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European CDS Rerack

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The latest midmarkets:

  • MAIN  141.25/142.5   +.75   XOVER 590/593  +10.5
  • ITALY  -4
  • SPAIN -13
  • PORT -5
  • IRELAND    -
  • GREECE     -
  • BELG  -2
  • FRANCE +2
  • AUSTRIA  -1
  • UK  +5
  • GERM  +4
  • SOVX  245/250   -

As predicted last week, the default risk is increasingly shifting from the periphery to the core. And while the spreads in the PIIGS will resume widening within a few days, German CDS will not tighten, and in fact as of this morning, German 5 Year CDS is wider than the UK - for the first time since January 2008.

 

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Tue, 08/09/2011 - 07:35 | 1541797 Pretorian
Pretorian's picture

Not a single euro in bailout has reached Greece only large promises, 20th og August approaching. Greece is insolvent.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 07:39 | 1541812 koaj
koaj's picture

so is every other euro country save for maybe germany

it's a question of realization and acceptance at this point. i hope for their sake, they choose the Iceland way instead of the bankster debt slavery way

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 07:43 | 1541820 achmachat
achmachat's picture

every other euro country??
When that happens to Luxembourg, it would mean that the rest of Europe is already Mad Max world.
Not saying it can't or won't happen...

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 07:51 | 1541841 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

French gov trade balance printed very well last evening.  UK on the other hand ... not

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 07:41 | 1541816 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

The European CDS are moving as predicted by Tyler. Kudos.

The European CDS market does not make much sense, does it?

I'd prefer to be roasted in hell before I'd venture in this market, but hey, I'm not a financial hero.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 07:41 | 1541817 Gmpx
Gmpx's picture

EU problems were artificially creates by US rating agencies.
EU problems can be solved by banning rating activity.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 07:44 | 1541821 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

the Squid may struck you for this blasphemy

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 08:00 | 1541875 Gmpx
Gmpx's picture

The problem is that if you do not ban rating, your country will be abandoned by invertors.

Majority of world investors do not speak English, they can only understand that AA+ means "stay away".

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 07:49 | 1541829 Pretorian
Pretorian's picture

Every European problem was caused by rating agency. Correct. They are doing God's work, so stop biching on them.:)

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 08:07 | 1541896 Gmpx
Gmpx's picture

Low rating is like a banner of your back saying that you are shit. If you have such a banner on your back, it becomes your biggest problem.

So, I think, before anything else, the rating should be banned. After that, you can start solving other problems.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 11:21 | 1542617 Reptil
Reptil's picture

That would be the end of a free market capitalism. If the house is in order, there will be buyers. If not, it would be prudent to warn. The rating agencies should put the USA on junk status. That's where it belongs, and a number of other countries too. Now no one can see the good from the bad. Your idea only prolongs the PONZI. Did you really think that the banks would start behave fiscally responsible suddenly? And dispose of the debt? I find this naïve!

The system is broken, and needs to crash, in order for a better one to emerge. Problem is the ECB is throwing good money, from the EU core after bad (bunga bunga). In this, the banking cartel has with the help of the EU burocrats gotten control finally over all the finances of the citizens of the EU. And will dump it in a big black hole.

That big black hole will have an AAA sign next to it.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 07:42 | 1541818 LookingWithAmazement
LookingWithAmazement's picture

What's gonna happen August 20 in or with Greece?

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 07:51 | 1541836 George the baby...
George the baby crusher's picture

The big test comes on Aug. 20, when Greece must redeem 6.6 billion euros of maturing bonds.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 07:46 | 1541825 Irish66
Irish66's picture

Meyers just ended hopes of Q3 on cnbc

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 07:50 | 1541838 oobrien
oobrien's picture

Economists I'd Like to Fuck!  EILFS!

Speaking of which, here's Alex Jones with Naomi Prins:

http://www.geraldcelente.proboards.com/index.cgi?board=jones&action=display&thread=1626

I'd like to take her for a spin.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 07:56 | 1541858 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

Germany 80/84 last vs UK 81/85 so seems the Arbs were all over that from this morning when it was first noticed.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 08:02 | 1541879 IMA5U
IMA5U's picture

i'm always a fan of european racks

 

keep on posting the re-racks

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 08:04 | 1541889 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Natural gas held up so at least now we know which price was being maniputlated like a mother phucker. phucking whores. "just show me a drop of oil and i'm there!" time to be "kicked to the curb" with all those phancy pants cars and over sized pick up trucks nobody could afford to begin with.

Wed, 09/14/2011 - 05:19 | 1667572 chinawholesaler
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