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Gold Nears €1,300/oz - Euro Lower After EU Downgrades and Greece Jitters

Tyler Durden's picture




 

From GoldCore

Gold Nears €1,300/oz - Euro Lower After EU Downgrades and Greece Jitters

Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,643.50, GBP 1,074.60, and EUR 1,298.90 per ounce.

Friday's AM fix was USD 1,642.00, GBP 1,070.27, and EUR 1,281.71 per ounce.

Spot gold is again above the 200 day moving average near $1,638/oz. Gold prices have rallied 5% so far in 2012, with the eurozone debt crisis and the growing tension between Iran and the west supporting gold's safe haven status.


Cross Currency Table - Bloomberg

Although gold had its largest drop in the last 2 weeks on Friday, (-1.6%), it was 1.3% higher on the week and trading higher this morning.  Many analysts feel that current sovereign, macroeconomic and geopolitical risks are not reflected in gold's price.

Friday's news of France's loss of its AAA rating has put the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) at risk. The Eurozone economy resembles a large ship sailing in rough seas since France fund's 20% of the EFSF fund and 8 other members were also downgraded.


Gold XAU-USD Rate - G14 Daily - Bloomberg

This will almost certainly lead to the EFSF's downgrade which would result in the fund too paying more to borrow as credit costs rise.  There are icebergs lurking in increasingly murky Eurozone waters. The European downgrades were long expected and may have been priced in the markets. The risk of a non orderly Greek default and of contagion in the Eurozone remains and is not priced into markets. It would lead to the euro falling sharply against other fiat currencies and particularly against gold.


XAU-EUR Rate G14 Daily - Bloomberg

Gold has risen 7.4% in euro terms in the first two weeks of the year.  Gold at €1,298/oz today is less than 4.7% from its record high in euros of €1,359/oz (09/09/11).  Given the scale of the crisis, new record highs in euro terms could be seen in the near future.

The situation with Iran is also likely to support gold prices. Crude oil prices remain near recent highs due to concerns over supply disruptions - after Iran warned Arab countries of consequences if they raised oil output to replace Iranian production facing international sanctions.

Gold jewellery demand in India has risen from 5 to 7 % in 2011, and is projected to grow another  10 to 15 percent this year said the head of India's largest jewellery retailer confirmed on Sunday. 

UBS saw an increase in physical gold demand last Friday to the highest so far in 2012 confirming that India is a buyer at these levels although Reuters report that demand was more lack lustre in India overnight.

This strongly suggests that demand in India is more robust and less sensitive to higher prices than the bears have claimed. The Indian sub continent continues to buy the dip.

For breaking news and commentary on financial markets and gold, follow us on Twitter.

NEWS
(Reuters)
Gold steady after S&P downgrades; dollar pressures

(MarketWatch)
Gold futures gain in Asian trading

(Reuters)
Indian gold jewellery demand seen up 10-15 pct in 2012

COMMENTARY
(The Telegraph)
The French downgrade should be a warning about hidden UK liabilities

(CNBC)
http://www.cnbc.com/id/45989663 ">Faber: US Should be BBB or Junk ... Hold Gold

(Mineweb)
Rapid rise to $10,000 gold 'strains credibility'

(ZeroHedge)
How Safe Are Central Banks? UBS Worries The Eurozone Is Different

(ZeroHedge)
Overnight Long/Intraday Short Gold Fund More Than Doubles In Just Over A Year: Generates 43% Annualized Return

(The NY Sun)
Secrets of the Fed

 

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Mon, 01/16/2012 - 08:18 | 2068286 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

well, end of 2010 or so I was quite sure Greece would default around Summer 2011 - my fault

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 10:05 | 2068435 fredquimby
fredquimby's picture

More Greece will imminently default and crumble the EURO eh....

As you correctly mentioned.....we HAVE heard this one (wrongly) many many times before.....YAWN!

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 10:53 | 2068500 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Well it's great news if you're holding Euros.......I'm not touching that crap.

 

I'm not even sure I want to be holding dollars. So the dollar benefits....what the hell does that mean? It's like the Olympics of mediocrity.

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 08:22 | 2068295 lunaticfringe
lunaticfringe's picture

Not exactly a shocker Gene. What I find shocking is that gold is still trading sub 1300 to that crap euro and the soon to be crap drachma. Forgive me for not following Gross's lead and piling into UST. I think gold can trounce a 4% return this year with little to no downside risk at these levels.

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 08:15 | 2068281 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

owwww... this is going straight in a better ECB balance sheet situation

well, Central Banks are stacking, so I...

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 08:20 | 2068290 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Anybody with euro savings should buy about 99% of their assets in gold and silver bullion.

just to play it safe....

and premiums are going through the roof here. Better buy the numi gold coins.

 

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 08:31 | 2068301 Fips_OnTheSpot
Fips_OnTheSpot's picture

check? check! (and get some Ravioli!!)

