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Gold Matches USD Weakness As Silver Jumps

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Equity and credit markets traded in a narrow range with late day ebullience (as VIX collapsed but we note implied correlation did not) pushing them to marginally new multi-month highs and tights respectively. The markets tracked one another very closely as did HYG (the high-yield bond ETF) but into the close HYG sold off quite notably (relative to the day's action). Financials staged a late-day advance (responsible largely for the move in the index along with Energy names) as average trade size picked up right at the end suggesting covering at the end. The relatively calm in equity, credit, and FX markets (especially post Europe's close) was not at all evident in the commodity markets where Silver jumped dramatically (up over 8% on the week) while Gold gently pushed higher (+1.7% matching USD's weakness on the week). Oil was the week's biggest loser (down 0.5%) as Copper clung to 3% gains on the week. Treasuries ended the week at their high yields (30Y +19bps) with the curve considerably steeper (and 2s10s30s up nicely) which supported risk assets broadly as opposed to oil's weakness (and stability in FX carry pairs) which did not.

Commodity divergence was the theme today as Silver took off and oil did not. Ever get the feeling that as much as they try to pressure one market down or up, that liquidity squirts out somewhere...

FX markets ended with the EUR 2% higher vs USD on the week, JPY unchanged and SEK a notable winner up 3%. AUD rallied today vs USD back in line with USD overall weakness on the week.

but equity and credit markets stayed in very close proxiomity as risk was clearly on. Stability in the last day or so (amid rising average trade size) may suggest we are topping but any good news on the Greek PSI deal (no matter how totally spun it is) will probably lead to a pop given perceptions of downside risk here (and we note that the continuous ES is very clsoe to seeing the 50DMA cross above the 200DMA which is sure to garner much attention once it does). The late-day jump in financials and dump in vol may reflect mostly options run offs but its tough to fight this tape - even though the number of canaries in this coalmine continue to rise.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Sat, 01/21/2012 - 19:26 | 2085180 akak
akak's picture

At least he was honest about one thing:

I am a bacteria

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 19:35 | 2085202 trav7777
trav7777's picture

ROTFL...you stupid idiot.  A biofilm is NOT in ANY way analogous to a human city.

Humans in cities consume the MOST resources per capita!  In fact, that is what WEALTH IS.

Literally EVERYTHING you say is factually wrong and stupid!

Sun, 01/22/2012 - 00:00 | 2085749 tmosley
tmosley's picture

I see, so a person living in an apartment uses more energy for heat than someone in a country home?  You know, an apartment that has only one or at most three sides exposed to the outside weather, versus five for a standard country home?

Travelling 20 miles to town to buy goods uses less energy than walking to the corner store?  Or taking the subway along with 10,000 other people?

Honestly Trav, your idiocy is stunning.  Would you just shut up and admit that you are wrong.  There is no shame in it.  Only a fool beleives himself always right.

Sun, 01/22/2012 - 13:29 | 2086585 trav7777
trav7777's picture

did you SAY "a person in an apartment"????

NO, you claimed that development of CITIES leads to LOWER resource consumption when the EXACT OPPOSITE is true!  Civilization and "progress" lead to MORE energy consumption per capita.

The cost to heat the fucking living space is ONE little piece of energy consumption, IDIOT.

But, AGAIN, when your stupid statements get blown out of the water, you just change the subject and say something even MORE stupid.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 20:17 | 2082880 Hohum
Hohum's picture

It's dumb because nothing will ever peak?  So 50 years from now, we'll be producing 200 million barrels of liquids per day?

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 20:31 | 2082907 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Peaks are either transient, moot, or we're all dead.  Transient peaks are surpassed eventually due to higher prices opening up new production.  Moot peaks mean the technology that was reliant on the resource is obsolete, like whale oil for lighting.  We're all dead means, well, we all died, so no-one wants anything.  As everyone hasn't died before, one can reasonably make the assumption that any production peaks we see are transient or moot.

Note that we rely on oil primarily for transportation (it is easy to move and energy dense) and as a feedstock for production of chemicals.  The former can be replaced with any substance or device of similar energy density and ease of "refueling".  The latter can be replaced with agricultural waste products, increased recycling efforts, etc.  The point is that the market tends to take care of these things, when we let it.  There is no point to running around screaming about "peak this" or "peak that".  Instead, we should be addressing the root problem, government interference in the economy.  Death worshippers like Trav claim that there is "nothing anyone can do", implying that the only future that can be is "we're all dead".  But that's just dumb, especially given the fact that there already EXIST so many alternatives.  Civilization decline because of peak oil production combined with regulatory squashing of nuclear energy does not mean we died of peak oil, any more than driving off a cliff is caused by there not being enough ground.  The driver should have turned the wheel.  But the government was there pointing a gun at him telling him to hit the gas.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:08 | 2083000 trav7777
trav7777's picture

what a collection of magical thinking, muddyheaded GIBBERISH.

NO, peaks have NOT been mooted by HIGHER PRICES opening up more production! 

I have NO fucking clue where you come up with this "we're all going to die" thing...It's a CLASSIC strawman.

You have no ability to counter the argument so you MAKE UP an absurd one to counter.  Alternatives to oil...like?  Unicorn piss again?  Personal holodecks?  Pneumatic tube networks?

Good fkin god, just STFU, Cliff. 

Life will go on after peak...just a lot less of the human version of it because we depend upon hydrocarbon production to keep our population numbers this high.

