GM's Channel Stuffing Goes To Germany: Is Europe's Largest Economy A Fraud?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

We have long argued that auto manufacturers have been channel-stuffing (and subprime-lending) themselves back into a disaster and as such class-action lawsuits have begun. Recently we also pointed out the epidemic of dealer-inventory-stuffing in China (and again this morning the Chinese luxury car market's over-stuffing). So today's report from Reuters that German auto manufacturers have been stuffing dealer channels just like the rest of the world as Europe's largest car market is in recession even if few outside of the industry would know it. "Essentially, the carmakers are deceiving their shareholders, since they make it look as if the vehicles were actually sold. They want to pull the wool over their eyes," as three in every ten new vehicles in Germany are sold not to customers, but to carmakers and their dealers - a type of automotive industry pump priming known as "self-registration". At nearly half a million such registrations in the six months through June, the total is greater than the entire new car market in Spain. Is Germany's economy really what it is reported to be given all this fake demand pull-forward - or is it a total fraud?

 

Via Reuters

Reality versus 'official' figures:

So while official figures show a 0.7 percent rise in German car sales for the half year, figures from auto market research firms Dataforce and BDW Automotive show private demand fell 5 percent in the period, which would mean all the growth had been manufactured by the manufacturers.

Leaving dealers with major problems:

...manufacturers across the board are paying dealers cash bonuses that can be worth 3-4 percent of a vehicle's listing price to reach targets linked to the number of new cars registered as officially sold...

A tactic that can have a "devastating cost" for dealers, as they end up caught in a vicious circle:

"If you push at the end of one month, you start the next one in deficit because you've registered a car you still have to sell," he said. And when dealers can no longer keep it up, carmakers do it themselves. As a result, the two account for a combined 30 percent of the new car market, making the industry the second largest source of demand behind only private customers, who account for 39 percent.

and the reaction:

"It seems that people are burying their head in the sand."

but dealers end up footing the bill as:

"If employed over a long period of time, this is an enormous danger since they completely erode all pricing power, and manufacturers can no longer expect customers will pay more for a car in the future,"

which further distorts reality:

"If you stripped out those distressed vehicles registered only so they can gather dust on the parking lot of a dealer or manufacturer, then the size of the German new car market would have been below 3 million vehicles last year (instead of 3.17 million)," ZDK President Robert Rademacher told Reuters.

 

"And it's not only irresponsible but also counterproductive to use force to jam these vehicles down the market's throat, since it doesn't lead to higher sales in the end. It only creates distortions down the road."

and if Zee Germans are doing it, you can imagine the rest (who are in real trouble) are at it too:

"It's incredibly difficult getting statistics on what the number of self-registrations actually is. I don't know of any for Europe as a whole," said JATO's Hession, himself a former DaimlerChrysler sales planning manager.

but pleas to carmakers to "accept reality" and stop stuffing the market appear to be falling on deaf ears.

"We can only appeal to the reason of the manufacturer, something we do at every possible opportunity. But unfortunately reason is a rare commodity in this world,"

0
Your rating: None
 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Tue, 07/31/2012 - 12:57 | 2665452 vinu02
vinu02's picture

Who cares GM will file bankruptcy again and tax payer money will be used to pay salary in china.

http://www.freefdawatchlist.com/2012/07/stock-market-expected-to-open-lower.html

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:19 | 2665549 Nussi34
Nussi34's picture

Noone in germany buys an Opel (GM) and other GM brands anyways.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:27 | 2665573 TIMBEEER
TIMBEEER's picture

It's about time people, or "The Market" realize that the king without the clothes is not the EU, not the ECB, not Italy, France, Spain .. but Germany itself. Sadly, only a few seem to understand that Germany - and especially german people, are not doing that well. Rotting infrastructure, detoriarating financials .. just as it is in the Netherlands and Finland.

Looking at the GDP or the theoretical debt levels is nothing but deceit.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:35 | 2665612 TheSilverJournal
TheSilverJournal's picture

That's exactly why Germany will eventually agree to the ESM and Eurobonds. If the Euro goes, Germany also goes bust.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:39 | 2665622 boogerbently
boogerbently's picture

Anyone else get this on their Yahoo e-mail account?

"Yahoo! Mail is now even faster, safer, and easier to use. Yahoo! now automatically identifies items such as words, links, people, and subjects from your email to learn what matters to you so that we can deliver exciting new product features and relevant ads.

