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Europe's Economic Implosion In One Chart
The chart below, courtesy of Stone McCarthy, shows monthly exports to Europe. It says enough.
From SMRA:
Following consecutive monthly gains, Exports to Europe dropped a massive $4.0 billion in April, the largest monthly decline dating back to January 2005, including a $2.8 billion drop to the EU alone. In particular, Exports to Germany declined $0.4 billion in April and are now only up about 0.2% over the past year. Overall, Exports to Europe are now down 2.7% from April 2011, the first yearly decline since February 2010. The recent slowdown of Exports to Europe supports the FOMC assessment that sluggish economic growth in Europe is likely to affect trade with the US.
...
The easing of export growth does not bode well for US economy.
And since records before 2005 show more of the same, one can simply say that exports to Europe had their biggest monthly drop ever.
But don't worry: Greece Europe is irrelevant.
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now compare it to imports to the USA...I wonder.
people cant get money out of RBS right now!
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2162630/NatWest-Royal-Bank-Scotland-customers-hit-technical-problem.html
wow, this is like Athens coming...
WEEEEEEEEE!
CBOE Interest Rate 10-Year T-No
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5ETNX+Interactive#symbol=%5Etnx;rang...
Athens already came...oh, wait, I see what you mean.
Barclays also freezes just before payday too!
Germany is preparing to sue Goldman Sachs in NY for $ 500 billion because of its criminal activities in Greece. Furthermore it is taking action to get its 3000 tons of gold back from the US.
The Goldman part made me happy.
.
why not the rest anymore?
I'm figuring the German gold is WW2 booty. If not then we are holding it for them so they don't have it to use for another war.
German Au in the USA cannot possibly be WW2 booty.
The gold at the NY Fed is far more pure (and soft) than the stuff melted down from old jewelry and fillings, AND the Fed gold didn't come from Europe. It simply shifted country lockers in the basement on the NY Fed, after monopoly money (I mean Euro-denominated bonds) traded hands on the desk upstairs.
Now, the German Au in Swiss banks may be another story...gotta check the tungsten level in those bars.
Goldman will lose the gold in its vaults and will be left with only Man on his nameplate....Lloyd will have to find a new label to push his cart. Shitman? Squidman? All ideas welcome! As long as its not new Lehman or Layman!
As for Timmy, once the Merkel has recovered her gold from FOrt Knox, he will feel much lighter under the belt; a bit like Ben who is already in levitation, as all his crown jewels have long been shorted out from his pants!
why do you guys thinks everyone was so calm and friendly to germany after G20?
one word from merkel about Gold, Target2, ESM etc. and the party (which is mostly financed by the german taxpayer) is over.
"you either shut the f*** up and smile immediately when the press is in and all during the next 2 days, or we are out"
"Goldman will lose the gold in its vaults and will be left with only Man on his nameplate...."
Even worse will be what's left of the firm's full name, and the implications of that on its logos, etc.: Man Sachs...
Germany is preparing to sue a company because of something the company has done in a third country?
Yeah right.. But they still have a better chance of accomplishing that than getting their gold back from the US, methinks.
I read German government wants that the EU quickly intros the financial transaction tax. Angela Merkel screw you.
"Germany is preparing to sue a company because of something the company has done in a third country?
Yeah right.."
Mebbe it'll be heard by the "World Court" in the Hague...
upcoming news flash of unfortunate 3k ton boating accident
bs
The market has bottomed. Also, it's into leather and spanking.
Thar she blows goes.
Thar she gone.
Dont matter, US markets decoupling from Europe, China, Oil prices and earnings warnings and every sensible logic.
Autarky bitches!
go long horses...
shit happens
Europe is fine LTRO 3 should be coming any day now
then they can actually start lending and people will start buying
Thank God for decoupling. According to CNBS, it works both ways. :)
Yes, thanks to the astute leadership of Uncle Ben Shalom, lil Timmy G, and Legs Dimon, we here in America are saved.
If there was only one lesson they should have gotten from The Great Depression, it would have been on preventing contagion.
Instead, we have the most interlinked and intertwined economy ever.
