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Goldman's Laments A Horrible August, Comes Begging For Help To Bernanke

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Goldman's head equity strategist David Kostin is shocked, shocked, that things have not turned out the way he expected them to at the beginning of the year. He is even more shocked that August just ended up being about the worst month in market history since Lehman, courtesy of this whole "mean reversion" to normalcy thing, whatever it is (apparently you can not have an infinity+1 S&P point levitation on increasingly less volume without it correcting at some point). Specifically for the statistics buffs, "In August the S&P 500 was down 5.7% with an annualized volatility of 47%. August S&P return was in the bottom 10% of monthly returns since 1928. Over that time 58% of monthly returns have been positive with an average return of 0.6% (7.4% annualized). August volatility was in the 98th percentile over that period at more than triple its 15% average since 1928. Just 25 out of 1004 months over the past 83 years have experienced higher realized volatility than August 2011. Amid that  volatility, the median hedge fund returned -2%, outperforming both the S&P 500 and the median large-cap core mutual fund (-5.9%)." Ahh, 'ze price stabeeleetee'... Anyway, it is about to get worse: if September closes red, we will have a 5th consecutive down month: "Five consecutive negative monthly returns are rare for the S&P 500. Since 1928 there have been only nine episodes when the S&P 500 declined for more than four months in a row (Exhibit 1). The longest was a ninemonth stretch of futility in 1974 that was part of two-year period when the market fell in 20 of 24 months by a cumulative 42%. The most recent example was the five-month period of  negative returns from November 2007 through March 2008, which was the first since 1990." Now should September, and October close read, we hit the panic button: there have been just 4 occurences of 6 consecutive down months in the history of the S&P! Which all leads us to the following shuck and jive: "Investors look to the Fed to stop the losing streak." And there you have it: when fundamentals reassert themselves, bring out the chairsatan.

Here is the historgram distribution of consecutive month (under)performance:

The visualization of August vol/return:

More specifically, when sector performance, the Zero Hedge QE Unwind trade continues to outperform (too bad we closed it two weeks ago).

Where the street should pay attention, is that now even Goldman is cutting its profit margin forecast: a long overdue event.

Full chartology:

 

 

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Sat, 09/10/2011 - 11:23 | 1654371 jm
jm's picture

These guys have got to be short.  Last quarter's results were too dismal to be otherwise.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 11:27 | 1654381 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Napolean was short. These cats are just stupid, corrupt and assholes.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 11:30 | 1654385 breezer1
breezer1's picture

thats funny...

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 11:55 | 1654441 achmachat
achmachat's picture

Trivia of the day:

The British Tory press sometimes depicted Napoleon as much smaller than average height, and this image persists. Confusion about his height also results from the difference between the French pouce and British inch—2.71 and 2.54 cm respectively; he was about 1.7 metres (5 ft 7 in) tall, average height for the period.
Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:47 | 1654662 Optimusprime
Optimusprime's picture

Correct.  Another factor is that, when Napoleon took command of the Army of Italy (his first great independent field assignment), he was introduced to his subordinate generals, most of whom were very tall.  So the contrast was noted.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 11:26 | 1654378 malikai
malikai's picture

How do you lose money when you are 1/8th of the FED, or whatever their percentage is as a PD?

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 11:55 | 1654440 Lucius Corneliu...
Lucius Cornelius Sulla's picture

Why does a gambler double down?

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:05 | 1654563 Downtoolong
Downtoolong's picture

Because, in this case, the house is letting the gambler do it indefinitely until he finally wins. That's a no-lose, no-risk proposition. Hell, it's not even gambling.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:41 | 1654638 Lucius Corneliu...
Lucius Cornelius Sulla's picture

True, but they are certainly doing their best to take advantage of the situation.  I guess you could call it chutzpah.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:56 | 1654673 Chaffinch
Chaffinch's picture

Sadly that seems to be true. But why is BAC being sacrificed to the wolves? When Uncle Warren was brought in I thought this was because the gubbermint was trying to save BAC - maybe it was their overt support for Perry that meant they were hung out to dry...
Why is GS so favoured? Is JPM also guaranteed to be TBTF?