Before you can access Yahoo! Mail, we need your consent to our new Terms of Service and the Yahoo! Mail Privacy Policy. Learn more about how we protect your privacy."

The problem is, the "Terms of Service", "Privacy Policy" and "Learn More" links......DON'T WORK !!!
I am required to either click the "I Accept" button. (self explanatory), OR
the "No Thanks" button, which I assume means I wave my rights.

So they are going to read my e-mails so they can sell that info to advertizers!....
And, who knows what else!
 Where's the privacy???
Sorry, switching to Hot-Mail!

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:54 | 2665668 smlbizman
smlbizman's picture

same here booger.......

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 14:32 | 2665789 1100-TACTICAL-12
1100-TACTICAL-12's picture

Your mail is being read no matter where it is located. And you're probably on a list just for visiting this site. Land of the sheep  Home of the survaled.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 21:13 | 2667113 Papasmurf
Papasmurf's picture

If you're going to be survaled, spell it surveilled, so it can be properly tagged and catagorizied.

Who worries about email content?  "I'm at the store now".   "I just left Micky Dees".  "I'm stuck in traffic".  Surveillance is just a jobs program like TSA.

 

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 15:31 | 2666085 GeezerGeek
GeezerGeek's picture

Click ACCEPT and everything you do gets forwarded to the NSA for safekeeping.

Click No Thanks and everything you do gets forwarded to the DHS because you're trying to hide something, ergo you're a terrorist.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 19:58 | 2666905 Element
Element's picture

And Microsoft just shortened the hotmail password last week down to a max of 16 alphanumeric entries, and thus forced people to shorten any longer passwords, before they could login to Hotmail again.

Now why would microsoft want to make it easier to break email account passwords?

I'm sure it's nothing.

Wed, 08/01/2012 - 03:17 | 2667846 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Important emailz from yer terr'ist friendz can always be encrypted by PGP (or equivalent)

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 14:19 | 2665757 DosZap
DosZap's picture

GM( Obama Motrs Co),pulled all Super Bowl Ad's becasue the sport is violent.

They just sewed up a deal, DONATING 600,000,000 To fund and represent Manchester United a UK futbol team.

The same family owns an NFL team.

Way to go GM!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:02 | 2665456 mikla
mikla's picture

Now that we have no accounting standards, does anyone believe the balance sheet at any company anymore?

Bonuses and Golden Parachutes for MBAs performing "liquidation" through "short-term-defrauded-metrics" is the "New Normal".  These "executives" have no idea what their companies even *do* (e.g., how they "used-to" deliver value). The stock and bond markets are merely mechanisms to defraud people that thought they were "saving" and/or "investing".

Not a surprise.  If it's publicly-listed, it's highly suspect.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:09 | 2665499 alangreedspank
alangreedspank's picture

Not necesarilly. GM = government = accounting fraud. Not all companies are like that otherwise, not much revenue would be produced for the governement to stuff its face with.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:20 | 2665538 mikla
mikla's picture

Agree that GM is government fraud.

However, the entire financial industry is government fraud.

Now, even GE is government fraud.

Then, there is Facebook, which is merely fraud.

The new model is fraud.  The "Bezzle".  The slow liquidation of all assets, and transfer of cash to the Executives and the Board (for personal enrichment), without disclosure to the shareholder.

One day everyone wakes up, and wonders, "where did it all go?"

Answer:  It was incrementally stolen and liquidated when you were not paying attention.  That's today's model, if you are publicly-listed.

Companies don't go to the, "capital markets" to get capital to "build-things-and-deliver-value".  Rather, the capital markets are (today) a mechanism to liquidate and defraud.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:52 | 2665661 Arnold Ziffel
Arnold Ziffel's picture

GM workers just got a 6% raise so they must be doing something right.

 

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 14:03 | 2665701 mkhs
mkhs's picture

And gov workers always get yearly raises.  Plus bonus.  They surely are doing something right.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 14:27 | 2665779 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

They are close to the printing press.  soon enough, they will be at the disadvantage, because they are truly the summer grasshoppers while the busy ants have been learning to struggle. 

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:48 | 2665570 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Silly rabbit. There is no accounting "fraud" because it's all legal. Remember this? From Bloomberg Businessweek May 23, 2006 by Dawn Kopecki.

