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EURUSD Retraces Entire 'Bailout' In 3 Days
Joining US TSYs, BTPs, and SPGs, the EUR has now retraced the entire post-summit rally in a mere 3 days, and is down 300 pips today alone. It also seems the actions in Greece are starting to get reactions in US financials and broad risk assets. We also note that EURJPY has retraced over 75% of the intervention in 18 hours...perhaps Azumi will let the market be now?
Chart: Bloomberg
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bearish harami, bitchez
S&P is downgrading France after the market closes today.
Is that bullshit...or the truth
Let's hope so. I thought Friday so we'll see
Long end Treasuries are signaling a problem. 30 bp move in 30yr since Thursday when hit 3.44. The pretend part is falling out of the pretend and extend equation.
Off Topic (and reposted from last thread - b/c it's that good/bad) and if you like The Bernank and despise Ron Paul (yes, you would meet the DSM criteria for sociopath, if so), look away:
10-31 14:59: The Fed failed to fully document authority to rescue AIG (AIG)
But hey - it's all good; Goldman, JPM, Barclays, HSBC, Buffet/Munger, and many, many others with CDS winning bets against the derivative department of that world renowned insurance giant, AIG, all GOTS PAID IN FULL, courtesy of the U.S. Taxpayer (i.e. forced, involuntary bloodletting to the tune of 202 billion - just for AIG - and counting).
The Federal Reserve Bank, under the tutelage of The Bernank, William 'iPad2 is delicious' Dudley, and Brian 'Charity Unto JPM & Goldman' Sack (not to mention current Treasurer of the U.S. and former head of the NY Branch of the Federal Reserve) - corruption like we've never seen before, bitchez.
Sigh... back to the "can't let the DOW slip below 12k" game. This shit gets old.
From the department of LULZ:
10-31 15:35: US Treasury says increase in Oct-Dec borrowing due to lower receipts
Green sharts!
It's nice to be on the good side of a FAZ bet for once.
Considering getting short FINS here also...haven't pulled the trigger
From the broken markets dept:
100% of S&P FINS trading above 50 DMA
http://www.bespokeinvest.com/thinkbig/2011/10/27/crazy-market.html
FAIL: DOW 11968
Listen to Cramer and buy this fucking dip. Hedge funds have to get into this market right...RIGHT?!?!
Oh yeah, baby...it's a lock. Never mind the capital pouring into overpriced treasuries promising returns of nothing. Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain.
You gotta buy peak earnings, baby!
**BlowHorn: "The weather is getting cold...people have to buy coats." Just in case you were wondering about the inevitability of forward joy joy in pixie dust earnings land...there you have it.**
I was just gonna layer all these damn yoga pants I bought.
Man...that's tough. Lots of layers to pull that one off...but you look HOT HOT HOT!
MINK coats at that, no doubt!
Sure, there is a Bull Market somewhere. In this case it might be in Spain where they will butcher them bitchez for dinner!!!!!!!!!!!! Beef Anyone?
EUO
nice
1.3938ish possible neckline gone and oct 4 trend broken
That is so crazy shit....Where the fuck is ROBOT I got so US. Steel to sell him...lol
This bores me...
EURCHF knocking on heaven's door 1.20 soon
What this market needs is another rumor. Can Thailand bail out the Euro?
I heard FT say that the 5th dimension called Merkozy and said they have plenty of cash.
that's credible! I can see the funding source as well.
"When the moon is in the seventh house,
And Jupiter aligns with Mars...." << (this is the 5th D you were taking about, right?)
makes much more sense where the backing value is than....
"We have a plan to make a plan about a plan."
!!! We are saved !!!
BoJ spent 10 trillion yen last night but ran out of gas and couldn't keep the peg
http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?storyid=d08a0bf2-4fa3-49a2-a71c-7887a227f31b
I wonder if the excess $$$ went into the spikes in other currencies like the GBP.
Look out below
... But i thought there were still too many on the EUD/USD short side of the boat that needed to be squeezed some more?
"Don't squeeze the Charmin once it's got shit all over it"
Here are some possible raisons for this:
1. The cot report did not include the big up day;
2. There are shorts which were established at higher levels;
3. Shorts at low levels could have been covered then re-established at higher levels;
Conclusion: COT reports not very usefull.
Shoot for the heart, Indio! Always the heart. Aim for the heart.
I salute you, brave warrior, for attempting to find causality in some corner of the asylum.
I salute you too LeBalance.
Although in the movie where Clint tells me to aim for the heart I'm Ramon not Indio. I also kill lots of Mexicans and Americans to take their Gold.
Get a room
Looks like the shorts called the bluff, and win.
Just as all the talking heads said to buy
Let's hope that as many lemmings as possible start to realize they'd better start buying PM's like crazy in Europe because NO WAY this shit is going to out in a favorable manner.
