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Frontrunning: October 21

Tyler Durden's picture




 
  • France Likely to Lose Top Rating: S&P (Bloomberg)
  • BNP urges EFSF to issue credit default swaps (FT)
  • China municipalities to issue bonds (FT)
  • Europe forced into second summit (FT)
  • EU Said to Consider Wielding $1.3 Trillion to Break Impasse (Bloomberg)
  • Hilsenrath: Fed Is Poised for More Easing (Hilsenrath)
  • Fed debate about more easing heats up (Reuters)
  • Obama Nominates Former Fed President Hoenig for FDIC Vice Chair (Bloomberg)
  • ECB Said to Weigh Bigger Loans for More Collateral Disclosure (Bloomberg)
  • Banks face penalties in return for bail-outs (FT)
  • Fed’s Bernanke Briefed Senate Democrats on Europe, Durbin Says (Bloomberg)
  • Greek MPs vote through fresh cuts as man dies in day of street battles (UK Guardian)
  • Japan to Sell $10.4 Billion More Debt for Quake Rebuilding (Bloomberg)
  • Japan May Add $52 Billion in Aid for Companies Hurt by Yen (Bloomberg)

European economic highlights:

  • Hungary Retail Sales for August 0.4% y/y. Consensus -0.9% y/y.  Previous -1.3% y/y.
  • Switzerland Money Supply - M3 for September 8.2% y/y. Previous 7.6% y/y. Revised 8.0% y/y.
  • Germany IFO Business Survey for October  106.4 – higher than expected. Consensus 106.2. Previous 107.4. Revised 107.5.
  • UK PSNB (nsa) for September 12bn m/m. Previous 13.2bn m/m.
  • UK PSNCR (nsa) for September 13bn m/m. Previous 11.8bn m/m.
  • Euroland Govt Debt/GDP ratio for 2010 85.4% y/y. Previous 85.1% y/y.
  • UK Nationwide Consumer Confidence for September 45. Consensus 49. Previous 48.
 

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Fri, 10/21/2011 - 07:33 | 1796282 Lord Welligton
Lord Welligton's picture

BNP urges EFSF to issue credit default swaps

For me. That takes the biscuit.

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 07:35 | 1796287 Danielius
Danielius's picture

my eyes dulled and my mind went blank temporarily.  

 

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 07:36 | 1796288 Crash N. Burn
Crash N. Burn's picture

 That got me too. Banksters are predictable though, no?

http://worldwideponzicollapse.blogspot.com/2011/10/banksters-are-problem...

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 07:40 | 1796295 Lord Welligton
Lord Welligton's picture

I don't think politicians are without blame.

They were either seduced by the "free money" which allowed they maintain the fiction of welfare paradise or they were simply bought off.

 

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 08:08 | 1796350 Ethics Gradient
Ethics Gradient's picture

My favourite was:

EU Said to Consider Wielding $1.3 Trillion to Break Impasse

They're going to print $1.3tr, but can't print $700bn to cover the ESFS? OK, that's obviously not what "Weilding" means. I'll explore another avenue. They're going to demand that nation states pay $1.3 trillion to fund France's banks and Italy's debt? No. That doesn't make sense either. OK, OK. Errm. No. Lost. Help required.

It can't possibly be a leak, a holding tactic to trick the market into not selling everything that isn't nailed down in the hope that they'll come up with a plan next week; they've done that so many times they'd be risking their credibility. Anyone would think they didn't have a clue...

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 07:40 | 1796293 machineh
machineh's picture

Bloomberg's article says the European Stability Mechanism (500 billion euros) uses 'paid-in capital.'

Utter bullshit. The initial capital contributions are only 2 percent; the balance to be raised in the future with capital calls.

ESM is VAPORWARE. You have been warned.

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 07:43 | 1796301 Lord Welligton
Lord Welligton's picture

Agreed. Made the point yesterday. The EFSF, as it stands and without alteration, amounts to 17 promises to deliver.

I can't for the life of me see how Europe can get out of this without hitting the printing press.

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 07:51 | 1796313 GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

'I can't for the life of me see how Europe can get out of this without hitting the printing press.'

Italy, France, Spain, Portugal want this. So do the UK and US. Germany fears this path.

If the Germans bail on the Euro project I can see how you avoid the printing press. Germans leave, rest of Europe gets crushed. Deflation.

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 07:41 | 1796297 Gene8696
Gene8696's picture

WTF happened to copper while I slept? Oh, I was so looking for S&P to catch copper, thus dragg'n down oil.. thus allowing me to spend some cash. Guess I will go into the weekend with a pocket full of greenbacks.. Again.

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 07:51 | 1796310 YesWeKahn
YesWeKahn's picture

"BNP urges EFSF to issue credit default swaps "

Wow, financial system inside a financial system.

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 07:54 | 1796323 Schmuck Raker
Fri, 10/21/2011 - 08:12 | 1796358 GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

That's perverse.

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 08:03 | 1796342 Careless Whisper
Careless Whisper's picture

Obama Nominates Former Fed President Hoenig for FDIC Vice Chair

that should shut him up for a while

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 08:16 | 1796372 chinaguy
chinaguy's picture

Yes, good gamesmanship on Hoeing's part.

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 09:36 | 1796668 DOT
DOT's picture

Or very bad. Imagine the Senate sitting on the nomination until the BOA CDSs blow up.

Then they will suddenly need an adult in the room.

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 08:08 | 1796351 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

"BNP urges EFSF to issue credit default swaps "

A triple layered, upside-down, steaming bullshit filled, ponzi cake...frosted with attractive FT/Guardian/MSM propaganda frosting.  Baked and served up to the middle-class to be shoved down their throat with a CME/CTFC approved margin hiked (paper) silver spoon.

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 08:14 | 1796367 msmith
msmith's picture
The AUDJPY is hinting that the SPX is preparing to breakout to the upside after the triangle consolidation concludes.  Also the outlook for Gold for the days ahead is higher.  "Risk On" price action to continue.  http://bit.ly/qW0yvy
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