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Europe Opens Week In the Red
Every European stock index closed red today - that is something we have not seen in a few weeks. The drops were not dramatic - and in fact IBEX rallied from open to close after an ugly start to the day. Spanish and Portuguese bond markets sold off notably (in the front- and back-ends of the curve) and given its place as fulcrum security we suspect the slight underperformance in European credit markets relative to stocks indicates the Draghi-induced reflex buying is starting to fade. Swiss 2Y was stable; European VIX rose modestly; and EURUSD which saw some violent swings into the US day-session open is ending its day fractionally lower. All-in-all, given recent strength and momentum, sovereigns have definitely stalled and equities will need a catalyst now (Spanish bailout?).
European Sovereign bond spreads...
and EURUSD...
Question is - are Spanish bond spreads right this time? or IBEX - like last time?
Chart: Bloomberg
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ummm....buy AAPL???
Spain is in trouble and will request a bailout sometime after regional elections on October 21, 2012:
http://dareconomics.wordpress.com/2012/09/06/actual-spanish-financing-ne...
http://dareconomics.wordpress.com/2012/09/08/actual-spanish-financing-ne...
http://dareconomics.wordpress.com/2012/09/17/spain-pledges-reforms-to-av...
Hit the NOX
And Spanish/Portugal sov yields spiked.
http://confoundedinterest.wordpress.com/2012/09/17/unintended-consequences-of-the-feds-qe3-mbs-buying-program/
SPAIN MUST GO OUT OF THE EUROZONE, EVEN BEFORE GRECCIA LEAVES!
RIGHT NOW!!
http://www.japantimes.co.jp/text/fl20120916x1.html
Japan, you're behind the times. Our HFT algos have been cheating humans for years now.
jb
Shows what a f*cked up market this is. The markets need a catalyst....the fourth largest Eurozone country applying for a bailout.
Christ, if the third largest and the second largest need bailouts down the line, this market is going to take off!!
FB is red, Apples are green - nothing to worry about.
And the EURUSD-behaviour could be explained with the WSJ naming the Euro as a sound currency.