Rather than take action to mitigate the suffering from that, morons like you do rain dances hoping the unicorns will piss on you.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 22:04 | 2083153 smiler03
smiler03's picture

Well said.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 22:19 | 2083187 tmosley
tmosley's picture

lolwat?  You are conflating my two arguments.  No-one is this stupid.

Peaks are made TEMPORARY by rising prices, not mooted by them.

No clue where "we're all going to die" came from?  How about your insistence on mass sterilization as the only means for humanity to survive?  How about your constant abuse of anyone talking about how to survive and thrive?  Christ, you can't even see your own arguments.

Also, note that the computer is already damn close to the idea of a personal holodeck.  It is a means by which we can do practically anything we like virtually.  But you can't use your imagination, and you don't think anyone else can either.  Which is why you think everyone is going to die, and you want THEM all to die before they use YOUR precious oil.  Go fuck yourself, death worshipper.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 23:48 | 2083305 trav7777
trav7777's picture

no production peak has ever been reversed by higher prices.

I don't expect you to know why that is.

The computer is NOWHERE NEAR a personal fucking holodeck, you idiot.  Don't you ever like get ashamed at saying such stupid things?

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 00:00 | 2083329 akak
akak's picture

Don't you ever get ashamed by hating on spics and niggers?

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 00:54 | 2083404 trav7777
trav7777's picture

i don't hate anyone...you do

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 06:12 | 2083758 akak
akak's picture

No, you only condemn them as races, desire to sterilize them into genocide, and othewise control them through the power of totalitarian government.  But no, of course not, no hate to be found in any of that.  And I hear that Joseph Mengele wept for some of his own victims as well.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 02:08 | 2083546 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Put on a 90's era virtual display and a body suit, and it will look a lot more like one.

But then, you are stuck somewhere back in the 1930's in every aspect.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 12:18 | 2084101 Schmoo
Schmoo's picture

I think the logic flaw is in thinking about peaks in production units / year - barrels of oil / year for example. It seems it would be more relevant to consider production on a per capita basis. Production may be maintained at 200M barrels / day but as the world population increases  we will continue to move farther below the peak. A massive war or zombie apocalypse might reverse this, but not much else.

 

My quick search reveals this is not anything new; however, according to this link, oil per person has been flat since 1975. (fig 1)

 

World Per Capita Oil Consumption 1965 – 2009 (pdf/3 pages)

 

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 20:57 | 2082965 trav7777
trav7777's picture

gfd you are stupid...just, really, seriously, stupid.

Peak production IS NOT MITIGATED BY PRICE.

Figure out the fucking difference between reserves and production, WILL YOU? 

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:00 | 2082975 tmosley
tmosley's picture

And there it is.  Trav doesn't believe in economics.

That's why you should never listen to anything he says.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:11 | 2083004 trav7777
trav7777's picture

you don't fucking GET IT, do you?

Peak is a matter of GEOLOGY, you fucking IDIOT.  It DOES NOT CARE about this SILLY THING we humans call price!  It never has and it never fucking will.

You CANNOT CHEAT PHYSICS, cliff.

Now STFU.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:42 | 2083088 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Fat men can't get into shape.  It's PHYSICS!  When they run out of twinkies, they die!  Physics said so!

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 23:49 | 2083308 trav7777
trav7777's picture

that is the stupidest response I think I've ever read.

Yes, if fat people run out of FOOD, they eventually DIE.

Did you mean to say this?  You asked someone, fess up...

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 02:09 | 2083549 tmosley
tmosley's picture

THE ONLY SOURCE OF FOOD IS TWINKIES MAKE YOUR TIME.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 20:28 | 2082898 drivenZ
drivenZ's picture

not to mention that report is from 2009, which means the data is probably from 08. Which means silver is way up which means economical reserves are also way up. The price action also means there's probably been alot more exploration going on. 

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 20:49 | 2082947 akak
akak's picture

Yes, that is a very good and accurate assessment of the situation regarding silver reserves.

Note, though, that my points still hold regardless of any new mineral exploration or discoveries since that report.  To reiterate and re-emphasize, mineral reserves are NOT (necessarily) a static or declining quantity, but CAN increase solely due to price increases of the underlying commodity in question.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 14:35 | 2084437 My Days Are Get...
My Days Are Getting Fewer's picture

I accept your comments and can not improve on what you have written.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 22:40 | 2083229 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

"The USGS reported around 2009 that there will be no minable silver ore left by 2022."

cue the JPM report that by 2021 there will be... drumroll...

ABIOTIC SILVER (Trav will be along to tell everyone "I told you so")...

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 20:58 | 2082968 trav7777
trav7777's picture

YES!

Silver production will eventually peak.  Then it will receive a significant price tailwind.  I've said that a million fucking times, wtf is wrong with you people?

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 20:59 | 2082972 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Clearly, the problem is with everyone else, not you.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:12 | 2083010 trav7777
trav7777's picture

no, just people like you- shameless bullshitters and the pitiful lemmings who want to believe the bullshit.

There are several people here who tell unpopular truths, about race, about energy, about a lot of things.  And cretins like you have the audacity to argue with us.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:44 | 2083093 tmosley
tmosley's picture

I am literally laughing out loud.  Who is "US"?  The voices in your head?

Or are you the Queen, and speaking in the third person?

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 23:53 | 2083322 trav7777
trav7777's picture

don't front, cliff...I'm hardly the first or the last person to embarrass you on ZH.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 00:05 | 2083333 akak
akak's picture

You know, I used to know cowardly bullies like you in grade school.

