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The Gaping Maw Of Centrally-Planned Surreality
There was a time when the market led, and the economy followed. That's when the market was still a discounting mechanism, a long, long time ago. Then came a time when the clueless market, after every illusion it held about a Dow 36,000 future was shattered, would respond with a slight, millisecond delay to every flashing red economic "surprise" headline and thanks to HFTs exaggerate the momentum of the move spectacularly, leading to delirium-inducing volatility, and even further confusion. But what we have now, under the final advent of the central planner New Normal, when the economy is clearly going one way (the wrong one), while the S&P is dogedly chasing the opposite direction and completely ignoring any and all downside macro surprises, is something never seen before. One thing is certain: the gaping maw of the alligator: the red and the blue arrows will converge, and sooner or later the convergence will not be in the direction that the central printer, and his Liberty 33 henchmen, request.
Courtesy of John Lohman
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i don't know, i do feel richer. makes me want to go buy things.
the surprise INDEX is really at 750.
unrelated, but of interest poss:
Dessa draws a parallel between Monsanto and Apple and their sale of licenses rather than goods in order to better "secure" easily duplicated items and prevent sharing:
http://amour-discipline.org/zine/owning-it/
Barbarous relics for me. They're so shiny and pretty.
Don't burn.....what good are they?
Gosh.. Apparently this lady was a hedge fund trader and is the first of a soon to be dying breed.
http://www.indianexpress.com/news/thai-woman-feeds-herself-to-crocodiles/998787/
Not until Tom Lee's (the most accurate analyst right now) ES 1495 is consummated... then, Bob the Bear takes over (except he will not be short, but WE will be). 300% SHORT at ES 1495: NO SOONER.
what your fiz and drive me to frenge
As long as noone cashes out we can be rich
THE SIMPSONS - Homer Votes 2012
Just released today. This is pretty funny.
Here's some gaping reality for you
A Shortage of Bonds to Back Derivatives Bets
$648 Trillion Derivatives Market Faces New Collateral Concentration Risks
Hey! Just defease it all with 50 year bonds.....
+20 for using defease
Beats recourse.
There have been 1000 year bonds issued by some Canadian railways in the past. Might as well go full-out to the max.
And you can still buy some of the British 'consol' bonds still floating around from the 1800s - they are perpetual, they only pay interest, with no promise by the UK to pay off the principal, ever ... just your coupon in continually-debased pounds and pence.
We're essentially doing that now, might as well make it official in the prospectus:
'Principal Repayment Date: F*cking Never!'
Yep - UK still paying for Napoleonic Wars with Napolean War bonds - aint that cool? Napoleon must be laughing in his grave.
And wanting to issue new ones now...
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2012/03/14/uk-britain-bonds-idUKBRE82C1F42...
haha business week copycatted...
they know how to get round that one, at least they think so; like the Ottomans, Romanovs and all the others :
1° Rehypothec to infinity. Keep in step wih QE-inf.
2° Install permanent regulatory capture. No shadow banking book keeping in dark pools. No legal accountability, full crony cover up and manipulation of zombie market. Eventually all the oligarchs will fall into goose step (haha pipedream; but dream on oligarchs).
3° Hope that inflation,$ debasement and asset pumping can hollow out the sheeple's saved pensions to maintain momentum and permit that paper profits of oligarchs stay liquid relative to hard commodity assets. This sham could go on as long as the creditors don't gang up on Uncle Sam pax americana; which they eventually will if the sheeple don't wake up.
4° Go despotic officially and invade Iceland. That should set the MIC rolling.
"collateral transformation"
ARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Just buy the damn tee shirt....it's only 30 bucks.
Gaping maw
Hmm looks hungry.One of the uglier alligators seen recently
The National Zoo in DC has a nice collection of big ol' Nile crocodiles that would be perfect for feeding banksters and politicians to when SHTF. :~)
Damn, luv the attitude. Collect regular FL gators and release them by freeway overpasses meeself.
Doh. I thought I read "Sorority" and this was gonna be something else entirely.
I don't believe that the market indexes have to reflect anything. If the FED is connected through front companies to the exchanges or directly through even more clandestine methods they can control the indexes. They have infinite wealth to put the market indexes wherever they choose. And if the choose to own ever last available share and then decide to have the market reflect price discovery they can sell that one available share to any of their front companies or have all the algos trade the one available share back and forth within a range. The alligator's mouth is a fractal misrepresentation based on the way things used to work. Markets have nothing to do with economies they are rather graphs generated by software. The dollar based values don't even have anything to do with value based on anything any longer. The whole thing is a disappearing mirage, a fading vaporous snapshot of the economic activities of a past civilization. Its not what it seems because by the time you try to compare it the basis for the comparison has not only changed but has faded away and in many cases been vaporized to oblivion. The stock of the stock market has an ever increasing change occuring to what it is defined by which means that the stock is also being removed from the software of the program that generates the indexes.