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 14:02 | 1654685 Lucius Corneliu...
Lucius Cornelius Sulla's picture

Citi is by far the most pathetic piece of shit out there.  This is the 3rd major bailout for them since their bad bets on Latin American debt in the 80s.  It pisses me off to no end that they even exist.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 14:37 | 1654777 Chaffinch
Chaffinch's picture

I'd be very happy to see them all go down together - just finding it hard to imagine what that would be like!

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 11:26 | 1654379 cossack55
cossack55's picture

I'm very concerned that the stolen shoulder-fired AA missiles stolen from the Libyan arms depots may be targeted against Fed helicopters. 

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 11:33 | 1654389 dwdollar
dwdollar's picture

They wouldn't shoot themselves down.  They would shoot down an airline full of innocent slaves who already accept being groped and x-rayed in order to justify more draconian measures.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 11:37 | 1654395 Long-John-Silver
Long-John-Silver's picture

On a serious note: Not a single Air Port is going to be safe in America.

Libyan missiles looted

TRIPOLI, Libya (CNN) - A potent stash of Russian-made surface-to-air missiles is missing from a huge Tripoli weapons warehouse amid reports of weapons looting across war-torn Libya.

They are Grinch SA-24 shoulder-launched missiles, also known as Igla-S missiles, the equivalent of U.S.-made Stinger missiles.

A CNN team and Human Rights Watch found dozens of empty crates marked with packing lists and inventory numbers that identified the items as Igla-S surface-to-air missiles.

The list for one box, for example, written in English and Russian, said it had contained two missiles, with inventory number "Missile 9M342," and a power source, inventory number "Article 9B238."

Grinch SA-24s are designed to target front-line aircraft, helicopters, cruise missiles and drones. They can shoot down a plane flying as high as 11,000 feet and can travel 19,000 feet straight out.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 11:49 | 1654429 Bobbyrib
Bobbyrib's picture

The Obama administration should be proud of itself.

 

At least the Europeons will have light sweet crude flowing to them within a few months. /sarcasm.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 11:57 | 1654446 toady
toady's picture

Gotta get some of those!

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:04 | 1654465 Fish Gone Bad
Fish Gone Bad's picture

So I guess the pat downs are now going to get REALLY personal at the airport.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:56 | 1654548 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

Sadly I will get waved through. I just don't look like I'm smuggling a shoulder fired missle in my pants.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:03 | 1654556 kahunabear
kahunabear's picture

I'm guessing those surface to air missles are a little tricky to stuff in a backpack.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:39 | 1654639 jm
jm's picture

"Is that a SAM in your pocket or are you just glad to see me?"

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:16 | 1654489 24KGOLD FOIL HAT
24KGOLD FOIL HAT's picture

Long-John @ 11:37

Guano-dafi loves to drop the big planes.  "You take my country, I take u planes."

This calls for another few hundred billion for DoD.  Hire Rummy to advise on the strategy.  Chaos is highly profitable :[

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:15 | 1654585 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

yep

the attack on bani walid has already started

here's what the goobermint puppets of the khazar 'jew' banksters pulled under the brits/blair: British Secret Service Helped Al Qathafi Jail, Torture Libyan Citizen  now, MI6 is claiming it had "ministerial" approval and was just "following orders", but blair's "spokesperson" denies it was from him.  what fun! rendering a 6 y.o. girl and 3 older children to libya, parents hancuffed, and torturing dad with the family in an adjacent cell!  cutting the wife & kids loose after only 2 months, and dad after 6 years.  must.secure.homeland.

now interpol has assued a "red warrant" for the moQ, tribal and regional squabbles are increasing exponentially, it seems, and the "war of liberation" drags on, with the moQ making announcements thru syrian media he's still in libya and encouraging all who hear his voice to keep fighting the colonial powers and their "democratic revolutionary" puppets.  wheeee!

oh, yeah, there are weapons all over the place!  missles mortars, rockets, mines, artillery shells, some chemical stuff, with carloads of missles going across desert borders, and possibly into the hands of "terrorists" (L0L!!!) this clusterfuk isn't close to "peaking" yer, imo.  ya can make car bombs outa this stuff ya know!  and one report opines that most of africa will become a "no fly zone" pdq b/c even with a new "internationally-recognized" goobermint no one is in control and since the moQ distributed stuff all over the place when NATO got involved, we'll have plenty more "action" due to the hubris and ivory-towerism of the nannies

in spite of the relentless propagananda against the moQ, now we know he did NOT use these weapons against NATO aircraft and ships, nor against the rebel forces.  imagine that!!! 

even the "prime minister" jalil has threatened to resign if people keep behaving badly!  L0L!!