Most of them dropped out and probably ended up in prison.

Is that the source of your endless racism, rage and hostility, trav --- your incarceration?  And all the buttraping that ol' Otis and LeBron regularly deal out to you in the shower?  Don't worry though --- rumor has it that after a few years of that kind of thing, you come to enjoy it.  I have little doubt that your sentence will extend at least that long.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 00:07 | 2083339 trav7777
trav7777's picture

your incessant homoerotic fantasies could form a psych study on their own.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 00:13 | 2083342 akak
akak's picture

Did you ever hear the joke about the White Power skinhead, the close-minded narcissistic doomer, and the anger-managment-dropout who walk into a gay bar?

Their name was trav.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 00:57 | 2083408 dogbreath
dogbreath's picture

"No mineable silver ore left by 2022"........a mere 11 years and we will be out of ore, thats quite the statement but very obviously without credibility.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:53 | 2082677 catacl1sm
catacl1sm's picture

Don't forget all of the silver 'lost' in boating accidents. Happens all of the time. We really need a PSA to inform people about this all too common and unfortunate accident and how they can avoid being a victim.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 22:14 | 2083176 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

I agree with the others, why are you so fuckan stupid when it comes to the topic of silver?

Just a complete douchebag.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 17:41 | 2082463 SHEEPFUKKER
SHEEPFUKKER's picture

None of the price action makes much sense day to day anymore, but I have been wondering why oil hasn't been getting smacked down by TPTB. 

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:47 | 2082654 Rainman
Rainman's picture

USA gas consumption is at a 10 year low, one giddy reason why crude is off today. The next Hormuz rumor should bring it back up.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-19/oil-gains-as-u-s-jobless-claims-fall-to-lowest-level-in-almost-four-years.html

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:14 | 2083016 trav7777
trav7777's picture

let's see here...falling supply and falling consumption...permanent high price.

Pretty consistent with what should be expected post-peak.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 22:20 | 2083188 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

You may have a point here, but I'll still junk you for good measure on your silver buffoonery/douchebaggery.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 17:44 | 2082474 pan
pan's picture

Gold & Silver bitchez!

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:01 | 2082530 pakled
pakled's picture

Right u r friend.

 

But let us not forget that AU & AG are part of a complete breakfast.

Think FOOD bitch-chez.

Better yet...

Think SELF SUFFICIENCY ZH friends.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:32 | 2082778 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

agree.  i have something better than silver and gold. 

ten acres of dirt, and a deep water well.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 20:18 | 2082882 Rockfish
Rockfish's picture

Thats great and don't worry about your deep water well if they start fracking near by. I just read something here on ZH pretty much popooing risk of a flame out in your sink.

Otherwise your spot on, I would pick up a couple solar cells and wind turbine.

RF

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 17:50 | 2082477 DavidPierre
DavidPierre's picture

Silver, how "fractional" is it?

You may have noticed that Silver is up better than 3.5% today.

 Is this in anticipation of the Sprott ETF, PSLV entering the market to purchase some 10 million ounces? Is this "settlement day" where Mr. Sprott has the funds at hand and IS making purchases?

Only Eric and his traders know the answer to these questions. The metal had better all be delivered within 4-6 weeks time. The sharks will again start circling like they did last winter and early spring as time passes if confirmation of full and good delivery is not reported.

In other words, another delivery cycle that takes up to 4 months to complete will not "sit well" with market participants.

Last time around there were rumors that some of the Silver delivered had refining dates AFTER the purchases were actually made!

Let's see if this same scenario happens again. ...And if/when this trade is completed and settled, then comes another 10 million ounces? Can this one, or the next...or the next be filled?  At some point, we will find out where "the bottom of the barrel is" and the Jeff Christian's and Jon Nadler's of the world will forever have to shut up and leave town. We know from Jeff Christian's "flub" last year in CFTC testimony that the metals markets are "fractionally reserved", sooner or later we'll find out "how" fractional.  

It will be much sooner than later.

www.lemetropolecafe.com

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 17:51 | 2082501 trav7777
trav7777's picture

huh?

THE SELLERS are responsible to deliver the silver, NOT the Comex.

There's nothing wrong with any of this so long as silver is delivered by sellers of futures against whom the claims of longs accrue.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 17:55 | 2082511 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

 Is this in anticipation of the Sprott ETF, PSLV entering the market to purchase some 10 million ounces? Is this "settlement day" where Mr. Sprott has the funds at hand and IS making purchases?

The current spot price of silver and gold are derived from the fraudulent COMEX.  I highly doubt Sprott is buying his physical metal through a well-known corrupt futures exchange, headed by the kleptocracy of JPM.

Looks like short covering to me.

 

 

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:50 | 2082667 balz
balz's picture

Of course he probably buys it elsewhere... But this is a closed market: if Sprott takes 10 millions onces out of the circulation, the CRIMEX will eventually suffer as they will have less physical to cover their fraud.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 22:48 | 2083240 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

hey, nope!  10-04 on that!

won't slow down his trolling tho!(see ORI)

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:08 | 2082552 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Yeah, and the exchange has ABSOLUTELY NO RESPONSIBILITY to ensure delivery of contracts.  NONE WHATSOEVER.

