Goldman Now Aggressively Selling Apple To Clients, Hikes Price Target To $600

Tyler Durden's picture




 

In case one was wondering how the Goldman trading team was axed in Apple, we now know that they are pushing their inventory of stock in the name out of the door and to clients harder than ever, having just released a forecast with a $600 price target. However, with nearly 200 hedge fund holders in the name, and pregnant to the teeth in the stock, we fail to find who the incremental buyer of GS' AAPL stock will be.

From the report:

We are raising our estimates after this quarter’s upside results. For FY2012, we forecast revenues of $148.26 billion and EPS of $40.36, up from $138.34 billion and $35.13. Our forecast now calls for revenues and EPS of $166.09 billion and $44.55 in FY2013 and $186.24  billion and $49.10 in FY2014, up from $160.55 billion and $40.03, and $180.83 billion and $43.50, respectively. Even after this quarter’s  upside, we believe the year is chock full of catalysts to drive further share price momentum. We continue to expect a late March quarter  iPad refresh and a lower price point for the iPad 2, as well as a mid-year iPhone refresh. We believe the MacBook Air will continue to gain share in the PC sector, and we believe Apple will finally launch an iOS-based television in late 2012 or early 2013. Finally, our expectation for a dividend announcement this year could represent a critical catalyst that brings a new class of investors into the stock.

Yes: dividend investors. And also a catalyst for the outflow of growth investors.

Full report:

 

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Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:28 | 2095795 lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

Apple love slavery. Their business is based on slavery in China. It'll be a happy day when they go bankrupt.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:31 | 2095802 roy10
roy10's picture

Which company does not produce in China? If you boycott everybody that prodices in China, you'd be living on the street.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:44 | 2095809 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Apple is just to remind everyone how a company selling a product that is actually BAD FOR YOU (yes muppets, those little white things you slip into your ears, to lose yourself in what-ever you do, are deafening you, every day, regardless of volume, it was Job's parting gift to the world, deafness).... is now the 58th largest nation in the world, cash-wise...

And this is apple, pure consumer play. Do the math for GE et. al. And what is apple not declaring?

Regardless, I call the apple top. 

After Top, Topple! 

ori

/watershed-day-

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:50 | 2095823 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

The world is imploding....eat apples....buy gold.

 

 

 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:56 | 2095832 French Frog
French Frog's picture

"we fail to find who the incremental buyer of GS' AAPL stock will be."

---> there's always a new sucker round the corner.

And when you run out of the old type of suckers, there's always a new breed happy to take its place...

---> "a critical catalyst that brings a new class of investors into the stock."

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:03 | 2095854 LuKOsro
LuKOsro's picture

Looks like it is time to fade the euphoria. Offload them shares!!!

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:13 | 2095876 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

I second that. Heartily. 

If for nothing else, then on principle. Ahhhaaaahhaa! Sorry, couldn't resist that.  ;-)

ori

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:19 | 2095889 French Frog
French Frog's picture

There's nothing wrong with 'principles'; a rare commodity these days...

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 10:02 | 2096009 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Indeed FF, priceless.

ori

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 13:46 | 2096147 Don Birnam
Don Birnam's picture

"Finally, our expectation for a dividend announcement this year could represent a critical catalyst that brings a new class of investors into the stock."

The grift begins. Was not the same exuberant expectation visited upon Cisco Systems for years: "Cisco will pay a dividend soon, which will introduce a fresh group of income-oriented investors...to buoy the shares !" And what do we have with CSCO ? A bountiful yield of 1.2% per annum. Indeed, worth the wait. One would have been better off purchasing a pallet of nickels, and storing it with Kyle Bass' hoard.

-- This, whilst Goldman breezily downgraded Philip Morris International last week -- with PM yielding 4.2%. There is grifting method in this madness.

Who comprise Goldman's current clientele ? Whose portfolio can afford such sage investment "counsel ?"

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:42 | 2095815 junkyardjack
junkyardjack's picture

Well the externalize the costs of society from their business.  As long as countries allow them to use slave labor to create their products they will be a highly profitable company.  Luckily there are many countries that will have no problem doing this for the right kick backs so if China ever decides it cares about its people, Apple will move to the next region.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 10:20 | 2096074 e-recep
e-recep's picture

You typed this message on a device that is made in .... where? Not China?