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 15:51 | 1654924 ww2vet
ww2vet's picture

you white-trash piece of shit --fuck you. your mother cant even suck my cock with skill!!

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 15:55 | 1654929 karzai_luver
karzai_luver's picture

the term BLOWBACK comes to mind.

 

All the decades of criminal western activity is going to be repaid in blood.

 

ALq is nothing, some of those peeps are going to take matters into their own hands lone wolf style. When one is tortured and/or ones family is butchered even under cover of the good war for "freedom@TM", well I don't blame them at all.

 

Welcome to the game , bitches. richly deserved.

 

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 22:44 | 1655571 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

which part of "the game" are you talking about? the part where we start "hunting for Daffy" like blue tic hounds or the part where we "have to pull the dogs back" because they've got him cornered in a tree?

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:24 | 1654594 Gohn Galt
Gohn Galt's picture

Long John 11:37 am

That's a crazy statement.  Commercial airports haven't been safe since the time when you could not board with your primary weapon and backup.  I don't like guns because they are noisey, but there is something unnatural about flying unarmed.

 

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:46 | 1654651 Lucius Corneliu...
Lucius Cornelius Sulla's picture

I think I'll be safe flying the pattern in my Cessna.  I'll take my chances.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 11:42 | 1654412 Silverhog
Silverhog's picture

Wow, 6 months down will be 4 times since 1928. After that, it's free fall into the Mariana Trench. 

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:28 | 1654504 centerline
centerline's picture

Or a drop kick-kick into the stratosphere. Or both!

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 11:46 | 1654418 doomandbloom
doomandbloom's picture

lot of people leaving Goldman Sachs at all levels...which is good..

but they will now corrupt other places....which is real sad..

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:06 | 1654468 24KGOLD FOIL HAT
24KGOLD FOIL HAT's picture

doomandbloom- goldman rats infecting other ships.

Reminds me of Enron.  They corrupted 100 other corp's.

Shoulda "pulled" the Enron bldg w/the rats in it!

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:11 | 1654477 jm
jm's picture

"Rats infecting other ships"  -- you mean the SS Pimco?

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:23 | 1654499 24KGOLD FOIL HAT
24KGOLD FOIL HAT's picture

Sadly so.

There is hope for change: there are thousands, and soon to be millions, of superdoopernanothermine ZH floating mines being inseminated into the sea of tranquility!!!

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 16:27 | 1654997 Lucius Corneliu...
Lucius Cornelius Sulla's picture

I doubt the corruption will be nearly as severe.  What makes GS so powerful is their deeply intertwined connections in the Federal government.  That takes a long time to develop.  Besides, the debt ponzi will take years to unwind.  The finance business in general is in a long term decline.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 11:53 | 1654436 Lucius Corneliu...
Lucius Cornelius Sulla's picture

"Investors look to the Fed to stop the losing streak.

That pretty much sums up the stock market since LTC in '98.  

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:14 | 1654484 Belarus
Belarus's picture

That pretty much sums up the stock market since LTC in '98. 

You stand corrected, first it was Greenspan providing liquidity to the market after Black Monday. Then, of course, there was the S & L crisis in the 1990/91 time frame. In any case, you are indeed right. The Federal Reserve has done a remarkable job with price stability, inflation, and employment. 

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:36 | 1654628 Lucius Corneliu...
Lucius Cornelius Sulla's picture


"The Federal Reserve has done a remarkable job with price stability, inflation, and employment."