So. Fucking. Stupid.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:54 | 2082825 akak
akak's picture

Well, with Trav you are dealing with a lunatic who believes not only that the level of melanin in one's skin is the primary if not sole determinant of that person's intellectual, psychological and social development, but who evidently also believes that those with higher skin levels of melanin are solely responsible for all the sins of the world.

With such simplistic and revolting collectivist and racist "thinking", it goes without saying that "stupid" is pretty much included in the same package.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:00 | 2082976 trav7777
trav7777's picture

You can repeat as many lies as you want, moron, but that won't make them true.

Melanin is a consequence, not a cause. 

Go back to chewing paint chips now, bitch.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:05 | 2082986 akak
akak's picture

And is mental retardation, collectivist thinking and racial hatred a consequence, or a cause, of your ZeroHedge posting history?

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:16 | 2083025 trav7777
trav7777's picture

racial hatred?  WTF?

How do you get that from my wanting to help failed races to succeed?

Idiots like you will go the way of the dodo bird.  It is inevitable.  Reality invariably crashes your party and shows you to be a naked fool.

There is no way around it, akock.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 00:16 | 2083350 akak
akak's picture

racial hatred?  WTF?

How do you get that from my wanting to help failed races to succeed?

 

Oh my fucking God. 

Can you be any more pathetically funny --- and horribly disgusting at the same time?

I couldn't make shit like that up if I tried.

 

Behold the "non-racism" of trav --- "really, I only want to help THE FAILED RACES!!"

 

LOLOLOLOLOL

 

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 01:03 | 2083413 trav7777
trav7777's picture

what's the problem, you don't want to help them?  what's wrong with you?  You totally lack compassion and empathy.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 02:33 | 2083586 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Can we all chip in and get you that medication you so desperately need? 

Trav+help=compassion and empathy? WTF.

Where's Rod Serling?

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 02:11 | 2083555 tmosley
tmosley's picture

"Help" through sterilization.

And you wonder why people hate you.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 16:36 | 2084830 trav7777
trav7777's picture

animals with genetic limitations require genetic enhancement.

Nobody dies.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 19:08 | 2085146 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Too bad genes don't have nearly as much of an effect on IQ as childhood disease.

But you wouldn't understand that, since you got the AIDS from your uncle when you were three.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 19:39 | 2085209 trav7777
trav7777's picture

childhood disease is preventable.  So are bad genes.

What happened to you can be prevented.  Nobody need be that stupid.

Sun, 01/22/2012 - 00:03 | 2085755 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Yes, childhood disease is preventable.  WIth resources.  Having a 90% die off is not conducive to that.

But what do you care about consequences as long as you have your precious oil?

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 20:14 | 2082874 DosZap
DosZap's picture

tmosley

Yeah, and the exchange has ABSOLUTELY NO RESPONSIBILITY to ensure delivery of contracts.  NONE WHATSOEVER.

 

TM, when these poor schmucks call up to convert, and hear those fateful words...............WE can't make good on phyizz delivery(and WE don't have to, Na na na na na naH, we're sending Berniebuks), the Wails of fools will echo all the way to Valhalla.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:20 | 2083034 trav7777
trav7777's picture

the problem with the mosely-clavens of the world is that they think they're smart.

The exchanges already have mechanisms in place that specify counterparty rights in the event that the SHORTS cannot deliver on contracts.

Yes, the exchange has NO RESPONSIBILITY to deliver the metal.  It will elect to if it has sufficient supply on hand that has been delivered BY SHORTS TO IT.  Otherwise, it has alternatives, including forcing longs to lease to shorts for redelivery, or mandatory cash settlement.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 22:54 | 2083250 tmosley
tmosley's picture

So delayed delivery or default.  

Hurp, dat wunt hav nuh fect on da silber at all.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 23:58 | 2083328 trav7777
trav7777's picture

total default has already happened on other metals.

The LME had nickel delivery fail several years ago.  The world did not end, the shorts just took it up the ass.  The exchange FORCED the longs to lease supply to shorts.

Nobody is going to allow a paper squeeze like the Hunts did.  They will crush it, as they have repeatedly.

but, let's set that aside for the time being.

Your ORIGINAL reply seemed to claim that the Comex HAD a responsibility to deliver.  Now that I have blown that (and you) out of the water (again) by pointing out the stupidity of your statement, you have AGAIN changed the subject to something about "it not having an effect on silver."

That it would or would not have an effect on silver was NOT AT ISSUE.  The argument, in case you forgot, was whether COMEX has a responsibility to deliver metal.  It does not.  It has contract language IN PLACE insulating it from default.

So, when faced with this, you just think you can migrate off onto some strawman and get away with it?  Listen up, bitch:  if you want to stop getting shown up SHUT YOUR MOUTH.  Simple as that, STFU.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 00:22 | 2083360 akak
akak's picture

Just fuck you already, you revolting, racist, disgusting piece of filth troll and would-be bully.

Your blind rage, cowardice and unreason are once again on parade for all to see.

 

Dance, racist troll-clown, dance for the (virtual) audience!

You never disappoint in that regard, anyway.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 01:04 | 2083417 trav7777
trav7777's picture

are you married to this ass clown so that you feel the need to defend him all the time?  that's IT, isn't it?  That would explain a lot of the homo shit you say.

Which one of you is the bitch?

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 06:16 | 2083760 akak
akak's picture

Sorry, I can't understand a word you're saying with that big black cock in your mouth.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 02:15 | 2083560 tmosley
tmosley's picture

The exchange DOES have a responsibility to deliver the metal.  Sorry, that's the way it is.  Just because someone murdered someone once doesn't mean that it is legal to kill people.  A default is a default is a default.  