Gravity is such a bitch.
The Euro is like a ski jumper after he's left the ramp
With a parachute on one ski and a jet on the other
Gravity is working and I’m betting on it. Everything is heavy at the moment except US bonds and the USD. Without the QE rocket booster fuel, assets are coming down and the next QE launch is not coming without some really terrible economy and a USD index much higher than what it is.
That’s their way of sterilising the money they print and reducing the dept. It gets destroyed in deflationary bankruptcies and defaults then they print some more until inflation is intolerable again then they let deflation come back for a while and so on. It’s a good plan for them if you think about it: you don’t get hyperinflation but you also don’t get a severe deflation and the status quo is persevered forever (or so they which).
selective pression
is it time to load up on tza, dpk, faz, and tvix, or shall we wait until 48 hours after the nov 4th g20 meeting. i'm still truly awe struck by the size of this rally even if it is unraveling. i'm personally quite close to unloading my gold and silver, physical of course, andf buying back in after the coming crash. gold and silver will fall, but its to the moon once the hyperinflation sets in.
Agreed.
But it will be "paper" gold and silver that will crash the most. Last crash, the spreads between spot and physical were the widest I've ever seen.
People that held physical weren't selling and people with paper were selling to meet margin calls.
Yellowhoard
Last crash, the spreads between spot and physical were the widest I've ever seen.
Bingo, damn near where enough to make up for the PERCIVED loss, I can only imagine this time, the Phys mkt is REALLY short Silver now, and I am sure Gold is not near the levels it was avail in '08.
YOUR CRAZY!!!!
You are assuming that you will be able to get your hands on it when everyone is rushing in. The bond investors will soon come to terms with the fact that CDS's are steaming piles of dung. They will be making massive money moves shortly. Buy PM's, hang on to what you have, and be thankful you have them. Do not pay attention to the price. Trying to time this bomb is CRAZY!
Agreed. Hold your physical, if you want to hedge your losses I'd say get a small play in the ultrapro/ultrashort gold and silver funds.
do I hear 1.0??? any takers?
More bad news. While the Martians seem ready and willing to bail out Europe, FT is reporting that after conducting an interview with God, even God is unwilling to bail out Europe saying, "I thought I fucked up when I created the Platypus but this Euro situation has clusterfuck written all over it."
soon as you posted this someone started throwing money at it. It was just about to break the low.
How does it feel being The market mover ZH?
Not any more - 1.38314
All together now, with feeling:
THE BANKS ARE IMPAIRED
THE BANKS ARE IMPAIRED
THE BANKS ARE IMPAIRED
Its gonna be OK, poor scared elite. There, there. A little lube might help, ask someone lower in the class structure if they can spare any.
But, interesting question here, I have always wondered what institutions are gonna be impaired that they really really don't want to talk about. Could it be....health and life insurance companies?
certainly not car insurance companies, jim
rates have spiked and people are driving less, too!
i'm looking at a screen and as i consider what the volatility must be, in treasuries, my head is boggling so fiercely that smoke is coming outa my nose! wheeeee!
Happy halloween - babes in outfits - http://hedge.ly/gFWVSm
Chinese are protecting their biggest investment u.s. treasuries , which will do very well with the difficuklties in Europe ? Do not liosten to the static .The worse the situation is in Europe the greater the demand and liquidity for u.s.
that rally lasted all of 30 seconds. It just broke the low for the day
I introduce the most clairvoyant economist of our time
Katy Perry
Cause you're hot then you're cold
You're yes then you're no
You're in then you're out
You're up then you're down
You're wrong when it's right
It's black and it's white
We fight, we break up
We kiss, we make up
So get ready for make up sex tomorrow. The central bankers decide exchange rates. This is not agreeable to them. If you are not ready, they will just get you from behind.
I didn't realize how deep she was.
You put your [right leg] in,
You put your [right leg] out;
You put your [right leg] in,
And you shake it all about.
You do the hokey pokey,
And you turn yourself around.
That's what it's all about!
Well, yeah...
"Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou said the government may need to nationalize some of the country’s banks as the state acquires stakes in them as part of their recapitalization."
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-10-31/papandreou-says-some-greek-b...
There's Mr. Delusional. He actually thinks he's going to walk. Their narcissim is going to cause the collapse to be that much greater every minute they wait. (sorry, I used an ism)
Greeks hostile as EU ‘task force’ starts work
Greek newspaper had printed photos of each task force member along with a front-page headline announcing:
“The Prison Guards Have Arrived.”
FT -http://t.co/eoO5UxXE
Express yourself...
“This will provide a catharsis to our drama,” Venizelos said. “The referendum will give Greeks a chance to express themselves.”
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-10-31/venizelos-supports-papandreo...
I have had it with these fake ass markets and the daily bullshit coming out of Europe.
Why the fuck did I choose this profession?