Here is the memo. The secret is to dig into the SEC rules it refers to.

http://www.fas.org/irp/dni/wh050506.html

What I find really interesting is that the Bloomberg link no longer works. This is why I always save the actual web page to my hard drive and then back it up.

Intelligence Czar Can Waive SEC Rules

Now, the White House's top spymaster can cite national security to exempt businesses from reporting requirements

President George W. Bush has bestowed on his intelligence czar, John Negroponte, broad authority, in the name of national security, to excuse publicly traded companies from their usual accounting and securities-disclosure obligations. Notice of the development came in a brief entry in the Federal Register, dated May 5, 2006, that was opaque to the untrained eye.

 

..............

 

AUTHORITY GRANTED. William McLucas, the Securities & Exchange Commission's former enforcement chief, suggested that the ability to conceal financial information in the name of national security could lead some companies "to play fast and loose with their numbers." McLucas, a partner at the law firm Wilmer Cutler Pickering Hale & Dorr in Washington, added: "It could be that you have a bunch of books and records out there that no one knows about."

The memo Bush signed on May 5, which was published seven days later in the Federal Register, had the unrevealing title "Assignment of Function Relating to Granting of Authority for Issuance of Certain Directives: Memorandum for the Director of National Intelligence." In the document, Bush addressed Negroponte, saying: "I hereby assign to you the function of the President under section 13(b)(3)(A) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended."

A trip to the statute books showed that the amended version of the 1934 act states that "with respect to matters concerning the national security of the United States," the President or the head of an Executive Branch agency may exempt companies from certain critical legal obligations. These obligations include keeping accurate "books, records, and accounts" and maintaining "a system of internal accounting controls sufficient" to ensure the propriety of financial transactions and the preparation of financial statements in compliance with "generally accepted accounting principles."

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 20:18 | 2666921 Element
Element's picture

 

 

What I find really interesting is that the Bloomberg link no longer works. This is why I always save the actual web page to my hard drive and then back it up.

Eek! Thought-crime in progress!

How can anyone fall for this laughable "National Security" lie/excuse/fantasy/bullshit/lie for every crime under the sun that's being committed by 'our' Govt, and their organised-crime enforcement syndicate?

'National Security' is possibly the greatest load of horseshit the powers that 'be', have ever dumped on the shoulders of humanity.

Popes used to control us with threats of eternal fire and brimstone, now Govt's trot-out this "National Security" arse, to scare us into compliance and submission instead.

Spot an effective difference?

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:33 | 2665601 FL_Conservative
FL_Conservative's picture

That's given the SEC plenty of available time to stream porn all day long.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 12:58 | 2665457 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

"GM's Channel Stuffing Goes To Germany: Is Europe's Largest Economy A Fraud?"

How could it not be?

Seriously.....considering how long the global Ponzi has gone on, how can anything (financial) be nothing but a fraud?

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 12:59 | 2665458 BandGap
BandGap's picture

Hell, didn't the US government buy 70000 GM cars recently? Not like this is a new tactic to fudge the perception of a dying economy.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:19 | 2665545 azzhatter
azzhatter's picture

Govt buys and strong arms companies to buy GM or threatens them with loss of govt business(GE)(UT)(GDynamics) etc. This has been going on for a couple of years now. Thank you planned economy

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 12:59 | 2665460 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Bonus time.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 15:00 | 2665909 Metalredneck
Metalredneck's picture

Hear! Hear!

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 12:59 | 2665463 FreeNewEnergy
FreeNewEnergy's picture

Bullish!

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 12:59 | 2665464 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

So they are all suffering G..M.(gross misrepresentation) Syndrome.

This is going to end well,'cause its different this time.

 

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:38 | 2665468 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Let's be optimistic.  Let's say that everyone in the world gets their act together and becomes an efficeint manufacturer.  After this glorious day, who would the earth be selling to exactly?  Mars?

Stupid fucking sheep.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 14:10 | 2665727 TIMBEEER
TIMBEEER's picture

Now that Asia has been industrialized, and the South American markets have been conquered, we still have Africa to go for..

 

Africa?

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:00 | 2665469 pods
pods's picture

Awesome, so along with consent, now demand is a manufactured item!

pods

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:14 | 2665522 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

You can't build buyers, no.  You can manufacture loans, but not payments.