Its fucking over dudes.
awesome post: welcome, you are a god.
"The whole thing is a disappearing mirage, a fading vaporous snapshot of the economic activities of a past civilization. Its not what it seems because by the time you try to compare it the basis for the comparison has not only changed but has faded away and in many cases been vaporized to oblivion."
Whoa! This is deep, dude!
The equity markets used to the bitchez of the bond markets, which were in turn the bitchez of the money supply(s) and by extension the currency markets. Has anything really changed, and is this time really different?
Way to go. In other news a terrorist going by the name of q99x2 has been arrested. Cue photoshopped mugshot of the INSANE DANGEROUS MASTERMIND.
Final blow was the end of paper share certificates, for whatever they were worth. Now it's just one big Fed manipulated hypothecation in cyberspace. Fascinating game. With all due respect to Little Black Sambo, one day these tigers will melt into butter around the pancakes.
Sorry, dude, but there is no such thing as "infinite wealth", that is an oxymoron. If there is an infinite supply of something it has no value. Infinite nominal dollars, yes, and I think that is what you were getting at. As for buying up everything and selling one share back and forth, that does not solve anything. Think about it.
Bernanke needs a psychiatrist. Whoops! He is seeing one!
http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2012/09/21/who-is-ben-bernankes-mystery-v...
Real confidential to have your shrink visit you at work where everyone can see.
There seems to be so much Obama hype in the current movements. Can anyone else see a pre-election market downturn in support of a shift to Romney? Dunno, seems kinda obvious.
If profitable production and human services provision is not the aim then you are not an 'investor' making 'investments', and what you're sinking money into is not a stock market. In 2007 I told a pensioner who used to work for Telstra that the stock market is really a casino. He almost went into spasms to deny it. I saw the same guy in 2010 and he heartily agreed.
The investment mechanism is destroyed--financialised. The zombies got to it while all the Governments' went out of their ways to make sure no one intervened to stop it. Now the economies themselves are dying. No economy = no Govt
And just like the stock market was a casino in 2007, the Govt is now a gutted organised-crime franchise backed by guns and thugs and a thin pretence of 'Law'.
Same stuff Obama studied.
Nice one colonel
Little does mickey moron know, the new look is tactical and they are in the wrong room.
May i add the fuck off song or (You don`t know)
Reel big fish
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E2IDMGEL6-8&feature=related
"But what we have now, under the final advent of the central planner New Normal, .. , is something never seen before. "
and yet it seems vaguely familiar, doesn't it
http://oi50.tinypic.com/mcc208.jpg
ok, I dutifully used the html editor to insert
<img src="http://oi50.tinypic.com/mcc208.jpg" alt="pawn shop" />
into the post.
the image appears in my comment editor, but doesn't show on the actual post.
what's the right way to include/upload/display the actual image rather then only the link or the artificial < code rather than left angle bracket < or whatever.
Only contributors can upload images. Can you just imagine some of the wacky images that would appear otherwise?
Write an article and have appear on ZH and you're in!
Otherwise you are limited to links.
got it.
thanks for the info.
and after my article appears in zh, how long before the face-tracking drones swarm around me 24/7
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z1k4zSFDWnM
fortunately, those drones aren't autonomous. or nimble. and they can't swarm.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S-dkonAXOlQ
Does anyone here know the answer to a simple question -- why we have two completely different charts on this so called "Economic Surprise Model / Index" -- one posted in this article from John Lohman and another that Citi bank is providing (see here: http://www.businessinsider.com/the-myth-of-the-central-bank-driven-rally-2012-9) -- which one is "more accurate" -- or are they measuring completely different things and if so -- how different? both are basically called the same -- just a difference in semantics (Model vs. Index)? Not a trivial question for investment decisions, IMO...
I'd appreciate if anyone on this board (or Tyler Durden?) can weigh in to clarify.
I have a neighbor that spreads the effluvia from his stables on his hay pasture.
I told him he was wasting a precious resource that could be sold as collateral for financial instruments.
He said his method of use is sustainable.
He has no Nobel Prize in economics.
A picture worth a thousand words!
Bernanke has made news irrelevant! Data is irrelevant! Analysis is irrelevant! Fundamentals are irrelevant! We have PRINTED prosperity now!
And if that isn't a bubble, what is?! Oh that's right, he calls it a "wealth effect"! He should be in Alcatraz, not Eccles!
OVERDUE CORRECTION LOOMS:
Due to recent central bank intervention and short covering spikes, all these daily charts are extremely overextended & a significant correction is expected very soon:
SPX, DOW, NASDAQ, NZDUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, COPPER, CRUDE, GOLD, SILVER. [USD strength will return]
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-12-24/market-analysis
http://trader618.com