Tell that to the unemployed college graduate with $100k in student loans who ends up in the emergency room without health insurance.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:39 | 1654636 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

They have? For whom?

Oh, the bankers, that's right. Everyone else is being continuously robbed.

How much did the bankers get away with in the S&L looting again?

Sun, 09/11/2011 - 09:00 | 1655927 11b40
11b40's picture

Working from memory cells, not research, it was about $150 Billion from the tax payers.  This almost sounds like a paltry sum.  Now, it takes a trillion to get any serious attention.

The biggest difference between now and then, however, is that people went to jail, and politicians were disgraced and ridiculed.  Just Google the Keating 5.

And for all you partisans out there who still cling to the belief that one of the political parties would be better than the other at saving our dire economic future, here is Ronald Reagan's quote when he signed the law increasing the FSLIC account insurance limit from $40,000 to $250,000 at Savings & Loans and relaxing industry regulation:

"Boy, we are going to have some fun now."

Here are the main reason's for the problems then.  Any of this sound familiar?

  •  state and federal deregulation of depository institutions, which allowed thrifts to enter new but riskier loan markets
  • the deregulation of the thrift industry without an accompanying increase in examination resources (for some years examiner resources actually declined);
  • reduced regulatory capital requirements, which allowed thrifts to use alternative accounting procedures to increase reported capital levels;
  • excessive chartering of new thrifts during the 1980s:
  • the withdrawal in 1986 of federal tax laws (enacted in 1981) that benefited commercial real-estate investments;
  • the development during the 1980s of the brokered deposit market;
  • and delays in funding the thrift insurance fund during the 1980s and the RTC during the 1990s, which led to regulators’ failure to close many insolvent institutions in a timely manner.
    • As a consequence of all these factors, during the1980s the thrift industry realized unprecedented losses on loans and investments. The result, as noted, was the failure of hundreds of thrift institutions and the insolvency by year-end 1986 of the FSLIC, the federal insurer for the thrift industry. As of year-end 1986, 441 thrifts with $113 billion in assets were book insolvent, and another 533 thrifts, with $453 billion in assets, had tangible capital of no more than 2 percent of total assets. These 974 thrifts held 47 percent of industry assets. In response, Congress created the Financing Corporation (FICO) in 1987 to provide funding to the FSLIC by issuing long-term bonds.

Sun, 09/11/2011 - 10:18 | 1655999 Lucius Corneliu...
Lucius Cornelius Sulla's picture

Remove the moral hazard and you solve the problem.  Government has no place in finance.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:53 | 1654544 Sequitur
Sequitur's picture

That is exactly right, stupid Fed summoning everyone to bail out millionaires and bankers. At that time, at least Congress had the temerity to hold hearings about LTCM and criticize the Fed for putting its imprimatur on the bailout deal.

Now, there's frequent fed and government intervention, and around the globe, it seems every damn day has central bank interference.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:03 | 1654459 Belarus
Belarus's picture

....once again proving to the cartel stocks are the only thing that matters. Fuck savers, depositors, retireees, free markets and anyone making money on the short side or real money, middle class, poor class, housisng market (more money printing lowers home values), and everyone else not connected to Wall Street and Congress. I think I saw that wriiten under the Federa Reserve's mission statement recently. 

And we wonder why been was reappointed by Barrick. At this point, I feel they owe it to me at the very least to be on a first name basis with these scumsuckers.

 

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:13 | 1654482 Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

"Free markets" are so-o-o last century.

We want/need higher asset prices right now pleeez, Ben.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:19 | 1654486 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

 

 

This is the bottom line.

If the NYSE closes down 6 consecutive months,

Then it is pretty much a "lock" that:

- 10-yr. yields will be at 1.2%

- 30-yr. mortgage rates will be at 3.5%

- Interactive Brokers margin interest rate will be .0001%

At that point, Bernanke and Geither should be fired for "Gross Negligence" and "Dereliction of Duty".

Why is that?

20-years from now, economists and pundits will look back in aghast, and wonder why the Fed and the Treasury Department didn't raise the debt ceiling by 300% and issue 100-yr., 50-yr., and 30-yr. bonds en masse at world record low interest rates.