The day that everyone gets a "free" GM auto on the Government, and make no mistake, that's where we're going, that will probably be the day that oil hits $1000/barrel.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:28 | 2665583 pods
pods's picture

Well the SCOTUS has ruled that congress may ask you to buy one, and if you fail to do so, you may be taxed the value of one and it is right as rain.

pods

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:44 | 2665641 Manthong
Manthong's picture

++ for that perspective

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 14:00 | 2665689 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

That's interesting and I am a fan of yours and lots of others' comments. 

Bear with me.

What SCOTUS also rules, in terms of gold, because at this point in life I define EVERYTHING in terms of gold, is that if you do not traffic [in anything] using the federal means of traffic [in anything], you are liable to whatever detriment to the federal govt. that would not be incurred otherwise. 

Thus you would pay a toll for the federal highway that you bypass to avoid the toll, an extra tax on any profitable transaction in which federal government services are not a party to, and yes, you would be additionally burdened for using any other exchange medium than the US motherfuckin D.

SCOTUS just threw down the gauntlet before states like Utah, states that seek to unburden the individual in its exaltation of sound money and choice. 

This effectively renders the gold suppression scheme as not a federal offense, however it may still be a civil one or perhaps a state one.  However once this becomes clear, then we will see who wants to still be in and who wants to be out, and who wants to be out will have a hard time of it.

There will be war between US state factions before there is war in Iran.  Hear me out.  I've always surmised that with the paths of global interest intermingled and confused, and the US military in a constant state of churning force turnover on multiple, small fronts, how long until it is American interests fighting American interests first on foreign soil and then on native soil?  We have already seen this happen - albeit in different time frames - that friendly foreigns become well-trained adversaries.  This is our own strength used against us, however delayed through time.  How long until that comes home to roost, descending like a huge black swan of unresolved implications?

We are much closer to a Civil War than anyone imagines. 

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:01 | 2665472 ShorTed
ShorTed's picture

So much for the bulletproof German economy.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:16 | 2665533 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

The fact that someone is calling out the distortion - which simply doesn't happen in this ideologically polluted land of USA - is reason to awe the German machine.

I've driven a BMW E30, when the transmission was RWD and the shifting was manual.  No computer assisted anything.  JOY.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:01 | 2665473 yrad
yrad's picture

I'll take two, please.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 20:19 | 2666973 Element
Element's picture

For the price of one ...

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:05 | 2665480 canadiandollar
canadiandollar's picture

a couple of my customers are GM suppliers and they have been warehousing alot of parts, yet when i asked the guy responsible for scheduling the presses why they keep running then, he told me because GM has the quantities on order.

all of my customers are busy beyond belief right now but they are in similar situations. it seems to me the supply chain too is being stuffed.

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:04 | 2665481 deez nutz
deez nutz's picture

'bama and his billions will buy GM (UAW) to victory!!

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:26 | 2665578 FlyoverCountryS...
FlyoverCountrySchmuck's picture

What's a few billions in taxpayer money, anyway, COMPARED TO THE GLORY OF OUR QUEER MEDIA MESSIAH, OBAMA?

You must be a rassiss, or a phobe, or a thought criminal, or sumpin'.

Wed, 08/01/2012 - 20:03 | 2670675 Papasmurf
Papasmurf's picture

Only until election day...

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:10 | 2665502 rufusbird
rufusbird's picture

bogus bonus time again!

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:35 | 2665610 youngman
youngman's picture

Exactly..if your an employee your job is only safe as long as you "produce"...it does not matter if its real or not...you get the pat on the back...let the others figure out the problems down the ladder...

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:13 | 2665520 magpie
magpie's picture

Austerity's fault ! /soros

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:14 | 2665524 The Gooch
The Gooch's picture

But... They're investing $600 Mil in a football team!

You can't make this shit up.

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/07/30/GM-invests-600-million-in-english-soccer-team

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:15 | 2665528 Meesohaawnee
Meesohaawnee's picture

global equity market is a fraud.. why not just make it all one? whats the difference?

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:15 | 2665530 irishlink
irishlink's picture

Last week you had a humorous article about the laughter of ex Google and new Yahoo employee. I am now unable to access my yahoo account so am not enjoying the humour anymore. Has anyone on this blog developed similar problems? 

Tue, 07/31/2012 - 13:20 | 2665554 Jlmadyson
Jlmadyson's picture

Super channel stuffing plus subprime blowout.

I feel like we have been here before.

We know how this story ends.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!