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EURUSD Soars On No News: ECB Now Intervening In FX?

Tyler Durden's picture


Out of nowhere, and based on no news whatsoever, the EURUSD just jumped by 40+ pips in what appears to have been one trade. There is no news to justify this move, as the only possibly related headline to come out was that the Greek finance minister sees parliament vote on the new EUR 130bln aid deal in January. This is neither news, nor is it bullish. In addition, we have information now that Intesa has now been halted on the Italian market due to excessive (downward naturally) volatility. Which begs the question: has the ECB decided it has had enough of bond monetizations and is now actively engaged in FX warfare against the Fed, or are French banks now massively dumping USD assets and buying EUR with the proceeds with indescriminate abandon, as was reported first previously here.


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Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:20 | 1898751 BaBaBouy
BaBaBouy's picture

Europes' gonna make Cairo look like a Sunday Stroll in the Park...

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:22 | 1898774 Hansel
Hansel's picture

Have you seen the latest video from Cario?

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:24 | 1898783 ratso
ratso's picture

Tyler has previously posted a long article on how euro repatriation is affecting the euorusd cross.

Maybe this is just more repatriation.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:28 | 1898802 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

This is where I'm at a bit of a loss.  If the Euro is looking to be on its last leg, why repatriate to Euros?  Wouldn't you want more USD to convert to Deutche Mark, Franc, Peso, etc.? 

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:33 | 1898848 swissaustrian
swissaustrian's picture

The real question is: Why does everybody think that French banks have the majority of their liabilities denominated in EUR? It´s more likely that they´re looking for USDs.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:39 | 1898873 ratso
ratso's picture

Dollar assets like USD stocks and bonds are being sold to try and prevent liquidity in the banking and finance sector from seizing up like a seized engine.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:49 | 1898962 sqz
sqz's picture


French banks like other European banks are having to meet capital adequacy targets. Since they are loath to raise fresh capital in this environment, it is much easier for them to sell off assets. The highest liquidity assets, and therefore easiest to sell and buy, tend to be in USD. Also, EZ bank liabilities are mainly, rather unsurprisingly, in EUR (retail and business deposits from Europe etc).

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:17 | 1899105 ratso
ratso's picture

Right you are.   That is also why gold and gold ming stcks are selling off.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:22 | 1899126 Threeggg
Threeggg's picture

Nothing to do with tomorrows options expiry on the Gold/Silver contracts right ?

Wink, wink ~



Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:31 | 1899162 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

shhht! nobody writes here about the Au/Ag options expirations here!

no, it does not make sense - somehow Tyler is convinced that the EUR/USD "should be lower".

I am quite sure the MegaBanks want it at 1.30 for December (from their customer's propaganda)

To me, it looks like "dropping" to the level I would expect, 1.425, which is what IMHO it will reach by Easter.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:38 | 1899182 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

why should the ECB be "actively engaged in FX warfare against the Fed"?? The Currency War is still in it's "down" leg. And the FED is not interested in fighting an impossible "up" leg since as Global Reserve Currency it really can't - except with gold.

It's all about the US Money Market Managers, IMO. The MegaBanks want them in the EU Bonds market with, of course, CDS and lots and lots of FX hedges. Hence the furious propaganda so that they can be fleeced...

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:22 | 1899129 Mike2756
Mike2756's picture

All of the strength is in the euro and the swiss. I'd say the aussie and the loonie are better tells to where we are headed.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:57 | 1899013 narnia
narnia's picture

China has a larger trade surplus with EU. They are the most likely USD to EUR converters and the biggest trader on the market.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:53 | 1898986 SHEEPFUKKER

pass the trash

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:44 | 1898916 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture



Paraphrase of a truly wise man's words (slightly altered only to fit the context what lay ahead in the European Union, and then, the global economy, sovereign and banking funding/insolvency issues):

"First they laugh at the truth. Then they fight the truth. Then the truth wins, bitchez."


Math doesn't lie. You can't have your saving of the European Union in even remotely an approximate form as now, with a shared currency, without massive inflation for all Europeans rivaling anything they've seen since the WWII era, and making the late 1970s and very early 1980s seem positively tame by comparison.

The big institutional investors, banks and even sovereign with exposure to PIIGS+France+UK sovereign debt are now petitioning, threatening, blackmailing/extorting politicians to allow the ECB to fire up their CERN € printing machine (that The Bernank is actually envious of) so as to be able to print faster than the speed of light, allowing these entities to get out of their exposure while the € still has the ability to allow them to liquidate and diversify quickly into other asset classes before the € soon becomes the Charmin Rough Texture.