Add in the fact that there is just plain no fucking silver, and you have a powder keg.

Why don't you go cry to your wife...oh, sorry.  :(((((

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 16:37 | 2084835 trav7777
trav7777's picture

you didn't read the prospectus, DID YOU?

Stop talking shit, stop babbling, stop weaseling and then GO AND DO IT.

Sun, 01/22/2012 - 00:05 | 2085763 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Ok, give me a link to the mythical prospectus of the exchange.

Pretty sure exchanges don't issue prospecti.  Also, pretty sure you are talking out of your ass more than 90% of the time.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:49 | 2083090 Captain Kink
Captain Kink's picture

DZ--this is why you own the physical and not the futures...isn't that obvious to everyone here?   Trade em short run or even the slv/gld/etc., but own the physical for that fateful day...

 

and own the physical does not mean sprott or any other custodied account...it means hold it in your hands, physically.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:17 | 2083029 trav7777
trav7777's picture

did you read the prospectus, moron?

Might wanna.

Or, hell, you can see what the LME did when nickel shorts couldn't deliver.

But, then again, no...keep talking shit out of your backside regarding things about which you know next to nothing and harbor nothing but erroneous perceptions.  It's amusing to make fun of you.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:59 | 2082689 DavidPierre
DavidPierre's picture

Remember when?

Go back to 2005... there was much talk by the Google bulls. They were so confident about which would hit $500 first, Google or Gold?

Jim Sinclair was considered as a "whacko" because his price objective for Gold was $1,650. He is still with us and to his credit, he has selflessly propped up many  "weak kneed" precious metals investors along the way.

$1,650 Gold and $600 Google...Any significance here?

 Gold, the barbaric, non interest bearing, costly to hold and useless "commodity" that you can't eat, drink, or use has outperformed Google 3 to 1!

Google was on track to take over the entire world back in 2005... weren't they?

If Google grew according to projections, they would be larger than all the world's GDP combined!  Google, until last night was THE darling of Wall Street with the exception of Apple.  Yet Gold and Silver have grossly outperformed.

"Normally" if Wall Street sees something outperform... especially for 11 years running they jump on the band wagon and begin packaging, touting, "recommending", shilling... whatever it is that's gotten hot. They "push" the easy sell. It doesn't matter if the product is "dog crap in a brown paper bag", if it's hot, they push it for all it's worth to suck the public into the bubble.  

They then short it and fleece the public, ALWAYS!

This by the way is not a recent invention, it has been done 100's of times over 100's of years. It could be for a viable product or an outright Ponzi scheme.  No matter, as long as a tale can be spun that the public will chase, financiers...Wall Street will try to take advantage of it.

 Why hasn't Gold been shoved down people's throats by the big Wall Street firms?

It surely should be by now, it's as simple as flipping a light switch to sell this outperformer to anyone and everyone. But it hasn't happened...yet.

 Understand that precious metals are an entirely "different animal" when it comes to investing.

Gold is THE direct competitor to "freely" printed monopoly Dollars.

There is a VESTED interest by anyone and everyone associated with Washington and Wall St. to discourage investors from "leaving the system" of paper and moving to the refuge of real money. "They" must keep you inside the system or the system...Ponzi scheme... fails!

"Gold is real money" but it needs to repeated over and over again because with each and every correction or pullback in price investors become "suicidal"! "Suicidal" is truly the word to use because not only do people get scared, when they do pull the trigger and "sell"... panic... not only are they losing their place on the life raft, they are jumping back onto the Titanic!

Gold and Silver have been badmouthed, obstacles to entry erected at every entrance...  have been fractionally sold by mountains of paper contracts...100:1... for more than 11 years.  The army of Wall St. brokers have tried to scare the bejesus out of anyone "stupid enough" to even consider investing in something so "weird, scary, volatile and downright dangerous"!

 Yet, they have still outperformed!

There is nothing but fear and loathing in the Gold market, yet "they" call it a bubble because of it's "high" price.

NOTHING can be in a "bubble" until the public in general ... en masse... participates! 

Less than 2% of Americans are invested in or have even held an ounce of Gold in their hand. Bubbles just cannot be blown with only 2% ! The "trade" is still rather empty and just waiting to be filled up and this will happen in an outright panic fashion. What is in the future will be MULTIPLES UPON MULTIPLES of what is past where the precious metals are concerned! 

www.lemetropolecafe.com

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:06 | 2082714 Spacemoose
Spacemoose's picture

thanks for your post.  do you mind if i smoke?

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:15 | 2082730 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

Can I bum one?

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:42 | 2082799 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

ask Bubba Clinton about "smoking" & "bums"...

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:12 | 2083011 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Nothing can be a bubble unless a bank is behind it leveraging it.

If people start buying up gold and silver on credit cards it will bubble.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 17:46 | 2082479 zerotohero
zerotohero's picture

Times like these remind me why I buy physical - it's real, it's in my possesion, gov't doesn't know I have it, banks don't have my cash, it looks nice, and my wife says it makes me look better.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:05 | 2082547 SilverRhino
SilverRhino's picture

.Gov certainly knows who bought it.   If it went across the internet or a bank wire tansfer, they know. 

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:11 | 2082565 tekhneek
tekhneek's picture

That's why you "sell" it and keep the "receipt" for the transaction in which the person paid you cash.

