY DOWNGRADED BY PETERSSEN

 

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:30 | 1979287 non_anon
non_anon's picture

S&P and the other rating agencies are about as independent as the federal reserve

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:30 | 1979288 LeBalance
LeBalance's picture

!viagra!

!stoly!

!viagra!

!stoly!

!viagra!

!stoly!

pretty soon someone's wang is not going to respond linearly.

ya think?

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:31 | 1979292 kaa1016
kaa1016's picture

Just in time to justify an oversold intraday bounce in risk assets.

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:32 | 1979296 FranSix
FranSix's picture

Was this about two guys wearing berets smoking a Gitanes leaning up against a wall in Aix-en-Provence talking about sovereign debt in the resistance in WWII?

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:34 | 1979307 Flounder
Flounder's picture

Meanwhile...is not the US tax code great...

"General Electric (GE) should benefit from a negative tax rate in the fourth quarter at GE Capital Services, which could add an additional 2 cents to earnings, writes Vertical Research Partners analyst Jeff Sprague today."

http://blogs.barrons.com/stockstowatchtoday/2011/12/14/general-electric-...

 

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:48 | 1979368 junkyardjack
junkyardjack's picture

Pretty soon there will be a whole bunch of companies "benefiting" from a negative tax rate

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:38 | 1979317 YesWeKahn
YesWeKahn's picture

It's like shooting at a half dead man, you put it up so that you can shoot it again.

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:41 | 1979332 Saro
Saro's picture

Phew, all fixed! Bullish!

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:36 | 1979637 non_anon
non_anon's picture

ha ha, trade on the rumours, win win!

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:46 | 1979353 TooRichtoCare
TooRichtoCare's picture

Pelosi, Frank, Corzine, Dodd...they all need to be with Blago

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:46 | 1979355 youngman
youngman's picture

whew...I was getting worried I was not going to get my rumor fix today.....okay I take my Rudolf is gay back...I made that one up...

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:46 | 1979356 SHEEPFUKKER
SHEEPFUKKER's picture

They can leak or unleak all the rumors they want.  The end result will be the same. 

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:52 | 1979372 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

 

 

non-google translation?

"S&P, in conjunction w/ the swiss national bank, announced that it had not leaked...."

...at which point the SNB branch of the bankster cabal, as advertised, supported the EUR with exactly what it took to re-establish the peg...

...and to all a "Good Grief!"

The End

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:51 | 1979389 Snakeeyes
Snakeeyes's picture

Again, we all know that a downgrade in the cards. Look at the GDP growth and debt loads. And The Fed/IMF futile attempts at a bailout.

http://confoundedinterest.wordpress.com/2011/12/14/my-house-oversight-te...

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:51 | 1979390 unionbroker
unionbroker's picture

now they can run the markets up on the rumor that there may be a rumor

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:09 | 1979488 blu
blu's picture

Second derivatives are always bullish.

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 13:56 | 1979412 TK7936
TK7936's picture

There so pissed that there are no Eurobonds yet and Euro QE and all the wonderfull Inkjet to Hell Technologies..........

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:06 | 1979475 InconvenientCou...
InconvenientCounterParty's picture

unleaked is to information as unburnt is to ashes.

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:07 | 1979482 blu
blu's picture

BB: NAR SAID REVISING PAST YEARS FRENCH DOWNGRADE NUMBERS

BB: NAR HAS HELP FROM S&P WITH REVISING PAST FRANCE DOWNGRADES

BB: NAR SAYS FRANCE WAS NOT ACTUALLY AAA SINCE THE BATTLE OF VERDUN

Okay HFT algos, run with that if you dare.

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:13 | 1979500 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

 BB: 

British consuls skyrocket as outcome of Battle of Waterloo is revised. In related news, mystery buyer of consuls at intraday lows now owns England.

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:10 | 1979492 AldoHux_IV
AldoHux_IV's picture

Furthermore, the S&P has no statement at all if and how many Congressmen, and Nancy Pelosi of course, do know what S&P's intentions are and are already trading appropriately. We expect this momentary bump in risk to be unwound in seconds.

It's why the chairsatan was on the Hill today making sure the devil's lackeys continue to benefit from doing his bidding.

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:32 | 1979621 Odin
Odin's picture

....aaannnnd here come the fall back down...

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:34 | 1979627 Peter K
Peter K's picture

Not only have they run out of ideas for plans, now they have run out of ideas for rumors ;)
I guess non news is better than no news. W inning T he F uture

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:39 | 1979652 Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

SP500 daily chart resumes choppy downtrend. Opposite for USDX.

My long term indicators have continued to warn of USD strength and EURO weakness and these signals have increased since 2009. The overdue dollar rally should be substantial.

http://stockmarket618.wordpress.com

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:41 | 1979665 TheObsoleteMan
TheObsoleteMan's picture

This means NOTHING. France is NOT AAA, and anyone with a brain knows it. In fact, you can count on one hand {and have fingers left over} which nations in the world, truly are AAA. If the USA, who's dollar is the world's reserve currency isn't AAA {and we are not}, VERY few are.

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 14:52 | 1979705 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Here is my AAA list of sovereigns:

  • Kingdom of Norway
Wed, 12/14/2011 - 15:03 | 1979759 Randall Cabot
Randall Cabot's picture

Time remaining before 3:30 rumor: 1:27

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 15:23 | 1979836 Stuart
Stuart's picture

Oooorrrrr, somebody finally clued in that S&P sold themselves as whores to Uncle Sam as a trade off for their top execs staying out of jail and as such, are being used as propaganda tools to keeps the world's focus on Europe's shit, fearing the generally inane, apathetic world might wake up and realize that Uncle Sam's shit stinks worse.   Gotta keep those bidders as the Treasury auctions you know.   Nah, probably not.

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 17:08 | 1980437 jonjon831983
jonjon831983's picture

"We do not confirm a rumour that we will cutting the rating, because we will be cutting the rating."

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 17:11 | 1980452 pineyard
pineyard's picture

I surely HOPE for somewhat MORE correction of the EURO !

WHY ? .. Because I am EUROPEAN !

U see.. Europe has a lot of Debt.. BUT we OWE this debt mainly to ourselves ... Therefore some depriiciation of the EURO doesnt concern Europeans very much .. EXCEPT ofc .. our GOODS will be Cheaper for foreigners .. and therefore even more easy to sell .than they were before  .. due to their Quality ..ofc

And thus even IMPROVE our already respectable POSITIVE Trading and Currency Balance vis a vis  the remaining World .. much needed NOW as the "World " aka  the US  wants all the Cash they can lie hand on .. and dont want Europe in the borrowers market . There isnt ROOM for europeans there.. now the US needs approx 300 BILLION USD fresh Capital .. every Month !

SO .. lets HOPE for some MORE of that GOOD STUFF .. a decline in the EUR/USD Exchange Rate.. it is very wellcome .. as seen in an European perspective !

Wed, 12/14/2011 - 19:45 | 1981044 ucsbcanuck
ucsbcanuck's picture

I'm hoping for a further crash in the EUR/USD - good for my puts.

 

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