I say go Icelandic, because there's no way out of the fractional reserve banking created EU nightmare, to be replicated on a global scale, without pain, and investors should bear losses first and foremost (you know, it's a quaint concept that investors should have to swallow losses, even though investment is subject to risk, when brilliant people like Hank Paulson & The Bernank refuse mandating haircuts, instead insisting that taxpayers, small and mid-size businesses, savers and the very responsible citizens pay the price, via subsidization and inflation, for the wretched excesses of governments, Wall Street, imbecilic 'too-big-to-fail' large banks [soon to be too-big-to-save] and the investment/financial sector in general).

This volatility signals that damn fork in the road they've been trying to not come to has arrived.

Good luck, bitchez. Hedge accordingly if you've not done so.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:32 | 1899167 Antifaschistische
Antifaschistische's picture

Re: End the Fed "I say go Icelandic, because there's no way out of the fractional reserve banking created EU nightmare...and investors should bear losses first and foremost.

You're 100% correct, but here's why this won't happen.

Governments don't tax losses.

Governments are incentivized to force capital gains upon the masses, thus extracting extra taxation with devalued currencies.  This is why the market is not allowed to punish investors who’ve invested unwisely. We must feed the beast.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:26 | 1898798 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Kuwait next flashpoint. Riots last month (kept very quiet in MSM) is what provoked Obama to announce we're "pulling out of Iraq". Guess what. We're pulling in to Kuwait

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 14:11 | 1899315 onarga74
onarga74's picture

We're going to nuke Iran first then get to the more important things like Kuwait and Belize.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 14:27 | 1899374 reload
reload's picture

If Iran is agressed, Bahrain gets ugly - very fast.

The backlash from the putdown earlier this year will be big. Bahrain `security forces` perpetrated what can only be described as atrocities. Largely unreported in the media. Medical staff who treated wounded protesters have been given 25 year jail terms.

The Shia majority are not going to forget or be kept in submission easily if there are Shias elsewhere being `matyred`

All on the doorstep of the wonderful Kingdom of Saud. Unintended consequences.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:20 | 1898755 swanpoint
swanpoint's picture

soaring, bitchez!

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:21 | 1898758 Odin
Odin's picture

Nah, just a glitch in the Matrix...

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:21 | 1898759 deepsouthdoug
deepsouthdoug's picture

Thanks for the clarity.  I was trying to figure out was going on.  In this case no news means I'll hold my shorts a bit longer.   

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:21 | 1898760 c'mon man
c'mon man's picture

Soccer fans know how to riot...


Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:22 | 1898769 DosZap
DosZap's picture

c'mon man

Yep, cause their usually Snockered.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:21 | 1898765 BW
BW's picture

Dumping USD assets buying Euros.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:22 | 1898766 Quintus
Quintus's picture

Why would the ECB do that?  EUR/USD wasn't at any particularly dangerous tipping point.

I prefer the 'Panic repatriation' interpretation.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:39 | 1898897 Captain Benny
Captain Benny's picture

Agreed, there is some serious panic and they needed to repatriate.  Something very very very big is going on.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:22 | 1898768 dereksatkinson
dereksatkinson's picture

The Fed, not the ECB, is probably doing this.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:22 | 1898770 konputa
konputa's picture

No news is good news, apparently.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:24 | 1898771 prains
prains's picture

somebody just got in the hot tub without a bathing suit

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:22 | 1898773 Johnny Yuma
Johnny Yuma's picture

Fade it!

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:45 | 1898938 Johnny Yuma
Johnny Yuma's picture

Looks like the ECB is giving everyone -1's today on their comments. Lol!

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:23 | 1898777 greg2514
greg2514's picture

I have seen everything now! Maybe GS going for 1.40 again

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:23 | 1898778 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Capital repatriation. Banks need money on their books. Lot's of margin calls. I'd fade the bounce.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:24 | 1898781 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

Someone's front running the US credit downgrade. My WAG

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:24 | 1898784 qussl3
qussl3's picture

This is why i am not short this POS.

Fucking retarded no reason ping pong action.

FX brokers must love this crap.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:24 | 1898786 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

When things begin to crumble, expect the unexpected. 

Always bad when very unexpected things happen. Market hates that

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:24 | 1898788 buzlightening
buzlightening's picture

Ezero rock solid as sponge bob square pants enjoys getting soaked.  Who didn't know it all ends in disaster and mf gobble your money was only a warning as to how fast your burnokio bux can be locked up.  In an instant; overnight.  Get out of the western bankstering system or die a horrible financial death along with it.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:25 | 1898793 common_sense
common_sense's picture



Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:26 | 1898794 zonkie
zonkie's picture

It is someone dumping dollar.  WTI also rose last few minutes. Has QE3 chatter intensified?