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 10:57 | 2096170 sessinpo
sessinpo's picture

It might still be possible, but you never know what to believe

http://www.computersmadeinusa.com/

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 12:25 | 2096433 lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

It was made in Taiwan. So suck it.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 10:51 | 2096151 ffart
ffart's picture

Well, if you compare the actual products and not whatever people around here are on about, Android's market is a hellhole, their OS is about 30% slower even with the better hardware they tout, and my mom can only figure out how to work the iPad. The electronics aren't manufactured in America? Well no shit, you can't even source a lawnmower engine in America anymore. Welcome to the 21st century.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 11:16 | 2096203 Widowmaker
Widowmaker's picture

You're a fucking tard.

Quit pretending to cross conscience and business.

Thu, 01/26/2012 - 02:52 | 2098953 darkhorse222
darkhorse222's picture

idiot-HP, Dell etc, use the same companies for manufacture-the Windoze crybabies are coming out of the sewers...to whine

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:30 | 2095799 roy10
roy10's picture

$600B is actually a conservative valuation for a company generating $20B in cash per quarter.

Stop bashing Apple - it's useless and a little pathetic to be honest.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:48 | 2095819 Vic Vinegar
Vic Vinegar's picture

and your comments are useless and more than a bit pathetic to be honest

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:00 | 2095849 BorisTheBlade
BorisTheBlade's picture

It might be a conservative valuation, but only with some rosy assumptions, like this cashflow of US$20B per quarter is sustained indefinitely. Hoho, and I don't think Tyler is bashing Apple per se, just how exactly many times GS dumped 'assets' on their 'clients' that turned out to be worth 'slightly' less than GS estimated them be? I can probably recall a few.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:31 | 2095800 El Gordo
El Gordo's picture

Well hell, let's just dump everything and go all in on Apple based on this

Rosy Scenario (not related to my friend Rosy Palm).

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:45 | 2095804 palmereldritch
palmereldritch's picture

$600 or $99 on a 3 year contract

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:42 | 2095810 misterc
misterc's picture

Apple goood. Apple aaaalwaaays groooowing.

My opinion:
-Apple store / in-store concepts pursued in order to make up for margin compression
-heavy competition from Android
-erratic anti-customer behavior as all firms grown to big to manage show time after time ("The customers are wrong. We know better what to produce.")
-new Final Cut X: terrible product, unusable in pro production environment, no compatibility to earlier versions, premature, buggy release

But clearly, this direct grab at retailers' margins with their own stores is a sign to me that something is not quite right.. 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 11:07 | 2096185 dakine
dakine's picture

Yup, reminds me alot about what Sony did too. Look at where that got them?

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:42 | 2095812 Catullus
Catullus's picture

I would say "Not sure I would buy one share of company for the same price as one of their best selling items." but they're selling so many of them that yeah that makes sense. I wonder if apple will ever a buy a producing rare earth metal mine to control their input costs.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:42 | 2095814 eBuddha
eBuddha's picture

anyone else notice that Monday's call by GS and MS that U.S. fixed income had seen their "low yields for the year" and that bonds were a screaming SALE --- coincided with the end of the pullback and bonds have traded higher ever since?

they are either the stupidest form of scum or the scumiest form of stupid.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:49 | 2095817 Little Red Rooter
Little Red Rooter's picture

Jim Smith grew a big mob of pears

Which he stashed in his reinforced lair

Cousin Jo bought up Apple

Which left Jim quite baffled

Coz you can't make a pie out of shares    

 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:48 | 2095820 Cdad
Cdad's picture

As I said last night, this trade looked to be over at 16:49 hrs last night, @ $468 and change...just minutes after the stock resumed trading.  Tough call to make, considering that it is WS's darling...but there it is.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:50 | 2095824 battle axe
battle axe's picture

So, with out Jobs, Apple is a buy? I don't know about that one. I think you give this one some time before jumping in, see how it plays out.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:05 | 2095831 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Jobs is gone?

 

That's a solid sell signal there.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 10:44 | 2096137 Real Money Wins
Real Money Wins's picture

Just remember that if it looks to good to be True it probably is!

The Phrase for the Day is "Do Your Due Diligence"

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:50 | 2095826 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

SOLD to you bitchez!

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:50 | 2095827 Watson
Watson's picture

I agree with roy10.

ZH is a welcome change from the legion of perma-bulls and stock promoters, and has come up with some spectacular trading ideas in the past.

However, critising a successful company that produces real physical product that loads of people, all over the world actually want to buy, seems a bit silly. Particularly since Apple does not receive ex or implicit government support (and indeed, with a cash balance sheet position that makes a government rescue particularly unlikely).