Heh, then Obama would be able to hand every citizen a stimulus check for $25,000.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:20 | 1654495 Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

And that would solve everything. Free money for everyone. R-i-g-h-t.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:25 | 1654500 centerline
centerline's picture

Precisely what the hardcore keynesians say! That a little bit of stimulus is no good. It is needs to be massive.

Funny how the argument winds up in that very place where it is an "all or nothing" bet that ends in either success or death.

The $25,000 check would be right out of FOFOA predictions.

The Tyler "Shazam" moment.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:30 | 1654514 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

Typical Keynesian claptrap argument. Nooo, let's never actually address the deficit, or the debts, let's just take advantage of cheap rates by piling on the debts even higher.

Reminds me of all those statements on British TV about "housing affordability". Yes, housing is more affordable now than a few years ago, however it is mainly the result of lower interest rates rather than house prices coming down from their stratospheric highs. And once interest rates revert to their historical norm, anyone buying during this current time of "affordability" will be absolutely hosed when it's time to remortgage.

But hey, let's not think further into the future but today.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:53 | 1654667 Lucius Corneliu...
Lucius Cornelius Sulla's picture

Condos have come down 50% from the peak in my neighborhood and are starting to cash flow out with 20% down.  But I fear that the economy is going to take another dive and drive rents down.  So, for now, I am waiting until next year to see what happens.  Looking for a little more margin of safety before I bite the bullet.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:29 | 1654506 TaxSlave
TaxSlave's picture

Gold, man.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:31 | 1654511 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

FYI tidbit.

At $114 Brent, Greece burns 400K bpd.  They have essentially zero oil production.  They had 24K bpd of pumping in 1980ish and now it's far past Peak and only 2K or less bpd.

All of that money from $114 X 400k bpd leaves the country.

It's 17 billion dollars a year and 5% of GDP.  Their GDP growth is -6.8%.  What a coincidence.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:34 | 1654513 gratefultraveller
gratefultraveller's picture

Wow, that vol/return graph looks like a squid.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:43 | 1654522 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

 

 

I mean really.

Think about it.

You know that the deficits are not going away. You know that over the next 20 years, the inflation rate could range anywhere between 3% - 7%/yr. Why not lock in the longest-term fixed rate financing at rock bottom rates when the entire financial world is clamoring for U.S. Treasuries and wolfing them down as fast as they can?

Especially when you can simply print more money to pay the interest if tax receipts fall short.

Geez, the Chinese, Taiwanese, Japanese who are buying these bonds will be huge bagholders and we can simply laugh our way to the bank.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:46 | 1654539 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

Better hope the Chinese military doesn't outgun the American, when the realization kicks in.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:54 | 1654545 Careless Whisper
Careless Whisper's picture

Here's some realization for those living in delusion land. Price per share as a percentage of Book Value per share of some banks and a hedge fund.

Do ya think maybe there's a problemo with tha financial statements???

 

 

http://ycharts.com/companies/BAC/price_to_book_value#compCos=JPM,GS,BCS,C

 

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:29 | 1654611 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Maybe but these guys are pretty honest.

"The last duty of a central banker is to tell the truth".

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:01 | 1654555 John Rotten
John Rotten's picture

Gives you an idea of how they stack up - www.globalfirepower.com

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:08 | 1654570 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Students have already purchased a 20 year bond in the form of a diploma. They don't earn interest. They must pay interest, and it's full recourse. The Pigmen covered every possible prospect when it comes to issuing debt.....and they are still at it.

http://www.financialarmageddon.com/2011/09/another-in-the-making.html

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 16:18 | 1654977 Lucius Corneliu...
Lucius Cornelius Sulla's picture

I think the youth need to think twice about their investment it they require large amounts of debt.  It may not be worth it unless they are getting some hard skills in healthcare, engineering, biotech, etc...  I wouldn't be long on higher education ... its a bubble primed for a pop.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:57 | 1654546 kahunabear
kahunabear's picture

We are barely even off the recent highs after doubling from '09! You would think we were down 30% or something. Let's see some real action!