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:29 | 1898810 jomama
jomama's picture

surely this move must be based on fundamentals.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:10 | 1899082 Zero Debt
Zero Debt's picture

Fundamental analysis

Technical analysis

Manipulation analysis

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:37 | 1899190 citrine
citrine's picture

Not necessarily in that order, is it?

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:29 | 1898811 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Eurobonds to save Europe.  When markets start to collapse, recycle a EuroRumor.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:30 | 1898816 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Property-casualty group diving today, Alleghany down 7%

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:35 | 1898866 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture


Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:30 | 1898817 tomreagan
tomreagan's picture

Check out the 10yr treasury vs. stocks vs financial corporates today. Bank corporates are getting pummeled (as is EIB and other yankee names recently as Asia dumps in record amounts. And yes they do take down most of yankee auctions). Financials are getting smoked,the last time they were this wide 10yr Treasuries were @ 1.77%. Today, they can only muster a 5bp rally and have stalled at 1.95% while stocks are creamed. Selling to buy EUR because the EURUSD vs S&P correlation is all that matters? Hmmm?

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:30 | 1898818 CvlDobd
CvlDobd's picture

I said I another thread.

A colleague mentioned that Cramer said the key to understand the equityarket is the currencies.

So stocks will not care what Currencies do from here on.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:31 | 1898821 swissaustrian
swissaustrian's picture

Weird stuff. Equities didn´t follow. Gold doesn´t count today, because tommorow is options expiry...

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:32 | 1898839 youngman
youngman's picture

I am thinking there should be enough demand to override the Bank raid far not....

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:31 | 1898823 youngman
youngman's picture

Its probably last three headlines on all it takes to make me buy more gold and silver....this market is more more economics..its Central Bank vs Central Bank...scary...and add in HFT´s and regulations...or lack thereof..sorry..I´ll stay outside and watch

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:31 | 1898824 YesWeKahn
YesWeKahn's picture

Saw that too, it must be Goldman sacks's God hand.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:31 | 1898825 PicassoInActions
PicassoInActions's picture

it can be suis.

They have to hold CHF at certain level so they are forced to buy good amount of EURO

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:35 | 1898865 swissaustrian
swissaustrian's picture

It´s pretty irrelevant which FX the SNB buys as long as they´re selling CHFs. Most of the interventions took place in USD/CHF not EUR/CHF

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:31 | 1898832 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

PPT i would think

trying to light a unicorn fart under the S&P and the R2K

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:38 | 1898843 Cult_of_Reason
Cult_of_Reason's picture

EIB/IMF sells gold and converts USD into EUR (buying Euros) to prop it up -- they are afraid people will lose confidence in EUR (if they see it plunging) and everything collapses within days.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:14 | 1899094 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

Apparently I am helping them, cause I am adding to my PHYS!

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 14:33 | 1899396 narnia
narnia's picture

more likely the G20 nations are managing their currency reserves to match the SDR weighting being discussed before the mother of all IMF printing coming soon.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:33 | 1898845 SwingForce
SwingForce's picture

Goldman covering their shorts......

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:33 | 1898846 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Hank Greenberg suing Uncle Sam for 2008 takeover of AIG (!) lol

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:07 | 1899066 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Wait, didn't he go on TV every day for 2 weeks straight begging for a bail-out, because as he put it, "It's the quintessential American institution, and cannot be allowed to fail?"

They're gonna have to increase the dosage of fluoride in my water if I'm to be expected to fall for this.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:34 | 1898856 sabra1
Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:36 | 1898870 Bold Eagle
Bold Eagle's picture

The loss of customers' funds at MF Global is better than expected at $1.2 bln, that's why zEURo spiked. My bet is on gravity though.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:08 | 1899072 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Jamie Dimon's gettin' paid!

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:36 | 1898875 jaygee
jaygee's picture

more buyers than sellers makes the price go up

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:09 | 1899074 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Like, buyers named ECB?

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:37 | 1898880 vote_libertaria...
vote_libertarian_party's picture

I'm going out on a limb here.  Some anonymous short selling dude in his Mom's basement caused it.