Anyone want to buy a used CFA Charter?
Is it nicely laminated?
No, but investors are getting shellacked. =)
If it's in a nice diploma frame I'll give you $5 for the frame.
hey at least you got something out of it, i'm still in school for a degree in finance, that is soon to be worthless...at least i can trade in some interest free stafford loans for physical...
Euro going to .97 you heard it here first.
Then Bernankacide will be forced to race them to 0.
Interesting cunundrum. One group is actively pursuing currency destruction, the other is having it thrust upon them. Who wins?
Those in pursuit have one advantage. They can make it happen at any time.
Gold.
,... a 'DIKE' last standing with a sword in one hand, a balance-scale - clothed only in a 'Greek Blindfold'
Bots going absolutely insane trying to hold 12k on the Dow. Massive jumps up and down as they try to hold it for the nightly news this evening
Yep... haven't we been through this shit before? What a nightmare...
PPT is in full effect now. Preventing this from hitting 1250 today :(
Sh*t. This is one scary Hollow's Eve!
BAC -6.5%
JPM -4.63%
GS -4.89%
C -6.73%
MS -7.85%
DB -11.03%
Societe Gen -9.23%
UBS -8.53%
RBS -8.36%
Mitsubihi -6.8
there be blood.
FAZ +10%
SPG ? wrong! Mall properties are where the hot money is flowing with SPG at all time record highs... or did you mean the other SPG ?
Price < than 3x1and 7x5... Sell :Easyride
As I told you guys last week.
The slightest bit of "Risk Off" weakness brings.
A unadulterated, mad stampede right back into Uncle Gorilla paper, as the TLT is up a nearly 4%.
And you guys are worried about financing our huge deficits, failed auctions, etc.
Gimme a break!!!
Heh, just watch how fast interest rates plunge as we go back down to test the 200-day.
Animal Spirits are getting jacked up once again to search for more "bargains"....
robottrader: "will work for food"
RobotTrader
Their will be weeping and gnashing of teeth this time for sure Robo.
NEVER will the losses the market incurs THIS time, will ever be made back, ever.
A TON of folks are fixing to take the bath, that cost them their LIVES savings, w/no make up test.
2011 Crash, will be 1000x's different than '08.
Robot Troller. You don't trade. Nothing from you but junk posts.
Clown.
at 3:45 I could have sworn I just heard a very loud oh shit .
Blankfein sharted....
Like clockwork.
If you think that's funny, take a look at EUR/JPY. It's almost at Friday's close after the intervention not 24 hours ago. High comedy.
New Collector's item: Dow 12000 hats....
Short at 1280, Long at 960 has been working for more than ten years without the need to try to catch the last twenty percent of each move.
Sell on the way up, buy on the way down.
The sellers (of CDS, bonds, stocks) are the ones that make money on these financial instruments just like in the physical world in which sellers of goods and services make money.
Sellers of CDS's really have it made, since it appears they will never have to pay up!! Until it implodes....
Do voluntary implosions pay out?
Looks like i'm not alone. It is the way to go. I almost uncled when we hit 1500 a few years ago though. Dam I'll never forget that day I almost gave in. So glad I didn't.
If the BOJ is so smart why don't they just buy the dips like the bots do, but with just a little more force.
Guess they would actually have to sit and trade 24/7. Too much work.
Euro down and along goes gold.
I am not saying it's right or that it makes sense, I am just saying that it is happening .. over and over again.
forget the markets...
guns & ammo baby... two things what will beat inflation 3 times at least
bearish trap... SP at 1400 before november ends... in december it will be another story...
Glad i had the balls to stay in TVIX over the weekend...
The fraud continues.
I wonder if the EUR will continue to collapse if Ben and Co decide on QE3. The ECB will then counter with unlimited purchases of Italian government bonds. The Fed will then expand QE3 to triple the amount the ECB spends on Italian government debt. By this time, the Japanese will have accumulated $1trillion in extra USD as they try to demolish their own currency.
Fun, fun, fun.
http://gainesvillecoins.com
As always I am flat, no panic today on the short side. I thought it was a tepid sell-off on light volume. Financials did pick up a little steam the last 10 min, MS down 17 cents and C down about 20 cents. I would love a big selloff but you know they are going to defend this mkt. Do you really think they spent 500MM to goose this mkt to have it come back on them?
The EURUSD and the AUDUSD are displaying USD bottoms rather well. This could very much likely be a significant turn in the markets. http://bit.ly/ucGTXm
Between the Euro, the Dollar and the Yuan, one has to die to keep the other two alive (a little) longer.
Bye by€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€
One more intervention and the yen bull ends. Over the next few years I can make an argument for 200 yen/$. Demographics, debt levels, savings rate declines, interest rate risk and staggeringly underfunded pensions all suggest that once sentiment turns, it goes turbo.