Sorry Tyler, but I do not think it sensible to blindly try to find things wrong with everything.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:01 | 2095853 Coke and Hookers
Coke and Hookers's picture

"However, critising a successful company that produces real physical product that loads of people, all over the world actually want to buy, seems a bit silly."

 

Apple dosen't produce anything and doesn't even know how. They are a design and marketing bureau for Foxconn.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:09 | 2095868 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

Smoke and mirrors is the future of business. Apple is just way ahead of the curve.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 11:09 | 2096192 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

I got zinged yesterday for calling Apple a marketing firm, maybe becasue I left out design. 

I think you are right on.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:03 | 2095856 Vic Vinegar
Vic Vinegar's picture

Watson come here!

You called yourself out after noting I agree with roy10

The rest of your comment didn't save you, BTW.

For that you get

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jRixmFAdwv4

Maybe you can be roy10's online sweetheart?  Or maybe you already are?  Or maybe you already are him?  

I don't care either way.  As one used to say on Zero Hedge, Good Luck Trading.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:52 | 2095978 Jim in MN
Jim in MN's picture

So when the broad market takes a 20-30% dive, Apple just goes up because 'the gadgets is shiny'.

Moron.  You need to stay here until you see the big picture.

Zero real returns across all asset classes in the mid-term.  Think.  It's not even algebra (well maybe a little).

Japanification and the 'no bond haircuts' policy from the KremlinFed means we keep bleeding out to serve the FIRE sector bondholders and assorted other beggars. 

Anyone who's been here a while can list the dropping shoes, black swans, anvils, pianos, Foo birds etc. that await. 

So: positioned for downdrafts?  Or just floating around looking at shinies?

Corruption beats shiny. 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 08:58 | 2095847 Everybodys All ...
Everybodys All American's picture

Not far from over a half a trillion market cap. Can you say i-bubble.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:03 | 2095855 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Can you say sold at the top of the hill.

 

 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 10:06 | 2096026 The Grip
The Grip's picture

Here in Toyland, this bubble may have a ways to go. Remember that in 2011 something like 90% of the world's PCs still ran Windows. There's still lots of market share to chase with iDistractions as long as Ben's handlers keep the Ponzi running.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:01 | 2095852 Little Red Rooter
Little Red Rooter's picture

Agreed. I love ZH but the quest to find doom looks overly keen sometimes, which undermines site credibility - after all, the situation IS so bad it does not need much hype.

Apple have been a great innovator and make a profit, good on 'em. But in these times, I'd rather have a spade than an iPad.

 

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:11 | 2095871 chrispycrunch
chrispycrunch's picture

ZH's doomsday scenario isn't on Apple directly, but on GS's action to pump Apple to get buyers for stocks. What good is a "buy" call on Apple when a "buy" call would have been more valuable 10 or 15 years ago when the stock was 100x cheaper? 

It's like Zynga. The early investors are up 100x. The ones buying stock right now are the suckers because the easy money has already been made.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:13 | 2095877 Everybodys All ...
Everybodys All American's picture

Incredible times we live in when 45 million Americans are on food stamps with over 8% unemployed and an American company takes in $45 billion in a qtr. Something is a miss. How does that happen? $5 trillion in new debt for one. Slave labor in China for two. 107% debt to gdp in the US currently and rising way faster then most want to admit. Once the US loses their credit rating again look out. The bond vigilantes will be all over this trade.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 10:02 | 2096012 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Yep, we are Japan 2.0.  Same as it ever was.  But hey, volitility is good for those who can stay ahead of the fluctuations.  There is no price discovery there is no price, there is only ebb and flow until there is nothing.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:05 | 2095860 Cone of Uncertainty
Cone of Uncertainty's picture

So Google reports and the stock shits the bed, Apple reports and its up 8%.

Reggie really fuckede up with this one.

Not that he is wrong, its just that his timing really sucks donkey nuts.

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 11:21 | 2096216 Widowmaker
Widowmaker's picture

Middleton is shilling exactly like he get's paid to do.  Nothing but a mouthpiece.

Don't forget GOOG is still in downward decline.  The loss that keeps on losing (winning if you are not an idiot with a Middleton position).

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:17 | 2095886 niktamere
niktamere's picture

sell me some puts

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:26 | 2095906 youngman
youngman's picture

Its a religion...its like tithing the Morman church.....you own it because you love it...its cool baby..

Wed, 01/25/2012 - 09:31 | 2095917 Catullus
Catullus's picture

One share = price of an iphone?  eh....

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