Yeah...that's the ticket.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:39 | 1898900 sabra1
sabra1's picture


Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:43 | 1898923 hollowbody
hollowbody's picture

Just a few people with some ideas after following the link to Rollover,

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 15:47 | 1899761 seek
seek's picture

A FYI to anyone who wants to watch, the only thing worth it in the movie is the ending. I invested the two hours to watch this dog just a couple weeks ago, and it's plodding, has a very sparse storyline, and no T&A. But an awesome doomer-porn last 10 minutes. Here's the last 10 minutes with the doom-porn:


Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:37 | 1898884 tahoebumsmith
tahoebumsmith's picture

The ECB is Intervening in Europe, The FED is intervening in The US, The BOJ has gone ballistic in Japan and the only thing it has gotton us is more debt and more instability. What they will do to keep the derivitives ponzi from coming unraveled? Pretty soon the only option they will have left is to hide...And you wonder why the underground bunker business is thriving?

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:38 | 1898886 Fetor
Fetor's picture

I think it's because of Snooki's new book.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:56 | 1899255 onarga74
onarga74's picture

I understand it's titled "The New Jayne Mansfield for Croutons" or "How to Spank the Clown Without a Boner.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:40 | 1898902 Trad3er_1337
Trad3er_1337's picture


Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:47 | 1898945 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

Your CAPS LOCK is on....

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:59 | 1899025 Fetor
Fetor's picture

Either way you'd be a fool to buy this.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:10 | 1899083 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Might I recommend decaf?

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:40 | 1898905 jaygee
jaygee's picture

cover em up boys, if things are so bad for the euro, then why is it still 1.35? Seems it should be so much lower. Why not?

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:46 | 1898944 tomreagan
tomreagan's picture

For the same reason Treasuries have only traded between 1.95 and 2.06 since 10/31. Because they are both being massively manipulated for small amounts as volume has plunged and liquidity has vanished

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:58 | 1899021 Trad3er_1337
Trad3er_1337's picture

Because things in the US arnt a whole lot better then in europe... the main reason that the EUR/USD plunged is because of the USD/JPY... The USD has been prevented from falling against the yen by the BOJ however the EUR has not so when EUR/JPY plumbeted and the USD/JPY did not (due to fear of another BOJ intervention which cam a week or so latter) the EUR/USD also Plumbeted... However you will notice that the when the eur/jpy rallied the usd/jpy did not so this is why the rally in the EUR/USD happend and why the EUR/USD is so resilient.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:41 | 1898910 Jalarupa
Jalarupa's picture

Pump and dump...Weekly open holding strong

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:56 | 1899008 Jalarupa
Jalarupa's picture

PWND o_0

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:44 | 1898931 AGoldhamster
AGoldhamster's picture

Our group expects Gold, silver, Indices, EURUSD to bottom 22nd or 23rd. Then a rebound for around the next 4 weeks.

Besides that I suggest to be careful with holding positions overnight in Asia. The most evil selloffs and/or washouts in recent years most often started during Asia session when the rest of the planet is asleep.


Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:49 | 1898961 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

Our group...?

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:22 | 1899121 dereksatkinson
dereksatkinson's picture

He's a pretty good gold trader lots of people watch over at kitco.  Has a good track record so he's no dumby. Not a perma-bull.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 14:24 | 1899360 AGoldhamster
AGoldhamster's picture

All honor goes to Cyclist. I'm just a student.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:26 | 1899145 falak pema
falak pema's picture

when in doubt, drown by numbers in group sex, group alcohol, group betting, group shorting, group snorting and group suicides. 

You are perfect as client for group on and Walmart as you can buy group junk food at discount prices. 

March on WS Groupee has to be the word that makes Newt crinch and Gingrich grab for the pepper can. 

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:01 | 1899037 Fetor
Fetor's picture

Our group = you and your hamster?

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:18 | 1899064 Zero Debt
Zero Debt's picture

Or a lot of hamsters

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:23 | 1899133 Reptil
Reptil's picture


Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:12 | 1899091 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Does your hamster celebrate Turkey Day? That's always a fun day for those Asians, and other non-pilgrims.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:51 | 1898974 jaygee
jaygee's picture

sniff, sniff. Is that a short squeeze i smell?

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 12:53 | 1898984 jaygee
jaygee's picture

ya grmpeabody, you know...."them"

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:01 | 1899038 alpharack
alpharack's picture

This is the perfect set up to strengthen short position in EURUSD; a EURUSD collapse is imminent.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:02 | 1899044 Fetor
Fetor's picture

1.3555 Let the selling begin.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:07 | 1899065 BlueStreet
BlueStreet's picture

Maybe they'll lock up Corzine in a cell next to Angelo Mozillo, oh wait, that's right....



Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:10 | 1899081 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

EUR/USD green, gentlemen.  Draghi?

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:15 | 1899098 eurusdog
eurusdog's picture

If the ECB is intervening, they have good precedent to do so. The week of US Thanksgiving can have mad flow. Last year the pair dumped over 550 points the week of Thanksgiving. in 2007, the pair saw 100 points rise before hitting a top and falling 500 points by Dec 20. Any ground given up this week could be costly and not seen again for a damn long time!

