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European Credit Risk Surges Near 4-Month Highs

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Just as we warned last night, the lack of an active European credit market to look over the shoulders of their more exuberant equity colleagues quickly came to bear today as London traders turned up for work in no mood for bullish hope. Investment grade credit spreads in Europe jumped their most in a month and pushed close to four-month wides as the entire credit complex sold off aggressively. It seemed Main (the European IG credit index) was instrument of choice for hedgers (cheaper and more liquid with a smattering of financials) as opposed to XOVER (the European HY credit index) but we suspect the latter will rapidly catch up. Stocks fell further with Greece hitting multi-decade lows but Italy and France underperforming (as reality bit following yesterday's pump). Euro Stoxx 50 was down around 2% (now -3.5% YTD) but Spain remains the YTD biggest loser -18.2% (as opposed to Germany's DAX +9.25%). Sovereign credit was also not happy (just like yesterday) but as US opened, Italy and Spain saw notable derisking pushing their 5Y spreads +7bps and +15bps respectively on the week now. Portugal is +24bps on the week so far as the basis trade unwind begins. Europe's VIX surged above 31% for the first time since the beginning of the year and while Treasuries were bid (with 30Y touching 3%), 10Y Bunds outperformed on the safety rotation now 28.5bps inside of the 10Y TSY. EURUSD slid back under 1.30 shortly after the US opened but some miraculous gappiness (and comments from Greece) dragged its lumbering body back over the 1.30 Maginot line for now.

Europe's Investment Grade credit index set the tone for the day with its biggest loss in a month and closing back over 150bps - its widest since mid January...

And European sovereigns lost it once the US opened for business...

As the broad Bloomberg Europe 500 Equity Index shifted down to 4-Month lows...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 05/08/2012 - 12:37 | 2407037 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

I really want to see how Merkel is going to talk her way out of this one...

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 12:38 | 2407040 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

Spread data is nice, but % yield on these instruments would be nicer.

The German yields are sinking.  That means the spreads could grow without any larger interest expense for the Eurotrash.

So regardless of looking sophisticated, it would be nice if these posts reported yields, as well as spreads.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 12:38 | 2407041 Snakeeyes
Snakeeyes's picture

Even France saw an increase in sovereign yields at the 10 year. Greece/Portugal melting.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 12:58 | 2407119 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

Gold and silver must be attacked since the Euro is not so safe anymore.  The Bernank wants you in the safe as the Titanic US dollar despite what those cute bears tell you.

BTW, who killed off those cute bears who explained the silver manipulation?  

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 15:10 | 2407734 OpenThePodBayDoorHAL
OpenThePodBayDoorHAL's picture

This market is ridiculous. Everything calls for a healthy market clearing trend, but then The Great Oz in the Marriner Eccles building turns his big dial the other way. What a joke. Central banks buying equities and ETFs. A sad farce.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 14:22 | 2407508 LMAOLORI
LMAOLORI's picture

I don't want to bail them out again!

 

Hedge Funds Betting Against the Eurozone: Why You Should Worry

 

http://www.dailyfinance.com/2012/05/05/hedge-funds-betting-against-the-eurozone-why-you-should-worry/

 

John Paulson reaps billions from the financial crisis

 

http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/10/25/john-paulson-reaps-billions-from-the-financial-crisis/

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