Problem solved.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:24 | 2082607 donsluck
donsluck's picture

If I were to buy from you, or anyone, I would insist on a receipt, so when I do eventually sell, my taxes will only be on the profit. Otherwise I would have to pay taxes on the ENTIRE VALUE. It's difficult to buy and sell in the black market, and dealers need to file that 1099 thingy.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:34 | 2082630 tekhneek
tekhneek's picture

My point is I can provide a receipt as proof of sale whilst still having the actual asset I supposedly sold for when confiscation day comes a'knockin.

I'd rather owe the tax man FRN's than give them physical.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:21 | 2082746 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

No confiscation day is coming.

The scariest thing -- so scary that even we who style ourselves rebels are afraid to face it -- is that the Perversion, that we have lived with all our lives, is getting ready to just -- vanish.  Like a bad dream.  Like frost in the sun.  Like tears in the rain.

We will be on our own soon, with nothing to bitch about. 

Make sure that you are ready for that. 

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 20:58 | 2082967 Raymond Reason
Raymond Reason's picture

Our idol, the US govt, will show itself to be a false god.  Lots of teeth gnashing.  We will be forced to look for welfare and support from among our friends, churches, and families and yes, God.  And those sources won't tolerate parasites for long.  So even the parasites will finally look to themselves (or commit suicide).   We're about to be chastised as a people, my friends.  Gird thyselves.   

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:37 | 2082633 Sub-MOA
Sub-MOA's picture

Go to your local gunshow and buy/sell PMs.  Yes, if you want a receipt for either transaction you can get one and it can read any value you want it to. Mostly I observe strict cash'n'carry and sometimes a trade for fabricated steel lead launchers, all cemented with nothing more than a friendly smile and look in the eye over a handshake.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:42 | 2082803 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

amen to that...

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:49 | 2082823 tekhneek
tekhneek's picture

Precisely my friend.

Cheers.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 20:25 | 2082895 fnord88
fnord88's picture

unless you live in a country like australia where you lose 20% in capital gains tax. Then thats called fraud and you go to jail. 

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 17:50 | 2082495 Thomas Jefferson
Thomas Jefferson's picture

Silver Bitchez!  Hi Ho Silva!

Paper tards go vote for Newt.  Bwahahahahaha!

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 17:52 | 2082499 junkyardjack
junkyardjack's picture

Looks like Silver just hit a bunch of stop losses for shorts

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 17:56 | 2082514 tekhneek
tekhneek's picture

$2 of silver for every $1 of gold, bitchez.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:00 | 2082527 brunoaa
brunoaa's picture

One paradox :  even tough there is far less silver available than gold, one handicap Silver needs to overcome to become an alternative store of value is its low price. If you want to store 1 Million USD in Gold, that is rougly 20 bars of 1 Kg= 20 KG with you can carry in your backpack. The same 1 Million USD in silver will represent 1 000 kg, not so easy to carry... once this effect is overcome (maybe around 300 USD/Oz, but still  100 kg..)) then we will probably have some kind of hyperbolical rise

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:05 | 2082546 CompassionateFascist
CompassionateFascist's picture

Gold will be the store of VALUE. Silver will the medium of EXCHANGE.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:26 | 2083045 trav7777
trav7777's picture

evolution doesn't go that way.  People PREFER paper money.  You can't run it backwards.  eDollars are preferred to cash.  This is why so many people have ELECTED to trade with units of account rather than physical things.

Paper money and eMoney are not going away

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:38 | 2083072 Jendrzejczyk
Jendrzejczyk's picture

.....but some physical insurance is always prudent.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:47 | 2083107 tmosley
tmosley's picture

HAHAHAHAHA!!!

I guess the gold standard between the period of the French Revolution and 1971 was devolution then?  Tell me, were the blacks in charge?

Did the blacks invade China after their fiat experiment ended in disaster, and reinstitute the silver standard?

"HUUUURRRR, I's Trav.  I make shit up and try to browbeat anyone who calls me out on my dumbassery, HUUURP."

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 00:03 | 2083332 trav7777
trav7777's picture

you shameless, dissembling WEASEL.

You are REALLY going to claim that the gold standard had people trading fucking silver and NOT using paper until 1971?

We've been using the FRN or US Note (and greenbacks and many other banknotes) since the INCEPTION OF THE COUNTRY, you stinking MORON.

The fucking colonies used PAPER SCRIP.

JFC, you are the biggest moron I've ever encountered.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 00:25 | 2083365 akak
akak's picture

We've been using the FRN or US Note (and greenbacks and many other banknotes) since the INCEPTION OF THE COUNTRY, you stinking MORON.

Behold the lies and stupidity of trav on display.  Your cup of ignorance overfloweth once again.

For your dishonesty-addled information, US Notes were not issued until well after the Civil War, and Federal Reserve notes not until the 1910s --- neither period coinciding with the inception of the country.

 

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 01:06 | 2083419 trav7777
trav7777's picture

you didn't notice the other items in the parentheses, did you?

moron.  Like shooting really stupid fish in a barrel.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 11:09 | 2084015 tmosley
tmosley's picture

No, you claim continuity where there was none.  You know, like a desperate idiot trying to paint the world to be the way he wants it to be.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 19:45 | 2085220 trav7777
trav7777's picture

At NO POINT in this country's history was paper not traded.