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:20 | 1899114 Trad3er_1337
Trad3er_1337's picture

Why the strength? Bcause things in the US arnt a whole lot better then in europe... the main reason that the EUR/USD plunged is because of the USD/JPY... The USD has been prevented from falling against the yen by the BOJ however the EUR has not so when EUR/JPY plumbeted and the USD/JPY did not (due to fear of another BOJ intervention which cam a week or so latter) the EUR/USD also Plumbeted... However you will notice that the when the eur/jpy rallied the usd/jpy did not so this is why the rally in the EUR/USD happend and why the EUR/USD is so resilient.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:21 | 1899116 falak pema
falak pema's picture

PMs getting clobbered, especially gold.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:36 | 1899171 Threeggg
Threeggg's picture

Isn't this what the whole market is about ? Real assets vs paper ?

Make no mention of the Gold/Silver options expiry tomorrow !


Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:38 | 1899198 onarga74
onarga74's picture

Don't you know the rules?  Since gold can never go down you have to say "gold has temporarily stopped going up." That way it can still be regarded as a safe investment.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:21 | 1899120 jaygee
jaygee's picture

i don't know who did it but if it was just a short cover, it probably would have rertaced a bit by now. SInce it hasn't i can assume this was a long position and they are sitting under the bid now. Just a little food for thought. Everyone thinks the euro is going lower and has positioned themselves accordingly. So there are the stops to be run.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:24 | 1899135 dereksatkinson
dereksatkinson's picture

Good point.  Might just be normal market action in a very thin holiday week.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:27 | 1899150 H H Henry P P P...
H H Henry P P P Paulson's picture

That was pathetic move from ECB.  Japan can erect a bigger candlestick on their USD/JPY than the Europeans can with their currency.  And the Japanese are known for having the smallest candlesticks in the world.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 13:46 | 1899219 integrale
integrale's picture

Where's George Soros in all this?  Doesn't he want to break the ECB?

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 14:00 | 1899279 chaartist
chaartist's picture

i dont know whats with liquidity, today they were hunting for stops like hell. They are doing with FX what they want, there is no market and logic to those moves. 

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 14:10 | 1899311 The 100 Trillio...
The 100 Trillion Dollar Man's picture

"According to White House, President Obama called Italian PM Monti and voiced full confidence in Italy"

We have a winner!

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 14:39 | 1899419 kavaron
kavaron's picture

How about short squeeze? Show me one euro bull, there is none left. Market very often shakes out weak hands before resuming the trend.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 14:49 | 1899452 The Count
The Count's picture

Am I the only one thinking... 40 pips...out of what, thats nothing for this cross.... hardly news or even a 400 pip move,thats MAYBE news...

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 15:49 | 1899667 merchantratereview
merchantratereview's picture

oy gevalt with the drama.


EUR/USD spike was a simple retesting Friday's weekly close. (and the EMA 100 in the 1 hour)


My grandmother could have predicted that!


(I faded a correated pair for a few pips. hurrah.....technical looks like consolidation/stall at this level for "awhile")

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 16:41 | 1899934 derkesthai
derkesthai's picture

I still believe that the relative strength of the EUR, in the face of ever increasing bad news is, as Merkel stresses repeatedly, the crisis is perceived to be one of confidence. In some sense they are right [In God we trust, no gold here] although, I believe they are spot off and are attempting to cure the symptoms vs the disease through market interventions. The news - that is the cover for these interventions. Doesn't matter the news content, headlines, or color of ink. Today, no news, but can get by with it sometimes because everyone will look for a rational trade savvy reason where none exists. None other than intervention by the eurozone's PPT. Don't know who exactly and maybe some here do or have a lead. Whomever it is is stacking up losses which someday will see the light of day.

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 17:26 | 1900105 Cadavre
Cadavre's picture

Has the obvious since the get-go failure of the very famous super committee been priced out or priced in (it's so confusing)? Or, are market makers waiting for muggle notification by the Cramster during one of his epic, though thoroughly mesmerizing "think beyond the edge of your spreadsheet" sermons?

There may be one play for a day: hack super committee member and staff brokerage accounts ... follow the bread crumbs of corruption down the path to a dripping money pot?

(my first ZH post and i am soooo wet with anticipation of rudely taking it up backside as my vain attempts to merge with the group grope in the eye of the storm are exposed!)

Mon, 11/21/2011 - 18:37 | 1900446 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

"wet with anticipation of rudely taking it up backside"?
Necrophilic wet or ...?

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