Have a heck of a lot of catching up to do with Europe.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 12:59 | 1654552 John Rotten
John Rotten's picture

What?  Can't afford to pay your fuckin' precious bonuses you swine!

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:00 | 1654554 Waterfallsparkles
Waterfallsparkles's picture

Yet, when you think of it never in the history of the Stock Market has the Market Doubled or gone up 100% in 2 years.  When you look at the run up from the lows in 2008 it has had an astounding run straight up for 2 years.

It would have been normal for the Market to at least test the bottom after running up about 25%. Yet, it did not.  Then again at 50% up you would have thought it would have at least retraced some of those gains.  Yet, it did not.  Just a straight line up to 100% gain.  It caught many short along the way thinking that the Market would act normal and retrace some of the gains along the way.  The Shorts were only the stepping stones to ramp it even higher at their loss.

It would seem to me that being the Market never retested the lows that it would have to retest the lows again before becoming normal and trading on actual valuations.  By the way, what are actual valuations anyway these days?  When a silent hand like Bernanke's only ramps Markets and never lets them rest or retest there is no way to know what the real valuations are for any of the Stocks.

All of those people that just sat on the Bus and received exorbitant gains now want to get off at the next stop to hold those gains and not give them back.  Why would they want to lose them.  When you look at stocks like Nflx that went from $30. to $300. or Aapl that went from $80. to $404.  You would be stupid not to lock in the gains.

The problem is that the Banks like Goldman and all of the Hedge Funds have Millions of shares with no one to sell them to as all of the small players are getting out of the Market.  Again, no one to eat but themselves.

I do not feel a bit sorry for them as they were the ones ramping the Market killing anyone who even tried to Short into oblivion.

Although, the Ponzi still lives on in HFT and Weekly Options.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:24 | 1654606 Rainman
Rainman's picture

I still believe the institutional investors ( aka pension funds ) were in on the con since March '09. It was a play or die situation for them at the lows. Their 8% annualized projections demand that they participate in a manufactured and orderly equities ramp. Even the clueless Obama said it was a great time to buy stocks ( the fix was in ). Of course, the public pensions funds are screwed anyway.

Everything will be attempted to thwart true price discovery.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:34 | 1654624 Threeggg
Threeggg's picture

"The Unwind" is a "Bitch"

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 16:01 | 1654941 max2205
max2205's picture

+1,000

It's one thing for the fed to pump the market to help it get going (rallies and declines after) but to try to defy gravity with a 100 plus % move was greedy and stupid of uncle Ben. He will regret that when we see even more terrifying drops over the next months and perhaps years to come. Fu k him and the fed ect and so on

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:13 | 1654581 Waterfallsparkles
Waterfallsparkles's picture

They say History repeats itself.  Ironic when you think that Bernanke was a Student of the Great Depression.  That it would repeat itself on his watch. 

Look at the time line on the Great Depression.  Everything was fine for 3 years and then everything dipped back and was worse than before.

So, the same as the Great Depression a great bounce off the lows and then a re tracement only to lower levels.  Then Years and Years to get back to normal.

Yes, if I had huge profits I would be getting off the Bus and let the Banks, Goldman and the Hedge Funds be the Bag holder.  Believe me I know what it is to be a Bag holder.  I still would not be even on some of the stocks from the 2000 Nasdaq crash or the the 2008 Banking Crisis.

Signed

Bag holder no more.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:23 | 1654603 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

No. Zero hedge showed a chart of revolving credit months after a recession ends. Those are positive. The one we have now is negative. The one we had in the great depression is negative. There's never any recovery. It's simply prolonged pain and lies. Nothing was fine for 3 years during the great depression and nothing was fine for 3 years on this one. And there never was a double dip during the great depression. Just a dip with lies. And there never will be a double dip in this one. It's just a dip with lies.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 19:06 | 1655228 Waterfallsparkles
Waterfallsparkles's picture

I agree that nothing was fine for Main Street.  Yet, for Wall Street it was all life is great and Billions of Bonuses to fill their hearts desires.