The circadian rhythm of history is growing loud in our ears.
IBEX 35 keeps making higher highs.
Looks to me that Europe stocks have bottomed.
Too hard to resist stocks like Repsol which now yields 8.9%, Total yields 6.7%, etc.
Heh, who wants the German Bund at zero interest rate?
The IBEX is an unstoppable ripfest juggernaut:
That moment when someone in the room gives the perfect comeback, and nothing else can be said.
Robo, You just got knocked the fuck out!http://youtu.be/q36uaSlf0ck
still.....robo's got the best avatar
You can't judge a dumb-ass by his avatar.
Now FUCK OFF!
Ouch. That's gonna leave a mark.
Push the chart back another couple of years. If you check the current low is lower than the 08/09 crash. 60% down. This is where the DOW, S&P and FTSE are heading but the IBEX & MIB are already there.
I'm with Robotrader & starting to pick up targets.
You assume that 08/09 levels are the lowest it can go. Keep dreaming.
I'm averaging in, so further drops are welcome too.
My assumption is about human nature.
It makes my day to see Tyler school a troll.
Preview of what is to come to the SnP 500.
Take the ibex chart in weekly form back to 1990. Beautiful trend line of support off 94 and 96 highs to 2003 and 2009 lows just broke a few weeks back into ok a stab at it at support but got stopped out. To me it is HUGE technical damage and shoul be joining Greece on the 90% rack soon.
Goo luck owning Spain for longer than a few days.
I agree. It is a preview for the sp and rest of world still on a crack high.
Eveyone is prone to the same delusional thinking that should things turn down, they will be first out. I say good luck with that.
Bottomed? Where is the diaper tho?
That is an interesting thought. You have perplexed me.
Robos been looking at the charts with a mirror....hes also colorblind. he sees red as green and vice versa.
and gasoline keeps getting cheaper. Hell, according to Robo, they be givin it away in LA !!!
Respect the troll! He managed to even troll in Tyler. Robo loves the attention with MDB, its some Borat style shit.
Batten the hatches, hug your loved ones, we are in for an exponental ride...
hold me?
Help is on the way!
China's Central Bank Willing To Share $3 Trillionhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2012/06/20/chinas-central-bank-willing-to-share-3-trillion/
sure, but only with other BRICs. Now its starting to feel like an episodoe of Survivor...
This sucker's going' down
With the VIX just sitting there I took the opportunity to double down on my shorts.
Thats obviously not the European Chart on "Bullshit exports" cause those exports are off the charts....
so at least the helsinki formula is still selling then?
At least the EU has some positive months. The US has been running a US$50 to US$60 billion per month deficit for years.
http://www.census.gov/indicator/www/ustrade.html
The old credit card trick eh.
How does this market not drop like a rock?
This "market" is still holding ut hope for QE. It won't come unless the "market " gives up the ghost. There won't be a liquidation event until the margin calls start.
Hard to be bearish with names like Wells Fargo, Regions, SunTrust holding up well.
If Europe was going to get worse, these stocks would be cratering.
Thanks for the tip on who to short!
Starting to drop
Do you go to support groups and fake illnesses for sympathy, or do you just need attention? Admit your MDB/Robo/Max, and unite my theory.
What is the US even exporting? iCrap? I'm sure Apple will survive, just have to helicopter some more student loans.
This chart must be wrong as the weakened dollar is our salvation in the form of higher exports! /sarc
Wells Fargo is holding up because they announce outsourcing to India and Phillipines...more of why multi-national profits are holding up because they really feel no responsibility to the American people - I am talking to you Warren. This chart does say it all and I am not sure even ECB bond buys will forestall this now...may take an emergency powers act to allow them unlimited printing to handle their issues
http://i48.tinypic.com/mljsq8.jpg
http://www.businessinsider.com/german-flash-pmi-2012-6#ixzz1yR63UbkY
The German Economy Has CrackedSteepest drop in German private sector output for three years. Euro crisis leads to survey-record monthly fall in service providers’ business outlook.
Germany is going down down down...