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 08:44 | 2068317 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

I'm more of a Macaroni/ham/cheese kind of guy but I know what you mean!

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 08:46 | 2068321 anonum
anonum's picture

Hear, hear. Too bad last month's short term gold sale was limited to USD alone.

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 08:36 | 2068307 littleenglander
littleenglander's picture

EFSF: European Fantasy Scam Fund.

<€30 million in subscribed share capital, with no idea of how much is paid up.  Must be a reason it's a limited company registered in Luxembourg.

€780bn "fund" is no more than bunch of worthless promises.  I mean Spain and Italy are on the hook for 30% of these promises between them.

At least bonds issued by EFSF are acceptable at the ECB.

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 08:59 | 2068339 onebir
onebir's picture

"It would lead to the euro falling sharply against other fiat currencies and particularly against gold."

Which doesn't preclude the $ price of gold falling quite a bit if (when?) TSHTF...

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 09:10 | 2068351 HoofHearted
HoofHearted's picture

This is absolutely true, but it would be short-lived. Printocchio wants the dollar to be weaker despite the public claims. He just needs some sort of a triggering event to announce that he is going to put the Fed's printers on double secret turbo print rather than the extra fast print he has right now (without telling people this explicitly, though all of us have already read the releases and know this). So, when and if it comes, BTFD. I expected a raid last night with this being a 3-day weekend. Maybe the raid comes tonight. Because gold is kryptonite to the Fed...

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 09:59 | 2068427 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

Double secret turbo print!!!...Oh...I'm telling....

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 12:07 | 2068653 Think for yourself
Think for yourself's picture

Bernanke: Prepare printer for light speed.

Money-lenders: No, no, no, light speed is too slow.

Bernanke: Light speed, too slow?

Money-lenders: Yes, we're gonna have to go right to ludicrous speed.

Bernanke: Ludicrous speed? Sir, we've never gone that fast before. I don't know if this printer can take it.

Money-lenders: What's the matter, Colonel Bernanke, chicken?

Bernanke: Prepare printer, prepare printer for ludicrous speed. Fasten all seat belts, seal all entrances and exits, close all shops in the mall, cancel the 3-ring circus, secure all animals in the zoo...

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 09:20 | 2068369 spentCartridge
spentCartridge's picture

Gold BitcheZ

 

There, I said it  :)

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 09:33 | 2068392 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

The Eurozone economy resembles a large ship sailing in rough seas...There are icebergs lurking in increasingly murky Eurozone waters.

 

Someone channelling the Costa Concordia?

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 09:46 | 2068413 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

The gold paper trade will dominate until you walk into your local coin shop and there's not a 1/10 of an ounce to be had...It's coming...

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 10:02 | 2068432 Stuck on Zero
Stuck on Zero's picture

Anyone know where you can purchase 1oz American Eagle Platinum coins?  All the usual suppliers are out of stock.

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 10:37 | 2068471 fall
fall's picture

http://comparegoldprices.com/

And buy some nice Maple Leafs as well. So pretty. ^^

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 11:01 | 2068517 moonstears
moonstears's picture

Great link, fall, thanks!

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 11:25 | 2068561 xela2200
xela2200's picture

They have been sold out for a while now. I got mine about a month or two ago, and I haven't seen inventory since. Unless, You want to pay a high premium.

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 10:12 | 2068439 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

Not to mention Platinum maples, Isle of man's, Suisse, or any other

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 10:32 | 2068464 moonstears
moonstears's picture

Americans, see this,  we're saved! This guy's got it figured out, and he's just an average Joe!! /sarc

P.S. Unreal, the level of LACK of knowledge. Note his dollar figures and the news team's "gold" coins pictured, funny stuff.

http://www.kjct8.com/news/30172361/detail.html

 

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 11:25 | 2068564 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

Ya!  This guy has it all figured out...The (Mis)information even at the local level pertaining to physical (coin/bar) is unbelievable...Those who take it seriously and read right through this crap deserve what they get...Or don't get...

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 12:17 | 2068677 technovelist
technovelist's picture

Who knew it was that easy?

What a moron...

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 10:45 | 2068485 spentCartridge
spentCartridge's picture

Smith says he sent a letter to President Obama asking him to look into this, but he is still waiting to hear back

 

Go USA

 

Go figure ...

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 14:01 | 2068962 DosZap
DosZap's picture

OT a bit, but in view of MFG, anyone who thinks they OWN Gold Stocks, would do well to read this if you have not done so already.

The Pillars which have (in most instances past) that have held up under duress, are now not doing their jobs.(read the fine print folks).

Like ETF's, there are always Trap Doors..............

Who Really Owns Your Gold Stocks?

jsmineset.com

Mon, 01/16/2012 - 14:42 | 2069069 smiler03
smiler03's picture

Gold Nears €1,300/oz

Well that gave me a mild heart attack. $1300/ounce!!! Headline quote using €uroes, keeps the reader awake I suppose!

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