In fact, for the ENTIRE HISTORY of the global british empire, they had paper.  The BOE has been issuing banknotes CONTINUOUSLY since 1694.  And in the US, paper money has been in primary use since BEFORE INDEPENDENCE.  The Sterling Bill was the world reserve currency, a PAPER NOTE (ostensibly backed by gold).

Do you EVEN BOTHER to do a SINGLE OUNCE of research before opening your fucking mouth???

How many goddamned times is it going to take of your getting BLOWED UP AGAIN before you figure it out, dipshit?

Sun, 01/22/2012 - 00:08 | 2085767 tmosley
tmosley's picture

What the fuck is wrong with you?  

Seriously.

The US had free banking after the revolution, which means that individual banks issued notes.  Gold was money.

I guess you think that checks are legal tender, and that one doesn't need to have money in the account to buy things, and that a system based on writing hot checks can last forever.

Christ almighty.  Go see a fucking therapist.

Sun, 01/22/2012 - 13:38 | 2086603 trav7777
trav7777's picture

do you or do you not GET, retard, that since the age of goldsmiths issuing warehouse receipts THAT TRADED AS MONEY, that paper has been a primary means of trade?

What the fuck do checks have to do with legal tender laws?  Answer: NOTHING.  This is irrelevant.  It's a STRAWMAN.  So is this crap about "hot checks" when the ISSUE was paper money versus the trade of ACTUAL metals (which is idiotic).

Checks ARE negotiable and CAN be traded as money.  In fact, this is what USED to happen very frequently.  Banknotes are another example of that.  Paper money has been around CONTINUOUSLY since 1694, and in reality most of the time for 700 years prior just in Europe alone.

Good lord, you are so fucking ignorant.  How many MORE times is it going to take before you shut the fuck up?

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 05:42 | 2083744 falak pema
falak pema's picture

Are you part of the Tmosley/ Trav punch n judy show?

Now that Leo the last has disappeared it must feel lonely...

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 16:36 | 2084826 akak
akak's picture

On the contrary, I revel in the Leo-free zone --- the quality of discussion on ZeroHedge has only been uplifted with the removal of that rabidly Keynesian, statist bastard.  What he was ever doing HERE in the first place was a complete mystery to me, as his consistently pro-Establishment, pro-government, pro-corruption, pro-crony capitalism message was exactly contrary to EVERYTHING that ZeroHedge otherwise stood for and promoted.  Good riddance to bad rubbish.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 02:18 | 2083568 tmosley
tmosley's picture

lol, yeah sure, the paper wasn't backed up and exchangable for gold specie until 1933.

The mint just made that shit for shits and giggles.

lol, Trav can't tell the difference between a good check and a hot check.  Hey Trav, I've got a trillion dollar check, wanna cash it for me?  You can have it for just $10K.  

lol

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 16:38 | 2084838 trav7777
trav7777's picture

Golly, Cliff, I just went out and my FRNs still buy me shit, backed or not!

Idiot.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 22:11 | 2083169 Not For Reuse
Not For Reuse's picture

This is 100% true.

Also of note, from the field, like it or not, when you bring 1 oz gold coins into a random country to trade them for currency... You will get a much better rate in a 1st world country like UK rather than a 3rd world country where everyone is supposed to cream their panties over the pissish metal.

This is 100% based on personal experience: Travel with gold to a large country, you get a better forex than USD Travel to a small country, you get jack shit.

Paper money is not going away

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 22:22 | 2083193 tmosley
tmosley's picture

lol, sure, see how long that lasts.  Already forgot that Zimbabwe went back to an unofficial gold standard during their hyperinflation.

Just because some ignorant rube doesn't give you his whole farm for a shiney coin doesn't mean that there will never be a gold standard again.  The country rubes in China wouldn't accept anything but paper money or barter, but that didn't stop them from taking up a silver standard after the issuing dynasty collapsed.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 00:05 | 2083335 trav7777
trav7777's picture

you'll get an even worse rate for silver elsewhere, shitbrain

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 02:31 | 2083584 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Says the ignorant rube.

Christ, you haven't paid one fucking bit of attention to what I have been saying this whole fucking time.  I'M NOT TRADING SILVER FOR DOLLARS, YOU DUMB FUCK.  I don't give a single shit about what rate some rube will give me, because I won't take him up on it unless I have a clear opportunity to change the offer into more silver.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 16:39 | 2084843 trav7777
trav7777's picture

You're the rube in any transaction

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 17:02 | 2084904 akak
akak's picture

And you're the lube which causes every thread in which you are involved to slide into pointless argument, distraction and divisive, hateful bickering.

I wonder how much you are paid to undermine honest discussion here, troll?

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 19:47 | 2085223 trav7777
trav7777's picture

dude.  Don't flatter yourself.  What you guys are doing isn't "discussion."  You shamefully try to quash any dissent.  You want this to be your little club.  And if that doesn't happen, you become a BITCH and try to get people banned.  It ain't gonna happen, got it?

Nothing honest about you.

Sun, 01/22/2012 - 00:13 | 2085774 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Sorry, are you talking about yourself?

I have never seen anyone attack anyone else as rabidly as you attack ANYONE who disagrees with you, and you rarely use any form of fact to make your arguments.  You just ask "how many times do I have to tell you?" and call people names.

And yet you still wonder why your wife left you.  Surely it's all someone else's fault.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 10:57 | 2083686 Not For Reuse
Not For Reuse's picture

Dude, in Zimbabwe they washed off raggedy old $1 FRNs and hung them up to dry on clotheslines.