The real shame about it is that so many on Main Street had to cash in their 401K's just to survive.  To pay Mortgages and buy food.  And to top it all off losing their Jobs and their House in the end anyway. Think how they feel with the Market going up like a Rocket when they were stopped out because of hardship.  What does it make them feel like when they had to sell their Nflx stock at $30. to see it go to $300. 

How about all of the people that invested in Washington Mutual, Countrywide, Bear Stearns, Abk, Fre, Fnm, Gm etc., that got wiped out.  Just to benifit the Bankers who consolidated all of those Companies under their roof for no actual cost.  Then got paid by the Government to take them over.

Bankers wonder why they are so hated and resented the above is the reason.  So many missed out because of hardship caused by the Bankers who put them in that position.

Why did  Bernanke forsake the Middle Class and leave them without humility and dignity, while enriching the Bankers beyond belief.  Goes against all Human principals.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:21 | 1654599 Cursive
Cursive's picture

David Koston:

 

I need a hero

I'm holding out for a hero til the end of the month

He's gotta be bald

And he's gotta be fay

And he's gotta be fresh from the fail.

I need a hero!

I'm holding out for a hero til the end of the year

he's gotta be Ben and it's got to be soon

And he's gotta be shorter than shit.

Somewhere after month end in my wildest fantasy... 

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OBwS66EBUcY

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 13:40 | 1654641 anony
anony's picture

Somehow I, having lost all respect for Goldman Sucks, more specifically Lord Blankfein, and so far so many unnamed perpeTRAITORs within his province, I don't believe one word, one letter, one grunt out of their mouths, any of them.

Any one who believes what any one says about their results is either very naive or benefitting from whatever scam they now have going on.

At least I'll believe what I don't hear: I don't hear that they have shorted their own stock, every single possible share.  

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 14:47 | 1654806 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Please, a show of hands.................

WHO is with me?.

Lets HANG every GOLDMAN SUCKS CEO.

Cry frigging babies, remind me of Immelt.

It's one thing to scrream for help when you NEED it, quite another just to continue to add to your STASH.

Sorry BSTDS>

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 15:24 | 1654872 honestann
honestann's picture

Insufficient.  Nuke GoldmanShafts.

Then repeat on JPM and every other large financial organization, most certainly including every central bank on earth.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 16:02 | 1654945 karzai_luver
karzai_luver's picture

yep , bounce the rubble ever couple of weeks to make sure the cockaroaches stay dead.

 

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 18:37 | 1655187 Soul Train
Soul Train's picture

do you mean sorta like 9/11 ???

better watch what you post otherwise BIG SIS will be on your ass....

Mon, 09/26/2011 - 21:50 | 1713613 honestann
honestann's picture

She better start watching her own.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 17:13 | 1655068 Problem Is
Problem Is's picture

"Specifically for the statistics buffs,..."

***** Awesome
I'm a "statistics buff"... and this is just the kind of post I like... Thanks TD.

BTW: So sorry Goldmanite bitch... Like Charlie Munger says... "Suck it up."

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 19:14 | 1655270 Waterfallsparkles
Waterfallsparkles's picture

Kind of like musical chairs. except now there are no chairs and the Bankers and the Hedge Funds are in a panic.

Sat, 09/10/2011 - 22:22 | 1655546 PulauHantu29
PulauHantu29's picture

Free Fed Money is not enough for these guys?

Of course, the Wall Street Mantrra is:

"Why steal less when you can steal more?"

Sun, 09/11/2011 - 10:40 | 1656017 JimS
JimS's picture

With those missing hand-held missles the TSA will now ask: " Is that a Stinger missle in your pants, or are you just glad to see us?" 

Sun, 09/11/2011 - 15:32 | 1656984 Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

Updated SP500 monthly chart at blog.

My long term indicators continue to warn of significant USD strength and AUD / NZD / EUR etc weakness and these signals have increased since 2009.

Unfortunately the March 2009 equity lows eventually will be breached.

http://stockmarket618.wordpress.com

Sun, 09/11/2011 - 15:40 | 1657014 Hulk
Hulk's picture

Bring back the scary clown!

Tue, 09/13/2011 - 22:11 | 1666045 moxia19
moxia19's picture

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