And so the market is once again shooting first, and doing the math later. While the EURUSD has since dropped substantially from its afternoon premarket highs and was trading just over 1.33 last check, the ES is now about 15 points higher per the bid/ask stack or at 1173, well over 1% more than Friday's close, even though CONTEXT fair value demonstrates a roughly 15 point arbitrage. Looks like the futures are all alone in this latest attempt to ramp everyone on the wrong side and sell to the greater fool. Fade the massive arbitrage to risk fair value.
Futures are now about 10 points rich to Risk implied fair value.