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GM Channel Stuffing Surges To All Time Record

Tyler Durden's picture




 

In the past two months, everyone has been scratching their heads just how it is possible that the US manufacturing base continues to chug along at pre-recession levels even as the world all around America burns? Today, GM may have given the answer, courtesy of its monthly disclosure of car sales which at the top line is completely irrelevant as the funding for these purchases comes almost entirely from subprime loans handed out by the government to NINJAs. What is interesting is the little blurb in every monthly report discussing the amount of dealer inventory, a topic well-known to frequent readers of Zero Hedge which has discussed GM's pervasive channel stuffing in the past, and which subsequently went quite mainstream. So how does November channel stuffing stack up? As the chart below shows, at 623,666 cars, it is an all time absolute record, and represents about 3.5 times the total GM vehicles sold in November! It is also a 31k increase in the past month, and 85k cars more in inventory than in July. Because when economic growth at all costs is needed to demonstrate just how viable America is, and a semi-nationalized car marker is one of the only conduits to "generate" economic growth, it does not matter if the end product is actually demanded or will simply corrode and rust in some dealer showroom in perpetuity. After all it is the act of building the car that matters for various monthly PMI, CMI, regional Fed and GDP purposes. Pretty much exactly like in China's goal seeked "economy." So the next time someone asks just how is it that the miraculous US decoupling continues, please point them to this chart.

 

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Thu, 12/01/2011 - 19:28 | 1936708 non_anon
non_anon's picture

fuck GM and the rest, I want one of these

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4arnATc04U

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 19:39 | 1936728 saints51
saints51's picture

That was awesome. Love to know how fast he was moving. He stayed in formation with the fighter jets so i know it was pretty fast.

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 19:41 | 1936730 Sheriff Douchen...
Sheriff Douchenik from AZ's picture

Is it a free a RIM Playbook with every Volt or the other way around?

I call this class of 'car' not zero emissions (ZEV) but high upstream emissions (HUEV)

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 19:47 | 1936744 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Long term outcome of supply-side economics? Massive debt, massive overcapacity, mass unemployment, deflating median incomes, offshored jobs and industries. Solution? Bail out the cronies, increase national debt further, accounting gimmickry, channel-stuffing, and other forms of trickery

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 20:01 | 1936761 xtop23
xtop23's picture

Sounds eerily like China's ghost cities

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 20:01 | 1936763 monopoly
monopoly's picture

How long before they file for bankruptcy this time? Am so sick of all this shit.

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 20:08 | 1936775 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

If there is anyone still around who supports Obama I have news for you.  To quantify, first, as an initiative G.W. Bush pushed through $15 billion for AIDS.  For world AIDS day Obama does $50 million.

Jokes on you libtards.

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 20:11 | 1936779 Standard Deviant
Standard Deviant's picture

Does GM still manufacture anything in US???  

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 20:15 | 1936789 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

It's not that bad really. It's like when the store has shelves full of food and some goes bad so we throw it out but if the shelves weren't full people would complain of poor selection. Maybe I want white bread and not whole wheat. the leftover is thrown out. Left over cars can be recycled. Another win win.

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 20:18 | 1936802 Georgesblog
Georgesblog's picture

Measuring the economy by GM's report is like judging the economy by Warren Buffet's gross income. We've all seen what happens with all of that dealer inventory is still sitting in dealer lots, after the end of the model year. The numbers are not nearly as good, then.

http://georgesblogforum.wordpress.com/2011/11/02/the-daily-climb-2/

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 20:21 | 1936806 Archimedes
Archimedes's picture

Just saw on PBS news hour that GM sales were up 7% MOM but Chryser sales were up a whopping 45%!Do you have a dealer inventory for them?

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 20:29 | 1936820 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

Chysler started from a low number and I think they actually sell their cars. Except the Fiats, people in America don't like Fiats unless it's a Ferrari.

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 23:13 | 1937174 VelvetHog
VelvetHog's picture

Unless its currency.

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 20:47 | 1936862 nelore
nelore's picture

The new envelope stuffing scam.

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 21:31 | 1936935 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

GM's Channel Stuffing at best

 

Big Bill Hell's

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 22:08 | 1937016 dwdollar
dwdollar's picture

Let's assume that Government Motors is doing fucking great and totally swallow what the permabulls are shoving down our throats. Okay... So when do we get our money back?

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 22:16 | 1937038 Bansters-in-my-...
Bansters-in-my- feces's picture

Tyler....

Stay away from grassy knolls,and G M parking lots...

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 23:07 | 1937162 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

I'm renting out my driveway to the local GM dealer.  He wants me to build a second deck.  :D

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 23:11 | 1937167 ManicMechanic
ManicMechanic's picture

Thinking about getting back to the future with a renewable energy source vehicle such as the DeLorean which runs on coke…

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 23:12 | 1937169 VelvetHog
VelvetHog's picture

Kool-Aid Motors

Thu, 12/01/2011 - 23:26 | 1937198 Victor Berry
Victor Berry's picture

Has AmeriCredit changed their business model in the last ten years?  It used to be common knowledge that AmeriCredit would make car loans to anyone who had the cash for a down payment and the first month's installment payment.  Then, AmeriCredit would repossess the car at the earliest opportunity and repeat the process with the next sucker!

GM buying AmeriCredit is analogous to BAC buying Countrywide.  If GM and BAC had any sense, they would have shot dead the management of AmeriCredit and Countrywide before purchasing those companies!

Fri, 12/02/2011 - 07:16 | 1937746 Scrilla
Scrilla's picture

Dealerships are buying the vehicles directly from GM on their own books, right? So, GM will book profit when dealers choose to restock their inventories? And this is a decision by the (franchise-driven) dealership network, not GM, yes? What am I missing?

Fri, 12/02/2011 - 17:04 | 1939893 The Forecast Ca...
The Forecast Calls for Pain's picture

A loaded dealer is NOT a loyal dealer!

Sat, 12/03/2011 - 15:03 | 1941861 CTG_Sweden
CTG_Sweden's picture

 

I don´t think that you should exaggerate GM´s current dealer inventory. Take a look at the figures regarding days supply (number of days needed to sell all vehicles in inventory) below, for instance.

 

 

DEALER INVENTORY, Nov 1, 2011:

 

GM 82 days

 

Ford 70 days

 

Chrysler 68 days

 

 

DEALER INVENTORY, Nov 1, 2007:

 

GM 79 days

 

Ford 80 days

 

Chrysler 84 days

 

Sat, 12/10/2011 - 12:50 | 1966107 AbuSous
AbuSous's picture

This is exactly what happens when you have politicians running the economy. They will help/crony one business on the expense of others to keep people employed so the GDP numbers look great; well at least until election. The government should be there just to regulate; to monitor; to make things "fair"; and to enforce the rules. It shouldn't be in financing (i.e. Fannie Mae, FrediMac, HUD, GM Financing, ..etc)? It should not be in industries like car manufacturing i.e. GM? It should make the playing field leveled, and most importantly it SHOULD let the market discovers the price. Bailing out banks, and companies gets in the way of creative destruction; gets in the way of nature (survival of the fittest and most able to withstand shocks). And you wonder why we have 2% GDP in the 3rd Quarter!! Wait it will be revised soon down!!! And Downwards!

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