Germany, most likely, enter into technical recession in the third quarter.
http://agstock.blogspot.co.uk/2012/06/germany-will-go-into-recession-in....
official lying bullshit numbers since about 2 years.
stocks are sold short on purpose and general "official" perception is down whereas the economy especially here in south germany is exploding, not imploding.
you may wanna call that crack up boom. however you guys you don't really know what is going on at all!
No thats Merkel going down down down to the "beggars can be choosers" club-med shills. She has to save their faces in the usual hooker-liner-sinker way, before cutting off their family jewels later in the year. Its called Euro protocol and its very social in its calling!
How about exports from the rest of the world instead of just USA to Europe? What percent of European imports are from USA anyway?
I work for an international consumer products firm with factories in both the US of A and Europe. These factories have identical capabilities, more or less. Anecdotally, we are certainly selling more US-produced goods into Europe than the other way round, the flow is increasing out of the USA into Europe. That in my mind could explain the month-over-month amplification in the graph above, as markets are refreshed with new product seasonally / periodically.
The rationale in my company's increasing of USA->Europe flow of goods is that it is becoming less expensive, in fact less complicated, to ship into Europe than to produce there for markets there. Our supply chains, specifically in France, Spain, and Italy, are cumbersome, bureaucratic shitpiles compared to our supply chain here in the US, which is more adaptable to changes in the market. There is a ridiculous tax overhang in France, cultural complications in France, and don't get me started with Italy. We have recently shifted corporate headquarters to Switzerland - from France - for tax reasons.
So while the month over month is widening in spread, this indicates to me a sheer increase in the amount of product that Europe is importing from the US overall, that you would see amplification.
I am analyst, never took one business course in a fascist US Sandusky-university, I am in gold and silver and land.
It tells us nothing! Well if I look at this EXACT SAME CHART (and let's go back in time and pretend it's May of 2011...) this chart would tell me that everything is ROBUST. May 2011 exports to Europe are off the charts good. So that means things in EU are looking great.
This chart means nothing.
Sorry.
I would disagree that "it means nothing". It means US export to Europe is increasing overall. The little bar on top of that little line gets higher, the little bar below the middle line gets lower. It has to soar before it dives.
But who knows what drives it, besides "everything". Egypt militarizing - the Suez Canal that passes raw materials and semi-finished product from China is located where? France socializing = high tax environment. Spain & Italy hinting at regression to autocracies. The list is endless. Businesses forecasting cheap dollars, taking out loans from Benny to expand operations in the US. Any number of things drives it but all in all, it does mean something.
it all depends what you are wearing; perception changes when in a bikini to an evening dress.
Off-topic, but I just received an email from RP asking for petition support for the upcoming legislative vote on the Audit the Fed bill in July. It strikes me that Congressional anxiety might be rising with deteriorating economic data and support might suffer as a result. Reactions?
buy silver instead!
Did y'all hear about that guy language professors HATE?? Yeah, I guess he has this one sneaky trick that lets you learn a language in 10 days. Seriously!
I swear to god, the banner ads on ZH are fuggin' ridiculous. Except for the Snorgtees girls, of course.
There's a scam for EVERYTHING!...Soon you'll see ads for cancer cures......the 'Cancer Cure Doctor' all other doctors hate....lmao.
Just buy gold!!!
Oh wait... gold's down $40 today.... uh.... plan B-buy a farm in Panama
Buy gold and expect to weather dives. The deeper it dives, the higher it bounces. BTFD FYB.
"A joyful heart is good medicine, but a crushed spirit dries up the bones."
some say.
the global economic conspiracy against Liberty tightens.
http://covert.ias3.com/expose/
Just imagine what this is doing to China. And people debate a hard v. soft landing. How about a crash landing? How's that sound?
good chart ZH another one for EUR/USD etc Forex4you Technical Analysis
"one can simply say that exports to Europe had their biggest monthly drop ever."
Ah. So?
I like the analogy of Driving a Hot Car FAST, Running on Empty, going downhill, with lots of maxed out credit cards in your pocket, yelling WHEE, listeneing to (Can't Get No) Satisfaction!
Lots of folks are now pointing fingers but everyone knows that "this" will not last for very long...