Can you not reconcile the fact that gold may very well become more valuable due to peak production and debt default, with the fact that people born after 1970 will still prefer a paper or digital currency due to its sheer transactional facility?

Or is it all a binary option for you?

Gold is Gold and Paper is Paper, and never the twain shall meet

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 11:14 | 2084020 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Eh?  Who the fuck says that?  We had paper notes that could be traded for gold at any bank window for more than a hundred years in this country.  Paper is only divorced from physical reality in a system where the rule of law is ignored.  You know, like today.  Reinstitute the rule of law and a gold standard where any citizen can freely exchange notes for gold at a fixed rate, and I will happily move most of my money back into the system.

And yes, Zimbabwe used foreign currencies as well.  But you didn't catch them using foreign currencies that were in the grip of hyperinflation.  They did, however, use gold.

Sat, 01/21/2012 - 12:30 | 2084129 Not For Reuse
Not For Reuse's picture

Why are you arguing with me, then?

All I did was agree with the statement that paper/ digital money is not going to disappear. It's not.

Also offered the anecdotal observation that you can actually get a tighter exchange rate at the retail level converting gold into, say, GBP, than converting USD into the same... IF you're in a 1st world country. Have you found otherwise?

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:28 | 2082766 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

Gold is for princes.  Silver is for people.

But because there is so little silver, and because its rise will be so much faster than gold, it will overshoot its proper value.  Its rise will end somewhere between 10::1 and 3::1, before it starts to correct.

It will end up between 12::1 and 15::1, but the correction will take as much as a generation.

My grandchildren, if I am fortunate enough to have them, will never believe me when I tell them about the discussions and arguments I had with the people on the legendary ZeroHedge.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:07 | 2082550 fuu
fuu's picture

Silver bells...

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:11 | 2082569 tekhneek
tekhneek's picture

It's strip club time come September...

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:13 | 2082576 fuu
fuu's picture

That was in tune and on the beat. Nice.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:32 | 2083058 trav7777
trav7777's picture

you make it rain with silver and you gonna hurt a bitch

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 22:34 | 2083220 s2man
s2man's picture

Huh?

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 23:55 | 2083323 akak
akak's picture

Let me take down my Travtardo-to-English dictionary, and attempt a translation:

"My name is Trav, and I like to bitch, because the rising price of silver hurts me almost as much as the constant rain of red arrows."

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:17 | 2082584 yogibear
yogibear's picture

All the commodities ready for a blastoff once Bernanke and the QE doves announce their massive QE/printing/dollar trashing party.

We should see oil really take off once the Fed gets their printing party going.

This is a green light for all companies to start raising prices for more profits.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:21 | 2082592 Lost Wages
Lost Wages's picture

I want to throw all my silver on the bed and roll around in it.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:24 | 2082602 tekhneek
tekhneek's picture

I put it on my table whilst I work. It gives me motivation and reminds me why I'm doing what I'm doing.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:35 | 2082629 fuu
fuu's picture

I like to put it in a wooden chest, wear an eyepatch and a funny hat, and play pirate.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:26 | 2082757 zerotohero
zerotohero's picture

Oh you lol

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:29 | 2082768 IrritableBowels
IrritableBowels's picture

I found out the gf doesn't like to be called 'beer wench.'

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:30 | 2082771 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

I like to keep one ounce in my pocket, when I walk outside in the dark of night.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:34 | 2082782 zerotohero
zerotohero's picture

Ok now I almost pissed myself LOL

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 20:07 | 2082861 jomama
jomama's picture

who says us coin clutchers are fringe?

this seems perfectly normal to me!

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:43 | 2082649 55 men
55 men's picture

All this talk about silver gives me a funny feeling inside.....I am going to go look at mine to help fight the urge.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:30 | 2082773 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

What if your urges are smarter than you are?

Don't dream it.  Be it.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:53 | 2082834 55 men
55 men's picture

It depends on what head that urge is coming from. 

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:22 | 2082597 chump666
chump666's picture

the dow and nasdaq/S&P diverge? haha.

correlation trade is oil and this is sell.  some fool bought fat on the dow.   and europe is now correcting etc etc etc

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:25 | 2082610 Not For Reuse
Not For Reuse's picture

closed out spec... thanks for the quick cash, silver bears

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:30 | 2082620 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Shucks.  The silver I have been accumulating for the last three years won't buy me anything at the store because they won't accept it as payment, and I can't eat it.  What good has it done me?

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:40 | 2082641 redpill
redpill's picture

You can give it to me for Valentine's Day and skip the chocolates

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 18:54 | 2082678 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Good because I'd rather keep the chocolates.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:39 | 2082794 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

All kidding aside.  I have a couple of investments that may be better than silver.

Cocoa powder, and black pepper.

Do you know how much that stuff is worth, when we in the north can't get it anymore?  Do you know how much it costs now?  Do you know how the nobility in Europe used to pay for black pepper?  ( And if they could have tasted cocoa -- oh my.  More so. ) 

Do you know how well it stores, in a cool dark place? 

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 19:50 | 2082827 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Just don't breathe any in.  If you haven't done that before, the old cartoons don't do it justice.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 20:57 | 2082966 css1971
css1971's picture

Phosphorus.

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 21:01 | 2082977 tmosley
tmosley's picture

That seems unwise...

Fri, 01/20/2012 - 22:15 | 2083184 smiler03
smiler03's picture

Sarin.

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